Real Madrid WvsAjax W
Real Madrid W 2–1 Ajax W
All 4 AIs backed Real Madrid W — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Real Madrid W 4/4
- Correct calls
- 4/4
- Final
- 2–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
No 2/4 models |
under 1/4 models |
Real Madrid W -1.5 3/4 models |
2-0 4/4 models |
Real Madrid W 2/4 models |
Real Madrid W / Real Madrid W 4/4 models |
Real Madrid W 4/4 models |
Real Madrid W 4/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
65%
no
L
|
58%
under
L
|
55%
Real Madrid W -1.5
L
|
28%
2-0
L
|
68%
Real Madrid W |
62%
Real Madrid W / Real Madrid W |
72%
Real Madrid W
W
|
80%
Real Madrid W
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
no Real Madrid W kept a clean sheet in the recent 2-0 win over Ajax W. Ajax W have scored sparingly away from home while Real Madrid W concede...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
under Women's UCL matches frequently stay under 2.5 goals when one side dominates possession. Real Madrid W control games and limit chances while...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Real Madrid W -1.5 The 2-0 recent result and home dominance point to a likely margin of two or more goals. Ajax W rest advantage is offset by lower overall qua...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
28%
2-0 The 2-0 scoreline from the reverse fixture aligns with Real Madrid W's controlled home style and Ajax W's limited away threat. Low-scoring U...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
68%
Real Madrid W Real Madrid W are expected to win by multiple goals given recent head-to-head and home form. Ajax W struggle to create consistently against...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
62%
Real Madrid W / Real Madrid W Real Madrid W typically establish control early and maintain leads against weaker opposition. The recent 2-0 win suggests they can manage th...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
72%
Real Madrid W Real Madrid W won the reverse fixture 2-0 just a week earlier and hold superior attacking output in limited recent home matches. Ajax W have...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
80%
Real Madrid W Real Madrid W are the clear superior side and have already beaten Ajax W recently. Ajax W's away form is respectable but unlikely to hold he... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
60%
No
L
|
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
L
|
52%
Real Madrid W -1.5
L
|
25%
2-0
L
|
55%
Real Madrid W -1 |
45%
Real Madrid W / Real Madrid W |
65%
Real Madrid W
W
|
75%
Real Madrid W
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Ajax W failed to score against Real Madrid W in their recent 0-2 loss, indicating Real Madrid W's defensive strength against them. Combined...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 Goals The only head-to-head encounter ended 2-0, suggesting a low-scoring affair. Champions League matches can often be cautious, and while Real M...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Real Madrid W -1.5 This pick aligns with Real Madrid W winning by a margin of two goals or more, a scenario supported by their recent 2-0 H2H victory. Their st...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
2-0 The 2-0 scoreline directly mirrors the recent head-to-head result, which is a strong indicator. It also aligns with picks for 'Under 2.5 Goa...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Real Madrid W -1 Real Madrid W's 2-0 away win against Ajax W suggests they are capable of winning by at least a two-goal margin. At home, they are expected t...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Real Madrid W / Real Madrid W Given Real Madrid W's status as strong favorites and their recent H2H dominance, they are expected to start strong and maintain their lead....
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Real Madrid W Real Madrid W holds a strong advantage based on the recent 2-0 away win against Ajax W. Playing at home further solidifies their position as...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
75%
Real Madrid W Removing the draw option makes Real Madrid W an even more confident pick. Their recent head-to-head victory away from home strongly suggests... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
60%
no
L
|
55%
over
W
|
65%
Real Madrid W -0.25
W
|
25%
2-0
L
|
60%
Real Madrid W |
55%
Real Madrid W / Real Madrid W |
65%
Real Madrid W
W
|
70%
Real Madrid W
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
no The only head-to-head match between these teams ended 2-0, with only one team scoring. Ajax W's defensive record (3 goals conceded in 5 game...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over The previous encounter between these two teams resulted in 2 goals. While Ajax W's recent form suggests a decent scoring rate, Real Madrid W...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Real Madrid W -0.25 Based on the head-to-head result (2-0 win for Real Madrid W) and their stronger perceived home advantage, Real Madrid W is favored. A -0.25...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
2-0 The only previous encounter between these teams resulted in a 2-0 victory for Real Madrid W. Given Real Madrid W's home advantage and genera...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Real Madrid W Real Madrid W won the only previous meeting 2-0, suggesting they have the capability to win by more than one goal. Their home advantage and...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Real Madrid W / Real Madrid W Considering Real Madrid W's previous win against Ajax W (which was 2-0), it's plausible they could lead at halftime and secure a win by the...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Real Madrid W Real Madrid W is favored based on recent head-to-head results, winning their only previous encounter 2-0. Their home form is also stronger,...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
Real Madrid W Given Real Madrid W's historical advantage in the head-to-head and their stronger recent home form (albeit with fewer games played), they ar... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
60%
No
L
|
55%
Over 2.5
W
|
60%
Real Madrid W -1.5
L
|
30%
2-0
L
|
60%
Real Madrid W -1.5
L
|
50%
Real Madrid W / Real Madrid W |
80%
Real Madrid W
W
|
85%
Real Madrid W
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Real Madrid W's defense is expected to keep a clean sheet against Ajax W, who are likely to be contained. The previous meeting ended 2-0 wit...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Real Madrid W's attacking quality and the expectation of a comfortable victory suggest goals. Ajax W have also been scoring, and both teams'...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Real Madrid W -1.5 Same rationale as spread -1.5. Real Madrid W's superiority suggests a comfortable victory. This market aligns closely with the expected scor...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
30%
2-0 In the last meeting Real Madrid W won 2-0, and a repeat is plausible given their superior quality and home advantage. The probabilities refl...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Real Madrid W -1.5 Real Madrid W are expected to win by at least two goals given their dominance and the 2-0 scoreline in the last meeting. While Ajax W are de...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Real Madrid W / Real Madrid W Real Madrid W are likely to dominate from the start and score early, leading at halftime and winning the match. However, there is a chance t...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
80%
Real Madrid W Based on training data through early 2025, Real Madrid W are a top-tier side, and their recent 2-0 win over Ajax W shows clear superiority....
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
85%
Real Madrid W In a match where the draw is unlikely, Real Madrid W dominate on paper. Their recent win and squad quality suggest they will win inside regu... |
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Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
65%
no
L
Real Madrid W kept a clean sheet in the recent 2-0 win over Ajax W. Ajax W have scored sparingly away from home while Real Madrid W concede...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
No
L
Ajax W failed to score against Real Madrid W in their recent 0-2 loss, indicating Real Madrid W's defensive strength against them. Combined...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
no
L
The only head-to-head match between these teams ended 2-0, with only one team scoring. Ajax W's defensive record (3 goals conceded in 5 game...
DeepSeek V3
60%
No
L
Real Madrid W's defense is expected to keep a clean sheet against Ajax W, who are likely to be contained. The previous meeting ended 2-0 wit...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
under
L
Women's UCL matches frequently stay under 2.5 goals when one side dominates possession. Real Madrid W control games and limit chances while...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
L
The only head-to-head encounter ended 2-0, suggesting a low-scoring affair. Champions League matches can often be cautious, and while Real M...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
The previous encounter between these two teams resulted in 2 goals. While Ajax W's recent form suggests a decent scoring rate, Real Madrid W...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Over 2.5
W
Real Madrid W's attacking quality and the expectation of a comfortable victory suggest goals. Ajax W have also been scoring, and both teams'...
Asian handicap
ConsensusReal Madrid W -1.5 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Real Madrid W -1.5
L
The 2-0 recent result and home dominance point to a likely margin of two or more goals. Ajax W rest advantage is offset by lower overall qua...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Real Madrid W -1.5
L
This pick aligns with Real Madrid W winning by a margin of two goals or more, a scenario supported by their recent 2-0 H2H victory. Their st...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
Real Madrid W -0.25
W
Based on the head-to-head result (2-0 win for Real Madrid W) and their stronger perceived home advantage, Real Madrid W is favored. A -0.25...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Real Madrid W -1.5
L
Same rationale as spread -1.5. Real Madrid W's superiority suggests a comfortable victory. This market aligns closely with the expected scor...
Correct score
Consensus2-0 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
28%
2-0
L
The 2-0 scoreline from the reverse fixture aligns with Real Madrid W's controlled home style and Ajax W's limited away threat. Low-scoring U...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
25%
2-0
L
The 2-0 scoreline directly mirrors the recent head-to-head result, which is a strong indicator. It also aligns with picks for 'Under 2.5 Goa...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
25%
2-0
L
The only previous encounter between these teams resulted in a 2-0 victory for Real Madrid W. Given Real Madrid W's home advantage and genera...
DeepSeek V3
30%
2-0
L
In the last meeting Real Madrid W won 2-0, and a repeat is plausible given their superior quality and home advantage. The probabilities refl...
Spread
ConsensusReal Madrid W 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
68%
Real Madrid W
Real Madrid W are expected to win by multiple goals given recent head-to-head and home form. Ajax W struggle to create consistently against...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Real Madrid W -1
Real Madrid W's 2-0 away win against Ajax W suggests they are capable of winning by at least a two-goal margin. At home, they are expected t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Real Madrid W
Real Madrid W won the only previous meeting 2-0, suggesting they have the capability to win by more than one goal. Their home advantage and...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Real Madrid W -1.5
L
Real Madrid W are expected to win by at least two goals given their dominance and the 2-0 scoreline in the last meeting. While Ajax W are de...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusReal Madrid W / Real Madrid W 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Real Madrid W / Real Madrid W
Real Madrid W typically establish control early and maintain leads against weaker opposition. The recent 2-0 win suggests they can manage th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Real Madrid W / Real Madrid W
Given Real Madrid W's status as strong favorites and their recent H2H dominance, they are expected to start strong and maintain their lead....
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Real Madrid W / Real Madrid W
Considering Real Madrid W's previous win against Ajax W (which was 2-0), it's plausible they could lead at halftime and secure a win by the...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Real Madrid W / Real Madrid W
Real Madrid W are likely to dominate from the start and score early, leading at halftime and winning the match. However, there is a chance t...
Match winner
ConsensusReal Madrid W 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
72%
Real Madrid W
W
Real Madrid W won the reverse fixture 2-0 just a week earlier and hold superior attacking output in limited recent home matches. Ajax W have...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Real Madrid W
W
Real Madrid W holds a strong advantage based on the recent 2-0 away win against Ajax W. Playing at home further solidifies their position as...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
Real Madrid W
W
Real Madrid W is favored based on recent head-to-head results, winning their only previous encounter 2-0. Their home form is also stronger,...
DeepSeek V3
80%
Real Madrid W
W
Based on training data through early 2025, Real Madrid W are a top-tier side, and their recent 2-0 win over Ajax W shows clear superiority....
Draw no bet
ConsensusReal Madrid W 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
80%
Real Madrid W
W
Real Madrid W are the clear superior side and have already beaten Ajax W recently. Ajax W's away form is respectable but unlikely to hold he...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
Real Madrid W
W
Removing the draw option makes Real Madrid W an even more confident pick. Their recent head-to-head victory away from home strongly suggests...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
70%
Real Madrid W
W
Given Real Madrid W's historical advantage in the head-to-head and their stronger recent home form (albeit with fewer games played), they ar...
DeepSeek V3
85%
Real Madrid W
W
In a match where the draw is unlikely, Real Madrid W dominate on paper. Their recent win and squad quality suggest they will win inside regu...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
DeepSeek V3
Real Madrid W
Grok 4 Fast
Real Madrid W
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Real Madrid W
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Real Madrid W
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
02f42e1f4b109852…
- Kickoff
- Wed, Sep 2 · 18:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 35429,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "UEFA Champions League Women",
"starts_at": "2026-09-02T18:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Wed, 02 Sep 2026 18:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Ajax W",
"home": "Real Madrid W"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LWWWW",
"record": "4W-0D-1L",
"scored": 6,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 3
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WW",
"record": "2W-0D-0L",
"scored": 5,
"matches": 2,
"conceded": 2
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 7,
"home": 2
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-08-26: Ajax W 0–2 Real Madrid W"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
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