Santos U17vsBotafogo U17
Santos U17 4–2 Botafogo U17
3 of 4 AIs leaned Botafogo U17 — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Botafogo U17 3/4
- Correct calls
- 1/4
- Final
- 4–2
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Botafogo U17 3/4 models |
Botafogo U17 3/4 models |
Botafogo U17 3/4 models |
over 2/4 models |
yes 2/4 models |
Botafogo U17 -0.25 1/4 models |
Botafogo U17 / Botafogo U17 2/4 models |
1-2 2/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
51%
Botafogo U 17
L
|
48%
Botafogo U17
L
|
55%
Botafogo U17
L
|
57%
under
L
|
52%
no
L
|
53%
Botafogo U17 -0.25
L
|
38%
Botafogo U17 / Botafogo U17
L
|
22%
1-2
L
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Botafogo U 17 Botafogo's defensive record and unbeaten run give them the best chance to cover a -1 spread on the road. Santos' high concession rate create...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Botafogo U17 Botafogo U17 enter with superior recent form, unbeaten in five with only four goals conceded versus Santos U17's leaky defense that allowed...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Botafogo U17 Santos U17's poor home record and high concessions make them vulnerable, while Botafogo remain undefeated on the road in the sample. Equal r...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
57%
under Both teams show controlled scoring rates in recent matches, and the defensive disparity suggests a low-event game. No weather or venue data...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
no Botafogo's four goals conceded across five games points to a strong chance of keeping Santos off the scoresheet. Santos' attacking output ha...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Botafogo U17 -0.25 The half-goal Asian line favors Botafogo given their superior recent results and defensive metrics. Santos have struggled to hold leads at h...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Botafogo U17 / Botafogo U17 Botafogo's form suggests they can control the match from the start and maintain the lead. Santos' defensive vulnerabilities make a home come...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
1-2 Low-scoring outcomes dominate given the defensive gap and modest goal tallies in the form data. A 1-2 result aligns with Botafogo winning na... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
75%
Botafogo U17 +1
L
|
55%
Botafogo U17
L
|
73%
Botafogo U17
L
|
55%
Under
L
|
58%
No
L
|
55%
Botafogo U17 -0.5
L
|
45%
Botafogo U17 / Botafogo U17
L
|
15%
0-2
L
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
Botafogo U17 +1 Botafogo U17 is the clearly superior team, exhibiting strong form and defensive solidity. The 'Away +1' handicap on Santos U17 implies that...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Botafogo U17 Botafogo U17 is in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches with two wins and three draws. In contrast, Santos U17 has...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
73%
Botafogo U17 Considering Botafogo U17's superior form and defensive strength, they are strong favorites to win this match. The Draw No Bet market offers...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under While Santos U17's matches have seen many goals due to their weak defense, Botafogo U17 boasts a robust defense, conceding only 0.8 goals pe...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
No Botafogo U17 has demonstrated strong defensive capabilities, keeping three clean sheets in their last five matches. While Santos U17 has sco...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Botafogo U17 -0.5 Botafogo U17's unbeaten run and robust defense against a struggling Santos U17 side make them strong contenders for an outright win. The -0....
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Botafogo U17 / Botafogo U17 Given Botafogo U17's excellent form and Santos U17's significant defensive vulnerabilities, Botafogo U17 is expected to establish an early l...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
0-2 Botafogo U17's strong defensive record and ability to score consistently, combined with Santos U17's very leaky defense, suggest a comfortab... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
45%
Botafogo U 17
L
|
45%
Botafogo U17
L
|
48%
Botafogo U17
L
|
55%
over
W
|
58%
yes
W
|
47%
away_ 0.0 |
18%
draw_away |
12%
1-2
L
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Botafogo U 17 Botafogo U17's stronger overall form and unbeaten away record suggest they are more likely to win by at least one goal. Santos U17's defensi...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Botafogo U17 Santos U17 has a significantly worse recent home form (1W-1D-3L) compared to Botafogo U17's away form (2W-3D-0L). Botafogo appears to be the...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
48%
Botafogo U17 Given Botafogo U17's superior recent form, particularly their unbeaten away record, they are more likely to secure at least a draw. Santos U...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Santos U17 has conceded an average of 2.8 goals per game in their last 5 home matches, while Botafogo U17 has conceded 0.8 goals per game aw...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Santos U17 has a porous defense at home, conceding 14 goals in their last 5 matches, but they have also managed to score 8 goals in the same...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
47%
away_ 0.0 Botafogo U17's superior form and unbeaten away record give them a slight edge over Santos U17, who have struggled at home. The (-0.0) handic...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
18%
draw_away Given Botafogo U17's strong away form and Santos U17's struggles at home, it's plausible Botafogo could concede first but come back to win o...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-2 Considering Botafogo U17's better form and higher scoring potential away, a narrow away win seems probable. Santos U17's defensive issues at... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
50%
Botafogo U 17
L
|
40%
Santos U17
W
|
60%
Santos U17
W
|
65%
over
W
|
60%
yes
W
|
60%
Botafogo U17 +0.25
L
|
30%
Draw / Santos U17 |
15%
2-2
L
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Botafogo U 17 The spread of -1 means home team must win by 2+ for home cover. Given Santos' poor form and Botafogo's unbeaten run, backing the away cover...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
40%
Santos U17 Santos U17 have home advantage and despite poor recent form, they have scored consistently. Botafogo U17 are unbeaten in five but have a wea...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Santos U17 With the draw removed, Santos U17 have a slight edge due to home advantage and their attacking output. Botafogo U17 are solid but their lack...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
over Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently; Santos conceded 14 in last 5 while Botafogo scored 9. Youth football often pro...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Santos U17 have scored in every recent match while conceding heavily, and Botafogo U17 have scored consistently. Both teams likely to score...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Botafogo U17 +0.25 The Asian handicap with away +0.25 gives partial protection on a draw. Botafogo's solid form suggests they can avoid defeat, so this bet has...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Santos U17 Given Santos' slow starts and Botafogo's resilience, a draw at half-time with a home win is plausible. But exact HT/FT outcomes are speculat...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-2 Both teams have shown attacking potential but defensive vulnerabilities. A high-scoring draw like 2-2 is plausible. However, precise scoreli... |
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Spread
ConsensusBotafogo U17 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Botafogo U 17
L
Botafogo's defensive record and unbeaten run give them the best chance to cover a -1 spread on the road. Santos' high concession rate create...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
Botafogo U17 +1
L
Botafogo U17 is the clearly superior team, exhibiting strong form and defensive solidity. The 'Away +1' handicap on Santos U17 implies that...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Botafogo U 17
L
Botafogo U17's stronger overall form and unbeaten away record suggest they are more likely to win by at least one goal. Santos U17's defensi...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Botafogo U 17
L
The spread of -1 means home team must win by 2+ for home cover. Given Santos' poor form and Botafogo's unbeaten run, backing the away cover...
Match winner
ConsensusBotafogo U17 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Botafogo U17
L
Botafogo U17 enter with superior recent form, unbeaten in five with only four goals conceded versus Santos U17's leaky defense that allowed...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Botafogo U17
L
Botafogo U17 is in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches with two wins and three draws. In contrast, Santos U17 has...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Botafogo U17
L
Santos U17 has a significantly worse recent home form (1W-1D-3L) compared to Botafogo U17's away form (2W-3D-0L). Botafogo appears to be the...
DeepSeek V3
40%
Santos U17
W
Santos U17 have home advantage and despite poor recent form, they have scored consistently. Botafogo U17 are unbeaten in five but have a wea...
Draw no bet
ConsensusBotafogo U17 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Botafogo U17
L
Santos U17's poor home record and high concessions make them vulnerable, while Botafogo remain undefeated on the road in the sample. Equal r...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
73%
Botafogo U17
L
Considering Botafogo U17's superior form and defensive strength, they are strong favorites to win this match. The Draw No Bet market offers...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
48%
Botafogo U17
L
Given Botafogo U17's superior recent form, particularly their unbeaten away record, they are more likely to secure at least a draw. Santos U...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Santos U17
W
With the draw removed, Santos U17 have a slight edge due to home advantage and their attacking output. Botafogo U17 are solid but their lack...
Over / Under
Consensusover 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
57%
under
L
Both teams show controlled scoring rates in recent matches, and the defensive disparity suggests a low-event game. No weather or venue data...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Under
L
While Santos U17's matches have seen many goals due to their weak defense, Botafogo U17 boasts a robust defense, conceding only 0.8 goals pe...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
Santos U17 has conceded an average of 2.8 goals per game in their last 5 home matches, while Botafogo U17 has conceded 0.8 goals per game aw...
DeepSeek V3
65%
over
W
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently; Santos conceded 14 in last 5 while Botafogo scored 9. Youth football often pro...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
no
L
Botafogo's four goals conceded across five games points to a strong chance of keeping Santos off the scoresheet. Santos' attacking output ha...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
No
L
Botafogo U17 has demonstrated strong defensive capabilities, keeping three clean sheets in their last five matches. While Santos U17 has sco...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
W
Santos U17 has a porous defense at home, conceding 14 goals in their last 5 matches, but they have also managed to score 8 goals in the same...
DeepSeek V3
60%
yes
W
Santos U17 have scored in every recent match while conceding heavily, and Botafogo U17 have scored consistently. Both teams likely to score...
Asian handicap
ConsensusBotafogo U17 -0.25 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
Botafogo U17 -0.25
L
The half-goal Asian line favors Botafogo given their superior recent results and defensive metrics. Santos have struggled to hold leads at h...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Botafogo U17 -0.5
L
Botafogo U17's unbeaten run and robust defense against a struggling Santos U17 side make them strong contenders for an outright win. The -0....
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
47%
away_ 0.0
Botafogo U17's superior form and unbeaten away record give them a slight edge over Santos U17, who have struggled at home. The (-0.0) handic...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Botafogo U17 +0.25
L
The Asian handicap with away +0.25 gives partial protection on a draw. Botafogo's solid form suggests they can avoid defeat, so this bet has...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusBotafogo U17 / Botafogo U17 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Botafogo U17 / Botafogo U17
L
Botafogo's form suggests they can control the match from the start and maintain the lead. Santos' defensive vulnerabilities make a home come...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Botafogo U17 / Botafogo U17
L
Given Botafogo U17's excellent form and Santos U17's significant defensive vulnerabilities, Botafogo U17 is expected to establish an early l...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
18%
draw_away
Given Botafogo U17's strong away form and Santos U17's struggles at home, it's plausible Botafogo could concede first but come back to win o...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Draw / Santos U17
Given Santos' slow starts and Botafogo's resilience, a draw at half-time with a home win is plausible. But exact HT/FT outcomes are speculat...
Correct score
Consensus1-2 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
22%
1-2
L
Low-scoring outcomes dominate given the defensive gap and modest goal tallies in the form data. A 1-2 result aligns with Botafogo winning na...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
0-2
L
Botafogo U17's strong defensive record and ability to score consistently, combined with Santos U17's very leaky defense, suggest a comfortab...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
12%
1-2
L
Considering Botafogo U17's better form and higher scoring potential away, a narrow away win seems probable. Santos U17's defensive issues at...
DeepSeek V3
15%
2-2
L
Both teams have shown attacking potential but defensive vulnerabilities. A high-scoring draw like 2-2 is plausible. However, precise scoreli...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Botafogo U17
Grok 4 Fast
Botafogo U17
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Botafogo U17
DeepSeek V3
Santos U17
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
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Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
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- Kickoff
- Tue, Sep 1 · 18:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 35044,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Brasileiro U17",
"starts_at": "2026-09-01T18:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Tue, 01 Sep 2026 18:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Botafogo U17",
"home": "Santos U17"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WDWDD",
"record": "2W-3D-0L",
"scored": 9,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 4
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LWLDL",
"record": "1W-1D-3L",
"scored": 8,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 14
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 7,
"home": 7
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
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