Which AI is best at
predicting sports?
Claude, GPT-5, Gemini, Grok and a dozen more call the same match from the same facts — then the final score grades every one, in public.
No tips, no cherry-picking — every win and loss in the open, so your next call is better informed.
- Picks graded
- 22,531
- Best AI right now
- GPT-5 Mini 51%
- Hindsight edits
- Zero
Free forever, no card. Not a sportsbook — we don't take bets or set odds, we just score the AIs against the final result.
🏆 Beat the AIs on the World Cup Pick exact scores · free entry · winners get a year of ProHow the AIs did
Yesterday's scorecard
Seattle Mariners
vs
Texas Rangers
· MLB
Your call before the AIs reveal theirs — who wins?
You picked . 🤝 AIs are with you. 🤖 But AIs took — bold call.
Save your call, follow how the AIs do, and play the prize game — free.
Lock my pick — sign up freeAI vs AI Top Picks
The top three matches the arena is calling right now.
Today's arena
Every AI's call on each match. Click for the full breakdown.
Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers
3/5 lean Seattle Mariners
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Seattle Mariners 58%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Seattle Mariners
60%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Texas Rangers
55%
-
Grok 4 Fast
Seattle Mariners
55%
-
DeepSeek V3
Texas Rangers
54%
Carlos Alcaraz vs Ben Shelton
BS5/5 lean Carlos Alcaraz
-
Grok 4 Fast
Carlos Alcaraz
78%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Carlos Alcaraz
75%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Carlos Alcaraz
75%
-
Claude Haiku 4.5 Carlos Alcaraz 72%
-
DeepSeek V3
Carlos Alcaraz
82%
Aurora Zantedeschi vs Lina Gjorcheska
LG4/5 lean Aurora Zantedeschi
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Aurora Zantedeschi
65%
-
DeepSeek V3
Aurora Zantedeschi
55%
-
Grok 4 Fast
Aurora Zantedeschi
53%
-
Claude Haiku 4.5 Aurora Zantedeschi 58%
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Gemini 2.5 Flash
Lina Gjorcheska
55%
Elizara Yaneva vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
ZK4/5 lean Elizara Yaneva
-
Grok 4 Fast
Elizara Yaneva
52%
-
Claude Haiku 4.5 Elizara Yaneva 62%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Elizara Yaneva
55%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Elizara Yaneva
60%
-
DeepSeek V3
Zhibek Kulambayeva
60%
Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Alevtina Ibragimova
AI5/5 lean Leyre Romero Gormaz
-
Grok 4 Fast
Leyre Romero Gormaz
72%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Leyre Romero Gormaz
65%
-
Claude Haiku 4.5 Leyre Romero Gormaz 62%
-
DeepSeek V3
Leyre Romero Gormaz
65%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Leyre Romero Gormaz
58%
Miriam Bulgaru vs Irene Burillo
IB5/5 lean Miriam Bulgaru
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Miriam Bulgaru
58%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Miriam Bulgaru
60%
-
DeepSeek V3
Miriam Bulgaru
65%
-
Claude Haiku 4.5 Miriam Bulgaru 62%
-
Grok 4 Fast
Miriam Bulgaru
62%
Clara Burel vs Tessa Johanna Brockmann
TJ5/5 lean Clara Burel
-
Grok 4 Fast
Clara Burel
82%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Clara Burel
85%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Clara Burel
65%
-
DeepSeek V3
Clara Burel
78%
-
Claude Haiku 4.5 Clara Burel 62%
Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia
AL3/5 lean Anastasiia Sobolieva
-
Grok 4 Fast
Anastasiia Sobolieva
58%
-
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anastasiia Sobolieva 62%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Sobolieva
65%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
58%
-
DeepSeek V3
Anastasiia Sobolieva
65%
Dalma Galfi vs Nuria Brancaccio
NB4/5 lean Dalma Galfi
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Dalma Galfi
60%
-
Grok 4 Fast
Dalma Galfi
58%
-
Claude Haiku 4.5 Dalma Galfi 62%
-
DeepSeek V3
Dalma Galfi
60%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Nuria Brancaccio
58%
Elena Rybakina vs Zheng Qinwen
ZQ5/5 lean Elena Rybakina
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Elena Rybakina
65%
-
Claude Haiku 4.5 Elena Rybakina 62%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Elena Rybakina
58%
-
DeepSeek V3
Elena Rybakina
60%
-
Grok 4 Fast
Elena Rybakina
62%
Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva
MA5/5 lean Coco Gauff
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Coco Gauff
70%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Coco Gauff
65%
-
Claude Haiku 4.5 Coco Gauff 72%
-
DeepSeek V3
Coco Gauff
55%
-
Grok 4 Fast
Coco Gauff
67%
Noma Noha Akugue vs Alina Granwehr
AG4/5 lean Noma Noha Akugue
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Noma Noha Akugue
75%
-
Claude Haiku 4.5 Alina Granwehr 58%
-
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Noma Noha Akugue
65%
-
Grok 4 Fast
Noma Noha Akugue
72%
-
DeepSeek V3
Noma Noha Akugue
62%
How it works
Same brief. Independent calls. Public scoreboard.
-
Step 01
Same brief, every model
For each match we render one prompt — teams, injuries, recent form, market line — and send it byte-for-byte to every AI in the arena. A prompt hash is stored on every prediction as the integrity proof.
-
Step 02
Independent picks
Each model returns its pick, confidence, probability distribution and a written rationale. No cross-talk, no editorial layer. The full response is captured at call time so we can audit later.
-
Step 03
Graded by reality
Once the result lands we settle every pick automatically: win rate, units, and Brier-score calibration. Picks are permanent and public — no hindsight edits, no hiding misses.
Recently settled
Receipts. The leaderboard isn't theatrical.
-
Football
New York City II vs New York RB II
MLS Next Pro · 11 minutes ago
4 – 2
Final
Lean: New York RB II
0u -
Football
Botafogo U17 vs Vasco U17
Brasileiro U17 · 11 minutes ago
4 – 2
Final
Lean: Botafogo U17
0u -
Football
Lille vs Real Betis
UEFA Champions League · 11 minutes ago
2 – 3
Final
Lean: Lille
0W · 4L
-4u -
Football
Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal
UEFA Champions League · 11 minutes ago
3 – 2
Final
Lean: Borussia Dortmund
4W · 0L
+4u -
Football
Toronto II vs Columbus Crew II
MLS Next Pro · 11 minutes ago
4 – 2
Final
Lean: Toronto II
1W · 0L
+1u -
Football
FC Porto vs Manchester City
UEFA Champions League · 11 minutes ago
0 – 2
Final
Lean: Manchester City
2W · 1L
+1u
AI streaks
Last 10 settled picks per model — who's hot, who's cold.
🔒 Pro lineup
Flagship AIs in your corner
The frontier models from Anthropic, Google, OpenAI and xAI — all calling the same matches on the same brief. Pro unlocks their picks + lets you trigger any flagship on any match on demand.
-
Claude Opus 4.7
ProFlagship reasoning
-
Gemini 2.5 Pro
ProDeepest context
-
GPT-5
ProFastest analysis
Pro · from $9/mo
Free shows the picks.
Pro shows the edge.
Get pinged when AI consensus disagrees with the market, see why each model picked what it picked, and track your own ROI side-by-side with every frontier AI.
Every pick is locked before kickoff and graded in public — losses included. No cherry-picking, no hindsight edits — unlike any tipster, the full record is on the table before you pay.
Model-vs-market alerts
Push notification the second AI consensus beats market price by your chosen edge.
AI reasoning unlocked
See every model's chain-of-thought, confidence, and the sources it cited.
ROI tracker
Your ROI and CLV — side-by-side with every frontier AI over the same period.
From the blog
Methodology, weekly recaps, AI vs AI analysis.
-
AI PredictionsWhy Sports Tipsters Profit When You Lose — and What Actually Works
Around 95% of sports bettors lose money. Many tipsters are bookmaker affiliates who earn 10–40% of your losses — so you lose twice. The math, the sources, and a fully transparent alternative.
Jun 23, 2026 7 min read -
AI PredictionsEcuador 0-0 Curaçao: The AI Panel Went 7-for-7 on Ecuador — And All Seven Were Wrong
Seven frontier AIs unanimously tipped Ecuador, several with 85%+ confidence. The match ended 0-0 — a clean sweep of misses and a textbook lesson in consensus overconfidence.
Jun 21, 2026 6 min read -
AI PredictionsSpain 4-0 Saudi Arabia: The AI Panel Went 15-for-15 on the Winner and Still Missed the Scoreline
Every model on the ModelFights panel backed Spain, and Spain duly delivered a 4-0 rout. But the unanimous winner call hid a clean sweep of misses on the exact scoreline.
Jun 21, 2026 5 min read
FAQ
Questions, answered.
-
What is ModelFights?
A live scoreboard for AI sports prediction. Frontier models — Claude, GPT, Gemini, Grok, DeepSeek and more — call every match from the same brief. Picks lock at kickoff. Public, no hindsight. -
How do AIs make the picks?
Every model receives an identical structured brief (teams, recent form, line-up news, market odds, weather). We publish the prompt + SHA-256 hash on every match page so anyone can verify nothing was tampered with after results landed. -
Are picks really locked before kickoff?
Yes. Each prediction is timestamped before kickoff and immutable in the database. The grading layer reads results from independent feeds and settles automatically — no human can edit a pick after the fact. -
What's the difference between free and Pro?
Free shows you every regular-tier model's pick on every match. Pro ($9/mo Follower · $29/mo Insider · $99/mo Analyst) unlocks flagship-model picks (Claude Opus, GPT-5, Gemini Pro), on-demand audits where you trigger any model on any match, and pre-kickoff model-vs-market alerts. Every Pro plan starts with a 7-day free trial — cancel any time before it ends and you pay nothing. -
How does the "Beat the AIs" competition work?
Free to enter. Pick the exact score on every World Cup match. 5 points for an exact score, 3 for correct winner + goal difference, 1 for correct winner only. Top scorer at tournament end wins a lifetime free plan; every qualified entrant who outscores the AI lineup also gets a year of Pro. -
Where do the odds come from?
We pull live odds from The Odds API across 15+ bookmakers (Pinnacle, Stake, bet365, DraftKings, FanDuel and others). Edge percentages compare each AI's probability to the best available bookmaker line. -
Can I track my own picks?
Yes. Sign up free, save matches with the ★ button, place exact-score picks on World Cup matches via the competition, and check your public profile at /u/{your-username} for streaks + cumulative points. -
Do you offer an API?
API access ships with the Analyst plan ($99/mo). Lower tiers get JSON exports of their own pick history. Reach out via support if you need higher-volume access for research.
🔥 Grok 4 Fast is on a 6-win streak
Free account. Get notified the moment they lock their next pick.