Toronto IIvsFC Cincinnati II
Toronto II 2–1 FC Cincinnati II
3 of 4 AIs leaned Toronto II — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Toronto II 3/4
- Correct calls
- 3/4
- Final
- 2–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Toronto II 3/4 models |
Toronto II 3/4 models |
Toronto II 2/4 models |
Toronto II / Toronto II 2/4 models |
2-1 3/4 models |
FC Cincinnati II +0.5 1/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
52%
Toronto II
W
|
62%
Toronto II
W
|
48%
Toronto II |
35%
Toronto II / Toronto II |
18%
2-1
W
|
53%
Toronto II -0.25
W
|
55%
over
W
|
58%
yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Toronto II Toronto II hold a slight edge from better recent form (WLDWL vs LWLLL) and a 3-1 home H2H win in July 2026. Both sides concede heavily so th...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Toronto II Toronto II are the stronger side on home soil and the only recent H2H result went their way. Away side has lost four of five and concedes 2....
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Toronto II Toronto II win the match on raw quality but the -1 spread is tight given both teams' leaky defenses. Away side has shown fight in losses. Tr...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Toronto II / Toronto II Toronto II are the better side and likely to lead at half-time given home advantage and away team's poor record. Full-time home win is the m...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Expected scoreline reflects Toronto II home edge and both teams' leaky defenses, with 2-1 the single most likely outcome from recent pattern...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Toronto II -0.25 Toronto II are slight favorites at home and the half-goal Asian line reflects their modest edge from form and venue. Training data through 2...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams average over 4 goals per match in recent outings with weak defenses. Toronto II and Cincinnati II have combined for 21 goals in t...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Both sides leak goals regularly and the prior H2H finished 3-1 with both teams scoring. Neither defense is reliable enough to keep a clean s... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
Toronto II
W
|
70%
Toronto II
W
|
45%
Toronto II -1 |
35%
Toronto II / Toronto II |
12%
2-1
W
|
45%
Toronto II -1.0 |
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
|
68%
Yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Toronto II Toronto II exhibits stronger recent form with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, compared to FC Cincinnati II's single win. They also hold the...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
Toronto II Building on the H2H analysis, Toronto II is the clear favorite given their stronger recent form, home advantage, and the head-to-head record...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Toronto II -1 Given Toronto II's stronger form, home advantage, and a 3-1 victory in their previous encounter, they are well-positioned to win this match...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Toronto II / Toronto II Given Toronto II's overall strength, home advantage, and FC Cincinnati II's defensive vulnerabilities, Toronto II is expected to start stron...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 A 2-1 scoreline for Toronto II reflects their favored status, aligns with the 'Over 2.5 Goals' and 'Both Teams to Score Yes' predictions, an...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Toronto II -1.0 Similar to the European handicap, Toronto II is favored to win by a significant margin against a struggling FC Cincinnati II side. Their pre...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
Over 2.5 Goals Both teams have shown tendencies for high-scoring games, with Toronto II scoring 10 and conceding 11 in their last five, and FC Cincinnati I...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
68%
Yes Toronto II has scored in 4 of their last 5 and conceded in all 5, while FC Cincinnati II has scored in 3 of their last 5 and conceded in all... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
47%
FC Cincinnati II
L
|
52%
FC Cincinnati II
L
|
48%
FC Cincinnati II
L
|
25%
Draw / FC Cincinnati II
L
|
12%
1-2
L
|
51%
FC Cincinnati II |
62%
over
W
|
58%
yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
47%
FC Cincinnati II FC Cincinnati II has a slightly better recent away form and won the only head-to-head meeting. Toronto II's home form is inconsistent, with...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
52%
FC Cincinnati II This market slightly favors FC Cincinnati II due to their better head-to-head record and slightly more consistent form against Toronto II's...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
FC Cincinnati II FC Cincinnati II is slightly favored to win by more than one goal. Their previous 3-1 victory suggests they can overcome Toronto II. Despite...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Draw / FC Cincinnati II FC Cincinnati II is favored to win, but Toronto II has shown some resilience at home. A draw at halftime followed by an FC Cincinnati II win...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-2 Considering FC Cincinnati II is slightly favored and the previous 3-1 result, a narrow away win seems most likely. The 'Yes BTTS' and 'Over...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
FC Cincinnati II FC Cincinnati II is the pick on the Asian Handicap. They have a better head-to-head record and slightly more consistent form, making them th...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
over The combined recent form of both teams suggests a tendency for goals. FC Cincinnati II has conceded 14 goals in their last 5 matches, while...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Both teams have shown an ability to score recently, but also a significant defensive vulnerability. FC Cincinnati II conceded 14 goals in th... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
45%
Toronto II
W
|
55%
Toronto II
W
|
40%
Toronto II |
12%
Draw / Toronto II |
12%
2-1
W
|
55%
FC Cincinnati II +0.5
L
|
50%
over
W
|
55%
yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Toronto II Toronto II have been inconsistent but won the only recent H2H 3-1 at home. FC Cincinnati II are in poor form with 4 losses in 5, conceding 1...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Toronto II Removing the draw, Toronto II's home advantage and superior recent form (though slight) give them an edge. FC Cincinnati II have lost 4 of 5...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
Toronto II Toronto II need to win by 2+ to cover -1; their form is not convincing and they often concede. FC Cincinnati II are poor but can score. Toro...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
12%
Draw / Toronto II Toronto II are likely to start slowly and score later, while FC Cincinnati II might take an early lead. The most probable full-time results...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 Both teams score and Toronto II are slightly stronger at home. The previous H2H was 3-1, but a 2-1 home win is a frequent outcome. Other pla...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
FC Cincinnati II +0.5 Given Toronto II's inconsistency and defensive woes, FC Cincinnati II with a +0.5 handicap offers value, as they can at least draw. Bookmake...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
50%
over Both teams have scored and conceded heavily: Toronto II averaged 2.0 scored and 2.2 conceded per game in last 5; FC Cincinnati II averaged 1...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both defenses are poor: Toronto II have conceded in every recent match and FC Cincinnati II have conceded 14 in 5, but they also scored 8. T... |
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Match winner
ConsensusToronto II 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Toronto II
W
Toronto II hold a slight edge from better recent form (WLDWL vs LWLLL) and a 3-1 home H2H win in July 2026. Both sides concede heavily so th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Toronto II
W
Toronto II exhibits stronger recent form with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, compared to FC Cincinnati II's single win. They also hold the...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
47%
FC Cincinnati II
L
FC Cincinnati II has a slightly better recent away form and won the only head-to-head meeting. Toronto II's home form is inconsistent, with...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Toronto II
W
Toronto II have been inconsistent but won the only recent H2H 3-1 at home. FC Cincinnati II are in poor form with 4 losses in 5, conceding 1...
Draw no bet
ConsensusToronto II 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Toronto II
W
Toronto II are the stronger side on home soil and the only recent H2H result went their way. Away side has lost four of five and concedes 2....
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Toronto II
W
Building on the H2H analysis, Toronto II is the clear favorite given their stronger recent form, home advantage, and the head-to-head record...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
FC Cincinnati II
L
This market slightly favors FC Cincinnati II due to their better head-to-head record and slightly more consistent form against Toronto II's...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Toronto II
W
Removing the draw, Toronto II's home advantage and superior recent form (though slight) give them an edge. FC Cincinnati II have lost 4 of 5...
Spread
ConsensusToronto II 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Toronto II
Toronto II win the match on raw quality but the -1 spread is tight given both teams' leaky defenses. Away side has shown fight in losses. Tr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Toronto II -1
Given Toronto II's stronger form, home advantage, and a 3-1 victory in their previous encounter, they are well-positioned to win this match...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
48%
FC Cincinnati II
L
FC Cincinnati II is slightly favored to win by more than one goal. Their previous 3-1 victory suggests they can overcome Toronto II. Despite...
DeepSeek V3
40%
Toronto II
Toronto II need to win by 2+ to cover -1; their form is not convincing and they often concede. FC Cincinnati II are poor but can score. Toro...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusToronto II / Toronto II 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
35%
Toronto II / Toronto II
Toronto II are the better side and likely to lead at half-time given home advantage and away team's poor record. Full-time home win is the m...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
35%
Toronto II / Toronto II
Given Toronto II's overall strength, home advantage, and FC Cincinnati II's defensive vulnerabilities, Toronto II is expected to start stron...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
25%
Draw / FC Cincinnati II
L
FC Cincinnati II is favored to win, but Toronto II has shown some resilience at home. A draw at halftime followed by an FC Cincinnati II win...
DeepSeek V3
12%
Draw / Toronto II
Toronto II are likely to start slowly and score later, while FC Cincinnati II might take an early lead. The most probable full-time results...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
W
Expected scoreline reflects Toronto II home edge and both teams' leaky defenses, with 2-1 the single most likely outcome from recent pattern...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
12%
2-1
W
A 2-1 scoreline for Toronto II reflects their favored status, aligns with the 'Over 2.5 Goals' and 'Both Teams to Score Yes' predictions, an...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
12%
1-2
L
Considering FC Cincinnati II is slightly favored and the previous 3-1 result, a narrow away win seems most likely. The 'Yes BTTS' and 'Over...
DeepSeek V3
12%
2-1
W
Both teams score and Toronto II are slightly stronger at home. The previous H2H was 3-1, but a 2-1 home win is a frequent outcome. Other pla...
Asian handicap
ConsensusFC Cincinnati II +0.5 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
Toronto II -0.25
W
Toronto II are slight favorites at home and the half-goal Asian line reflects their modest edge from form and venue. Training data through 2...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Toronto II -1.0
Similar to the European handicap, Toronto II is favored to win by a significant margin against a struggling FC Cincinnati II side. Their pre...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
51%
FC Cincinnati II
FC Cincinnati II is the pick on the Asian Handicap. They have a better head-to-head record and slightly more consistent form, making them th...
DeepSeek V3
55%
FC Cincinnati II +0.5
L
Given Toronto II's inconsistency and defensive woes, FC Cincinnati II with a +0.5 handicap offers value, as they can at least draw. Bookmake...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
over
W
Both teams average over 4 goals per match in recent outings with weak defenses. Toronto II and Cincinnati II have combined for 21 goals in t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
Both teams have shown tendencies for high-scoring games, with Toronto II scoring 10 and conceding 11 in their last five, and FC Cincinnati I...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
62%
over
W
The combined recent form of both teams suggests a tendency for goals. FC Cincinnati II has conceded 14 goals in their last 5 matches, while...
DeepSeek V3
50%
over
W
Both teams have scored and conceded heavily: Toronto II averaged 2.0 scored and 2.2 conceded per game in last 5; FC Cincinnati II averaged 1...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
yes
W
Both sides leak goals regularly and the prior H2H finished 3-1 with both teams scoring. Neither defense is reliable enough to keep a clean s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
Yes
W
Toronto II has scored in 4 of their last 5 and conceded in all 5, while FC Cincinnati II has scored in 3 of their last 5 and conceded in all...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
W
Both teams have shown an ability to score recently, but also a significant defensive vulnerability. FC Cincinnati II conceded 14 goals in th...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
W
Both defenses are poor: Toronto II have conceded in every recent match and FC Cincinnati II have conceded 14 in 5, but they also scored 8. T...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Toronto II
Grok 4 Fast
Toronto II
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
FC Cincinnati II
DeepSeek V3
Toronto II
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
05a04663f726f659…
- Kickoff
- Fri, Sep 4 · 23:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 36149,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "York Lions Stadium",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-09-04T23:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Fri, 04 Sep 2026 23:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "FC Cincinnati II",
"home": "Toronto II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LWLLL",
"record": "1W-0D-4L",
"scored": 8,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 14
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WLDWL",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 11
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 5,
"home": 7
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-07-17: Toronto II 3–1 FC Cincinnati II"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
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