PueblavsToluca
AI predictions
8 markets · 5 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Toluca 5/5 models |
Toluca 5/5 models |
over 3/5 models |
yes 3/5 models |
Toluca 3/5 models |
Toluca -1.0 2/5 models |
Toluca / Toluca 4/5 models |
1-2 2/5 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
68%
Toluca |
73%
Toluca |
62%
under |
68%
no |
55%
Toluca |
68%
Toluca -0.5 |
48%
Toluca / Toluca |
28%
1-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Toluca Toluca's away form is elite: 4W-1D over 5 matches with only 1 goal conceded—a defensive fortress. Puebla at home has faltered with 2W-3L in...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
73%
Toluca Eliminating the draw, Toluca is the clear favourite given their away form dominance and Puebla's home vulnerability. Toluca's 10-1 goal reco...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
under Toluca's away form includes just 1 goal conceded in 5 matches—a defensive juggernaut. Puebla at home is leaky (12 conceded) but also inconsi...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
68%
no Toluca's away defence is elite (1 goal conceded in 5) and Puebla, despite scoring 8 at home, is inconsistent and facing a superior defensive...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Toluca Toluca at -1 (lay) means they need a 2+ goal victory. While Toluca's away form is excellent, converting that dominance into a 2-goal margin...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
68%
Toluca -0.5 At -0.5 AH, Toluca only needs a draw to win the bet, aligning with their strong form. The push risk is minimal and a Toluca win (highly like...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
Toluca / Toluca Toluca's away dominance suggests they impose themselves early and control the match; away-away (Toluca ahead at HT and FT) is the most likel...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
28%
1-0 Toluca's elite away defence (1 goal conceded in 5) and Puebla's home struggles point to a low-scoring Toluca win. A 1-0 victory is most prob... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
52%
Toluca |
67%
Toluca |
55%
over |
58%
yes |
48%
Toluca -1 |
53%
Toluca -0.75 |
38%
Toluca / Toluca |
18%
1-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Toluca Toluca arrive with superior recent form and a far better defensive record. Puebla have conceded heavily at home. Training data through 2025-...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
67%
Toluca Puebla's leaky defense and poor home record make Toluca the clear side to back without the draw. Rest differential favors the visitors sligh...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Puebla's high concession rate at home combines with Toluca's attacking output. Limited rest for Toluca may open the game further.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Puebla score regularly despite defeats while Toluca concede occasionally on the road. Set-piece threats from both sides support BTTS.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Toluca -1 Toluca's form edge supports a -1 handicap. Home defensive issues make a narrow away win the base case.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Toluca -0.75 Asian line favors Toluca given their clean-sheet trend and Puebla's home struggles. Rest advantage for home side is offset by quality gap.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Toluca / Toluca Toluca control second halves against weaker sides. Puebla tend to fade after poor starts. Training knowledge supports away/away as modal out...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 Narrow away win aligns with Toluca's defensive record and Puebla's home concession rate. 1-2 is the most probable exact line from recent pat... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
Toluca |
73%
Toluca |
60%
Over |
55%
No |
75%
Toluca +1 |
45%
Toluca -1.0 |
35%
Toluca / Toluca |
20%
0-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Toluca Based on the provided recent form, Toluca is in exceptional form with 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 10 goals and conceding only 1. Puebla, conv...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
73%
Toluca Toluca's superior recent form, characterized by a strong win rate and excellent goal difference, makes them the clear favorite for this matc...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over Puebla's defense has been notably porous, conceding 12 goals in their last five matches, indicating a high potential for goals against them....
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Toluca boasts an incredibly strong defensive record, having conceded only one goal in their last five outings. While Puebla has managed to s...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
Toluca +1 Given Toluca's significantly superior form and strong performance, they are highly favored to win this match. A +1 goal advantage for Toluca...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Toluca -1.0 Toluca's dominant form, highlighted by their impressive goal-scoring and strong defensive record, suggests they are capable of winning by at...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Toluca / Toluca Toluca's outstanding recent form, both offensively and defensively, makes them the favorite to control the game from the start. Given Puebla...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
0-2 Given Toluca's exceptional defensive record (1 goal conceded in 5 matches) and strong attack, coupled with Puebla's porous defense (12 goals... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
45%
Toluca |
50%
Toluca |
55%
over |
55%
yes |
45%
Toluca |
45%
away- -0.25 |
30%
Draw / Toluca |
10%
1-2 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Toluca Toluca's superior recent form (4 wins in last 5) compared to Puebla's mixed results (2 wins, 3 losses) suggests Toluca is the more likely wi...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
50%
Toluca Given Toluca's stronger recent form and Puebla's defensive frailties, Toluca is the favored side. The draw no bet market slightly increases...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Puebla's recent defensive record is poor, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game over their last 5. Despite Toluca's solid defense, Pueb...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Puebla has a very leaky defense, conceding 12 goals in their last 5. While Toluca's defense is good, Puebla is likely to concede, and their...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Toluca Toluca's better form makes them the favorite to win by more than one goal. Puebla's recent defensive performances have been weak, increasing...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
away- -0.25 Toluca's superior recent form and Puebla's defensive issues make Toluca the more likely outcome. Toluca at -0.25 offers a good balance of ri...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Toluca Puebla's poor recent form and defensive fragility suggest they may struggle to score early. Toluca, with their better form, could potentiall...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
10%
1-2 Given Puebla's weak defense and Toluca's better form, a narrow away win seems probable. Toluca is expected to score, and Puebla might get a... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Toluca |
60%
Toluca |
55%
over |
55%
yes |
45%
Toluca |
40%
Toluca -1.0 |
40%
Toluca / Toluca |
16%
2-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Toluca Training data through 2025-09. Toluca are in excellent form (WWWWD) with 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 10 and conceding only 1 in their last fi...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Toluca Removing the draw option, I see Toluca as clear favorites given their current form and Puebla's defensive disarray. Toluca have only dropped...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Puebla's recent matches have seen a total of 20 goals in their last 5, and Toluca 11 goals combined. Both teams show attacking capability, a...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Given Puebla's high scoring at home (8 goals in 5) but also conceding heavily (12), it is likely both teams find the net. Toluca have been s...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Toluca Toluca are expected to win by more than one goal given their superior form, but it is not a lock. Puebla have shown they can score at home,...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
40%
Toluca -1.0 A -1.0 Asian handicap essentially means Toluca must win by 2+ goals to win the full bet; a win by exactly 1 results in a push. Given their a...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Toluca / Toluca Toluca are strong, and away teams often lead at half, so I expect them to be winning at half-time and full-time. Puebla might start strong a...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
16%
2-1 Based on Puebla's home scoring and conceding pattern, a 2-1 away win for Toluca seems plausible. Puebla likely grab a consolation goal, but... |
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Match winner
ConsensusToluca 5/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
68%
Toluca
Toluca's away form is elite: 4W-1D over 5 matches with only 1 goal conceded—a defensive fortress. Puebla at home has faltered with 2W-3L in...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Toluca
Toluca arrive with superior recent form and a far better defensive record. Puebla have conceded heavily at home. Training data through 2025-...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Toluca
Based on the provided recent form, Toluca is in exceptional form with 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 10 goals and conceding only 1. Puebla, conv...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Toluca
Toluca's superior recent form (4 wins in last 5) compared to Puebla's mixed results (2 wins, 3 losses) suggests Toluca is the more likely wi...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Toluca
Training data through 2025-09. Toluca are in excellent form (WWWWD) with 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 10 and conceding only 1 in their last fi...
Draw no bet
ConsensusToluca 5/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
73%
Toluca
Eliminating the draw, Toluca is the clear favourite given their away form dominance and Puebla's home vulnerability. Toluca's 10-1 goal reco...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
67%
Toluca
Puebla's leaky defense and poor home record make Toluca the clear side to back without the draw. Rest differential favors the visitors sligh...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
73%
Toluca
Toluca's superior recent form, characterized by a strong win rate and excellent goal difference, makes them the clear favorite for this matc...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Toluca
Given Toluca's stronger recent form and Puebla's defensive frailties, Toluca is the favored side. The draw no bet market slightly increases...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Toluca
Removing the draw option, I see Toluca as clear favorites given their current form and Puebla's defensive disarray. Toluca have only dropped...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
under
Toluca's away form includes just 1 goal conceded in 5 matches—a defensive juggernaut. Puebla at home is leaky (12 conceded) but also inconsi...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
over
Puebla's high concession rate at home combines with Toluca's attacking output. Limited rest for Toluca may open the game further.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Over
Puebla's defense has been notably porous, conceding 12 goals in their last five matches, indicating a high potential for goals against them....
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
Puebla's recent defensive record is poor, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game over their last 5. Despite Toluca's solid defense, Pueb...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
Puebla's recent matches have seen a total of 20 goals in their last 5, and Toluca 11 goals combined. Both teams show attacking capability, a...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
68%
no
Toluca's away defence is elite (1 goal conceded in 5) and Puebla, despite scoring 8 at home, is inconsistent and facing a superior defensive...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
yes
Puebla score regularly despite defeats while Toluca concede occasionally on the road. Set-piece threats from both sides support BTTS.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
No
Toluca boasts an incredibly strong defensive record, having conceded only one goal in their last five outings. While Puebla has managed to s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
Puebla has a very leaky defense, conceding 12 goals in their last 5. While Toluca's defense is good, Puebla is likely to concede, and their...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
Given Puebla's high scoring at home (8 goals in 5) but also conceding heavily (12), it is likely both teams find the net. Toluca have been s...
Spread
ConsensusToluca 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Toluca
Toluca at -1 (lay) means they need a 2+ goal victory. While Toluca's away form is excellent, converting that dominance into a 2-goal margin...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Toluca -1
Toluca's form edge supports a -1 handicap. Home defensive issues make a narrow away win the base case.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
Toluca +1
Given Toluca's significantly superior form and strong performance, they are highly favored to win this match. A +1 goal advantage for Toluca...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Toluca
Toluca's better form makes them the favorite to win by more than one goal. Puebla's recent defensive performances have been weak, increasing...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Toluca
Toluca are expected to win by more than one goal given their superior form, but it is not a lock. Puebla have shown they can score at home,...
Asian handicap
ConsensusToluca -1.0 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
68%
Toluca -0.5
At -0.5 AH, Toluca only needs a draw to win the bet, aligning with their strong form. The push risk is minimal and a Toluca win (highly like...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
Toluca -0.75
Asian line favors Toluca given their clean-sheet trend and Puebla's home struggles. Rest advantage for home side is offset by quality gap.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Toluca -1.0
Toluca's dominant form, highlighted by their impressive goal-scoring and strong defensive record, suggests they are capable of winning by at...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
away- -0.25
Toluca's superior recent form and Puebla's defensive issues make Toluca the more likely outcome. Toluca at -0.25 offers a good balance of ri...
DeepSeek V3
40%
Toluca -1.0
A -1.0 Asian handicap essentially means Toluca must win by 2+ goals to win the full bet; a win by exactly 1 results in a push. Given their a...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusToluca / Toluca 4/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
48%
Toluca / Toluca
Toluca's away dominance suggests they impose themselves early and control the match; away-away (Toluca ahead at HT and FT) is the most likel...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Toluca / Toluca
Toluca control second halves against weaker sides. Puebla tend to fade after poor starts. Training knowledge supports away/away as modal out...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
35%
Toluca / Toluca
Toluca's outstanding recent form, both offensively and defensively, makes them the favorite to control the game from the start. Given Puebla...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
Draw / Toluca
Puebla's poor recent form and defensive fragility suggest they may struggle to score early. Toluca, with their better form, could potentiall...
DeepSeek V3
40%
Toluca / Toluca
Toluca are strong, and away teams often lead at half, so I expect them to be winning at half-time and full-time. Puebla might start strong a...
Correct score
Consensus1-2 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
28%
1-0
Toluca's elite away defence (1 goal conceded in 5) and Puebla's home struggles point to a low-scoring Toluca win. A 1-0 victory is most prob...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-2
Narrow away win aligns with Toluca's defensive record and Puebla's home concession rate. 1-2 is the most probable exact line from recent pat...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
0-2
Given Toluca's exceptional defensive record (1 goal conceded in 5 matches) and strong attack, coupled with Puebla's porous defense (12 goals...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
10%
1-2
Given Puebla's weak defense and Toluca's better form, a narrow away win seems probable. Toluca is expected to score, and Puebla might get a...
DeepSeek V3
16%
2-1
Based on Puebla's home scoring and conceding pattern, a 2-1 away win for Toluca seems plausible. Puebla likely grab a consolation goal, but...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Claude Haiku 4.5
Toluca
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Toluca
DeepSeek V3
Toluca
Grok 4 Fast
Toluca
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Toluca
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
f7d200bd7493b8f5…
- Kickoff
- Sat, Sep 5 · 01:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 36195,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Liga MX",
"starts_at": "2026-09-05T01:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 05 Sep 2026 01:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Toluca",
"home": "Puebla"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWWWD",
"record": "4W-1D-0L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 1
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LWWLL",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 8,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 12
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 2,
"home": 5
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.