New York City IIvsNew York RB II
New York City II 4–2 New York RB II
3 of 4 AIs leaned New York RB II — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- New York RB II 3/4
- Final
- 4–2
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
New York RB II 3/4 models |
New York RB II 3/4 models |
New York RB II 3/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
New York RB II -0.25 2/4 models |
New York RB II / New York RB II 3/4 models |
1-2 2/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
48%
New York RB II
L
|
42%
New York RB II |
55%
New York RB II |
53%
over
W
|
58%
yes
W
|
51%
New York RB II |
29%
New York RB II / New York RB II |
14%
1-2 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
New York RB II NYRB II's form edge suggests they can cover a narrow handicap despite playing away. Home side's recent losses indicate vulnerability when fa...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
New York RB II NYRB II enter with superior recent form (4W-1L, +5 goal difference) while NYC II are inconsistent at 2W-3L. Away side also benefits from 10...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
New York RB II NYRB II's attacking output (14 goals in last 5) outweighs NYC II's leaky defense (11 conceded). Home side has struggled to hold leads in rec...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Both sides average over 4 goals per game combined in recent fixtures. NYC II concede frequently at home and NYRB II create high volume. Bels...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes NYC II have conceded in 4 of last 5 while NYRB II have scored in all 5. Defensive frailties on both sides point to both teams finding the ne...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
New York RB II NYRB II have the better attacking metrics and more rest, making them slight value on the handicap. NYC II's home record shows inconsistency...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
29%
New York RB II / New York RB II NYRB II's strong recent results and scoring rate suggest they can take an early lead and hold it. Home side has started slowly in several re...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
14%
1-2 NYRB II's attacking edge and NYC II defensive leaks point to a 1-2 away win as most probable. Both teams score regularly so low-scoring draw... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
65%
New York RB II |
55%
New York RB II |
70%
New York RB II |
60%
Over |
68%
Yes |
55%
New York RB II -0.5 |
30%
New York RB II / New York RB II |
12%
1-2 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
New York RB II Assuming 'spreads_-1' refers to the home team's handicap (Home -1), picking 'Away' means New York RB II to win, draw, or lose by exactly one...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
New York RB II Based on the provided team context, New York RB II is in significantly better recent form (4W-1L) compared to New York City II (2W-3L). RB I...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
New York RB II Consistent with the H2H prediction, New York RB II's superior form and rest days make them the stronger candidate. This pick means if the ma...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over Both teams have shown high-scoring trends in their last five matches: NYCFC II averages 2.2 goals scored and conceded, while NYRB II average...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
68%
Yes Given the high goal-scoring and conceding rates of both teams, 'Both Teams To Score - Yes' is a strong pick. NYCFC II scored in 4/5 and conc...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
New York RB II -0.5 With New York RB II being the favored team based on current form, an Asian Handicap of 'Away -0.5' implies they must win the match outright....
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
New York RB II / New York RB II Given New York RB II's strong form and offensive capabilities, it's plausible they will start strong and maintain their lead throughout the...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-2 Considering New York RB II's better scoring record and New York City II's tendency to concede, an away win with both teams scoring seems lik... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
38%
New York RB II |
38%
Draw |
42%
Draw |
58%
over |
55%
yes |
40%
New York RB II -0.25 |
25%
Draw / Draw |
20%
1-1 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
38%
New York RB II Considering the slightly better recent form of New York RB II (4 wins in last 5) compared to New York City II (2 wins in last 5), the away t...
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
38%
Draw Both teams have had inconsistent forms with similar win/loss records in their last 5 matches. Given they are both reserve sides in MLS Next...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
42%
Draw While the head-to-head suggests a draw, this market removes the draw as a possibility. The slight edge leans towards a draw being more proba...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over New York RB II has conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches, and New York City II has conceded 11. The higher number of goals conceded by bo...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams have shown a capacity to score (NYRB II scored 14 in 5, NYC II scored 11 in 5) and concede (NYRB II 9, NYC II 11). This indicates...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
40%
New York RB II -0.25 Given New York RB II's slightly better recent form and attacking potential, they are favored to edge out New York City II. The -0.25 handica...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Draw / Draw With both teams showing inconsistency, a cautious approach is warranted. A draw at halftime followed by another draw in the second half refl...
2 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-1 Given the recent form and the propensity for both teams to score and concede, a 1-1 draw is the most probable outcome. It balances the expec...
2 sources cited
|
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
30%
New York RB II -1 |
45%
New York RB II |
50%
New York RB II |
55%
over |
60%
yes |
48%
New York RB II -0.25 |
25%
New York RB II / New York RB II |
10%
2-1 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
30%
New York RB II -1 New York RB II's recent form is strong, but winning by more than one goal on the road is not a certainty. New York City II has the rest adva...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
New York RB II Based on training data through 2025-09, New York RB II has been in strong form with four wins in their last five, while New York City II has...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
50%
New York RB II With the draw removed, the away side's better form makes them the more likely winner. Both teams are capable of scoring, but New York RB II'...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown high-scoring games recently, with combined goals averaging 3.5 per match in their last five. New York City II has scor...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Both teams have scored in most of their recent matches; New York City II has scored in every game but also conceded, while New York RB II ha...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
New York RB II -0.25 The away side is slightly favored based on form, but the handicap is narrow due to the home team's rest and venue. A half-win/half-loss scen...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
New York RB II / New York RB II New York RB II has often taken leads early and held them, as seen in some of their recent wins. The away side's strong form suggests they co...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
10%
2-1 Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches, and a 2-1 result is a common scoreline given their offensive capabilities. The away t... |
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Spread
ConsensusNew York RB II 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
New York RB II
L
NYRB II's form edge suggests they can cover a narrow handicap despite playing away. Home side's recent losses indicate vulnerability when fa...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
New York RB II
Assuming 'spreads_-1' refers to the home team's handicap (Home -1), picking 'Away' means New York RB II to win, draw, or lose by exactly one...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
38%
New York RB II
Considering the slightly better recent form of New York RB II (4 wins in last 5) compared to New York City II (2 wins in last 5), the away t...
DeepSeek V3
30%
New York RB II -1
New York RB II's recent form is strong, but winning by more than one goal on the road is not a certainty. New York City II has the rest adva...
Match winner
ConsensusNew York RB II 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
42%
New York RB II
NYRB II enter with superior recent form (4W-1L, +5 goal difference) while NYC II are inconsistent at 2W-3L. Away side also benefits from 10...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
New York RB II
Based on the provided team context, New York RB II is in significantly better recent form (4W-1L) compared to New York City II (2W-3L). RB I...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
38%
Draw
Both teams have had inconsistent forms with similar win/loss records in their last 5 matches. Given they are both reserve sides in MLS Next...
DeepSeek V3
45%
New York RB II
Based on training data through 2025-09, New York RB II has been in strong form with four wins in their last five, while New York City II has...
Draw no bet
ConsensusNew York RB II 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
New York RB II
NYRB II's attacking output (14 goals in last 5) outweighs NYC II's leaky defense (11 conceded). Home side has struggled to hold leads in rec...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
New York RB II
Consistent with the H2H prediction, New York RB II's superior form and rest days make them the stronger candidate. This pick means if the ma...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
42%
Draw
While the head-to-head suggests a draw, this market removes the draw as a possibility. The slight edge leans towards a draw being more proba...
DeepSeek V3
50%
New York RB II
With the draw removed, the away side's better form makes them the more likely winner. Both teams are capable of scoring, but New York RB II'...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
W
Both sides average over 4 goals per game combined in recent fixtures. NYC II concede frequently at home and NYRB II create high volume. Bels...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Over
Both teams have shown high-scoring trends in their last five matches: NYCFC II averages 2.2 goals scored and conceded, while NYRB II average...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
over
New York RB II has conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches, and New York City II has conceded 11. The higher number of goals conceded by bo...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
Both teams have shown high-scoring games recently, with combined goals averaging 3.5 per match in their last five. New York City II has scor...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
yes
W
NYC II have conceded in 4 of last 5 while NYRB II have scored in all 5. Defensive frailties on both sides point to both teams finding the ne...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
Yes
Given the high goal-scoring and conceding rates of both teams, 'Both Teams To Score - Yes' is a strong pick. NYCFC II scored in 4/5 and conc...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
Both teams have shown a capacity to score (NYRB II scored 14 in 5, NYC II scored 11 in 5) and concede (NYRB II 9, NYC II 11). This indicates...
DeepSeek V3
60%
yes
Both teams have scored in most of their recent matches; New York City II has scored in every game but also conceded, while New York RB II ha...
Asian handicap
ConsensusNew York RB II -0.25 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
New York RB II
NYRB II have the better attacking metrics and more rest, making them slight value on the handicap. NYC II's home record shows inconsistency...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
New York RB II -0.5
With New York RB II being the favored team based on current form, an Asian Handicap of 'Away -0.5' implies they must win the match outright....
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
New York RB II -0.25
Given New York RB II's slightly better recent form and attacking potential, they are favored to edge out New York City II. The -0.25 handica...
DeepSeek V3
48%
New York RB II -0.25
The away side is slightly favored based on form, but the handicap is narrow due to the home team's rest and venue. A half-win/half-loss scen...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusNew York RB II / New York RB II 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
29%
New York RB II / New York RB II
NYRB II's strong recent results and scoring rate suggest they can take an early lead and hold it. Home side has started slowly in several re...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
30%
New York RB II / New York RB II
Given New York RB II's strong form and offensive capabilities, it's plausible they will start strong and maintain their lead throughout the...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
25%
Draw / Draw
With both teams showing inconsistency, a cautious approach is warranted. A draw at halftime followed by another draw in the second half refl...
DeepSeek V3
25%
New York RB II / New York RB II
New York RB II has often taken leads early and held them, as seen in some of their recent wins. The away side's strong form suggests they co...
Correct score
Consensus1-2 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
14%
1-2
NYRB II's attacking edge and NYC II defensive leaks point to a 1-2 away win as most probable. Both teams score regularly so low-scoring draw...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
12%
1-2
Considering New York RB II's better scoring record and New York City II's tendency to concede, an away win with both teams scoring seems lik...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
20%
1-1
Given the recent form and the propensity for both teams to score and concede, a 1-1 draw is the most probable outcome. It balances the expec...
DeepSeek V3
10%
2-1
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches, and a 2-1 result is a common scoreline given their offensive capabilities. The away t...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
New York RB II
DeepSeek V3
New York RB II
Grok 4 Fast
New York RB II
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Draw
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
b327ce627cdfff2e…
- Kickoff
- Tue, Sep 8 · 21:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 39434,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Belson Stadium",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-09-08T23:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Tue, 08 Sep 2026 23:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "New York RB II",
"home": "New York City II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWWWL",
"record": "4W-0D-1L",
"scored": 14,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 9
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LLWWL",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 11,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 11
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 10,
"home": 6
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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