Portland Timbers IIvsVancouver Whitecaps II
Portland Timbers II 0–0 Vancouver Whitecaps II
All 4 AIs backed Portland Timbers II — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Portland Timbers II 4/4
- Correct calls
- 0/4
- Final
- 0–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
yes 2/4 models |
Portland Timbers II 1/4 models |
Draw / Portland Timbers II 2/4 models |
2-1 3/4 models |
over 2/4 models |
Portland Timbers II -0.5 2/4 models |
Portland Timbers II 4/4 models |
Portland Timbers II 4/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
55%
yes
L
|
49%
Portland Timbers II -1
L
|
38%
Portland Timbers II / Portland Timbers II
L
|
18%
2-1
L
|
53%
over
L
|
52%
Portland Timbers II -0.5
L
|
52%
Portland Timbers II
L
|
58%
Portland Timbers II |
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Home side concedes infrequently but away attack has scored 13 in 5. Both teams show attacking intent in form data. No major injuries noted i...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
49%
Portland Timbers II -1 Home form suggests covering a narrow spread is plausible but away side's scoring output creates variance. Training knowledge through 2025 sh...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Portland Timbers II / Portland Timbers II Home control in first half followed by continued dominance matches Portland's recent pattern. Training data favors home/home in similar venu...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Most probable outcome aligns with home form advantage and typical scoring rates. 2-1 captures both teams finding the net while home wins. Tr...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Both sides average over 2.4 goals per game in recent samples. Home attack has been efficient while away defense leaks goals. Outdoor venue i...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Portland Timbers II -0.5 Home side's clean defensive record and home venue edge align with a half-goal handicap. Away side's two losses indicate vulnerability. No we...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Portland Timbers II Portland Timbers II enter with an unbeaten home record (WDWDW) and have conceded only four goals in five matches. Vancouver Whitecaps II sho...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Portland Timbers II Home side's defensive record and recent results outweigh away side's mixed form. No draw refund shifts value to the stronger home unit. Trai... |
|||||||||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
65%
Yes
L
|
38%
Draw (Portland wins by 1) |
28%
Draw / Portland Timbers II
L
|
16%
2-1
L
|
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
L
|
58%
Portland Timbers II -0.5
L
|
58%
Portland Timbers II
L
|
76%
Portland Timbers II |
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
Yes Vancouver Whitecaps II's recent form shows a team that scores a lot (2.6 goals/game) but also concedes a lot (2.2 goals/game), failing to ke...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
38%
Draw (Portland wins by 1) Portland Timbers II are favorites and expected to win. Given Vancouver's attacking threat and Portland's solid but not overwhelming scoring...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Portland Timbers II While Portland is favored to win, Vancouver's high-scoring nature and their ability to catch teams off guard suggest a potentially tight fir...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
16%
2-1 A 2-1 victory for Portland Timbers II aligns well with their expected win, the likelihood of both teams scoring, and Portland's average goal...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over 2.5 Goals Vancouver Whitecaps II's recent matches have been high-scoring affairs, with 24 goals (4.8 per game) across their last five. While Portland...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Portland Timbers II -0.5 A Portland Timbers II -0.5 Asian Handicap pick essentially mirrors the outright H2H win, requiring Portland to win the match. With their exc...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Portland Timbers II Portland Timbers II boasts strong home form (3W-2D-0L) and a solid defense, conceding only 4 goals in their last 5 matches. Vancouver Whitec...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
76%
Portland Timbers II Given Portland Timbers II's robust home form and superior defensive record, they are strong favorites to win outright. The draw no bet marke... |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
53%
yes
L
|
54%
Portland Timbers II
L
|
45%
Draw / Portland Timbers II
L
|
15%
2-1
L
|
52%
over
L
|
57%
home_ 0.5 |
55%
Portland Timbers II
L
|
60%
Portland Timbers II |
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
yes Vancouver Whitecaps II have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, and Portland Timbers II have a solid home record, suggesting they will like...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
54%
Portland Timbers II Portland Timbers II's strong home form and undefeated streak suggest they can overcome a one-goal deficit against Vancouver Whitecaps II, wh...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Draw / Portland Timbers II Portland Timbers II's strong second-half performance and tendency to secure wins at home, often after a drawn first half, make 'Draw-Home' a...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Portland Timbers II's strong home form and offensive capability, combined with Vancouver's ability to score but also concede, suggests a nar...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Both teams have shown attacking capability in their recent matches, with Vancouver scoring 13 and Portland scoring 9 in their last five game...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
57%
home_ 0.5 Portland Timbers II's superior form and undefeated home record make them the more likely team to win or at least avoid defeat by more than o...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Portland Timbers II Portland Timbers II has superior recent form, being undefeated in their last five matches while Vancouver Whitecaps II has struggled with tw...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Portland Timbers II Portland Timbers II's unbeaten run and solid defensive record give them a strong advantage. Even if Vancouver manages a draw, Portland's cur... |
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
52%
no
W
|
55%
Vancouver Whitecaps II
L
|
30%
Portland Timbers II / Portland Timbers II
L
|
20%
2-0
L
|
55%
under
W
|
50%
Portland Timbers II -0.25
L
|
45%
Portland Timbers II
L
|
60%
Portland Timbers II |
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
no Portland's strong defense makes it plausible they keep a clean sheet, especially at home. While Vancouver have scored in most matches, they...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Vancouver Whitecaps II With a -1 spread, the home team must win by at least two goals, which is a tall order given Vancouver's competitive nature. Portland have wo...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Portland Timbers II / Portland Timbers II Portland are likely to dominate early and convert their superiority into a halftime lead, then maintain it in the second half. Given their d...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
2-0 Portland's solid defense suggests they are likely to keep a clean sheet, while their attacking capability should yield goals. A 2-0 scorelin...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Timbers II have shown defensive solidity at home, with only four goals conceded in five, and matches between these reserve sides often trend...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Portland Timbers II -0.25 A quarter-goal handicap on the home side reflects their slight edge but also accounts for the possibility of a draw. Portland's unbeaten run...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Portland Timbers II Portland Timbers II are unbeaten in their last five with strong defensive solidity, conceding only four goals, while Vancouver Whitecaps II...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Portland Timbers II Removing the draw, Portland are the clear favourites given their home form and defensive record. Vancouver's away inconsistencies and greate... |
|||||||||
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
yes
L
Home side concedes infrequently but away attack has scored 13 in 5. Both teams show attacking intent in form data. No major injuries noted i...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Yes
L
Vancouver Whitecaps II's recent form shows a team that scores a lot (2.6 goals/game) but also concedes a lot (2.2 goals/game), failing to ke...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
yes
L
Vancouver Whitecaps II have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, and Portland Timbers II have a solid home record, suggesting they will like...
DeepSeek V3
52%
no
W
Portland's strong defense makes it plausible they keep a clean sheet, especially at home. While Vancouver have scored in most matches, they...
Spread
ConsensusPortland Timbers II 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
49%
Portland Timbers II -1
L
Home form suggests covering a narrow spread is plausible but away side's scoring output creates variance. Training knowledge through 2025 sh...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
38%
Draw (Portland wins by 1)
Portland Timbers II are favorites and expected to win. Given Vancouver's attacking threat and Portland's solid but not overwhelming scoring...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
54%
Portland Timbers II
L
Portland Timbers II's strong home form and undefeated streak suggest they can overcome a one-goal deficit against Vancouver Whitecaps II, wh...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Vancouver Whitecaps II
L
With a -1 spread, the home team must win by at least two goals, which is a tall order given Vancouver's competitive nature. Portland have wo...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Portland Timbers II 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Portland Timbers II / Portland Timbers II
L
Home control in first half followed by continued dominance matches Portland's recent pattern. Training data favors home/home in similar venu...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
28%
Draw / Portland Timbers II
L
While Portland is favored to win, Vancouver's high-scoring nature and their ability to catch teams off guard suggest a potentially tight fir...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw / Portland Timbers II
L
Portland Timbers II's strong second-half performance and tendency to secure wins at home, often after a drawn first half, make 'Draw-Home' a...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Portland Timbers II / Portland Timbers II
L
Portland are likely to dominate early and convert their superiority into a halftime lead, then maintain it in the second half. Given their d...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
L
Most probable outcome aligns with home form advantage and typical scoring rates. 2-1 captures both teams finding the net while home wins. Tr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
16%
2-1
L
A 2-1 victory for Portland Timbers II aligns well with their expected win, the likelihood of both teams scoring, and Portland's average goal...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
L
Portland Timbers II's strong home form and offensive capability, combined with Vancouver's ability to score but also concede, suggests a nar...
DeepSeek V3
20%
2-0
L
Portland's solid defense suggests they are likely to keep a clean sheet, while their attacking capability should yield goals. A 2-0 scorelin...
Over / Under
Consensusover 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
L
Both sides average over 2.4 goals per game in recent samples. Home attack has been efficient while away defense leaks goals. Outdoor venue i...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
L
Vancouver Whitecaps II's recent matches have been high-scoring affairs, with 24 goals (4.8 per game) across their last five. While Portland...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
over
L
Both teams have shown attacking capability in their recent matches, with Vancouver scoring 13 and Portland scoring 9 in their last five game...
DeepSeek V3
55%
under
W
Timbers II have shown defensive solidity at home, with only four goals conceded in five, and matches between these reserve sides often trend...
Asian handicap
ConsensusPortland Timbers II -0.5 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Portland Timbers II -0.5
L
Home side's clean defensive record and home venue edge align with a half-goal handicap. Away side's two losses indicate vulnerability. No we...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Portland Timbers II -0.5
L
A Portland Timbers II -0.5 Asian Handicap pick essentially mirrors the outright H2H win, requiring Portland to win the match. With their exc...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
57%
home_ 0.5
Portland Timbers II's superior form and undefeated home record make them the more likely team to win or at least avoid defeat by more than o...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Portland Timbers II -0.25
L
A quarter-goal handicap on the home side reflects their slight edge but also accounts for the possibility of a draw. Portland's unbeaten run...
Match winner
ConsensusPortland Timbers II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Portland Timbers II
L
Portland Timbers II enter with an unbeaten home record (WDWDW) and have conceded only four goals in five matches. Vancouver Whitecaps II sho...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Portland Timbers II
L
Portland Timbers II boasts strong home form (3W-2D-0L) and a solid defense, conceding only 4 goals in their last 5 matches. Vancouver Whitec...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Portland Timbers II
L
Portland Timbers II has superior recent form, being undefeated in their last five matches while Vancouver Whitecaps II has struggled with tw...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Portland Timbers II
L
Portland Timbers II are unbeaten in their last five with strong defensive solidity, conceding only four goals, while Vancouver Whitecaps II...
Draw no bet
ConsensusPortland Timbers II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Portland Timbers II
Home side's defensive record and recent results outweigh away side's mixed form. No draw refund shifts value to the stronger home unit. Trai...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
76%
Portland Timbers II
Given Portland Timbers II's robust home form and superior defensive record, they are strong favorites to win outright. The draw no bet marke...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Portland Timbers II
Portland Timbers II's unbeaten run and solid defensive record give them a strong advantage. Even if Vancouver manages a draw, Portland's cur...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Portland Timbers II
Removing the draw, Portland are the clear favourites given their home form and defensive record. Vancouver's away inconsistencies and greate...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Portland Timbers II
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Portland Timbers II
Grok 4 Fast
Portland Timbers II
DeepSeek V3
Portland Timbers II
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
080111280d253fd4…
- Kickoff
- Mon, Sep 7 · 20:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 39163,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Providence Park",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-09-07T20:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Mon, 07 Sep 2026 20:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Vancouver Whitecaps II",
"home": "Portland Timbers II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWLLD",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 13,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 11
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WDWDW",
"record": "3W-2D-0L",
"scored": 9,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 4
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 7,
"home": 8
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.