Sporting KC IIvsSt. Louis City II
Sporting KC II 1–2 St. Louis City II
All 4 AIs backed St. Louis City II — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- St. Louis City II 4/4
- Correct calls
- 4/4
- Final
- 1–2
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
over 2/4 models |
yes 2/4 models |
0-2 2/4 models |
away_ -0.5 1/4 models |
St. Louis City II 2/4 models |
St. Louis City II / St. Louis City II 3/4 models |
St. Louis City II 4/4 models |
St. Louis City II 4/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
58%
under
L
|
61%
no
L
|
22%
1-2
W
|
55%
away_ -0.5 |
52%
away_ -1 |
48%
St. Louis City II / St. Louis City II |
62%
St. Louis City II
W
|
55%
St. Louis City II
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
under Both teams' recent matches show low scoring output overall, especially the away side's defensive record. Home venue and fixture timing favor...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
61%
no St. Louis City II concede very few goals while Sporting KC II struggle to score consistently. The away side's defensive organization points...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
1-2 Away side's low concession rate combined with home attacking weakness points to a narrow 1-2 or 0-2 result. Training data through 2025-09 su...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
away_ -0.5 The away side's unbeaten run and defensive strength make them the value on the -0.5 Asian line. Home side's four losses in five matches tilt...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
away_ -1 Given the form gap, St. Louis City II are likely to win by at least one goal margin. Home defensive frailties support the away team covering...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
St. Louis City II / St. Louis City II St. Louis City II control games from the start and maintain leads given their form edge. Home side's poor results make an away-away double c...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
St. Louis City II Home side's heavy goal leaks and lack of wins make an away victory without the draw risk the clearest selection. St. Louis City II's clean-s...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
St. Louis City II Sporting KC II show dismal recent form with 0 wins and 14 goals conceded in 5 matches while St. Louis City II remain unbeaten with only 3 co... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
60%
Over 2.5
W
|
55%
No
L
|
15%
0-2
L
|
65%
St. Louis City II -0.5
W
|
85%
St. Louis City II +1
W
|
45%
St. Louis City II / St. Louis City II |
80%
St. Louis City II
W
|
65%
St. Louis City II
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over 2.5 Sporting KC II has conceded an average of 2.8 goals per game in their last five matches, indicating a very porous defense. While St. Louis C...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No St. Louis City II boasts a very strong defense, having conceded only 3 goals in their last five games and keeping clean sheets in three of t...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
0-2 St. Louis City II's solid defense (0.6 goals conceded per game) makes a clean sheet or low goals conceded likely for them. Their offense (1....
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
St. Louis City II -0.5 Given St. Louis City II's strong recent form and Sporting KC II's struggles, St. Louis City II is favored to win the match outright. Betting...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
85%
St. Louis City II +1 Sporting KC II is in extremely poor form, making it highly improbable for them to win by two or more goals. St. Louis City II is expected to...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
St. Louis City II / St. Louis City II St. Louis City II's superior form suggests they are likely to dominate the match from the start and maintain their lead to secure a full-tim...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
80%
St. Louis City II Given St. Louis City II's dominant form and Sporting KC II's severe struggles, St. Louis is a clear favorite. This market provides a safety...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
St. Louis City II St. Louis City II is in excellent form, undefeated in their last five matches, scoring well and conceding few goals. Conversely, Sporting KC... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
over
W
|
55%
yes
W
|
15%
0-1
L
|
55%
St. Louis City II |
55%
St. Louis City II |
30%
Draw / St. Louis City II |
60%
St. Louis City II
W
|
55%
St. Louis City II
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over While the away team's defense has been solid, the home team's defense has been porous, conceding many goals. Combined with the away team's n...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes The away team has a good scoring record, while the home team has conceded a high number of goals recently. This suggests both teams have a r...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
0-1 Considering the away team's better form and the home team's recent defensive struggles, a narrow away victory is the most probable outcome....
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
St. Louis City II Based on the significant disparity in recent form, the away team is expected to be the stronger side. They have a better record and have bee...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
St. Louis City II The away team's superior form and offensive capabilities suggest they are capable of overcoming a one-goal deficit. The home team's poor def...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / St. Louis City II Given the away team's superior recent form and the home team's struggles, it's plausible that the game could be drawn at halftime before the...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
St. Louis City II Given the substantial difference in recent form and the away team's superior performance, they are the clear favorites. The draw no bet mark...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
St. Louis City II The away team, St. Louis City II, has shown significantly better recent form, with an undefeated record in their last five matches. Sporting... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
60%
over
W
|
60%
yes
W
|
14%
0-2
L
|
42%
St. Louis City II -1.0 |
40%
St. Louis City II |
50%
St. Louis City II / St. Louis City II |
72%
St. Louis City II
W
|
55%
St. Louis City II
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Sporting KC II's leaky defense has contributed to high-scoring games recently, and St. Louis City II have been scoring consistently. The hom...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Sporting KC II have scored in most matches despite losing, and St. Louis City II have shown they can score regularly. The home team's defens...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
14%
0-2 Given St. Louis City II's strong defense and Sporting KC II's scoring struggles, a clean sheet for the away team is plausible. The most like...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
42%
St. Louis City II -1.0 St. Louis City II are strong favorites and expected to win by at least two goals given Sporting KC II's poor form. However, the away team ha...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
St. Louis City II St. Louis City II are in much better form and should win by more than one goal given Sporting KC II's defensive fragility. The away team has...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
St. Louis City II / St. Louis City II St. Louis City II are superior and likely to take an early lead. Sporting KC II have been poor, so the away team should maintain control thr...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
72%
St. Louis City II With the away side's superior form and home side's defensive woes, St. Louis City II are strongly favored to avoid defeat. Even if the match...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
St. Louis City II St. Louis City II are in strong form with a 2W-3D-0L record in their last five, while Sporting KC II have lost four of five and conceded 14... |
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Over / Under
Consensusover 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
under
L
Both teams' recent matches show low scoring output overall, especially the away side's defensive record. Home venue and fixture timing favor...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Over 2.5
W
Sporting KC II has conceded an average of 2.8 goals per game in their last five matches, indicating a very porous defense. While St. Louis C...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
While the away team's defense has been solid, the home team's defense has been porous, conceding many goals. Combined with the away team's n...
DeepSeek V3
60%
over
W
Sporting KC II's leaky defense has contributed to high-scoring games recently, and St. Louis City II have been scoring consistently. The hom...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
61%
no
L
St. Louis City II concede very few goals while Sporting KC II struggle to score consistently. The away side's defensive organization points...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
No
L
St. Louis City II boasts a very strong defense, having conceded only 3 goals in their last five games and keeping clean sheets in three of t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
W
The away team has a good scoring record, while the home team has conceded a high number of goals recently. This suggests both teams have a r...
DeepSeek V3
60%
yes
W
Sporting KC II have scored in most matches despite losing, and St. Louis City II have shown they can score regularly. The home team's defens...
Correct score
Consensus0-2 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
22%
1-2
W
Away side's low concession rate combined with home attacking weakness points to a narrow 1-2 or 0-2 result. Training data through 2025-09 su...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
0-2
L
St. Louis City II's solid defense (0.6 goals conceded per game) makes a clean sheet or low goals conceded likely for them. Their offense (1....
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
0-1
L
Considering the away team's better form and the home team's recent defensive struggles, a narrow away victory is the most probable outcome....
DeepSeek V3
14%
0-2
L
Given St. Louis City II's strong defense and Sporting KC II's scoring struggles, a clean sheet for the away team is plausible. The most like...
Asian handicap
Consensusaway_ -0.5 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
away_ -0.5
The away side's unbeaten run and defensive strength make them the value on the -0.5 Asian line. Home side's four losses in five matches tilt...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
St. Louis City II -0.5
W
Given St. Louis City II's strong recent form and Sporting KC II's struggles, St. Louis City II is favored to win the match outright. Betting...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
St. Louis City II
Based on the significant disparity in recent form, the away team is expected to be the stronger side. They have a better record and have bee...
DeepSeek V3
42%
St. Louis City II -1.0
St. Louis City II are strong favorites and expected to win by at least two goals given Sporting KC II's poor form. However, the away team ha...
Spread
ConsensusSt. Louis City II 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
away_ -1
Given the form gap, St. Louis City II are likely to win by at least one goal margin. Home defensive frailties support the away team covering...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
85%
St. Louis City II +1
W
Sporting KC II is in extremely poor form, making it highly improbable for them to win by two or more goals. St. Louis City II is expected to...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
St. Louis City II
The away team's superior form and offensive capabilities suggest they are capable of overcoming a one-goal deficit. The home team's poor def...
DeepSeek V3
40%
St. Louis City II
St. Louis City II are in much better form and should win by more than one goal given Sporting KC II's defensive fragility. The away team has...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusSt. Louis City II / St. Louis City II 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
St. Louis City II / St. Louis City II
St. Louis City II control games from the start and maintain leads given their form edge. Home side's poor results make an away-away double c...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
St. Louis City II / St. Louis City II
St. Louis City II's superior form suggests they are likely to dominate the match from the start and maintain their lead to secure a full-tim...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
Draw / St. Louis City II
Given the away team's superior recent form and the home team's struggles, it's plausible that the game could be drawn at halftime before the...
DeepSeek V3
50%
St. Louis City II / St. Louis City II
St. Louis City II are superior and likely to take an early lead. Sporting KC II have been poor, so the away team should maintain control thr...
Draw no bet
ConsensusSt. Louis City II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
St. Louis City II
W
Home side's heavy goal leaks and lack of wins make an away victory without the draw risk the clearest selection. St. Louis City II's clean-s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
80%
St. Louis City II
W
Given St. Louis City II's dominant form and Sporting KC II's severe struggles, St. Louis is a clear favorite. This market provides a safety...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
St. Louis City II
W
Given the substantial difference in recent form and the away team's superior performance, they are the clear favorites. The draw no bet mark...
DeepSeek V3
72%
St. Louis City II
W
With the away side's superior form and home side's defensive woes, St. Louis City II are strongly favored to avoid defeat. Even if the match...
Match winner
ConsensusSt. Louis City II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
St. Louis City II
W
Sporting KC II show dismal recent form with 0 wins and 14 goals conceded in 5 matches while St. Louis City II remain unbeaten with only 3 co...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
St. Louis City II
W
St. Louis City II is in excellent form, undefeated in their last five matches, scoring well and conceding few goals. Conversely, Sporting KC...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
St. Louis City II
W
The away team, St. Louis City II, has shown significantly better recent form, with an undefeated record in their last five matches. Sporting...
DeepSeek V3
55%
St. Louis City II
W
St. Louis City II are in strong form with a 2W-3D-0L record in their last five, while Sporting KC II have lost four of five and conceded 14...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
St. Louis City II
Grok 4 Fast
St. Louis City II
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
St. Louis City II
DeepSeek V3
St. Louis City II
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
e8ee3a9296033e9e…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Sep 6 · 00:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 37775,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Swope Soccer Village",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-09-06T00:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 06 Sep 2026 00:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "St. Louis City II",
"home": "Sporting KC II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "DDWDW",
"record": "2W-3D-0L",
"scored": 8,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 3
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LLLDL",
"record": "0W-1D-4L",
"scored": 4,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 14
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 8,
"home": 6
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
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