Toronto IIvsNew York City II
Toronto II 2–0 New York City II
All 5 AIs backed New York City II — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- New York City II 5/5
- Correct calls
- 0/5
- Final
- 2–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 5 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
New York City II 5/5 models |
over 4/5 models |
yes 4/5 models |
New York City II 3/5 models |
New York City II 5/5 models |
New York City II -0.5 2/5 models |
New York City II / New York City II 3/5 models |
1-2 3/5 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
58%
New York City II
L
|
55%
over
L
|
52%
yes
L
|
48%
New York City II
L
|
63%
New York City II
L
|
58%
New York City II -0.5
L
|
35%
New York City II / New York City II
L
|
18%
1-0
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
New York City II New York City II has superior recent form (3W-1D-1L vs Toronto II's 2W-1D-2L) and significantly better defensive record (6 goals conceded vs...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Combined scored 24 goals in 10 team-matches over last five; average 2.4 goals per match. NYCII's attacking threat (13 goals, 2.6 per match)...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
yes Toronto II have scored in 4 of 5 recent matches (11 goals total) and NYCII's defensive record, while solid (6 conceded), is not fortress-lik...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
New York City II A -1 spread on the away side requires NYCII to win by 2+ goals. While they are favorites and have superior form/defense, Toronto II's home a...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
63%
New York City II Removing the draw option amplifies the away side's advantage in form and defensive stability. NYCII's superior record and goal differential...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
New York City II -0.5 A -0.5 AH on the away side means NYCII must avoid a loss; a draw or win suffices. Given their superior form (3W-1D-1L) and defensive solidit...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
New York City II / New York City II Away/Away is the most likely HT/FT outcome given NYCII's superior form and fitness. If NYCII gain an early lead (high probability given home...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 Away 1-0 is the modal correct-score outcome for a match where NYCII are favored but not overwhelming favorites and Toronto II retain home-gr... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
42%
New York City II
L
|
58%
over
L
|
61%
yes
L
|
48%
New York City II
L
|
55%
New York City II
L
|
51%
New York City II |
29%
New York City II / New York City II
L
|
18%
1-2
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
New York City II NYC II enter with stronger recent results (WWLWD) and better defensive numbers than Toronto II. Training data through 2025-09 shows reserve...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over MLS Next Pro matches average above 3 goals and both sides have shown attacking output. Home conceded 12 in 5 while away scored 13. Outdoor v...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
61%
yes Both teams concede frequently and score regularly in reserve fixtures. Home side's leaky defense pairs with away attack to favor both teams...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
New York City II NYC II better record and defensive metrics give slight edge on -1 spread. Home side's inconsistency makes covering the handicap less likely....
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
New York City II Away form edge and lower goals conceded support NYC II on draw-no-bet. Five rest days for both sides limits fatigue difference. Training dat...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
New York City II Asian line favors the side with superior recent results and fewer goals allowed. Five rest days each but away form split supports NYC II cov...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
29%
New York City II / New York City II Away side's strong overall form and defensive record point to leading at half and full time. Home side's mixed results make early lead less...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 Expected goals lean toward 1-2 or 2-1 given attacking trends from both. Away edge in recent scoring and clean-sheet rate supports 1-2 as mos... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
52%
New York City II
L
|
73%
Over 2.5
L
|
68%
Yes
L
|
85%
Other |
69%
New York City II
L
|
55%
New York City II -0.5
L
|
30%
New York City II / New York City II
L
|
18%
1-2
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
New York City II Based on my training data, New York City II shows superior recent form with a 3W-1D-1L record and a strong defensive showing, conceding only...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
73%
Over 2.5 Both teams exhibit high-scoring tendencies in their recent five matches from my training data. Toronto II's games averaged 4.6 goals and New...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
68%
Yes Toronto II has a weak defense, conceding in all of their last five matches, but also scored in four. New York City II, despite a better defe...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
85%
Other Based on my training data, Toronto II's form is notably weaker, and their defense is leaky. It's highly improbable for them to win by a marg...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
69%
New York City II Leveraging the H2H analysis from my training data, New York City II's stronger recent form and defensive solidity make them the favored side...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
New York City II -0.5 Considering New York City II's superior form and goal difference from my training data, they are the more likely side to win outright. The -...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
New York City II / New York City II Given New York City II's stronger attack and defense, particularly their ability to score, from my training data, they are likely to take an...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 My analysis, based on training data, points to a New York City II victory with both teams scoring. A 1-2 scoreline reflects Toronto II's abi... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
45%
New York City II
L
|
55%
over
L
|
52%
yes
L
|
45%
New York City II
L
|
48%
New York City II
L
|
48%
away_ 0.0 |
30%
draw_draw |
15%
1-1
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
New York City II Both teams have shown inconsistent form in their last five matches. New York City II has a slightly better recent record and appears to have...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have demonstrated a capacity to score, with NYC II scoring 13 and Toronto II scoring 11 in their last five games. Their combined...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
yes NYC II has scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, and Toronto II has scored in 3 of their last 5. Both teams' recent scoring records suggest a...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
New York City II Considering NYC II's slight advantage in form and scoring, they are favored to at least draw with a -1 handicap. While a comfortable win is...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
48%
New York City II Building on the head-to-head prediction, NYC II's slightly better recent form and attacking output give them a marginal advantage. The draw...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
away_ 0.0 This pick aligns with the 'draw no bet' market, giving a slight edge to NYC II. Their stronger recent performance and offensive potential ma...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
draw_draw Given the inconsistency of both teams and the lack of clear dominance, a draw in both halves (draw_draw) seems plausible. Both teams have sh...
2 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 A 1-1 draw is the most probable outcome, reflecting the balanced form and scoring potential of both sides. The BTTS and Over 2.5 signals als...
2 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
40%
New York City II
L
|
55%
over
L
|
60%
yes
L
|
20%
away_ -1 |
55%
New York City II
L
|
50%
away_ -0.25 |
18%
away_away |
10%
1-2
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
40%
New York City II Training data through 2025-09 indicates NYCFC II have superior recent form (WWLWD) and a better goal difference, while Toronto II are incons...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently: Toronto conceded 12 in 5 and scored 11; NYCFC scored 13 in 5. Their combined a...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Toronto II have scored in most games but also conceded frequently. NYCFC II have scored in 4 of last 5 and conceded in 3. Both teams' attack...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
20%
away_ -1 With a -1 spread, the most likely outcome is a close game, making a push (win by exactly one) or loss for either side. NYCFC II are not domi...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
New York City II Removing the draw, away win is the value side given NYCFC II's better form and defensive solidity. Toronto's home advantage is real but they...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
away_ -0.25 Away -0.25 gives half-win if away win, half-loss if draw. Given away's better form, this bet has slight value. Training data through 2025-09...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
18%
away_away Training data through 2025-09 shows NYCFC II often start strong and maintain leads, while Toronto II tend to concede early. The most likely...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
10%
1-2 Given the goal-heavy form, a 1-2 away win is a plausible outcome (10%). Other likely scores include 1-1 and 2-2 due to parity. Training data... |
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Match winner
ConsensusNew York City II 5/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
New York City II
L
New York City II has superior recent form (3W-1D-1L vs Toronto II's 2W-1D-2L) and significantly better defensive record (6 goals conceded vs...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
42%
New York City II
L
NYC II enter with stronger recent results (WWLWD) and better defensive numbers than Toronto II. Training data through 2025-09 shows reserve...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
New York City II
L
Based on my training data, New York City II shows superior recent form with a 3W-1D-1L record and a strong defensive showing, conceding only...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
New York City II
L
Both teams have shown inconsistent form in their last five matches. New York City II has a slightly better recent record and appears to have...
DeepSeek V3
40%
New York City II
L
Training data through 2025-09 indicates NYCFC II have superior recent form (WWLWD) and a better goal difference, while Toronto II are incons...
Over / Under
Consensusover 4/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
over
L
Combined scored 24 goals in 10 team-matches over last five; average 2.4 goals per match. NYCII's attacking threat (13 goals, 2.6 per match)...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
over
L
MLS Next Pro matches average above 3 goals and both sides have shown attacking output. Home conceded 12 in 5 while away scored 13. Outdoor v...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
73%
Over 2.5
L
Both teams exhibit high-scoring tendencies in their recent five matches from my training data. Toronto II's games averaged 4.6 goals and New...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
L
Both teams have demonstrated a capacity to score, with NYC II scoring 13 and Toronto II scoring 11 in their last five games. Their combined...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
L
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently: Toronto conceded 12 in 5 and scored 11; NYCFC scored 13 in 5. Their combined a...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 4/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
yes
L
Toronto II have scored in 4 of 5 recent matches (11 goals total) and NYCII's defensive record, while solid (6 conceded), is not fortress-lik...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
61%
yes
L
Both teams concede frequently and score regularly in reserve fixtures. Home side's leaky defense pairs with away attack to favor both teams...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
Yes
L
Toronto II has a weak defense, conceding in all of their last five matches, but also scored in four. New York City II, despite a better defe...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
yes
L
NYC II has scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, and Toronto II has scored in 3 of their last 5. Both teams' recent scoring records suggest a...
DeepSeek V3
60%
yes
L
Toronto II have scored in most games but also conceded frequently. NYCFC II have scored in 4 of last 5 and conceded in 3. Both teams' attack...
Spread
ConsensusNew York City II 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
48%
New York City II
L
A -1 spread on the away side requires NYCII to win by 2+ goals. While they are favorites and have superior form/defense, Toronto II's home a...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
New York City II
L
NYC II better record and defensive metrics give slight edge on -1 spread. Home side's inconsistency makes covering the handicap less likely....
Gemini 2.5 Flash
85%
Other
Based on my training data, Toronto II's form is notably weaker, and their defense is leaky. It's highly improbable for them to win by a marg...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
New York City II
L
Considering NYC II's slight advantage in form and scoring, they are favored to at least draw with a -1 handicap. While a comfortable win is...
DeepSeek V3
20%
away_ -1
With a -1 spread, the most likely outcome is a close game, making a push (win by exactly one) or loss for either side. NYCFC II are not domi...
Draw no bet
ConsensusNew York City II 5/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
63%
New York City II
L
Removing the draw option amplifies the away side's advantage in form and defensive stability. NYCII's superior record and goal differential...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
New York City II
L
Away form edge and lower goals conceded support NYC II on draw-no-bet. Five rest days for both sides limits fatigue difference. Training dat...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
69%
New York City II
L
Leveraging the H2H analysis from my training data, New York City II's stronger recent form and defensive solidity make them the favored side...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
48%
New York City II
L
Building on the head-to-head prediction, NYC II's slightly better recent form and attacking output give them a marginal advantage. The draw...
DeepSeek V3
55%
New York City II
L
Removing the draw, away win is the value side given NYCFC II's better form and defensive solidity. Toronto's home advantage is real but they...
Asian handicap
ConsensusNew York City II -0.5 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
New York City II -0.5
L
A -0.5 AH on the away side means NYCII must avoid a loss; a draw or win suffices. Given their superior form (3W-1D-1L) and defensive solidit...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
New York City II
Asian line favors the side with superior recent results and fewer goals allowed. Five rest days each but away form split supports NYC II cov...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
New York City II -0.5
L
Considering New York City II's superior form and goal difference from my training data, they are the more likely side to win outright. The -...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
48%
away_ 0.0
This pick aligns with the 'draw no bet' market, giving a slight edge to NYC II. Their stronger recent performance and offensive potential ma...
DeepSeek V3
50%
away_ -0.25
Away -0.25 gives half-win if away win, half-loss if draw. Given away's better form, this bet has slight value. Training data through 2025-09...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusNew York City II / New York City II 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
35%
New York City II / New York City II
L
Away/Away is the most likely HT/FT outcome given NYCII's superior form and fitness. If NYCII gain an early lead (high probability given home...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
29%
New York City II / New York City II
L
Away side's strong overall form and defensive record point to leading at half and full time. Home side's mixed results make early lead less...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
30%
New York City II / New York City II
L
Given New York City II's stronger attack and defense, particularly their ability to score, from my training data, they are likely to take an...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
draw_draw
Given the inconsistency of both teams and the lack of clear dominance, a draw in both halves (draw_draw) seems plausible. Both teams have sh...
DeepSeek V3
18%
away_away
Training data through 2025-09 shows NYCFC II often start strong and maintain leads, while Toronto II tend to concede early. The most likely...
Correct score
Consensus1-2 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
18%
1-0
L
Away 1-0 is the modal correct-score outcome for a match where NYCII are favored but not overwhelming favorites and Toronto II retain home-gr...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-2
L
Expected goals lean toward 1-2 or 2-1 given attacking trends from both. Away edge in recent scoring and clean-sheet rate supports 1-2 as mos...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
1-2
L
My analysis, based on training data, points to a New York City II victory with both teams scoring. A 1-2 scoreline reflects Toronto II's abi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
1-1
L
A 1-1 draw is the most probable outcome, reflecting the balanced form and scoring potential of both sides. The BTTS and Over 2.5 signals als...
DeepSeek V3
10%
1-2
L
Given the goal-heavy form, a 1-2 away win is a plausible outcome (10%). Other likely scores include 1-1 and 2-2 due to parity. Training data...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Claude Haiku 4.5
New York City II
Gemini 2.5 Flash
New York City II
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
New York City II
Grok 4 Fast
New York City II
DeepSeek V3
New York City II
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
29b97c1f9799cfec…
- Kickoff
- Fri, Aug 28 · 23:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 32246,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "York Lions Stadium",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-08-28T23:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Fri, 28 Aug 2026 23:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "New York City II",
"home": "Toronto II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWLWD",
"record": "3W-1D-1L",
"scored": 13,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LDWLW",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 11,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 12
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 6,
"home": 5
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.