TolucavsFC Juarez
Toluca 4–0 FC Juarez
All 4 AIs backed Toluca — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Toluca 4/4
- Correct calls
- 4/4
- Final
- 4–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
2-0 2/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
yes 2/4 models |
Toluca 2/4 models |
home_ -0.75 1/4 models |
Toluca / Toluca 3/4 models |
Toluca 4/4 models |
Toluca 4/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
18%
2-0
L
|
55%
under
L
|
58%
no
W
|
51%
home_ -1 |
59%
home_ -0.75 |
42%
home_home |
62%
Toluca
W
|
68%
Toluca
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-0 Low-scoring home win aligns with Toluca defensive stats and Juarez away struggles. 2-0 is the most common outcome in similar historical fixt...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Toluca concede few at home while Juarez create inconsistently on travels. Set-piece and defensive styles point to a low-scoring affair in th...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
no Toluca's clean-sheet rate at home and Juarez's inability to score away regularly favor no BTTS. Defensive quality edge for the hosts limits...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
home_ -1 Toluca should win by more than one given home dominance and Juarez defensive frailties. Spread accounts for typical Liga MX margins. Trainin...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
59%
home_ -0.75 Asian line at -0.75 captures Toluca's expected edge without full -1 risk. Juarez poor away form supports home covering the quarter line. Res...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
42%
home_home Toluca typically control games from the start at home and maintain leads. Juarez's form suggests they struggle to come back. Historical Liga...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Toluca Toluca's stronger home record and defensive form (3 goals conceded in 5) outweigh Juarez's leaky away defense. Training data through 2025-09...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
68%
Toluca Juarez have lost three of last five away and concede heavily on the road. Toluca's home results and Liga MX pedigree make a home win the cle... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
18%
2-0
L
|
55%
over
W
|
55%
no
W
|
40%
away_ +1 |
65%
away_ +1.5 |
48%
Toluca / Toluca |
60%
Toluca
W
|
80%
Toluca
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-0 Given Toluca's strong home defense (0.6 goals conceded/match) and FC Juarez's weak away defense (2.6 goals conceded/match), a 2-0 victory fo...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over While Toluca's defense is strong (3 goals conceded in 5 home matches), FC Juarez's defense is very leaky (13 goals conceded in 5 away matche...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Toluca has a very strong home defense, conceding only 3 goals in their last 5 matches. While Juarez has scored in 3 of their last 5 away gam...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
away_ +1 This market (Toluca -1) implies a bet on Toluca winning by 2+ goals (Home -1), by exactly 1 goal (Draw -1), or for a draw/Juarez win (Away +...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
away_ +1.5 Toluca to win by 2 or more goals (Home -1.5) is less likely than Juarez to avoid losing by 2+ goals (Away +1.5). Given the previous assessme...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
Toluca / Toluca Considering Toluca's strong home form and defensive solidity against a struggling FC Juarez side, it is most probable that Toluca will lead...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Toluca Toluca holds a strong home record (3W-1D-1L) with a solid defense (3 goals conceded in 5 matches), while FC Juarez has a poor away form (2W-...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
80%
Toluca With Toluca being the clear favorite based on their strong home form and superior defense compared to FC Juarez's struggles away from home,... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
15%
2-1
L
|
55%
over
W
|
55%
yes
L
|
50%
Toluca
W
|
55%
Toluca -0.75
W
|
45%
Toluca / Toluca |
60%
Toluca
W
|
65%
Toluca
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Toluca's strong home form and scoring ability, combined with FC Juarez's defensive frailties away, suggest a win for the home side. A 2-1 sc...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in recent matches, suggesting a potentially open game. Toluca's home form is solid def...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes FC Juarez's defensive record is concerning, conceding 13 goals in their last 5 matches. While Toluca is strong at home, they have conceded i...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Toluca Toluca are favored, but FC Juarez's poor form away makes them a potential target for a wide margin loss. However, their recent wins suggest...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Toluca -0.75 Toluca's superior league position and home advantage make them likely to win. A -0.75 handicap suggests a belief in a win by at least one go...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Toluca / Toluca Toluca's strong home form and overall better league standing suggest they are likely to lead at halftime and maintain that advantage to win...
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
Toluca Toluca had a significantly better league performance in the previous season, finishing 6th compared to FC Juarez's 17th. Toluca also boasts...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Toluca Given Toluca's superior league standing and home advantage, they are the strong favorites. FC Juarez's away form has been poor, making them...
2 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
12%
2-1
L
|
55%
over
W
|
50%
yes
L
|
45%
Toluca
W
|
50%
Toluca -0.5
W
|
35%
Toluca / Toluca |
50%
Toluca
W
|
60%
Toluca
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 Toluca's strong defense and scoring ability suggest a clean win, but Juarez's scoring record means they may get one goal. 2-1 is a plausible...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Juarez have been involved in high-scoring games, conceding 13 in five matches, while Toluca have scored 7. Expect open play with Toluca like...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
50%
yes Juarez have scored 7 and conceded 13, showing they can score but also leak goals. Toluca have scored 7 and conceded 3, likely to score at ho...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Toluca Toluca are favored but Juarez are erratic, capable of scoring but weak defensively. A one-goal spread is risky; Toluca's form suggests they...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Toluca -0.5 Toluca's home form and Juarez's defensive woes suggest a win for Toluca is more likely than not. However, the -0.5 line is essentially a win...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Toluca / Toluca Toluca are strong at home and likely to take an early lead, but Juarez could equalize. The most probable outcome is Toluca leading at half a...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
50%
Toluca Toluca have strong home form with three wins in last five, conceding only three goals, while Juarez have lost three of five and conceded thi...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Toluca With the draw removed, Toluca's stronger form and defensive record give them a clear edge over Juarez. Juarez have been poor away and leaky,... |
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Correct score
Consensus2-0 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-0
L
Low-scoring home win aligns with Toluca defensive stats and Juarez away struggles. 2-0 is the most common outcome in similar historical fixt...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
2-0
L
Given Toluca's strong home defense (0.6 goals conceded/match) and FC Juarez's weak away defense (2.6 goals conceded/match), a 2-0 victory fo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
L
Toluca's strong home form and scoring ability, combined with FC Juarez's defensive frailties away, suggest a win for the home side. A 2-1 sc...
DeepSeek V3
12%
2-1
L
Toluca's strong defense and scoring ability suggest a clean win, but Juarez's scoring record means they may get one goal. 2-1 is a plausible...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
under
L
Toluca concede few at home while Juarez create inconsistently on travels. Set-piece and defensive styles point to a low-scoring affair in th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
over
W
While Toluca's defense is strong (3 goals conceded in 5 home matches), FC Juarez's defense is very leaky (13 goals conceded in 5 away matche...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in recent matches, suggesting a potentially open game. Toluca's home form is solid def...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
W
Juarez have been involved in high-scoring games, conceding 13 in five matches, while Toluca have scored 7. Expect open play with Toluca like...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
no
W
Toluca's clean-sheet rate at home and Juarez's inability to score away regularly favor no BTTS. Defensive quality edge for the hosts limits...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
no
W
Toluca has a very strong home defense, conceding only 3 goals in their last 5 matches. While Juarez has scored in 3 of their last 5 away gam...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
L
FC Juarez's defensive record is concerning, conceding 13 goals in their last 5 matches. While Toluca is strong at home, they have conceded i...
DeepSeek V3
50%
yes
L
Juarez have scored 7 and conceded 13, showing they can score but also leak goals. Toluca have scored 7 and conceded 3, likely to score at ho...
Spread
ConsensusToluca 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
home_ -1
Toluca should win by more than one given home dominance and Juarez defensive frailties. Spread accounts for typical Liga MX margins. Trainin...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
40%
away_ +1
This market (Toluca -1) implies a bet on Toluca winning by 2+ goals (Home -1), by exactly 1 goal (Draw -1), or for a draw/Juarez win (Away +...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Toluca
W
Toluca are favored, but FC Juarez's poor form away makes them a potential target for a wide margin loss. However, their recent wins suggest...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Toluca
W
Toluca are favored but Juarez are erratic, capable of scoring but weak defensively. A one-goal spread is risky; Toluca's form suggests they...
Asian handicap
Consensushome_ -0.75 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
59%
home_ -0.75
Asian line at -0.75 captures Toluca's expected edge without full -1 risk. Juarez poor away form supports home covering the quarter line. Res...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
away_ +1.5
Toluca to win by 2 or more goals (Home -1.5) is less likely than Juarez to avoid losing by 2+ goals (Away +1.5). Given the previous assessme...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Toluca -0.75
W
Toluca's superior league position and home advantage make them likely to win. A -0.75 handicap suggests a belief in a win by at least one go...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Toluca -0.5
W
Toluca's home form and Juarez's defensive woes suggest a win for Toluca is more likely than not. However, the -0.5 line is essentially a win...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusToluca / Toluca 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
42%
home_home
Toluca typically control games from the start at home and maintain leads. Juarez's form suggests they struggle to come back. Historical Liga...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
48%
Toluca / Toluca
Considering Toluca's strong home form and defensive solidity against a struggling FC Juarez side, it is most probable that Toluca will lead...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Toluca / Toluca
Toluca's strong home form and overall better league standing suggest they are likely to lead at halftime and maintain that advantage to win...
DeepSeek V3
35%
Toluca / Toluca
Toluca are strong at home and likely to take an early lead, but Juarez could equalize. The most probable outcome is Toluca leading at half a...
Match winner
ConsensusToluca 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Toluca
W
Toluca's stronger home record and defensive form (3 goals conceded in 5) outweigh Juarez's leaky away defense. Training data through 2025-09...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Toluca
W
Toluca holds a strong home record (3W-1D-1L) with a solid defense (3 goals conceded in 5 matches), while FC Juarez has a poor away form (2W-...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Toluca
W
Toluca had a significantly better league performance in the previous season, finishing 6th compared to FC Juarez's 17th. Toluca also boasts...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Toluca
W
Toluca have strong home form with three wins in last five, conceding only three goals, while Juarez have lost three of five and conceded thi...
Draw no bet
ConsensusToluca 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
68%
Toluca
W
Juarez have lost three of last five away and concede heavily on the road. Toluca's home results and Liga MX pedigree make a home win the cle...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
80%
Toluca
W
With Toluca being the clear favorite based on their strong home form and superior defense compared to FC Juarez's struggles away from home,...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
Toluca
W
Given Toluca's superior league standing and home advantage, they are the strong favorites. FC Juarez's away form has been poor, making them...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Toluca
W
With the draw removed, Toluca's stronger form and defensive record give them a clear edge over Juarez. Juarez have been poor away and leaky,...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Toluca
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Toluca
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Toluca
DeepSeek V3
Toluca
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
a2cbcceb90383293…
- Kickoff
- Mon, Aug 31 · 00:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 34628,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Liga MX",
"starts_at": "2026-08-31T00:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Mon, 31 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "FC Juarez",
"home": "Toluca"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LLLWW",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 7,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 13
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWDWL",
"record": "3W-1D-1L",
"scored": 7,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 3
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 8,
"home": 3
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
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