FC PortovsManchester City
FC Porto 0–2 Manchester City
3 of 4 AIs leaned Manchester City — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Manchester City 3/4
- Correct calls
- 2/3
- Final
- 0–2
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
1-2 2/4 models |
Manchester City 3/4 models |
Manchester City 3/4 models |
over 2/4 models |
yes 2/4 models |
Manchester City 3/4 models |
Manchester City -0.5 1/4 models |
Draw / Manchester City 2/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
18%
1-2
L
|
52%
Manchester City
W
|
62%
Manchester City
W
|
53%
under
W
|
55%
no
W
|
51%
Manchester City
W
|
54%
Manchester City |
38%
Manchester City / Manchester City |
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 1-2 reflects City's narrow away win probability based on quality differential and Porto's low concession rate at home. Training data through...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Manchester City Manchester City remain the superior side overall despite Porto's perfect recent home record. Training data through 2025-09 shows City consis...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Manchester City City's quality edge and historical dominance in this fixture type outweigh Porto's current home streak. No draws in recent Porto home games...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Porto's elite defensive record at home (1 goal conceded in 5) combined with City's occasional low-scoring away European games points to unde...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Porto's clean-sheet rate at home makes BTTS unlikely even against City's attack. Given form data shows Porto limiting goals conceded heavily...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Manchester City City expected to win by more than one goal on average given squad quality gap. Porto's home form is strong but unlikely to hold against top-...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
54%
Manchester City Asian handicap on City accounts for their edge while giving draw safety. Porto's home results are good but against weaker opposition histori...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Manchester City / Manchester City City likely to control the match from the start given squad depth and experience. Porto may struggle to score first against organized City d... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
15%
0-1 |
48%
Manchester City |
65%
Manchester City |
55%
Under 2.5 Goals |
52%
No |
55%
Manchester City |
48%
Manchester City -0.5 |
28%
Draw / Manchester City |
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
0-1 Considering FC Porto's impressive defensive form and the likelihood of a cautious approach against a superior Manchester City, a low-scoring...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Manchester City Manchester City typically possesses superior squad depth and quality in the Champions League. While FC Porto's provided home form is perfect...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Manchester City Manchester City is the stronger side overall and is expected to avoid defeat against FC Porto. In a draw no bet scenario, their superior qua...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 Goals FC Porto's recent defensive form is exceptional, conceding only 1 goal in their last 5 matches. While Manchester City possesses a strong att...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
No Given FC Porto's impressive defensive record of only one goal conceded in their last five games, they are well-equipped to keep this a low-s...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Manchester City For FC Porto -1 to win, they would need to secure victory by at least two goals, which is a significant challenge against Manchester City's...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
Manchester City -0.5 Manchester City is considered the superior team and is expected to secure a victory, even against a defensively strong FC Porto side at home...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Manchester City FC Porto's robust defense suggests a tight first half, potentially resulting in a stalemate at halftime. However, Manchester City's sustaine... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
12%
1-2
L
|
55%
Manchester City
W
|
58%
Manchester City
W
|
60%
over
L
|
55%
yes
L
|
52%
Manchester City
W
|
56%
away_ -0.25 |
35%
Draw / Manchester City |
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-2 Considering Manchester City's strong attack and Porto's solid home defense, a narrow away win seems likely. A 1-2 scoreline reflects City's...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Manchester City Manchester City are a stronger side overall, with a more potent attack and better recent form against top opposition in European competition...
3 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Manchester City Given Manchester City's superior quality and offensive threat, they are the more likely winners. Even with Porto's strong home support, City...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have strong attacking records, and Manchester City in particular are known for scoring multiple goals. While Porto's defense is s...
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Manchester City possess a potent attack and are likely to score, while FC Porto have a strong home scoring record. This suggests both teams...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Manchester City Manchester City are favoured to win by more than one goal due to their superior attacking strength and overall squad quality. While Porto ar...
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
56%
away_ -0.25 Manchester City are slightly favored to win this match, and a -0.25 handicap reflects their edge without fully committing to a larger margin...
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Draw / Manchester City Manchester City are expected to be the stronger side, but FC Porto are known to be resilient at home and might hold them off for a period. A...
3 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
12%
1-0
L
|
42%
FC Porto
L
|
55%
FC Porto
L
|
52%
over
L
|
55%
yes
L
|
30%
FC Porto
L
|
58%
away_ +0.5 |
18%
draw_home |
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-0 Porto's solid defense and home advantage make a narrow 1-0 win plausible, but a draw or a single-goal City victory are also likely. Given th...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
FC Porto Porto have won their last five matches with a stingy defense, conceding only once, while Manchester City have been inconsistent despite a go...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
FC Porto Removing the draw, Porto's defensive solidity and home advantage give them a slight edge over City's travel and rotation risk. Their current...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Both teams have shown goalscoring ability, with Porto scoring 11 and City 10 in their last five. Although Porto's defense is strong, City's...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes City have scored in almost every match, and Porto possess attacking threats too. However, Porto's defense might limit City to a single goal...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
30%
FC Porto Porto are in form but a -1 spread requires them to win by two clear goals, which is tough against a team like City. City's ability to avoid...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
away_ +0.5 On a level handicap, City's squad depth and experience in Europe make them resilient; they are unlikely to lose outright. Taking away +0.5 o...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
18%
draw_home Matches of this caliber often see cautious first halves and Porto's defensive discipline suggests they may keep it level at the break before... |
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Correct score
Consensus1-2 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-2
L
1-2 reflects City's narrow away win probability based on quality differential and Porto's low concession rate at home. Training data through...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
0-1
Considering FC Porto's impressive defensive form and the likelihood of a cautious approach against a superior Manchester City, a low-scoring...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
12%
1-2
L
Considering Manchester City's strong attack and Porto's solid home defense, a narrow away win seems likely. A 1-2 scoreline reflects City's...
DeepSeek V3
12%
1-0
L
Porto's solid defense and home advantage make a narrow 1-0 win plausible, but a draw or a single-goal City victory are also likely. Given th...
Match winner
ConsensusManchester City 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Manchester City
W
Manchester City remain the superior side overall despite Porto's perfect recent home record. Training data through 2025-09 shows City consis...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
48%
Manchester City
Manchester City typically possesses superior squad depth and quality in the Champions League. While FC Porto's provided home form is perfect...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Manchester City
W
Manchester City are a stronger side overall, with a more potent attack and better recent form against top opposition in European competition...
DeepSeek V3
42%
FC Porto
L
Porto have won their last five matches with a stingy defense, conceding only once, while Manchester City have been inconsistent despite a go...
Draw no bet
ConsensusManchester City 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Manchester City
W
City's quality edge and historical dominance in this fixture type outweigh Porto's current home streak. No draws in recent Porto home games...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Manchester City
Manchester City is the stronger side overall and is expected to avoid defeat against FC Porto. In a draw no bet scenario, their superior qua...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Manchester City
W
Given Manchester City's superior quality and offensive threat, they are the more likely winners. Even with Porto's strong home support, City...
DeepSeek V3
55%
FC Porto
L
Removing the draw, Porto's defensive solidity and home advantage give them a slight edge over City's travel and rotation risk. Their current...
Over / Under
Consensusover 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
W
Porto's elite defensive record at home (1 goal conceded in 5) combined with City's occasional low-scoring away European games points to unde...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
FC Porto's recent defensive form is exceptional, conceding only 1 goal in their last 5 matches. While Manchester City possesses a strong att...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
L
Both teams have strong attacking records, and Manchester City in particular are known for scoring multiple goals. While Porto's defense is s...
DeepSeek V3
52%
over
L
Both teams have shown goalscoring ability, with Porto scoring 11 and City 10 in their last five. Although Porto's defense is strong, City's...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
no
W
Porto's clean-sheet rate at home makes BTTS unlikely even against City's attack. Given form data shows Porto limiting goals conceded heavily...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
No
Given FC Porto's impressive defensive record of only one goal conceded in their last five games, they are well-equipped to keep this a low-s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
L
Manchester City possess a potent attack and are likely to score, while FC Porto have a strong home scoring record. This suggests both teams...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
L
City have scored in almost every match, and Porto possess attacking threats too. However, Porto's defense might limit City to a single goal...
Spread
ConsensusManchester City 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Manchester City
W
City expected to win by more than one goal on average given squad quality gap. Porto's home form is strong but unlikely to hold against top-...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Manchester City
For FC Porto -1 to win, they would need to secure victory by at least two goals, which is a significant challenge against Manchester City's...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Manchester City
W
Manchester City are favoured to win by more than one goal due to their superior attacking strength and overall squad quality. While Porto ar...
DeepSeek V3
30%
FC Porto
L
Porto are in form but a -1 spread requires them to win by two clear goals, which is tough against a team like City. City's ability to avoid...
Asian handicap
ConsensusManchester City -0.5 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
54%
Manchester City
Asian handicap on City accounts for their edge while giving draw safety. Porto's home results are good but against weaker opposition histori...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
48%
Manchester City -0.5
Manchester City is considered the superior team and is expected to secure a victory, even against a defensively strong FC Porto side at home...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
56%
away_ -0.25
Manchester City are slightly favored to win this match, and a -0.25 handicap reflects their edge without fully committing to a larger margin...
DeepSeek V3
58%
away_ +0.5
On a level handicap, City's squad depth and experience in Europe make them resilient; they are unlikely to lose outright. Taking away +0.5 o...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Manchester City 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Manchester City / Manchester City
City likely to control the match from the start given squad depth and experience. Porto may struggle to score first against organized City d...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
28%
Draw / Manchester City
FC Porto's robust defense suggests a tight first half, potentially resulting in a stalemate at halftime. However, Manchester City's sustaine...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
35%
Draw / Manchester City
Manchester City are expected to be the stronger side, but FC Porto are known to be resilient at home and might hold them off for a period. A...
DeepSeek V3
18%
draw_home
Matches of this caliber often see cautious first halves and Porto's defensive discipline suggests they may keep it level at the break before...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Manchester City
Grok 4 Fast
Manchester City
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Manchester City
DeepSeek V3
FC Porto
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
b24164329aba9dbd…
- Kickoff
- Tue, Sep 8 · 19:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 39417,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "UEFA Champions League",
"starts_at": "2026-09-08T19:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Tue, 08 Sep 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Manchester City",
"home": "FC Porto"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWWLW",
"record": "4W-0D-1L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWWWW",
"record": "5W-0D-0L",
"scored": 11,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 1
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 3,
"home": 3
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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