Real MonarchsvsTacoma Defiance
Real Monarchs 3–0 Tacoma Defiance
All 4 AIs backed Tacoma Defiance — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Tacoma Defiance 4/4
- Correct calls
- 0/4
- Final
- 3–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Tacoma Defiance 4/4 models |
Tacoma Defiance 2/4 models |
Tacoma Defiance / Tacoma Defiance 3/4 models |
Tacoma Defiance 4/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
1-3 2/4 models |
Tacoma Defiance -1.0 2/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
62%
Tacoma Defiance
L
|
55%
away_ -1 |
41%
Tacoma Defiance / Tacoma Defiance
L
|
68%
Tacoma Defiance
L
|
59%
yes
L
|
18%
1-2
L
|
64%
away_ -0.5 |
57%
over
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Tacoma Defiance Tacoma Defiance enter with strong recent form of WLLWW and 14 goals scored in 5 matches while Real Monarchs are winless in their last 5 with...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
away_ -1 Tacoma's superior form and scoring output support covering a -1 spread on the road against a side that has lost every recent home game. Trai...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
41%
Tacoma Defiance / Tacoma Defiance Tacoma's road form and Monarchs' poor home record point to an away win sealed after halftime. Both prior H2H games were controlled by Tacoma...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
68%
Tacoma Defiance Real Monarchs have conceded 15 goals in their last 5 matches at home while Tacoma have netted 14 on the road. H2H results reinforce Tacoma s...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
59%
yes Monarchs concede heavily at home and Tacoma score freely away creating conditions for both teams to find the net. Recent H2H matches both fe...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 Tacoma's attacking output and Monarchs' defensive frailties align with a narrow away victory most often around 1-2. Recent H2H scores suppor...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
64%
away_ -0.5 Tacoma Defiance favored by form and head-to-head results making away -0.5 the strongest value. Monarchs have shown no signs of competitivene...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
57%
over Both sides average high goal tallies in recent fixtures with Tacoma scoring 14 and conceding 10 in 5 games. Monarchs have shipped 15 goals i... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
70%
Tacoma Defiance
L
|
65%
Tacoma Defiance -1
L
|
50%
Tacoma Defiance / Tacoma Defiance
L
|
85%
Tacoma Defiance
L
|
68%
Yes
L
|
15%
1-3
L
|
65%
Tacoma Defiance -1.0
L
|
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
70%
Tacoma Defiance Real Monarchs are in dire form, losing all their last five matches and conceding heavily. Tacoma Defiance, conversely, has a strong recent r...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
Tacoma Defiance -1 Given Real Monarchs' catastrophic defensive record (15 goals conceded in 5 games) and Tacoma Defiance's strong offensive output (14 goals sc...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Tacoma Defiance / Tacoma Defiance Given Tacoma Defiance's superior form and attacking prowess, it is highly likely they will establish a lead by halftime and maintain it to w...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
85%
Tacoma Defiance Given Real Monarchs' abysmal form and Tacoma Defiance's strong performance, a win for Tacoma is highly probable. Removing the draw option fu...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
68%
Yes While Real Monarchs' attack is weak, they have managed to score in 3 of their last 5 games, and Tacoma Defiance has conceded 10 goals in the...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-3 Considering Real Monarchs' high number of goals conceded (3.0 per game) and Tacoma Defiance's strong scoring record (2.8 per game), a score...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Tacoma Defiance -1.0 Similar to the spread bet, the Asian Handicap of -1.0 for Tacoma Defiance is favored due to the stark contrast in team form and scoring/conc...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
80%
Over 2.5 Goals Real Monarchs have conceded 15 goals in their last five games, averaging 3 goals per match, and Tacoma Defiance has scored 14 goals in the s... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
70%
Tacoma Defiance
L
|
60%
Tacoma Defiance
L
|
40%
Draw / Tacoma Defiance
L
|
75%
Tacoma Defiance
L
|
60%
yes
L
|
10%
1-3
L
|
60%
away_ -0.75 |
65%
over
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
70%
Tacoma Defiance Tacoma Defiance has a significantly better recent form (3 wins in last 5) compared to Real Monarchs (5 consecutive losses). The head-to-head...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Tacoma Defiance Tacoma Defiance are in strong form and have a historical edge. Given Real Monarchs' poor defensive record, it's likely Tacoma will win by at...
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Draw / Tacoma Defiance Tacoma Defiance are favored to win, but Real Monarchs have shown a tendency to concede in the second half after potentially holding their ow...
3 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
75%
Tacoma Defiance Given Tacoma Defiance's superior form and recent head-to-head success, they are strongly favored. The draw no bet market mitigates the risk...
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Tacoma Defiance scores frequently, and Real Monarchs have conceded a significant number of goals, suggesting they might concede. However, Re...
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
10%
1-3 Considering Tacoma's strong attack and Real Monarchs' weak defense, a scoreline of 1-3 for Tacoma seems plausible. Tacoma is expected to sco...
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
away_ -0.75 Tacoma Defiance is the stronger team, evidenced by their form and head-to-head record. A handicap of -0.75 favors Tacoma, as they are expect...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
over Tacoma Defiance has a strong attacking record, scoring 14 goals in their last 5 games. While Real Monarchs' defense is poor, they have conce...
3 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
65%
Tacoma Defiance
L
|
60%
Tacoma Defiance
L
|
45%
Tacoma Defiance / Tacoma Defiance
L
|
70%
Tacoma Defiance
L
|
50%
yes
L
|
20%
0-2
L
|
60%
Tacoma Defiance -1.0
L
|
55%
over
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Tacoma Defiance Tacoma Defiance have won two of the last two meetings, including a 4-2 away win in July, and come into this match with solid form (WLLWW) de...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Tacoma Defiance Tacoma are expected to win by more than one goal given the quality gap and recent form. Real Monarchs' defense has been poor, conceding 15 i...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Tacoma Defiance / Tacoma Defiance Given Tacoma's dominance, they are likely to take the lead in the first half and maintain it. Real Monarchs are unlikely to come from behind...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
Tacoma Defiance With the draw removed, the probability of Tacoma winning is high given their recent dominance in the head-to-head and Real Monarchs' terribl...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
50%
yes Both teams have been involved in games with goals: Tacoma have scored in all recent matches but also conceded 10 in 5, while Real Monarchs h...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
0-2 Tacoma have been scoring heavily but also conceding, so a 2-goal margin is plausible. Real Monarchs have struggled to score, so a clean shee...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Tacoma Defiance -1.0 Tacoma's superior form and the historical head-to-head suggest they can win by at least two goals. Real Monarchs have conceded an average of...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Tacoma have scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches, while Real Monarchs have conceded 15, indicating a high-scoring potential. Their last m... |
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Match winner
ConsensusTacoma Defiance 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Tacoma Defiance
L
Tacoma Defiance enter with strong recent form of WLLWW and 14 goals scored in 5 matches while Real Monarchs are winless in their last 5 with...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Tacoma Defiance
L
Real Monarchs are in dire form, losing all their last five matches and conceding heavily. Tacoma Defiance, conversely, has a strong recent r...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
70%
Tacoma Defiance
L
Tacoma Defiance has a significantly better recent form (3 wins in last 5) compared to Real Monarchs (5 consecutive losses). The head-to-head...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Tacoma Defiance
L
Tacoma Defiance have won two of the last two meetings, including a 4-2 away win in July, and come into this match with solid form (WLLWW) de...
Spread
ConsensusTacoma Defiance 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
away_ -1
Tacoma's superior form and scoring output support covering a -1 spread on the road against a side that has lost every recent home game. Trai...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Tacoma Defiance -1
L
Given Real Monarchs' catastrophic defensive record (15 goals conceded in 5 games) and Tacoma Defiance's strong offensive output (14 goals sc...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Tacoma Defiance
L
Tacoma Defiance are in strong form and have a historical edge. Given Real Monarchs' poor defensive record, it's likely Tacoma will win by at...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Tacoma Defiance
L
Tacoma are expected to win by more than one goal given the quality gap and recent form. Real Monarchs' defense has been poor, conceding 15 i...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusTacoma Defiance / Tacoma Defiance 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
41%
Tacoma Defiance / Tacoma Defiance
L
Tacoma's road form and Monarchs' poor home record point to an away win sealed after halftime. Both prior H2H games were controlled by Tacoma...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Tacoma Defiance / Tacoma Defiance
L
Given Tacoma Defiance's superior form and attacking prowess, it is highly likely they will establish a lead by halftime and maintain it to w...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Draw / Tacoma Defiance
L
Tacoma Defiance are favored to win, but Real Monarchs have shown a tendency to concede in the second half after potentially holding their ow...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Tacoma Defiance / Tacoma Defiance
L
Given Tacoma's dominance, they are likely to take the lead in the first half and maintain it. Real Monarchs are unlikely to come from behind...
Draw no bet
ConsensusTacoma Defiance 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
68%
Tacoma Defiance
L
Real Monarchs have conceded 15 goals in their last 5 matches at home while Tacoma have netted 14 on the road. H2H results reinforce Tacoma s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
85%
Tacoma Defiance
L
Given Real Monarchs' abysmal form and Tacoma Defiance's strong performance, a win for Tacoma is highly probable. Removing the draw option fu...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
75%
Tacoma Defiance
L
Given Tacoma Defiance's superior form and recent head-to-head success, they are strongly favored. The draw no bet market mitigates the risk...
DeepSeek V3
70%
Tacoma Defiance
L
With the draw removed, the probability of Tacoma winning is high given their recent dominance in the head-to-head and Real Monarchs' terribl...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
59%
yes
L
Monarchs concede heavily at home and Tacoma score freely away creating conditions for both teams to find the net. Recent H2H matches both fe...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
Yes
L
While Real Monarchs' attack is weak, they have managed to score in 3 of their last 5 games, and Tacoma Defiance has conceded 10 goals in the...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
yes
L
Tacoma Defiance scores frequently, and Real Monarchs have conceded a significant number of goals, suggesting they might concede. However, Re...
DeepSeek V3
50%
yes
L
Both teams have been involved in games with goals: Tacoma have scored in all recent matches but also conceded 10 in 5, while Real Monarchs h...
Correct score
Consensus1-3 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-2
L
Tacoma's attacking output and Monarchs' defensive frailties align with a narrow away victory most often around 1-2. Recent H2H scores suppor...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
1-3
L
Considering Real Monarchs' high number of goals conceded (3.0 per game) and Tacoma Defiance's strong scoring record (2.8 per game), a score...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
10%
1-3
L
Considering Tacoma's strong attack and Real Monarchs' weak defense, a scoreline of 1-3 for Tacoma seems plausible. Tacoma is expected to sco...
DeepSeek V3
20%
0-2
L
Tacoma have been scoring heavily but also conceding, so a 2-goal margin is plausible. Real Monarchs have struggled to score, so a clean shee...
Asian handicap
ConsensusTacoma Defiance -1.0 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
64%
away_ -0.5
Tacoma Defiance favored by form and head-to-head results making away -0.5 the strongest value. Monarchs have shown no signs of competitivene...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Tacoma Defiance -1.0
L
Similar to the spread bet, the Asian Handicap of -1.0 for Tacoma Defiance is favored due to the stark contrast in team form and scoring/conc...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
away_ -0.75
Tacoma Defiance is the stronger team, evidenced by their form and head-to-head record. A handicap of -0.75 favors Tacoma, as they are expect...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Tacoma Defiance -1.0
L
Tacoma's superior form and the historical head-to-head suggest they can win by at least two goals. Real Monarchs have conceded an average of...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
57%
over
W
Both sides average high goal tallies in recent fixtures with Tacoma scoring 14 and conceding 10 in 5 games. Monarchs have shipped 15 goals i...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
Real Monarchs have conceded 15 goals in their last five games, averaging 3 goals per match, and Tacoma Defiance has scored 14 goals in the s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
over
W
Tacoma Defiance has a strong attacking record, scoring 14 goals in their last 5 games. While Real Monarchs' defense is poor, they have conce...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
W
Tacoma have scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches, while Real Monarchs have conceded 15, indicating a high-scoring potential. Their last m...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Tacoma Defiance
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Tacoma Defiance
DeepSeek V3
Tacoma Defiance
Grok 4 Fast
Tacoma Defiance
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
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Verifiable brief
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hash:
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- Kickoff
- Mon, Aug 31 · 01:30 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 34591,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Zions Bank Stadium",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-08-30T21:30:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 30 Aug 2026 21:30:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Tacoma Defiance",
"home": "Real Monarchs"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WLLWW",
"record": "3W-0D-2L",
"scored": 14,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 10
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LLLLL",
"record": "0W-0D-5L",
"scored": 3,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 15
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 5,
"home": 6
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-07-20: Real Monarchs 2–4 Tacoma Defiance",
"2026-06-22: Tacoma Defiance 1–0 Real Monarchs"
],
"matches": 2
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.