Real MadridvsInter
Real Madrid 2–1 Inter
All 4 AIs backed Real Madrid — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Real Madrid 4/4
- Correct calls
- 4/4
- Final
- 2–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Inter 2/4 models |
Inter +0.75 1/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
Real Madrid 4/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
Real Madrid / Real Madrid 2/4 models |
2-1 3/4 models |
Real Madrid 4/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
52%
Real Madrid |
54%
Real Madrid |
53%
over |
68%
Real Madrid |
51%
yes |
38%
Real Madrid / Real Madrid |
18%
2-1 |
55%
Real Madrid
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Real Madrid Real Madrid's home margin in European ties averages over one goal in training data through 2024. Inter struggles to cover large deficits awa...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
54%
Real Madrid Asian lines historically favor Real Madrid at the Bernabeu against Serie A opponents per data to 2024. Inter's recent away European results...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Both sides typically produce open games in UCL per training data to 2024. Real Madrid's attacking style at home often exceeds 2.5 goals. Int...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
68%
Real Madrid Training data through 2024 shows Real Madrid rarely lose at home in UCL group stage openers. Inter's recent European away results include lo...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
yes Historical UCL encounters between these clubs feature goals at both ends based on data to 2024. Inter's forward threat persists away while R...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Real Madrid / Real Madrid Real Madrid frequently leads at half-time and holds on at home in UCL per training data to 2024. Inter tends to start cautiously away. Patte...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Typical UCL scorelines for Madrid at home lean toward narrow wins based on data through 2024. 2-1 appears most frequent in similar fixtures....
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Real Madrid Real Madrid's historical home dominance in European ties against Italian sides favors them based on training data through 2024. Inter's away... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
45%
Real Madrid -1 |
50%
Real Madrid -1.0 |
55%
Over 2.5
W
|
70%
Real Madrid
W
|
58%
Yes
W
|
40%
Real Madrid / Real Madrid |
18%
2-1 |
55%
Real Madrid
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Real Madrid -1 Real Madrid is a strong favorite at home with a significant rest advantage. A -1 spread implies they need to win by two or more goals for th...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Real Madrid -1.0 Similar to the spreads_-1 market, Real Madrid -1.0 suggests a belief in their ability to win by at least two goals, with a push if they win...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Both Real Madrid and Inter have shown strong attacking form recently, with Real scoring 13 and Inter 11 goals in their last five matches. Wh...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
Real Madrid Given Real Madrid's strong home advantage and better rest, they are favored to win outright. The 'draw no bet' market further enhances confi...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
Yes Both Real Madrid and Inter possess strong attacking capabilities, making 'Both Teams To Score - Yes' a likely outcome. While Real Madrid's h...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Real Madrid / Real Madrid Real Madrid often starts strong at home, especially in Champions League fixtures, seeking to establish an early lead. With Inter potentially...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Considering Real Madrid to win, 'Over 2.5' goals, and 'Both Teams To Score - Yes', a 2-1 victory for Real Madrid aligns well with these expe...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Real Madrid Real Madrid, historically dominant in the Champions League, holds a significant home advantage. Their strong recent home form (4W-0D-1L with... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
51%
Inter
L
|
55%
Inter +0.75
L
|
55%
over
W
|
62%
Real Madrid
W
|
58%
yes
W
|
35%
Draw / Real Madrid |
12%
2-1
W
|
60%
Real Madrid
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Inter While Real Madrid is favored to win, Inter's strong recent form and attacking capabilities suggest they can keep the scoreline close, potent...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Inter +0.75 Inter has shown strong recent form and can pose a threat to Real Madrid's defense. A +0.75 handicap suggests Inter is expected to avoid a he...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have strong attacking records in their last 5 games, scoring 11 and 13 goals respectively. While Real Madrid's defense is solid,...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Real Madrid Given Real Madrid's stronger home advantage and better rest, they are more likely to secure at least a draw. This bet hedges against a draw,...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Inter's recent form indicates a strong attack, scoring in 4 of their last 5 matches. Real Madrid's home defense is good, but they are likely...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Draw / Real Madrid Real Madrid has a tendency to start slower at home and finish stronger, especially with more rest. Inter's recent form suggests they can hol...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 Considering Real Madrid's home advantage, slight edge in defense, and Inter's potent attack, a narrow 2-1 victory for Real Madrid seems plau...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Real Madrid Real Madrid has a slightly better home record and more rest days leading into this fixture. Both teams have similar recent form, winning 4 o... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
35%
Inter |
50%
Real Madrid -0.25 |
55%
over |
62%
Real Madrid
W
|
55%
yes |
9%
Draw / Real Madrid |
12%
1-1 |
45%
Real Madrid
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
35%
Inter For the -1 spread, home must win by 2+ but away loses by 1 or wins. Given the closeness of the teams, Inter are slightly more likely to cove...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Real Madrid -0.25 The Asian handicap -0.25 for home is a half-win/half-draw bet. With slight home advantage, it offers value, but the match is too close to de...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have been scoring well (home 13 in 5, away 11 in 5) and their last meetings often produce goals. Defensive records are decent but...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Real Madrid With the draw removed, home win probability is 0.62 based on home advantage and rest edge. Inter are strong but likely to be slightly fatigu...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams have strong attacking units and are likely to score. Inter have conceded in 3 of their last 5 away matches, and Real Madrid have...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
9%
Draw / Real Madrid Champions League knockout games often start cautiously, so a half-time draw is common. Real Madrid's home advantage may allow them to push o...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-1 Given the attacking quality of both sides and likely tight contest, a 1-1 draw is a common result. Real Madrid's home advantage might produc...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Real Madrid Training data through 2025-09: Real Madrid have strong home form and more rest, but Inter are in excellent form with only one loss. Both tea... |
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Spread
ConsensusInter 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Real Madrid
Real Madrid's home margin in European ties averages over one goal in training data through 2024. Inter struggles to cover large deficits awa...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Real Madrid -1
Real Madrid is a strong favorite at home with a significant rest advantage. A -1 spread implies they need to win by two or more goals for th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
51%
Inter
L
While Real Madrid is favored to win, Inter's strong recent form and attacking capabilities suggest they can keep the scoreline close, potent...
DeepSeek V3
35%
Inter
For the -1 spread, home must win by 2+ but away loses by 1 or wins. Given the closeness of the teams, Inter are slightly more likely to cove...
Asian handicap
ConsensusInter +0.75 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
54%
Real Madrid
Asian lines historically favor Real Madrid at the Bernabeu against Serie A opponents per data to 2024. Inter's recent away European results...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Real Madrid -1.0
Similar to the spreads_-1 market, Real Madrid -1.0 suggests a belief in their ability to win by at least two goals, with a push if they win...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Inter +0.75
L
Inter has shown strong recent form and can pose a threat to Real Madrid's defense. A +0.75 handicap suggests Inter is expected to avoid a he...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Real Madrid -0.25
The Asian handicap -0.25 for home is a half-win/half-draw bet. With slight home advantage, it offers value, but the match is too close to de...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
Both sides typically produce open games in UCL per training data to 2024. Real Madrid's attacking style at home often exceeds 2.5 goals. Int...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Over 2.5
W
Both Real Madrid and Inter have shown strong attacking form recently, with Real scoring 13 and Inter 11 goals in their last five matches. Wh...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
Both teams have strong attacking records in their last 5 games, scoring 11 and 13 goals respectively. While Real Madrid's defense is solid,...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
Both teams have been scoring well (home 13 in 5, away 11 in 5) and their last meetings often produce goals. Defensive records are decent but...
Draw no bet
ConsensusReal Madrid 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
68%
Real Madrid
Training data through 2024 shows Real Madrid rarely lose at home in UCL group stage openers. Inter's recent European away results include lo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Real Madrid
W
Given Real Madrid's strong home advantage and better rest, they are favored to win outright. The 'draw no bet' market further enhances confi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
62%
Real Madrid
W
Given Real Madrid's stronger home advantage and better rest, they are more likely to secure at least a draw. This bet hedges against a draw,...
DeepSeek V3
62%
Real Madrid
W
With the draw removed, home win probability is 0.62 based on home advantage and rest edge. Inter are strong but likely to be slightly fatigu...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
yes
Historical UCL encounters between these clubs feature goals at both ends based on data to 2024. Inter's forward threat persists away while R...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Yes
W
Both Real Madrid and Inter possess strong attacking capabilities, making 'Both Teams To Score - Yes' a likely outcome. While Real Madrid's h...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
W
Inter's recent form indicates a strong attack, scoring in 4 of their last 5 matches. Real Madrid's home defense is good, but they are likely...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
Both teams have strong attacking units and are likely to score. Inter have conceded in 3 of their last 5 away matches, and Real Madrid have...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusReal Madrid / Real Madrid 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
Real Madrid frequently leads at half-time and holds on at home in UCL per training data to 2024. Inter tends to start cautiously away. Patte...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
40%
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
Real Madrid often starts strong at home, especially in Champions League fixtures, seeking to establish an early lead. With Inter potentially...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
35%
Draw / Real Madrid
Real Madrid has a tendency to start slower at home and finish stronger, especially with more rest. Inter's recent form suggests they can hol...
DeepSeek V3
9%
Draw / Real Madrid
Champions League knockout games often start cautiously, so a half-time draw is common. Real Madrid's home advantage may allow them to push o...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
Typical UCL scorelines for Madrid at home lean toward narrow wins based on data through 2024. 2-1 appears most frequent in similar fixtures....
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
2-1
Considering Real Madrid to win, 'Over 2.5' goals, and 'Both Teams To Score - Yes', a 2-1 victory for Real Madrid aligns well with these expe...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
12%
2-1
W
Considering Real Madrid's home advantage, slight edge in defense, and Inter's potent attack, a narrow 2-1 victory for Real Madrid seems plau...
DeepSeek V3
12%
1-1
Given the attacking quality of both sides and likely tight contest, a 1-1 draw is a common result. Real Madrid's home advantage might produc...
Match winner
ConsensusReal Madrid 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Real Madrid
W
Real Madrid's historical home dominance in European ties against Italian sides favors them based on training data through 2024. Inter's away...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Real Madrid
W
Real Madrid, historically dominant in the Champions League, holds a significant home advantage. Their strong recent home form (4W-0D-1L with...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Real Madrid
W
Real Madrid has a slightly better home record and more rest days leading into this fixture. Both teams have similar recent form, winning 4 o...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Real Madrid
W
Training data through 2025-09: Real Madrid have strong home form and more rest, but Inter are in excellent form with only one loss. Both tea...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Real Madrid
Grok 4 Fast
Real Madrid
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Real Madrid
DeepSeek V3
Real Madrid
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
3671e6fee92dd8a1…
- Kickoff
- Tue, Sep 8 · 19:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 39419,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "UEFA Champions League",
"starts_at": "2026-09-08T19:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Tue, 08 Sep 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Inter",
"home": "Real Madrid"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LWWWW",
"record": "4W-0D-1L",
"scored": 11,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LWWWW",
"record": "4W-0D-1L",
"scored": 13,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 3
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 1,
"home": 4
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
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