QarabagvsTwente
Qarabag 1–4 Twente
All 4 AIs backed Qarabag — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Qarabag 4/4
- Correct calls
- 0/4
- Final
- 1–4
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Qarabag 3/4 models |
under 2/4 models |
1-0 3/4 models |
Qarabag 4/4 models |
no 2/4 models |
Qarabag -1 1/4 models |
Qarabag -0.25 2/4 models |
Draw / Qarabag 3/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
67%
Qarabag
L
|
55%
under
L
|
22%
2-0
L
|
62%
Qarabag
L
|
58%
no
L
|
51%
Qarabag -1
L
|
59%
Qarabag -0.75
L
|
41%
Qarabag / Qarabag
L
|
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
67%
Qarabag Qarabag's domestic dominance and first-leg lead make a home win the most probable outcome. Twente need an away win but lack consistent scori...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Both sides average under 2.5 goals in recent European matches and Qarabag's home games are typically low-scoring. Twente's defensive organiz...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
2-0 Low-scoring pattern and first-leg result point to a 2-0 or 1-0 finish. Qarabag's defense is reliable at home while Twente struggle to break...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Qarabag Qarabag won the first leg 1-0 away and hold a strong home record in European ties. Twente's recent away form is inconsistent and they strugg...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
no Qarabag keep clean sheets at home frequently and Twente scored only once in the first leg. Low expected goals from set-piece and open-play d...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Qarabag -1 Qarabag's home edge and first-leg lead support covering a -1 spread. Twente can nick a goal but rarely win away in Europe. Slight lean to ho...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
59%
Qarabag -0.75 Qarabag favored by roughly 0.75 goals on home soil. First-leg result and rest parity make the handicap attractive. Twente's form does not su...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
41%
Qarabag / Qarabag Qarabag typically control games from the first whistle at home. First-leg win and superior squad depth support leading at half-time and full... |
|||||||||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
65%
Qarabag DNB
L
|
58%
Under 2.5
L
|
25%
1-0
L
|
45%
Qarabag
L
|
55%
No
L
|
75%
Twente +1
W
|
45%
Qarabag -0.5
L
|
35%
Draw / Qarabag
L
|
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Qarabag DNB Based on my training knowledge, Qarabag has the aggregate lead and home advantage, making them strong favorites to at least avoid defeat. A...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under 2.5 Predicting from my training knowledge, the first leg ended 0-1, suggesting a tight affair. Qarabag will aim to protect their aggregate lead...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
1-0 Based on my training knowledge, Qarabag's strong home defense and their 1-0 aggregate lead make a low-scoring victory highly probable. A 1-0...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Qarabag Predicting from my training knowledge, Qarabag holds a 1-0 aggregate lead and plays at home. Their home form is strong, and they will aim to...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Based on my training knowledge, Qarabag boasts a solid defensive record at home, conceding only twice in their last five matches, and the fi...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
Twente +1 Predicting from my training knowledge, Qarabag will prioritize securing the aggregate win rather than winning by a large margin. Twente's ne...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Qarabag -0.5 Based on my training knowledge, Qarabag is the stronger side with home advantage and a lead from the first leg. This pick is equivalent to Q...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Draw / Qarabag Predicting from my training knowledge, Qarabag's aggregate lead means they may start cautiously, leading to a half-time draw. Their defensiv... |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
60%
Qarabag
L
|
58%
Under
L
|
25%
1-0
L
|
55%
Qarabag
L
|
56%
No
L
|
52%
Twente
W
|
55%
Qarabag -0.25
L
|
40%
Draw / Qarabag
L
|
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Qarabag Given Qarabag's home advantage and the first-leg result, they are the more likely winners. The draw-no-bet market offers a safer bet on Qara...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under Both teams have a recent tendency to score, but Qarabag's strong defense at home and the narrow margin from the first leg suggest a potentia...
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
1-0 Given Qarabag's strong home defense and the narrow 1-0 victory in the first leg, repeating that scoreline is a strong possibility. They are...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Qarabag Qarabag has a slight edge due to their strong home form and the narrow victory in the first leg. Twente has shown scoring potential but also...
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
56%
No While Twente has shown attacking capability, Qarabag's home defense has been very strong, suggesting they are capable of keeping a clean she...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Twente This is a speculative pick based on Twente needing to push for a result away from home. If they can avoid conceding early, they might be abl...
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Qarabag -0.25 Qarabag's home advantage and the first-leg lead make them slight favorites. The -0.25 handicap accounts for their favored status while offer...
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Draw / Qarabag Qarabag might adopt a cautious approach, aiming to see out the game after taking a lead. A draw at halftime, followed by a second-half winne...
3 sources cited
|
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Qarabag
L
|
55%
under
L
|
18%
1-0
L
|
42%
Qarabag
L
|
52%
no
L
|
38%
Qarabag
L
|
50%
Qarabag -0.25
L
|
20%
Draw / Qarabag
L
|
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Qarabag Qarabag's defensive solidity and home advantage make them favored to win without the draw. They have kept clean sheets in most recent matche...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under First leg was 1-0, and Qarabag's defensive record suggests a tight game. Twente needs to attack but may be cautious away. Expect a low-scori...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 Most likely a narrow Qarabag win with a clean sheet. 1-0 is common for such matchups. Other scores like 2-0 and 0-0 also plausible.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Qarabag Qarabag won the first leg 1-0 in Twente, giving them a defensive advantage at home. Their recent form is strong with three wins in five, con...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
no Given Qarabag's defensive strength and the 1-0 first leg, a clean sheet for Qarabag is plausible. Twente's scoring has been inconsistent awa...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
38%
Qarabag Qarabag winning by 2+ is unlikely given the tight nature expected. Twente will push for a goal, making a one-goal margin more probable. Home...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Qarabag -0.25 With home advantage and defensive strength, Qarabag is slight favorites. A -0.25 handicap offers protection against a draw. The probabilitie...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / Qarabag Game likely starts cautiously, with Qarabag scoring in second half. First half may end level. Probabilities spread over common outcomes. |
|||||||||
Draw no bet
ConsensusQarabag 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
67%
Qarabag
L
Qarabag's domestic dominance and first-leg lead make a home win the most probable outcome. Twente need an away win but lack consistent scori...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Qarabag DNB
L
Based on my training knowledge, Qarabag has the aggregate lead and home advantage, making them strong favorites to at least avoid defeat. A...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Qarabag
L
Given Qarabag's home advantage and the first-leg result, they are the more likely winners. The draw-no-bet market offers a safer bet on Qara...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Qarabag
L
Qarabag's defensive solidity and home advantage make them favored to win without the draw. They have kept clean sheets in most recent matche...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
under
L
Both sides average under 2.5 goals in recent European matches and Qarabag's home games are typically low-scoring. Twente's defensive organiz...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Under 2.5
L
Predicting from my training knowledge, the first leg ended 0-1, suggesting a tight affair. Qarabag will aim to protect their aggregate lead...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Under
L
Both teams have a recent tendency to score, but Qarabag's strong defense at home and the narrow margin from the first leg suggest a potentia...
DeepSeek V3
55%
under
L
First leg was 1-0, and Qarabag's defensive record suggests a tight game. Twente needs to attack but may be cautious away. Expect a low-scori...
Correct score
Consensus1-0 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
22%
2-0
L
Low-scoring pattern and first-leg result point to a 2-0 or 1-0 finish. Qarabag's defense is reliable at home while Twente struggle to break...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
25%
1-0
L
Based on my training knowledge, Qarabag's strong home defense and their 1-0 aggregate lead make a low-scoring victory highly probable. A 1-0...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
25%
1-0
L
Given Qarabag's strong home defense and the narrow 1-0 victory in the first leg, repeating that scoreline is a strong possibility. They are...
DeepSeek V3
18%
1-0
L
Most likely a narrow Qarabag win with a clean sheet. 1-0 is common for such matchups. Other scores like 2-0 and 0-0 also plausible.
Match winner
ConsensusQarabag 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Qarabag
L
Qarabag won the first leg 1-0 away and hold a strong home record in European ties. Twente's recent away form is inconsistent and they strugg...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Qarabag
L
Predicting from my training knowledge, Qarabag holds a 1-0 aggregate lead and plays at home. Their home form is strong, and they will aim to...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Qarabag
L
Qarabag has a slight edge due to their strong home form and the narrow victory in the first leg. Twente has shown scoring potential but also...
DeepSeek V3
42%
Qarabag
L
Qarabag won the first leg 1-0 in Twente, giving them a defensive advantage at home. Their recent form is strong with three wins in five, con...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
no
L
Qarabag keep clean sheets at home frequently and Twente scored only once in the first leg. Low expected goals from set-piece and open-play d...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
No
L
Based on my training knowledge, Qarabag boasts a solid defensive record at home, conceding only twice in their last five matches, and the fi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
56%
No
L
While Twente has shown attacking capability, Qarabag's home defense has been very strong, suggesting they are capable of keeping a clean she...
DeepSeek V3
52%
no
L
Given Qarabag's defensive strength and the 1-0 first leg, a clean sheet for Qarabag is plausible. Twente's scoring has been inconsistent awa...
Spread
ConsensusQarabag -1 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Qarabag -1
L
Qarabag's home edge and first-leg lead support covering a -1 spread. Twente can nick a goal but rarely win away in Europe. Slight lean to ho...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
Twente +1
W
Predicting from my training knowledge, Qarabag will prioritize securing the aggregate win rather than winning by a large margin. Twente's ne...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Twente
W
This is a speculative pick based on Twente needing to push for a result away from home. If they can avoid conceding early, they might be abl...
DeepSeek V3
38%
Qarabag
L
Qarabag winning by 2+ is unlikely given the tight nature expected. Twente will push for a goal, making a one-goal margin more probable. Home...
Asian handicap
ConsensusQarabag -0.25 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
59%
Qarabag -0.75
L
Qarabag favored by roughly 0.75 goals on home soil. First-leg result and rest parity make the handicap attractive. Twente's form does not su...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Qarabag -0.5
L
Based on my training knowledge, Qarabag is the stronger side with home advantage and a lead from the first leg. This pick is equivalent to Q...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Qarabag -0.25
L
Qarabag's home advantage and the first-leg lead make them slight favorites. The -0.25 handicap accounts for their favored status while offer...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Qarabag -0.25
L
With home advantage and defensive strength, Qarabag is slight favorites. A -0.25 handicap offers protection against a draw. The probabilitie...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Qarabag 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
41%
Qarabag / Qarabag
L
Qarabag typically control games from the first whistle at home. First-leg win and superior squad depth support leading at half-time and full...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
35%
Draw / Qarabag
L
Predicting from my training knowledge, Qarabag's aggregate lead means they may start cautiously, leading to a half-time draw. Their defensiv...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Draw / Qarabag
L
Qarabag might adopt a cautious approach, aiming to see out the game after taking a lead. A draw at halftime, followed by a second-half winne...
DeepSeek V3
20%
Draw / Qarabag
L
Game likely starts cautiously, with Qarabag scoring in second half. First half may end level. Probabilities spread over common outcomes.
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Qarabag
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Qarabag
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Qarabag
DeepSeek V3
Qarabag
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
882dccdd5f21fe77…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Aug 27 · 16:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 31574,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Tofiq Bahramov Stadium",
"league": "UEFA Europa Conference League",
"starts_at": "2026-08-27T16:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 27 Aug 2026 16:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Twente",
"home": "Qarabag"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LWDLW",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 12,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWWLD",
"record": "3W-1D-1L",
"scored": 6,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 2
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 6,
"home": 6
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-08-20: Twente 0–1 Qarabag"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.