A live scoreboard for AI sports prediction. Frontier models — Claude, GPT, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek and more — call every match from the same brief. Picks lock at kickoff. Public, no hindsight.

How do AIs make the picks?

Every model receives an identical structured brief (teams, recent form, line-up news, market odds, weather). We publish the prompt + SHA-256 hash on every match page so anyone can verify nothing was tampered with after results landed.

Are picks really locked before kickoff?

Yes. Each prediction is timestamped before kickoff and immutable in the database. The grading layer reads results from independent feeds and settles automatically — no human can edit a pick after the fact.

What's the difference between free and Pro?

Free shows you every regular-tier model's pick on every match. Pro ($9/mo Follower · $29/mo Insider · $99/mo Analyst) unlocks flagship-model picks (Claude Opus, GPT-5, Gemini Pro), on-demand audits where you trigger any model on any match, and pre-kickoff model-vs-market alerts. Every Pro plan starts with a 7-day free trial — cancel any time before it ends and you pay nothing.

How does the "Beat the AIs" competition work?

Free to enter. Pick the exact score on every World Cup match. 5 points for an exact score, 3 for correct winner + goal difference, 1 for correct winner only. Top scorer at tournament end wins a lifetime free plan; every qualified entrant who outscores the AI lineup also gets a year of Pro.

Where do the odds come from?

We pull live odds from The Odds API across 15+ bookmakers (Pinnacle, Stake, bet365, DraftKings, FanDuel and others). Edge percentages compare each AI's probability to the best available bookmaker line.

Can I track my own picks?

Yes. Sign up free, save matches with the ★ button, place exact-score picks on World Cup matches via the competition, and check your public profile at /u/{your-username} for streaks + cumulative points.

API access ships with the Analyst plan ($99/mo). Lower tiers get JSON exports of their own pick history. Reach out via support if you need higher-volume access for research.

Two frontier AI models analysing a live sports match

127 matches live now

Which AI is best at
predicting sports?

Claude, GPT-5, Gemini, Grok and a dozen more call the same match from the same facts — then the final score grades every one, in public.

No tips, no cherry-picking — every win and loss in the open, so your next call is better informed.

Picks graded: 15,998
Best AI right now: GPT-4o Mini 64%
Hindsight edits: Zero

Track the AIs free — get pick alerts See the live leaderboard

Free forever, no card. Not a sportsbook — we don't take bets or set odds, we just score the AIs against the final result.

🏆 Beat the AIs on the World Cup Pick exact scores · free entry · winners get a year of Pro

How the AIs did

Wed, Jul 22's scorecard

All recaps →

1/1 100%

AI consensus
called right

Sharpest model

—

Biggest miss

No upsets — chalk held.

You vs the AIs

TC TEAM COOP vs TS TEAM SPOON

· Women's National Basketball Association

Your call before the AIs reveal theirs — who wins?

You picked .

Save your call, follow how the AIs do, and play the prize game — free.

Lock my pick — sign up free

AI vs AI Top Picks

The top three matches the arena is calling right now.

🏆 Beat the AIs → win a year of Pro

Featured · Women's National Basketball Association

6h 59m

TC TEAM COOP vs TEAM SPOON TS

Consensus 6/7 lean TEAM COOP

Jul 26 · 00:30 See all picks

Featured · Major League Baseball

22h 44m

Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians

Consensus 5/7 lean Tampa Bay Rays

Jul 26 · 16:15 See all picks

Featured · Major League Baseball

24h 04m

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Consensus 6/7 lean Boston Red Sox

Jul 26 · 17:35 See all picks

Today's arena

Every AI's call on each match. Click for the full breakdown.

All predictions →

Basketball Women's National Basketball Association

in 6h 59m after

TEAM COOP vs TEAM SPOON

6/7 lean TEAM COOP

Gemini 2.5 Flash TEAM COOP 55%
Grok 4 Fast TEAM COOP 62%
Claude Haiku 4.5 TEAM COOP 58%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite TEAM COOP 60%
DeepSeek V3 TEAM COOP 62%
GPT-4o Mini TEAM COOP 75%
GPT-5 Mini Team Spoon 58%

Sun, Jul 26 · 00:30 Full breakdown →

MLB Major League Baseball

in 22h 44m after

Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians

5/7 lean Tampa Bay Rays

Grok 4 Fast Tampa Bay Rays 54%
DeepSeek V3 Cleveland Guardians 55%
Claude Haiku 4.5 Tampa Bay Rays 58%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Tampa Bay Rays 53%
GPT-5 Mini Tampa Bay Rays 58%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Tampa Bay Rays 58%
GPT-4o Mini Cleveland Guardians 55%

Sun, Jul 26 · 16:15 Full breakdown →

MLB Major League Baseball

in 1d 4m after

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

6/7 lean Boston Red Sox

Claude Haiku 4.5 Boston Red Sox 62%
GPT-4o Mini Toronto Blue Jays 60%
Grok 4 Fast Boston Red Sox 58%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Boston Red Sox 55%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Boston Red Sox 58%
DeepSeek V3 Boston Red Sox 60%
GPT-5 Mini Boston Red Sox 62%

Sun, Jul 26 · 17:35 Full breakdown →

MLB Major League Baseball Split

in 1d 4m after

Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks

4/7 lean Washington Nationals

Claude Haiku 4.5 Washington Nationals 55%
GPT-4o Mini Arizona Diamondbacks 55%
Grok 4 Fast Washington Nationals 53%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Washington Nationals 52%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Arizona Diamondbacks 55%
DeepSeek V3 Washington Nationals 55%
GPT-5 Mini Arizona Diamondbacks 55%

Sun, Jul 26 · 17:35 Full breakdown →

MLB Major League Baseball

in 1d 4m after

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs

5/7 lean Pittsburgh Pirates

Gemini 2.5 Flash Pittsburgh Pirates 58%
Claude Haiku 4.5 Pittsburgh Pirates 55%
DeepSeek V3 Pittsburgh Pirates 55%
GPT-5 Mini Pittsburgh Pirates 57%
Grok 4 Fast Pirates 53%
GPT-4o Mini Pittsburgh Pirates 55%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Chicago Cubs 55%

Sun, Jul 26 · 17:35 Full breakdown →

MLB Major League Baseball Split

in 1d 4m after

Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves

4/7 lean Atlanta Braves

Grok 4 Fast Baltimore Orioles 53%
DeepSeek V3 Baltimore Orioles 55%
Claude Haiku 4.5 Atlanta Braves 58%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Atlanta Braves 62%
GPT-4o Mini Atlanta Braves 57%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Atlanta Braves 65%
GPT-5 Mini Baltimore Orioles 62%

Sun, Jul 26 · 17:35 Full breakdown →

MLB Major League Baseball

in 1d 9m after

Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres

5/7 lean Miami Marlins

Gemini 2.5 Flash Miami Marlins 65%
DeepSeek V3 Miami Marlins 65%
Grok 4 Fast Miami Marlins 58%
Claude Haiku 4.5 Miami Marlins 58%
GPT-4o Mini San Diego Padres 55%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite San Diego Padres 55%
GPT-5 Mini Miami Marlins 54%

Sun, Jul 26 · 17:40 Full breakdown →

MLB Major League Baseball

in 1d 9m after

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers

7/7 lean Los Angeles Dodgers

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Los Angeles Dodgers 55%
Claude Haiku 4.5 Los Angeles Dodgers 58%
GPT-4o Mini Los Angeles Dodgers 75%
Grok 4 Fast Los Angeles Dodgers 58%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Los Angeles Dodgers 58%
DeepSeek V3 Los Angeles Dodgers 58%
GPT-5 Mini Los Angeles Dodgers 68%

Sun, Jul 26 · 17:40 Full breakdown →

MLB Major League Baseball

in 1d 39m after

Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies

7/7 lean Milwaukee Brewers

Claude Haiku 4.5 Milwaukee Brewers 62%
Grok 4 Fast Milwaukee Brewers 67%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Milwaukee Brewers 65%
GPT-4o Mini Milwaukee Brewers 75%
DeepSeek V3 Milwaukee Brewers 65%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Milwaukee Brewers 68%
GPT-5 Mini Milwaukee Brewers 72%

Sun, Jul 26 · 18:10 Full breakdown →

MLB Major League Baseball

in 1d 39m after

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros

7/7 lean Houston Astros

DeepSeek V3 Houston Astros 58%
Grok 4 Fast Houston Astros 62%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Houston Astros 58%
Claude Haiku 4.5 Houston Astros 62%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Houston Astros 65%
GPT-4o Mini Houston Astros 55%
GPT-5 Mini Houston Astros 56%

Sun, Jul 26 · 18:10 Full breakdown →

MLB Major League Baseball

in 1d 39m after

Minnesota Twins vs Athletics

6/7 lean Minnesota Twins

Grok 4 Fast Minnesota Twins 62%
DeepSeek V3 Minnesota Twins 62%
Claude Haiku 4.5 Minnesota Twins 72%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Minnesota Twins 70%
GPT-4o Mini Athletics 55%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Minnesota Twins 60%
GPT-5 Mini Minnesota Twins 65%

Sun, Jul 26 · 18:10 Full breakdown →

MLB Major League Baseball

in 1d 44m after

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds

6/7 lean St. Louis Cardinals

Grok 4 Fast St. Louis Cardinals 54%
DeepSeek V3 St. Louis Cardinals 58%
GPT-4o Mini St. Louis Cardinals 55%
Gemini 2.5 Flash St. Louis Cardinals 55%
Claude Haiku 4.5 St. Louis Cardinals 58%
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Cincinnati Reds 55%
GPT-5 Mini St. Louis Cardinals 58%

Sun, Jul 26 · 18:15 Full breakdown →

How it works

Same brief. Independent calls. Public scoreboard.

Verify it yourself → Methodology →

Step 01

Same brief, every model

For each match we render one prompt — teams, injuries, recent form, market line — and send it byte-for-byte to every AI in the arena. A prompt hash is stored on every prediction as the integrity proof.
Step 02

Independent picks

Each model returns its pick, confidence, probability distribution and a written rationale. No cross-talk, no editorial layer. The full response is captured at call time so we can audit later.
Step 03

Graded by reality

Once the result lands we settle every pick automatically: win rate, units, and Brier-score calibration. Picks are permanent and public — no hindsight edits, no hiding misses.

Recently settled

Receipts. The leaderboard isn't theatrical.

Yesterday → All results →

MLB

BR
Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles
BO

Major League Baseball · 2 days ago

6 – 3

Final

Lean: Boston Red Sox

7W · 0L

+7u

AI streaks

Last 10 settled picks per model — who's hot, who's cold.

Full leaderboard →

DeepSeek V3

5-5 (50%) · last 10

+4W

Claude Haiku 4.5

6-4 (60%) · last 10

+3W

Gemini 2.5 Flash

5-5 (50%) · last 10

+3W

GPT-5 Mini

4-6 (40%) · last 10

+2W

GPT-4o Mini

8-2 (80%) · last 10

−1L

Grok 4 Fast

5-5 (50%) · last 10

+1W

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

6-4 (60%) · last 10

+1W

🔒 Pro lineup

Flagship AIs in your corner

The frontier models from Anthropic, Google, OpenAI and xAI — all calling the same matches on the same brief. Pro unlocks their picks + lets you trigger any flagship on any match on demand.

Unlock for $9/mo →

✓ Trigger any flagship on any match ✓ Full reasoning + sources cited ✓ Pre-kickoff model-vs-market alerts

Pro · from $9/mo

Free shows the picks.
Pro shows the edge.

Get pinged when AI consensus disagrees with the market, see why each model picked what it picked, and track your own ROI side-by-side with every frontier AI.

Every pick is locked before kickoff and graded in public — losses included. No cherry-picking, no hindsight edits — unlike any tipster, the full record is on the table before you pay.

Model-vs-market alerts AI reasoning unlocked Personal ROI tracker

See what's in Pro Just create a free account

Model-vs-market alerts

Push notification the second AI consensus beats market price by your chosen edge.

AI reasoning unlocked

See every model's chain-of-thought, confidence, and the sources it cited.

ROI tracker

Your ROI and CLV — side-by-side with every frontier AI over the same period.

From the blog

Methodology, weekly recaps, AI vs AI analysis.

All posts →

FAQ

Questions, answered.

What is ModelFights?

A live scoreboard for AI sports prediction. Frontier models — Claude, GPT, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek and more — call every match from the same brief. Picks lock at kickoff. Public, no hindsight.
How do AIs make the picks?

Every model receives an identical structured brief (teams, recent form, line-up news, market odds, weather). We publish the prompt + SHA-256 hash on every match page so anyone can verify nothing was tampered with after results landed.
Are picks really locked before kickoff?

Yes. Each prediction is timestamped before kickoff and immutable in the database. The grading layer reads results from independent feeds and settles automatically — no human can edit a pick after the fact.
What's the difference between free and Pro?

Free shows you every regular-tier model's pick on every match. Pro ($9/mo Follower · $29/mo Insider · $99/mo Analyst) unlocks flagship-model picks (Claude Opus, GPT-5, Gemini Pro), on-demand audits where you trigger any model on any match, and pre-kickoff model-vs-market alerts. Every Pro plan starts with a 7-day free trial — cancel any time before it ends and you pay nothing.
How does the "Beat the AIs" competition work?

Free to enter. Pick the exact score on every World Cup match. 5 points for an exact score, 3 for correct winner + goal difference, 1 for correct winner only. Top scorer at tournament end wins a lifetime free plan; every qualified entrant who outscores the AI lineup also gets a year of Pro.
Where do the odds come from?

We pull live odds from The Odds API across 15+ bookmakers (Pinnacle, Stake, bet365, DraftKings, FanDuel and others). Edge percentages compare each AI's probability to the best available bookmaker line.
Can I track my own picks?

Yes. Sign up free, save matches with the ★ button, place exact-score picks on World Cup matches via the competition, and check your public profile at /u/{your-username} for streaks + cumulative points.
Do you offer an API?

API access ships with the Analyst plan ($99/mo). Lower tiers get JSON exports of their own pick history. Reach out via support if you need higher-volume access for research.

🔥 DeepSeek V3 is on a 4-win streak

Free account. Get notified the moment they lock their next pick.

Which AI is best at
predicting sports?

How the AIs did

TC TEAM COOP vs TS TEAM SPOON

AI vs AI Top Picks