Sao Paulo U17vsSantos U17
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Sao Paulo U17 1/4 models |
Sao Paulo U17 4/4 models |
Sao Paulo U17 4/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
yes 4/4 models |
home_ -0.25 1/4 models |
Draw / Sao Paulo U17 2/4 models |
2-1 4/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
49%
home_ -1 |
52%
Sao Paulo U17 |
58%
Sao Paulo U17 |
53%
over |
51%
yes |
54%
home_ -0.25 |
38%
Sao Paulo U17 / Sao Paulo U17 |
18%
2-1 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
49%
home_ -1 Home side has superior defensive metrics but Santos high scoring away games keep the spread tight. 4 rest days for both favors standard line...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Sao Paulo U17 Sao Paulo U17 show a stronger defensive record conceding only 4 goals in last 5 compared to Santos conceding 12. Home form LWWDD indicates r...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Sao Paulo U17 Home defensive solidity and better recent record give Sao Paulo U17 the edge in a draw-no-bet scenario. Both sides have 4 rest days so fatig...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Combined last 5 matches show 18 goals across 10 games averaging 3.6 per match. Santos concede frequently away while Sao Paulo score steadily...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
yes Santos score 10 goals in 5 but concede 12 so likely to find net. Sao Paulo home games have seen goals on both sides in recent form. Youth le...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
54%
home_ -0.25 Sao Paulo U17 defensive edge and home record support a quarter-ball handicap. Santos leaky defense on road increases chance of home win or d...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Sao Paulo U17 / Sao Paulo U17 Home defensive strength suggests controlling first half and maintaining lead. Recent home form shows ability to close games. Santos away rec...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Expected low scoring but open game favors 2-1 home win given defensive trends. Santos score away often enough for one goal. Training data sh... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
40%
away_ +1 |
45%
Sao Paulo U17 |
64%
Sao Paulo U17 |
55%
under |
60%
yes |
55%
away_ +0.5 |
30%
Draw / Sao Paulo U17 |
18%
2-1 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
away_ +1 Sao Paulo U17 is favored to win, but their attack isn't prolific enough to guarantee a multi-goal victory against a Santos U17 side that can...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Sao Paulo U17 Sao Paulo U17 comes into this match with a stronger defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per game in their last five. Coupled with the...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
64%
Sao Paulo U17 With the draw removed from consideration, Sao Paulo U17's superior defensive stability and home advantage make them the more secure pick. Th...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Sao Paulo U17's strong defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per game) suggests they can keep the score low, particularly at home. While Sant...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Both teams have shown decent attacking capabilities, with Santos U17 scoring 2.0 goals per game and Sao Paulo U17 scoring 1.6 goals per game...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
away_ +0.5 The 'Asian Handicap Away +0.5' pick implies that Santos U17 will either draw or win the match. While Sao Paulo U17 is the marginal favorite...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Sao Paulo U17 Sao Paulo U17's robust defense suggests they are unlikely to be trailing at halftime. However, their attack isn't overwhelming, so a tight f...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Considering Sao Paulo U17's solid defense (0.8 GC/game) and home advantage, they are likely to secure a win. However, Santos U17's attacking... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
51%
Santos U 17 |
55%
Sao Paulo U17 |
57%
Sao Paulo U17 |
52%
over |
55%
yes |
55%
home_ 0.0 |
35%
Draw / Sao Paulo U17 |
15%
2-1 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Santos U 17 Santos U17 have a losing away record but have scored in most of their recent away games. Given Sao Paulo's slightly stronger home defense, S...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Sao Paulo U17 Sao Paulo U17 has a slightly better recent home record with fewer goals conceded compared to Santos U17's away form. While both teams have s...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
57%
Sao Paulo U17 Given Sao Paulo U17's slightly better overall form and home advantage, they are more likely to secure a result. The draw no bet market favor...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals, with Santos U17 conceding 12 in their last 5 away matches. Sao Paulo U17's home attack ha...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Sao Paulo U17 have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games, while Santos U17 have scored in 3 of their last 5 away games. Combined with the d...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
home_ 0.0 Sao Paulo U17's stronger home form and defensive stability make them the more likely side to secure at least a draw. The 0.0 handicap means...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Draw / Sao Paulo U17 Sao Paulo U17's home advantage and slightly more solid defensive record suggest they could hold their own in the first half and then push fo...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Considering Sao Paulo U17's home scoring ability and Santos U17's defensive issues away, a narrow home win seems plausible. A 2-1 scoreline... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
35%
Sao Paulo U 17 |
42%
Sao Paulo U17 |
55%
Sao Paulo U17 |
60%
over |
62%
yes |
45%
Sao Paulo U17 -0.25 |
25%
Sao Paulo U17 / Sao Paulo U17 |
12%
2-1 |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
35%
Sao Paulo U 17 Sao Paulo are strong defensively but don't dominate by large margins often; Santos are unpredictable. A 1-goal buffer for the home team seem...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Sao Paulo U17 Sao Paulo U17 have solid defensive form conceding only 4 in last 5 and are at home. Santos U17 leak goals (12 conceded) but score freely, ma...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Sao Paulo U17 With draw removed, Sao Paulo's defensive solidity and home advantage tilt the odds in their favor. Santos concede many goals, which should a...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams score and concede regularly; Santos have high-scoring games with 10 scored and 12 conceded in 5. Sao Paulo score 1.6 per game. Ex...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
yes Santos score in almost every game while conceding plenty; Sao Paulo also consistent in front of goal. Defensive frailties on both sides lead...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Sao Paulo U17 -0.25 A half-quarter handicap on Sao Paulo provides slight protection; their home defence and better form make a narrow win plausible. Santos's at...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Sao Paulo U17 / Sao Paulo U17 Sao Paulo likely to start strong at home and hold the lead given their defensive organization. Santos may equalize late if they chase, but m...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 Both teams attack well, but Sao Paulo's defence is better, leading to a tight win. A 2-1 scoreline reflects Santos scoring but falling short... |
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Spread
ConsensusSao Paulo U17 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
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GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
49%
home_ -1
Home side has superior defensive metrics but Santos high scoring away games keep the spread tight. 4 rest days for both favors standard line...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
40%
away_ +1
Sao Paulo U17 is favored to win, but their attack isn't prolific enough to guarantee a multi-goal victory against a Santos U17 side that can...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
51%
Santos U 17
Santos U17 have a losing away record but have scored in most of their recent away games. Given Sao Paulo's slightly stronger home defense, S...
DeepSeek V3
35%
Sao Paulo U 17
Sao Paulo are strong defensively but don't dominate by large margins often; Santos are unpredictable. A 1-goal buffer for the home team seem...
Match winner
ConsensusSao Paulo U17 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Sao Paulo U17
Sao Paulo U17 show a stronger defensive record conceding only 4 goals in last 5 compared to Santos conceding 12. Home form LWWDD indicates r...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Sao Paulo U17
Sao Paulo U17 comes into this match with a stronger defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per game in their last five. Coupled with the...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Sao Paulo U17
Sao Paulo U17 has a slightly better recent home record with fewer goals conceded compared to Santos U17's away form. While both teams have s...
DeepSeek V3
42%
Sao Paulo U17
Sao Paulo U17 have solid defensive form conceding only 4 in last 5 and are at home. Santos U17 leak goals (12 conceded) but score freely, ma...
Draw no bet
ConsensusSao Paulo U17 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Sao Paulo U17
Home defensive solidity and better recent record give Sao Paulo U17 the edge in a draw-no-bet scenario. Both sides have 4 rest days so fatig...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
64%
Sao Paulo U17
With the draw removed from consideration, Sao Paulo U17's superior defensive stability and home advantage make them the more secure pick. Th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
57%
Sao Paulo U17
Given Sao Paulo U17's slightly better overall form and home advantage, they are more likely to secure a result. The draw no bet market favor...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Sao Paulo U17
With draw removed, Sao Paulo's defensive solidity and home advantage tilt the odds in their favor. Santos concede many goals, which should a...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
Combined last 5 matches show 18 goals across 10 games averaging 3.6 per match. Santos concede frequently away while Sao Paulo score steadily...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
under
Sao Paulo U17's strong defensive record (0.8 goals conceded per game) suggests they can keep the score low, particularly at home. While Sant...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
over
Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals, with Santos U17 conceding 12 in their last 5 away matches. Sao Paulo U17's home attack ha...
DeepSeek V3
60%
over
Both teams score and concede regularly; Santos have high-scoring games with 10 scored and 12 conceded in 5. Sao Paulo score 1.6 per game. Ex...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
yes
Santos score 10 goals in 5 but concede 12 so likely to find net. Sao Paulo home games have seen goals on both sides in recent form. Youth le...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
yes
Both teams have shown decent attacking capabilities, with Santos U17 scoring 2.0 goals per game and Sao Paulo U17 scoring 1.6 goals per game...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
Sao Paulo U17 have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games, while Santos U17 have scored in 3 of their last 5 away games. Combined with the d...
DeepSeek V3
62%
yes
Santos score in almost every game while conceding plenty; Sao Paulo also consistent in front of goal. Defensive frailties on both sides lead...
Asian handicap
Consensushome_ -0.25 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
54%
home_ -0.25
Sao Paulo U17 defensive edge and home record support a quarter-ball handicap. Santos leaky defense on road increases chance of home win or d...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
away_ +0.5
The 'Asian Handicap Away +0.5' pick implies that Santos U17 will either draw or win the match. While Sao Paulo U17 is the marginal favorite...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
home_ 0.0
Sao Paulo U17's stronger home form and defensive stability make them the more likely side to secure at least a draw. The 0.0 handicap means...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Sao Paulo U17 -0.25
A half-quarter handicap on Sao Paulo provides slight protection; their home defence and better form make a narrow win plausible. Santos's at...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Sao Paulo U17 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Sao Paulo U17 / Sao Paulo U17
Home defensive strength suggests controlling first half and maintaining lead. Recent home form shows ability to close games. Santos away rec...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
30%
Draw / Sao Paulo U17
Sao Paulo U17's robust defense suggests they are unlikely to be trailing at halftime. However, their attack isn't overwhelming, so a tight f...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
35%
Draw / Sao Paulo U17
Sao Paulo U17's home advantage and slightly more solid defensive record suggest they could hold their own in the first half and then push fo...
DeepSeek V3
25%
Sao Paulo U17 / Sao Paulo U17
Sao Paulo likely to start strong at home and hold the lead given their defensive organization. Santos may equalize late if they chase, but m...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
Expected low scoring but open game favors 2-1 home win given defensive trends. Santos score away often enough for one goal. Training data sh...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
2-1
Considering Sao Paulo U17's solid defense (0.8 GC/game) and home advantage, they are likely to secure a win. However, Santos U17's attacking...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
Considering Sao Paulo U17's home scoring ability and Santos U17's defensive issues away, a narrow home win seems plausible. A 2-1 scoreline...
DeepSeek V3
12%
2-1
Both teams attack well, but Sao Paulo's defence is better, leading to a tight win. A 2-1 scoreline reflects Santos scoring but falling short...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Sao Paulo U17
Grok 4 Fast
Sao Paulo U17
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Sao Paulo U17
DeepSeek V3
Sao Paulo U17
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
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Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
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Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
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- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 5 · 18:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 37531,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Brasileiro U17",
"starts_at": "2026-09-05T18:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 05 Sep 2026 18:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Santos U17",
"home": "Sao Paulo U17"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WLWLD",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 12
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LWWDD",
"record": "2W-2D-1L",
"scored": 8,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 4
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 4
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
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