Raków CzęstochowavsHNK Hajduk Split
Raków Częstochowa 2–3 HNK Hajduk Split
3 of 4 AIs leaned Draw — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Draw 3/4
- Correct calls
- 0/4
- Final
- 2–3
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Draw no bet
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Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
HNK Hajduk Split 2/4 models |
Draw / Draw 3/4 models |
Draw 3/4 models |
over 2/4 models |
1-1 3/4 models |
HNK Hajduk Split 3/4 models |
HNK Hajduk Split +0.5 2/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
52%
HNK Hajduk Split
W
|
29%
Draw / Draw
L
|
38%
Draw
L
|
57%
under
L
|
22%
1-1
L
|
49%
HNK Hajduk Split |
50%
HNK Hajduk Split 0
W
|
51%
yes
W
|
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
52%
HNK Hajduk Split Away side enters with stronger recent results and better scoring output. Home venue advantage is offset by poor home record. Training data t...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
29%
Draw / Draw Low-scoring profile and even H2H favor cagey first half followed by draw. Both sides cautious in Europe. Training data through 2025-09 used.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
38%
Draw Recent H2H ended 2-2 and both sides show mixed results. Home side has poorer form record while away side is fresher after fewer rest days. T...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
57%
under European tie with modest attacking returns from both and set-piece focus likely. Home defensive record and recent low-scoring H2H support un...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
1-1 Recent 2-2 and modest expected goals point to 1-1 as most probable. Under 2.5 goals bias supports narrow scores. Training data through 2025-...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
49%
HNK Hajduk Split Away side better recent form but home ground gives slight edge on -1 line. Low goal expectation keeps margin narrow. Training data through 2...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
HNK Hajduk Split 0 Even matchup per recent H2H and form split. Asian line at 0 reflects balanced probabilities. Training data through 2025-09 used.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
yes Both teams average over one goal per game and last H2H produced four goals. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides point to BTTS. Training... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
52%
HNK Hajduk Split
W
|
30%
Draw / Draw
L
|
36%
Draw
L
|
60%
Over
W
|
20%
1-1
L
|
75%
HNK Hajduk Split +1
W
|
68%
HNK Hajduk Split +0.5
W
|
70%
Yes
W
|
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
52%
HNK Hajduk Split With the draw removed, the decision leans towards Hajduk Split. Their significantly better recent form and higher goal-scoring rate suggest...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw Given the first leg was a 2-2 draw and the aggregate is level, both teams may approach the start of the second leg cautiously to avoid conce...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
36%
Draw This is the second leg of a tie that saw a 2-2 draw in the first leg. While Hajduk Split is in superior recent form, Raków Częstochowa plays...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over The first leg ended 2-2, indicating both teams are capable of scoring and conceding. Given the aggregate score is 2-2, both sides will be mo...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-1 The first leg ended in a 2-2 draw, suggesting both teams can score. Given the tight aggregate score and the potential for caution in a secon...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
HNK Hajduk Split +1 Raków Częstochowa winning by two or more goals (Home -1) seems unlikely given their recent form and the tight 2-2 draw in the first leg. Haj...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
68%
HNK Hajduk Split +0.5 Away +0.5 implies Hajduk Split wins or draws, which aligns with the overall expectation of a tight contest where Hajduk's better form could...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
70%
Yes Both teams scored in the first leg's 2-2 draw. Hajduk Split has scored in all of their last five matches, showcasing strong attacking form.... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
45%
Draw
L
|
30%
Draw / Draw
L
|
45%
Draw
L
|
55%
over
W
|
25%
2-2
L
|
52%
HNK Hajduk Split |
50%
away_ +0.25 |
60%
yes
W
|
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
45%
Draw Similar to the head-to-head prediction, the recent 2-2 draw suggests a tight match. With neither team showing a significant upper hand, a dr...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw The first leg was a 2-2 draw, suggesting a tight contest where both teams are capable of scoring. A draw at half-time and a draw at full-tim...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Draw The two teams played out a 2-2 draw in their recent first leg, indicating a closely matched contest. Given their similar recent form and the...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over The first leg finished 2-2, indicating that both teams have the ability to score and concede. Hajduk Split's away form shows they score many...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
2-2 The recent first leg finished 2-2, indicating that both teams possess attacking capabilities and can concede. This scoreline is the most pro...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
HNK Hajduk Split While the first leg was a draw, Hajduk Split's strong attacking record away from home and Raków's mixed home form suggest Hajduk might edge...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
away_ +0.25 Given the 2-2 draw in the first leg, the teams are very evenly matched. Hajduk Split's attacking prowess away from home gives them a slight...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes The previous encounter ended 2-2, meaning both teams scored. Hajduk Split's recent away form indicates a strong attacking record, while Rakó... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
50%
Raków Częstochowa
L
|
25%
Draw / Raków Częstochowa
L
|
45%
Raków Częstochowa
L
|
55%
over
W
|
15%
1-1
L
|
40%
HNK Hajduk Split |
55%
HNK Hajduk Split +0.5
W
|
60%
yes
W
|
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
50%
Raków Częstochowa On a draw-no-bet basis, I give Raków a slight edge because of home advantage and superior rest. Hajduk's form is better, but the fatigue fac...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Draw / Raków Częstochowa Expect a tight first half with neither side wanting to concede early. Raków may push after the break due to home advantage, so a half-time d...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Raków Częstochowa Raków have home advantage and are well-rested with six days between matches, while Hajduk have only three days' rest after a demanding away...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over The first leg ended 2-2, suggesting both teams can score. Hajduk have scored 14 in their last five, and while Raków have scored fewer, they...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 Given the tight nature of the tie and the teams' recent scoring trends, a 1-1 draw is a common result. Both teams are capable of scoring but...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
HNK Hajduk Split The spread is likely home -1, meaning Hajduk +1. Given Hajduk's unbeaten run and Raków's poor form, backing the away side to cover +1 seems...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
HNK Hajduk Split +0.5 With the first leg drawn, Hajduk's +0.5 handicap means they win if they avoid defeat. Given their form and Raków's inconsistency, backing th...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Both teams have shown scoring ability, with Hajduk averaging nearly 3 goals per game and Raków scoring in most matches. The first leg saw bo... |
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Draw no bet
ConsensusHNK Hajduk Split 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
HNK Hajduk Split
W
Away side enters with stronger recent results and better scoring output. Home venue advantage is offset by poor home record. Training data t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
HNK Hajduk Split
W
With the draw removed, the decision leans towards Hajduk Split. Their significantly better recent form and higher goal-scoring rate suggest...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw
L
Similar to the head-to-head prediction, the recent 2-2 draw suggests a tight match. With neither team showing a significant upper hand, a dr...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Raków Częstochowa
L
On a draw-no-bet basis, I give Raków a slight edge because of home advantage and superior rest. Hajduk's form is better, but the fatigue fac...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Draw 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
29%
Draw / Draw
L
Low-scoring profile and even H2H favor cagey first half followed by draw. Both sides cautious in Europe. Training data through 2025-09 used.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
30%
Draw / Draw
L
Given the first leg was a 2-2 draw and the aggregate is level, both teams may approach the start of the second leg cautiously to avoid conce...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
Draw / Draw
L
The first leg was a 2-2 draw, suggesting a tight contest where both teams are capable of scoring. A draw at half-time and a draw at full-tim...
DeepSeek V3
25%
Draw / Raków Częstochowa
L
Expect a tight first half with neither side wanting to concede early. Raków may push after the break due to home advantage, so a half-time d...
Match winner
ConsensusDraw 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Draw
L
Recent H2H ended 2-2 and both sides show mixed results. Home side has poorer form record while away side is fresher after fewer rest days. T...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
36%
Draw
L
This is the second leg of a tie that saw a 2-2 draw in the first leg. While Hajduk Split is in superior recent form, Raków Częstochowa plays...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw
L
The two teams played out a 2-2 draw in their recent first leg, indicating a closely matched contest. Given their similar recent form and the...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Raków Częstochowa
L
Raków have home advantage and are well-rested with six days between matches, while Hajduk have only three days' rest after a demanding away...
Over / Under
Consensusover 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
57%
under
L
European tie with modest attacking returns from both and set-piece focus likely. Home defensive record and recent low-scoring H2H support un...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Over
W
The first leg ended 2-2, indicating both teams are capable of scoring and conceding. Given the aggregate score is 2-2, both sides will be mo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
The first leg finished 2-2, indicating that both teams have the ability to score and concede. Hajduk Split's away form shows they score many...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
W
The first leg ended 2-2, suggesting both teams can score. Hajduk have scored 14 in their last five, and while Raków have scored fewer, they...
Correct score
Consensus1-1 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
22%
1-1
L
Recent 2-2 and modest expected goals point to 1-1 as most probable. Under 2.5 goals bias supports narrow scores. Training data through 2025-...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
1-1
L
The first leg ended in a 2-2 draw, suggesting both teams can score. Given the tight aggregate score and the potential for caution in a secon...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
25%
2-2
L
The recent first leg finished 2-2, indicating that both teams possess attacking capabilities and can concede. This scoreline is the most pro...
DeepSeek V3
15%
1-1
L
Given the tight nature of the tie and the teams' recent scoring trends, a 1-1 draw is a common result. Both teams are capable of scoring but...
Spread
ConsensusHNK Hajduk Split 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
49%
HNK Hajduk Split
Away side better recent form but home ground gives slight edge on -1 line. Low goal expectation keeps margin narrow. Training data through 2...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
HNK Hajduk Split +1
W
Raków Częstochowa winning by two or more goals (Home -1) seems unlikely given their recent form and the tight 2-2 draw in the first leg. Haj...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
HNK Hajduk Split
While the first leg was a draw, Hajduk Split's strong attacking record away from home and Raków's mixed home form suggest Hajduk might edge...
DeepSeek V3
40%
HNK Hajduk Split
The spread is likely home -1, meaning Hajduk +1. Given Hajduk's unbeaten run and Raków's poor form, backing the away side to cover +1 seems...
Asian handicap
ConsensusHNK Hajduk Split +0.5 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
50%
HNK Hajduk Split 0
W
Even matchup per recent H2H and form split. Asian line at 0 reflects balanced probabilities. Training data through 2025-09 used.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
HNK Hajduk Split +0.5
W
Away +0.5 implies Hajduk Split wins or draws, which aligns with the overall expectation of a tight contest where Hajduk's better form could...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
away_ +0.25
Given the 2-2 draw in the first leg, the teams are very evenly matched. Hajduk Split's attacking prowess away from home gives them a slight...
DeepSeek V3
55%
HNK Hajduk Split +0.5
W
With the first leg drawn, Hajduk's +0.5 handicap means they win if they avoid defeat. Given their form and Raków's inconsistency, backing th...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
yes
W
Both teams average over one goal per game and last H2H produced four goals. Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides point to BTTS. Training...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Yes
W
Both teams scored in the first leg's 2-2 draw. Hajduk Split has scored in all of their last five matches, showcasing strong attacking form....
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
yes
W
The previous encounter ended 2-2, meaning both teams scored. Hajduk Split's recent away form indicates a strong attacking record, while Rakó...
DeepSeek V3
60%
yes
W
Both teams have shown scoring ability, with Hajduk averaging nearly 3 goals per game and Raków scoring in most matches. The first leg saw bo...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Draw
DeepSeek V3
Raków Częstochowa
Grok 4 Fast
Draw
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Draw
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
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Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
41c95d4b8cbfe681…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Aug 27 · 17:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 31600,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow",
"league": "UEFA Europa Conference League",
"starts_at": "2026-08-27T17:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 27 Aug 2026 17:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "HNK Hajduk Split",
"home": "Raków Częstochowa"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WDWWD",
"record": "3W-2D-0L",
"scored": 14,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 5
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DLWDL",
"record": "1W-2D-2L",
"scored": 5,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 3,
"home": 6
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-08-20: HNK Hajduk Split 2–2 Raków Częstochowa"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
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