Real Sociedad WvsChelsea W
Real Sociedad W 0–1 Chelsea W
All 4 AIs backed Chelsea W — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Chelsea W 4/4
- Correct calls
- 4/4
- Final
- 0–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
over 3/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
Chelsea W -1.5 3/4 models |
1-3 1/4 models |
Chelsea W 3/4 models |
Chelsea W / Chelsea W 4/4 models |
Chelsea W 4/4 models |
Chelsea W 4/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
63%
over
L
|
54%
yes
L
|
59%
Chelsea W -1.5
L
|
18%
1-3
L
|
68%
Chelsea W |
55%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W |
82%
Chelsea W
W
|
72%
Chelsea W
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
63%
over Chelsea's high-scoring style and Sociedad's leaky defense suggest goals. Recent H2H produced 7 goals. Training data through 2025-09 shows Eu...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
54%
yes Sociedad concede regularly at home while Chelsea attack in numbers, raising BTTS likelihood. Recent 5-2 H2H supports both teams scoring. Tra...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
59%
Chelsea W -1.5 Chelsea's attacking output supports a 1.5 goal handicap. Sociedad's recent home results indicate vulnerability. Training data through 2025-0...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-3 Chelsea's recent 5-2 win and Sociedad's home concessions point to a 3-goal margin win. 1-3 balances expected scoring. Training data through...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
68%
Chelsea W Chelsea's quality edge makes away -1 the expected cover. Sociedad's defensive frailties amplify the gap. Training data through 2025-09 shows...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W Chelsea likely lead at half and extend the lead given their depth and Sociedad's defensive issues. Recent H2H started with Chelsea dominance...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
82%
Chelsea W Recent 5-2 result and Sociedad's two straight home losses with 7 goals conceded point to Chelsea covering the win. Rest advantage slightly f...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
72%
Chelsea W Chelsea W crushed Real Sociedad W 5-2 in their most recent meeting and enter with superior squad depth and attacking quality. Sociedad's hom... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
70%
Over 2.5
L
|
65%
Yes
L
|
65%
Chelsea W -1.5
L
|
18%
1-4
L
|
68%
Chelsea W -1 |
60%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W |
85%
Chelsea W
W
|
75%
Chelsea W
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
70%
Over 2.5 The recent 5-2 head-to-head result between these teams saw 7 goals, far exceeding the 2.5 total. Real Sociedad W has conceded 7 goals in the...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
Yes In the previous 5-2 encounter, both teams scored, with Real Sociedad W finding the net twice against a strong Chelsea W side. While Chelsea...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Chelsea W -1.5 Chelsea W's dominant 5-2 victory against Real Sociedad W in their recent fixture indicates they can comfortably overcome a 1.5-goal handicap...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-4 Chelsea W's recent 5-2 victory over Real Sociedad W highlights their superior attacking prowess and Real Sociedad's defensive frailties. Whi...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
68%
Chelsea W -1 Chelsea W's recent 5-2 victory over Real Sociedad W clearly shows their capacity to win by a margin of more than one goal. Considering Chels...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
60%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W Given Chelsea W's superior quality and the recent dominant 5-2 win over Real Sociedad W, they are expected to take an early lead and maintai...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
85%
Chelsea W With Chelsea W's clear superiority demonstrated in the 5-2 H2H victory and Real Sociedad W's current poor form, Chelsea W is overwhelmingly...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Chelsea W Chelsea W dominated the recent head-to-head fixture against Real Sociedad W, winning 5-2. This indicates a significant difference in class,... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
65%
over
L
|
60%
yes
L
|
55%
Chelsea W -1.0 |
15%
3-1
L
|
60%
Chelsea W |
50%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W |
75%
Chelsea W
W
|
70%
Chelsea W
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
over The last encounter between these two teams saw a total of 7 goals. Both teams have shown the ability to score, and Chelsea W's attacking str...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes The previous match between these sides ended 5-2, indicating both teams found the back of the net. Chelsea W's attacking form and Real Socie...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Chelsea W -1.0 Given Chelsea W's dominant 5-2 win in their last encounter, they are capable of overcoming a one-goal deficit. Real Sociedad W's recent defe...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
3-1 Based on the previous 5-2 result and Chelsea W's attacking strength against Real Sociedad W's recent defensive issues, a scoreline favoring...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Chelsea W Chelsea W's convincing 5-2 victory in the prior fixture suggests they have the offensive capability to overcome a -1 handicap. Real Sociedad...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W Chelsea W's recent dominance and the high-scoring nature of their previous encounter suggest they will likely lead at halftime and maintain...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
75%
Chelsea W Given Chelsea W's dominant performance in the last match and their superior recent form, they are highly likely to secure at least a draw, i...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
70%
Chelsea W Chelsea W demonstrated significant superiority in their recent encounter, winning 5-2. While Real Sociedad W has had a short rest period, Ch... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
75%
over
L
|
60%
yes
L
|
65%
Chelsea W -1.5
L
|
20%
0-3
L
|
70%
Chelsea W |
60%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W |
85%
Chelsea W
W
|
80%
Chelsea W
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
75%
over Chelsea's attack is potent, and Real Sociedad's defense is leaking goals. Recent H2H had 7 goals. Expect at least 3 goals.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Real Sociedad have scored in both recent matches but have also conceded heavily. Chelsea's defense is not impervious, though they are strong...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Chelsea W -1.5 Given the large quality gap and recent 5-2 result, Chelsea should cover a -1.5 handicap. Real Sociedad's defense has been poor.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
0-3 Chelsea have high scoring potential and Real Sociedad's defense is weak. A 0-3 away win is a plausible outcome based on recent form and clas...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Chelsea W Chelsea won by 3 goals last meeting. Real Sociedad are in poor form, so Chelsea should win by more than one goal.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
60%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W Chelsea are likely to lead at half-time and maintain the lead, as they are much stronger and have done so in the past.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
85%
Chelsea W Chelsea won the recent H2H convincingly and have superior overall quality. Draw is unlikely given the imbalance in form and class.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
80%
Chelsea W Chelsea W are significantly stronger, having beaten Real Sociedad 5-2 just a week ago. Real Sociedad are on a two-game losing streak with po... |
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Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
63%
over
L
Chelsea's high-scoring style and Sociedad's leaky defense suggest goals. Recent H2H produced 7 goals. Training data through 2025-09 shows Eu...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Over 2.5
L
The recent 5-2 head-to-head result between these teams saw 7 goals, far exceeding the 2.5 total. Real Sociedad W has conceded 7 goals in the...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
over
L
The last encounter between these two teams saw a total of 7 goals. Both teams have shown the ability to score, and Chelsea W's attacking str...
DeepSeek V3
75%
over
L
Chelsea's attack is potent, and Real Sociedad's defense is leaking goals. Recent H2H had 7 goals. Expect at least 3 goals.
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
54%
yes
L
Sociedad concede regularly at home while Chelsea attack in numbers, raising BTTS likelihood. Recent 5-2 H2H supports both teams scoring. Tra...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Yes
L
In the previous 5-2 encounter, both teams scored, with Real Sociedad W finding the net twice against a strong Chelsea W side. While Chelsea...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
yes
L
The previous match between these sides ended 5-2, indicating both teams found the back of the net. Chelsea W's attacking form and Real Socie...
DeepSeek V3
60%
yes
L
Real Sociedad have scored in both recent matches but have also conceded heavily. Chelsea's defense is not impervious, though they are strong...
Asian handicap
ConsensusChelsea W -1.5 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
59%
Chelsea W -1.5
L
Chelsea's attacking output supports a 1.5 goal handicap. Sociedad's recent home results indicate vulnerability. Training data through 2025-0...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Chelsea W -1.5
L
Chelsea W's dominant 5-2 victory against Real Sociedad W in their recent fixture indicates they can comfortably overcome a 1.5-goal handicap...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Chelsea W -1.0
Given Chelsea W's dominant 5-2 win in their last encounter, they are capable of overcoming a one-goal deficit. Real Sociedad W's recent defe...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Chelsea W -1.5
L
Given the large quality gap and recent 5-2 result, Chelsea should cover a -1.5 handicap. Real Sociedad's defense has been poor.
Correct score
Consensus1-3 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-3
L
Chelsea's recent 5-2 win and Sociedad's home concessions point to a 3-goal margin win. 1-3 balances expected scoring. Training data through...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
1-4
L
Chelsea W's recent 5-2 victory over Real Sociedad W highlights their superior attacking prowess and Real Sociedad's defensive frailties. Whi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
3-1
L
Based on the previous 5-2 result and Chelsea W's attacking strength against Real Sociedad W's recent defensive issues, a scoreline favoring...
DeepSeek V3
20%
0-3
L
Chelsea have high scoring potential and Real Sociedad's defense is weak. A 0-3 away win is a plausible outcome based on recent form and clas...
Spread
ConsensusChelsea W 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
68%
Chelsea W
Chelsea's quality edge makes away -1 the expected cover. Sociedad's defensive frailties amplify the gap. Training data through 2025-09 shows...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
Chelsea W -1
Chelsea W's recent 5-2 victory over Real Sociedad W clearly shows their capacity to win by a margin of more than one goal. Considering Chels...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Chelsea W
Chelsea W's convincing 5-2 victory in the prior fixture suggests they have the offensive capability to overcome a -1 handicap. Real Sociedad...
DeepSeek V3
70%
Chelsea W
Chelsea won by 3 goals last meeting. Real Sociedad are in poor form, so Chelsea should win by more than one goal.
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusChelsea W / Chelsea W 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W
Chelsea likely lead at half and extend the lead given their depth and Sociedad's defensive issues. Recent H2H started with Chelsea dominance...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W
Given Chelsea W's superior quality and the recent dominant 5-2 win over Real Sociedad W, they are expected to take an early lead and maintai...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W
Chelsea W's recent dominance and the high-scoring nature of their previous encounter suggest they will likely lead at halftime and maintain...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W
Chelsea are likely to lead at half-time and maintain the lead, as they are much stronger and have done so in the past.
Draw no bet
ConsensusChelsea W 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
82%
Chelsea W
W
Recent 5-2 result and Sociedad's two straight home losses with 7 goals conceded point to Chelsea covering the win. Rest advantage slightly f...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
85%
Chelsea W
W
With Chelsea W's clear superiority demonstrated in the 5-2 H2H victory and Real Sociedad W's current poor form, Chelsea W is overwhelmingly...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
75%
Chelsea W
W
Given Chelsea W's dominant performance in the last match and their superior recent form, they are highly likely to secure at least a draw, i...
DeepSeek V3
85%
Chelsea W
W
Chelsea won the recent H2H convincingly and have superior overall quality. Draw is unlikely given the imbalance in form and class.
Match winner
ConsensusChelsea W 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
72%
Chelsea W
W
Chelsea W crushed Real Sociedad W 5-2 in their most recent meeting and enter with superior squad depth and attacking quality. Sociedad's hom...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
Chelsea W
W
Chelsea W dominated the recent head-to-head fixture against Real Sociedad W, winning 5-2. This indicates a significant difference in class,...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
70%
Chelsea W
W
Chelsea W demonstrated significant superiority in their recent encounter, winning 5-2. While Real Sociedad W has had a short rest period, Ch...
DeepSeek V3
80%
Chelsea W
W
Chelsea W are significantly stronger, having beaten Real Sociedad 5-2 just a week ago. Real Sociedad are on a two-game losing streak with po...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
DeepSeek V3
Chelsea W
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Chelsea W
Grok 4 Fast
Chelsea W
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Chelsea W
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
a5ce3cb8a06f0f44…
- Kickoff
- Wed, Sep 2 · 17:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 35370,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Estadio Zubieta",
"league": "UEFA Champions League Women",
"starts_at": "2026-09-02T17:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Wed, 02 Sep 2026 17:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Chelsea W",
"home": "Real Sociedad W"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "W",
"record": "1W-0D-0L",
"scored": 5,
"matches": 1,
"conceded": 2
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LL",
"record": "0W-0D-2L",
"scored": 2,
"matches": 2,
"conceded": 7
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 6,
"home": 4
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-08-26: Chelsea W 5–2 Real Sociedad W"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
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