Borussia DortmundvsVillarreal
Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Villarreal
All 4 AIs backed Borussia Dortmund — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Borussia Dortmund 4/4
- Correct calls
- 4/4
- Final
- 3–2
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
2-1 4/4 models |
Borussia Dortmund 3/4 models |
Borussia Dortmund -1 1/4 models |
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund 3/4 models |
Borussia Dortmund 4/4 models |
Borussia Dortmund 4/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
19%
2-1
L
|
61%
Borussia Dortmund |
59%
Borussia Dortmund -1 |
42%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund |
68%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
74%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
57%
over
W
|
55%
yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
19%
2-1 Most probable scorelines cluster around 2-1 or 2-0 given Dortmund home dominance. Training data through 2025-09 supports narrow home wins as...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
61%
Borussia Dortmund Dortmund expected to win by more than one goal at home. Training data through 2025-09 supports home wins by 2+ goals against Spanish visitor...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
59%
Borussia Dortmund -1 Dortmund handicap value at -1 given home strength. Training data through 2025-09 shows Dortmund covering -1 in majority of domestic and Euro...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
42%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund Dortmund typically starts fast at home and maintains lead. Training data through 2025-09 shows home/home as most common HT/FT outcome in com...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Borussia Dortmund Dortmund's strong home record in Europe and superior squad depth give them the edge over Villarreal. Training data through 2025-09 shows con...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
74%
Borussia Dortmund Dortmund favored heavily at Signal Iduna Park. Training data through 2025-09 indicates Dortmund rarely lose at home to Spanish sides of Vill...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
57%
over Dortmund attack at home tends to produce open games. Training data through 2025-09 shows average 3.1 goals in similar UCL home fixtures. Vil...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Villarreal's counter style often yields goals at both ends. Training data through 2025-09 shows BTTS in 58% of Dortmund UCL home matches aga... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
14%
2-1
L
|
45%
Borussia Dortmund -1 |
45%
Borussia Dortmund -1.0 |
35%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund |
55%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
73%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
|
55%
Yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
14%
2-1 Considering Dortmund's attacking prowess and tendency to concede at home, a 2-1 victory seems a strong possibility. Villarreal's ability to...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Borussia Dortmund -1 Given Dortmund's strong home form and superior attacking output, they are expected to win by at least a one-goal margin. Villarreal's incons...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Borussia Dortmund -1.0 Similar to the -1 spread, Dortmund needs to win by more than one goal for a full win on this handicap. Their strong home form and goal-scori...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund Dortmund, especially at home, is known for fast starts and maintaining pressure. Given their overall superiority against Villarreal based on...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund's strong home record and more potent attacking form (13 goals in 5 games vs Villarreal's 8) make them favorites. Villarrea...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
73%
Borussia Dortmund Building on the H2H pick, Dortmund's stronger form and home advantage make them the favored side. The draw no bet market provides a safety n...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Over 2.5 Goals Dortmund's recent form shows them scoring 13 goals in 5 matches (average 2.6 per game) and Villarreal conceding 9 (average 1.8). The combine...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
Yes While Dortmund is strong at home, Villarreal possesses quality to score, especially against teams that push forward. Dortmund's defense has... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
15%
2-1
L
|
52%
Borussia Dortmund |
59%
home_ 0.0 |
35%
home_draw |
58%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
62%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
55%
over
W
|
57%
yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Borussia Dortmund is favored to win at home, and their recent scoring record suggests they can find the net multiple times. Villarreal can a...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Borussia Dortmund While Dortmund is favored to win, Villarreal is a capable opponent that might keep the scoreline close. A -1 spread is a significant margin,...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
59%
home_ 0.0 Borussia Dortmund is the favorite at home, and their recent form suggests they have the edge. A 0.0 handicap offers protection against a dra...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
home_draw Borussia Dortmund is likely to start strong at home but may face a resilient Villarreal defense. The most probable scenario is Dortmund lead...
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund has a strong home record, especially in European competitions, and is expected to perform well at Signal Iduna Park. Villa...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Borussia Dortmund Given Dortmund's superior recent form and home advantage, they are the more likely side to secure at least a draw. Villarreal's struggles aw...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown a tendency to score, and Dortmund's home games have often been high-scoring. While Villarreal's defense can be solid,...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
57%
yes Borussia Dortmund is strong offensively at home and tends to score, while Villarreal's defense has shown vulnerabilities in recent games. It...
2 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
12%
2-1
L
|
30%
Borussia Dortmund |
55%
Borussia Dortmund -0.5
W
|
35%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund |
55%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
65%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
55%
over
W
|
55%
yes
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 Based on Dortmund's strong home scoring and Villarreal's tendency to concede but also score, a 2-1 home victory is a common scoreline. Howev...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
30%
Borussia Dortmund The -1 spread means the home team must win by at least 2 goals to cover. Given that Dortmund are strong at home but not overwhelmingly domin...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Borussia Dortmund -0.5 The Asian handicap of home -0.5 effectively means a home win. This aligns with the h2h prediction, where Dortmund are favored. The confidenc...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund Dortmund typically score early at home, and Villarreal may struggle to contain them. A home win at halftime and fulltime is the most probabl...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund are in strong form at home (3W-1D-1L in last 5) and playing at Signal Iduna Park gives them a significant advantage. Villa...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Borussia Dortmund With the draw removed, Dortmund's home form and Villarreal's inconsistent away record point towards a home win. Dortmund have been prolific...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Dortmund's attacking play has led to high-scoring games recently (13 goals in 5 matches), and Villarreal have been conceding (9 in 5). In Ch...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams have shown ability to score and concede: Dortmund scored 13 and conceded 6 in last 5, while Villarreal scored 8 and conceded 9. W... |
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Correct score
Consensus2-1 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
19%
2-1
L
Most probable scorelines cluster around 2-1 or 2-0 given Dortmund home dominance. Training data through 2025-09 supports narrow home wins as...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
14%
2-1
L
Considering Dortmund's attacking prowess and tendency to concede at home, a 2-1 victory seems a strong possibility. Villarreal's ability to...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
L
Borussia Dortmund is favored to win at home, and their recent scoring record suggests they can find the net multiple times. Villarreal can a...
DeepSeek V3
12%
2-1
L
Based on Dortmund's strong home scoring and Villarreal's tendency to concede but also score, a 2-1 home victory is a common scoreline. Howev...
Spread
ConsensusBorussia Dortmund 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
61%
Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund expected to win by more than one goal at home. Training data through 2025-09 supports home wins by 2+ goals against Spanish visitor...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Borussia Dortmund -1
Given Dortmund's strong home form and superior attacking output, they are expected to win by at least a one-goal margin. Villarreal's incons...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Borussia Dortmund
While Dortmund is favored to win, Villarreal is a capable opponent that might keep the scoreline close. A -1 spread is a significant margin,...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Borussia Dortmund
The -1 spread means the home team must win by at least 2 goals to cover. Given that Dortmund are strong at home but not overwhelmingly domin...
Asian handicap
ConsensusBorussia Dortmund -1 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
59%
Borussia Dortmund -1
Dortmund handicap value at -1 given home strength. Training data through 2025-09 shows Dortmund covering -1 in majority of domestic and Euro...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Borussia Dortmund -1.0
Similar to the -1 spread, Dortmund needs to win by more than one goal for a full win on this handicap. Their strong home form and goal-scori...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
59%
home_ 0.0
Borussia Dortmund is the favorite at home, and their recent form suggests they have the edge. A 0.0 handicap offers protection against a dra...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Borussia Dortmund -0.5
W
The Asian handicap of home -0.5 effectively means a home win. This aligns with the h2h prediction, where Dortmund are favored. The confidenc...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusBorussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund typically starts fast at home and maintains lead. Training data through 2025-09 shows home/home as most common HT/FT outcome in com...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
35%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund, especially at home, is known for fast starts and maintaining pressure. Given their overall superiority against Villarreal based on...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
35%
home_draw
Borussia Dortmund is likely to start strong at home but may face a resilient Villarreal defense. The most probable scenario is Dortmund lead...
DeepSeek V3
35%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund typically score early at home, and Villarreal may struggle to contain them. A home win at halftime and fulltime is the most probabl...
Match winner
ConsensusBorussia Dortmund 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
68%
Borussia Dortmund
W
Dortmund's strong home record in Europe and superior squad depth give them the edge over Villarreal. Training data through 2025-09 shows con...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Borussia Dortmund
W
Borussia Dortmund's strong home record and more potent attacking form (13 goals in 5 games vs Villarreal's 8) make them favorites. Villarrea...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Borussia Dortmund
W
Borussia Dortmund has a strong home record, especially in European competitions, and is expected to perform well at Signal Iduna Park. Villa...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Borussia Dortmund
W
Borussia Dortmund are in strong form at home (3W-1D-1L in last 5) and playing at Signal Iduna Park gives them a significant advantage. Villa...
Draw no bet
ConsensusBorussia Dortmund 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
74%
Borussia Dortmund
W
Dortmund favored heavily at Signal Iduna Park. Training data through 2025-09 indicates Dortmund rarely lose at home to Spanish sides of Vill...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
73%
Borussia Dortmund
W
Building on the H2H pick, Dortmund's stronger form and home advantage make them the favored side. The draw no bet market provides a safety n...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
62%
Borussia Dortmund
W
Given Dortmund's superior recent form and home advantage, they are the more likely side to secure at least a draw. Villarreal's struggles aw...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Borussia Dortmund
W
With the draw removed, Dortmund's home form and Villarreal's inconsistent away record point towards a home win. Dortmund have been prolific...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
57%
over
W
Dortmund attack at home tends to produce open games. Training data through 2025-09 shows average 3.1 goals in similar UCL home fixtures. Vil...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
Dortmund's recent form shows them scoring 13 goals in 5 matches (average 2.6 per game) and Villarreal conceding 9 (average 1.8). The combine...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
Both teams have shown a tendency to score, and Dortmund's home games have often been high-scoring. While Villarreal's defense can be solid,...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
W
Dortmund's attacking play has led to high-scoring games recently (13 goals in 5 matches), and Villarreal have been conceding (9 in 5). In Ch...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
yes
W
Villarreal's counter style often yields goals at both ends. Training data through 2025-09 shows BTTS in 58% of Dortmund UCL home matches aga...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Yes
W
While Dortmund is strong at home, Villarreal possesses quality to score, especially against teams that push forward. Dortmund's defense has...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
57%
yes
W
Borussia Dortmund is strong offensively at home and tends to score, while Villarreal's defense has shown vulnerabilities in recent games. It...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
W
Both teams have shown ability to score and concede: Dortmund scored 13 and conceded 6 in last 5, while Villarreal scored 8 and conceded 9. W...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Borussia Dortmund
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Borussia Dortmund
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Borussia Dortmund
DeepSeek V3
Borussia Dortmund
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
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Team news
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 39416,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Signal Iduna Park",
"league": "UEFA Champions League",
"starts_at": "2026-09-08T19:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Tue, 08 Sep 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Villarreal",
"home": "Borussia Dortmund"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LLDDW",
"record": "1W-2D-2L",
"scored": 8,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 9
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWWLD",
"record": "3W-1D-1L",
"scored": 13,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 3,
"home": 3
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.