Vasco da Gama U20vsPalmeiras U20
Vasco da Gama U20 0–1 Palmeiras U20
All 4 AIs backed Palmeiras U20 — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Palmeiras U20 4/4
- Correct calls
- 4/4
- Final
- 0–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
no 2/4 models |
0-2 2/4 models |
under 2/4 models |
Palmeiras U20 3/4 models |
Palmeiras U20 -1.0 2/4 models |
Palmeiras U20 / Palmeiras U20 4/4 models |
Palmeiras U20 4/4 models |
Palmeiras U20 4/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
58%
no
W
|
18%
1-2
L
|
53%
under
W
|
51%
Palmeiras U 20 |
55%
Palmeiras U20 -0.5
W
|
42%
Palmeiras U20 / Palmeiras U20 |
62%
Palmeiras U20
W
|
55%
Palmeiras U20
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
no Palmeiras' five consecutive clean sheets strongly indicate both teams will not score. Vasco have scored in three of five but face the league...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 Palmeiras' scoring volume and defensive record align with a 1-2 or 0-2 result. Vasco average under 1.5 goals per game at home recently, limi...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Palmeiras have conceded zero goals in five matches while Vasco average only 1.4 goals scored. The combination of a watertight away defense a...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Palmeiras U 20 Palmeiras' scoring rate of 2.4 goals per game supports covering a -1 spread on the road. Vasco have leaked five goals in five matches and ca...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Palmeiras U20 -0.5 Palmeiras' flawless recent record and zero goals conceded justify laying the half-goal handicap. Vasco's mixed results at home do not offset...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
42%
Palmeiras U20 / Palmeiras U20 Palmeiras' consistent winning form makes an away half-time and full-time double the most probable outcome. Vasco's tendency to drop points i...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Palmeiras U20 Palmeiras have not lost in five and kept five clean sheets, making them the stronger side on current form. Vasco's two defeats in five match...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Palmeiras U20 Palmeiras U20 arrive with a perfect 5W-0D-0L record and 12-0 goal difference while Vasco U20 show inconsistency with two losses in their las... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
65%
No
W
|
20%
2-0
L
|
55%
Under 2.5
W
|
60%
Palmeiras U20 -1 |
60%
Palmeiras U20 -1.0 |
55%
Palmeiras U20 / Palmeiras U20 |
85%
Palmeiras U20
W
|
68%
Palmeiras U20
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
No Palmeiras U20's remarkable defensive record of five consecutive clean sheets makes it highly probable that they will keep another clean shee...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
2-0 Palmeiras U20's exceptional defensive record of five clean sheets, combined with their consistent scoring ability (averaging 2.4 goals per g...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 While Palmeiras U20 possesses a strong attack, their outstanding defensive record of zero goals conceded in five matches suggests they are v...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Palmeiras U20 -1 Palmeiras U20 has demonstrated exceptional form, winning all five of their recent matches with a combined goal difference of +12. This indic...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Palmeiras U20 -1.0 Palmeiras U20's dominant form, marked by five wins and a significant goal difference, suggests they are capable of securing a victory by at...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Palmeiras U20 / Palmeiras U20 Palmeiras U20's consistent winning form and strong offensive and defensive records suggest they will establish an early lead and maintain it...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
85%
Palmeiras U20 Given Palmeiras U20's superior form and perfect defensive record in their last five matches, they are highly favored to win. This market eli...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Palmeiras U20 Palmeiras U20 exhibits exceptional recent form, having won all five of their last matches without conceding a single goal. Vasco da Gama U20... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
60%
no
W
|
15%
0-2
L
|
55%
under
W
|
50%
Palmeiras U 20 |
55%
away_ -0.25 |
45%
Palmeiras U20 / Palmeiras U20 |
60%
Palmeiras U20
W
|
55%
Palmeiras U20
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
no Palmeiras U20 has kept clean sheets in all of their last five matches. This defensive strength makes it unlikely that Vasco da Gama U20 will...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
0-2 Considering Palmeiras U20's perfect defensive record in their last five games and their offensive capabilities, a 0-2 victory seems a plausi...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Palmeiras U20's defense has been exceptionally strong, conceding no goals in their last five games. While Vasco da Gama has scored 7 in thei...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Palmeiras U 20 Palmeiras U20's form suggests they are the stronger team and capable of winning by more than one goal, but Vasco da Gama's home advantage an...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
away_ -0.25 Palmeiras U20's superior form and defensive record make them the favored side. A -0.25 handicap reflects their slight edge while accounting...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Palmeiras U20 / Palmeiras U20 Palmeiras U20's strong form and ability to maintain pressure suggest they are likely to lead at halftime and maintain that advantage to win...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Palmeiras U20 Given Palmeiras U20's dominant recent form and perfect defensive record, they are highly likely to at least avoid defeat. Their offensive pr...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Palmeiras U20 Palmeiras U20 has a perfect recent record, winning their last five matches without conceding a single goal. Vasco da Gama U20, while decent,... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
yes
L
|
20%
0-2
L
|
55%
over
L
|
40%
Palmeiras U 20 |
45%
Palmeiras U20 -1.0 |
40%
Palmeiras U20 / Palmeiras U20 |
68%
Palmeiras U20
W
|
55%
Palmeiras U20
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Home side has scored in 4 of last 5, but also conceded in 3. Away side scores regularly and has kept clean sheets recently, but home attack...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
0-2 Away side has kept clean sheets, so multiple goals are likely. 0-2 and 1-2 are plausible. Home may score but away's defense is strong. Most...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Away side scores freely, averaging 2.4 goals per game in last 5. Home side also scores and concedes, with 7 scored and 5 conceded in last 5....
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
Palmeiras U 20 Away side's form suggests they could win by more than one goal, but bookmaker will adjust. Home side at home may be competitive. Slight lean...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Palmeiras U20 -1.0 Away side's dominance suggests they should win by multiple goals, but home advantage could keep it close. Slight risk on -1.0, value on away...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Palmeiras U20 / Palmeiras U20 Away side likely to lead at half-time given their attacking form. They should maintain lead to full-time. Home may push for equalizer but li...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
68%
Palmeiras U20 Removing the draw, away side's superior form and defensive solidity make them clear favorites. Home side's inconsistency further tilts this....
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Palmeiras U20 Away side in outstanding form, winning all last five with a perfect defensive record. Home side inconsistent, having lost two of last five.... |
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Both teams to score
Consensusno 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
no
W
Palmeiras' five consecutive clean sheets strongly indicate both teams will not score. Vasco have scored in three of five but face the league...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
No
W
Palmeiras U20's remarkable defensive record of five consecutive clean sheets makes it highly probable that they will keep another clean shee...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
no
W
Palmeiras U20 has kept clean sheets in all of their last five matches. This defensive strength makes it unlikely that Vasco da Gama U20 will...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
L
Home side has scored in 4 of last 5, but also conceded in 3. Away side scores regularly and has kept clean sheets recently, but home attack...
Correct score
Consensus0-2 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-2
L
Palmeiras' scoring volume and defensive record align with a 1-2 or 0-2 result. Vasco average under 1.5 goals per game at home recently, limi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
2-0
L
Palmeiras U20's exceptional defensive record of five clean sheets, combined with their consistent scoring ability (averaging 2.4 goals per g...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
0-2
L
Considering Palmeiras U20's perfect defensive record in their last five games and their offensive capabilities, a 0-2 victory seems a plausi...
DeepSeek V3
20%
0-2
L
Away side has kept clean sheets, so multiple goals are likely. 0-2 and 1-2 are plausible. Home may score but away's defense is strong. Most...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
W
Palmeiras have conceded zero goals in five matches while Vasco average only 1.4 goals scored. The combination of a watertight away defense a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Under 2.5
W
While Palmeiras U20 possesses a strong attack, their outstanding defensive record of zero goals conceded in five matches suggests they are v...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
under
W
Palmeiras U20's defense has been exceptionally strong, conceding no goals in their last five games. While Vasco da Gama has scored 7 in thei...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
L
Away side scores freely, averaging 2.4 goals per game in last 5. Home side also scores and concedes, with 7 scored and 5 conceded in last 5....
Spread
ConsensusPalmeiras U20 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Palmeiras U 20
Palmeiras' scoring rate of 2.4 goals per game supports covering a -1 spread on the road. Vasco have leaked five goals in five matches and ca...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Palmeiras U20 -1
Palmeiras U20 has demonstrated exceptional form, winning all five of their recent matches with a combined goal difference of +12. This indic...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Palmeiras U 20
Palmeiras U20's form suggests they are the stronger team and capable of winning by more than one goal, but Vasco da Gama's home advantage an...
DeepSeek V3
40%
Palmeiras U 20
Away side's form suggests they could win by more than one goal, but bookmaker will adjust. Home side at home may be competitive. Slight lean...
Asian handicap
ConsensusPalmeiras U20 -1.0 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Palmeiras U20 -0.5
W
Palmeiras' flawless recent record and zero goals conceded justify laying the half-goal handicap. Vasco's mixed results at home do not offset...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Palmeiras U20 -1.0
Palmeiras U20's dominant form, marked by five wins and a significant goal difference, suggests they are capable of securing a victory by at...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
away_ -0.25
Palmeiras U20's superior form and defensive record make them the favored side. A -0.25 handicap reflects their slight edge while accounting...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Palmeiras U20 -1.0
Away side's dominance suggests they should win by multiple goals, but home advantage could keep it close. Slight risk on -1.0, value on away...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusPalmeiras U20 / Palmeiras U20 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Palmeiras U20 / Palmeiras U20
Palmeiras' consistent winning form makes an away half-time and full-time double the most probable outcome. Vasco's tendency to drop points i...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Palmeiras U20 / Palmeiras U20
Palmeiras U20's consistent winning form and strong offensive and defensive records suggest they will establish an early lead and maintain it...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Palmeiras U20 / Palmeiras U20
Palmeiras U20's strong form and ability to maintain pressure suggest they are likely to lead at halftime and maintain that advantage to win...
DeepSeek V3
40%
Palmeiras U20 / Palmeiras U20
Away side likely to lead at half-time given their attacking form. They should maintain lead to full-time. Home may push for equalizer but li...
Draw no bet
ConsensusPalmeiras U20 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Palmeiras U20
W
Palmeiras have not lost in five and kept five clean sheets, making them the stronger side on current form. Vasco's two defeats in five match...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
85%
Palmeiras U20
W
Given Palmeiras U20's superior form and perfect defensive record in their last five matches, they are highly favored to win. This market eli...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Palmeiras U20
W
Given Palmeiras U20's dominant recent form and perfect defensive record, they are highly likely to at least avoid defeat. Their offensive pr...
DeepSeek V3
68%
Palmeiras U20
W
Removing the draw, away side's superior form and defensive solidity make them clear favorites. Home side's inconsistency further tilts this....
Match winner
ConsensusPalmeiras U20 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Palmeiras U20
W
Palmeiras U20 arrive with a perfect 5W-0D-0L record and 12-0 goal difference while Vasco U20 show inconsistency with two losses in their las...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
Palmeiras U20
W
Palmeiras U20 exhibits exceptional recent form, having won all five of their last matches without conceding a single goal. Vasco da Gama U20...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Palmeiras U20
W
Palmeiras U20 has a perfect recent record, winning their last five matches without conceding a single goal. Vasco da Gama U20, while decent,...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Palmeiras U20
W
Away side in outstanding form, winning all last five with a perfect defensive record. Home side inconsistent, having lost two of last five....
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Palmeiras U20
Grok 4 Fast
Palmeiras U20
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Palmeiras U20
DeepSeek V3
Palmeiras U20
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
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- Kickoff
- Fri, Aug 28 · 21:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 32234,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Brasileiro U20 A",
"starts_at": "2026-08-28T21:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Fri, 28 Aug 2026 21:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Palmeiras U20",
"home": "Vasco da Gama U20"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWWWW",
"record": "5W-0D-0L",
"scored": 12,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 0
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LWWWL",
"record": "3W-0D-2L",
"scored": 7,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 5
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 7,
"home": 7
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
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