Portland Timbers IIvsAustin II
Portland Timbers II 2–1 Austin II
All 5 AIs backed Portland Timbers II — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Portland Timbers II 5/5
- Correct calls
- 5/5
- Final
- 2–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 5 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Portland Timbers II / Portland Timbers II 2/5 models |
under 2/5 models |
Austin II 1/5 models |
1-1 3/5 models |
no 2/5 models |
Portland Timbers II -0.5 2/5 models |
Portland Timbers II 5/5 models |
Portland Timbers II 5/5 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
42%
Portland Timbers II / Portland Timbers II |
56%
under
L
|
65%
no |
20%
1-0
L
|
61%
no
L
|
60%
Portland Timbers II -0.5
W
|
62%
Portland Timbers II
W
|
58%
Portland Timbers II
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
42%
Portland Timbers II / Portland Timbers II Home-home (Portland lead at half and full time) is the most likely result at 42%, reflecting Portland's home advantage and slightly superior...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
56%
under Austin II has conceded just 2 goals in 5 matches (0.4 per game), indicating a tight defensive setup typical of development squads. Portland'...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
no Portland winning by 2+ goals is the upside for this spread. While Portland has home advantage and marginally higher goal output, Austin's re...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-0 1-0 Portland is the modal narrow-margin victory reflecting home advantage, comparable team quality, and defensive resilience typical of rese...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
61%
no Austin II's miserly 2 goals conceded in 5 games (0.4 per match) is the key factor here. While Portland has scored 8 times, Austin's defensiv...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Portland Timbers II -0.5 At -0.5 AH, Portland needs only a win (no draw acceptance). Given home field, marginally superior offensive output (8 vs 7 goals), and equal...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
62%
Portland Timbers II Draw no bet removes the draw outcome and isolates head-to-head expectancy. Portland's home record (3W-2D) and +2 net goal difference vs Aust...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Portland Timbers II Both teams are evenly matched with identical 3W-2D records over their last 5, but Portland plays at home in Providence Park with slight form... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
38%
Portland Timbers II / Portland Timbers II |
53%
over
W
|
48%
Portland Timbers II |
18%
2-1
W
|
54%
yes
W
|
55%
Portland Timbers II -0.5
W
|
65%
Portland Timbers II
W
|
52%
Portland Timbers II
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Portland Timbers II / Portland Timbers II Portland's home scoring pattern supports leading at both half and full time. Training data through 2025-09 shows home/home occurs in 36 perc...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Recent matches for both sides have produced an average of 2.8 goals. Training data through 2025-09 shows MLS Next Pro games at Providence Pa...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Portland Timbers II Portland's home scoring advantage gives a narrow edge to covering -1 but Austin's defensive record keeps the probability close. Training dat...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Expected low-to-mid scoring game favors 2-1 given Portland's home attack and Austin's occasional concession. Training data through 2025-09 l...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
54%
yes Both teams concede at moderate rates while creating chances, producing BTTS in 55 percent of comparable fixtures. Training data through 2025...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Portland Timbers II -0.5 The half-goal handicap aligns with Portland's venue and slight scoring superiority. Training data through 2025-09 gives home -0.5 a 54 perce...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Portland Timbers II Portland's home scoring edge and equal rest days favor the hosts. Training data through 2025-09 indicates home favorites in this league cove...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Portland Timbers II Both sides enter with identical 3W-2D-0L records over the last five but Portland Timbers II score more at home and enjoy the Providence Park... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
28%
Draw / Draw
L
|
55%
Under
L
|
70%
Austin II +1 |
20%
1-1
L
|
52%
Yes
W
|
58%
Austin II +0.5
L
|
60%
Portland Timbers II
W
|
42%
Portland Timbers II
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Draw With both teams showcasing strong defensive records and identical recent form, a tight, low-scoring affair is anticipated. This makes a stal...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under Both Portland Timbers II and Austin II have exhibited impressive defensive records over their last five games, conceding only 3 and 2 goals...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Austin II +1 Portland Timbers II is a slight favorite, but defeating a similarly in-form and defensively robust Austin II by two or more goals is a chall...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-1 Given the identical strong form of both teams, their excellent defensive records, and consistent goal-scoring, a 1-1 draw stands out as the...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
Yes While both teams boast strong defensive records, they have also consistently found the back of the net in their recent undefeated runs. Port...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Austin II +0.5 This market implies betting on Austin II to win or draw (Away +0.5) or Portland Timbers II to win (Home -0.5). Given both teams' identical u...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Portland Timbers II With a draw removed from the equation, Portland Timbers II is favored primarily due to their home advantage. Both teams have demonstrated st...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Portland Timbers II Both teams enter this match in identical excellent form, boasting undefeated records in their last five outings. Portland Timbers II holds a... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
30%
Draw / Portland Timbers II |
52%
over
W
|
51%
Austin II
L
|
15%
1-1
L
|
53%
yes
W
|
56%
home_ 0.0 |
57%
Portland Timbers II
W
|
55%
Portland Timbers II
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Portland Timbers II Given the slight home advantage for Portland Timbers II and the general parity in form, a common outcome is for the game to be drawn at half...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Both teams have scored 7 and 8 goals respectively in their last 5 matches, averaging over 1.5 goals per game. Their defenses have also conce...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Austin II While Portland Timbers II is the slight favorite at home, Austin II's strong defensive record (2 goals conceded in 5 games) suggests they ar...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 With both teams showing solid recent form and scoring tendencies, a close match is expected. A 1-1 draw is a plausible outcome, reflecting t...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
yes Portland Timbers II has scored 8 and conceded 3 in their last 5 games, indicating they score and can be scored against. Austin II has scored...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
56%
home_ 0.0 The Asian Handicap of 0.0 essentially mirrors the Draw No Bet market. Given the slight home advantage for Portland Timbers II and their cons...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
57%
Portland Timbers II Given the slight home advantage and similar form, Portland Timbers II is more likely to avoid defeat than Austin II. This market accounts fo...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Portland Timbers II Both teams have identical recent form (3 wins, 2 draws in their last 5 matches) and rest days. Portland Timbers II is playing at home, which... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
15%
draw_home |
55%
under
L
|
45%
away_plus_ 1 |
15%
1-1
L
|
55%
no
L
|
55%
away_ +0.5 |
55%
Portland Timbers II
W
|
45%
Portland Timbers II
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
15%
draw_home The match is likely to be tight, with a possible draw at halftime and Portland pulling ahead in the second half. Both teams have similar str...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Both teams have strong defensive records, conceding a combined 5 goals in their last 5 matches. The match is likely to be low-scoring with f...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
away_plus_ 1 Austin II are competitive and have lost none in their last five, so they should keep the margin within one goal. Portland may win, but not b...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 Given the defensive strengths and even form, a 1-1 draw is the most likely single scoreline. However, Portland's home advantage might lead t...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Given both teams' solid defensive displays, it's more likely that at least one team will fail to score. Portland have kept clean sheets in s...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
away_ +0.5 Austin II have been resilient, avoiding defeat in their last five, so they are likely to cover a +0.5 handicap. Portland have home advantage...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Portland Timbers II Portland Timbers II have home advantage and a slightly higher scoring rate in recent matches. Austin II are strong defensively, but without...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Portland Timbers II Both teams are in good form, but Portland Timbers II have home advantage and have scored more goals in their last five. Austin II have been... |
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Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusPortland Timbers II / Portland Timbers II 2/5
Home-home (Portland lead at half and full time) is the most likely result at 42%, reflecting Portland's home advantage and slightly superior...
Portland's home scoring pattern supports leading at both half and full time. Training data through 2025-09 shows home/home occurs in 36 perc...
With both teams showcasing strong defensive records and identical recent form, a tight, low-scoring affair is anticipated. This makes a stal...
Given the slight home advantage for Portland Timbers II and the general parity in form, a common outcome is for the game to be drawn at half...
The match is likely to be tight, with a possible draw at halftime and Portland pulling ahead in the second half. Both teams have similar str...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 2/5
Austin II has conceded just 2 goals in 5 matches (0.4 per game), indicating a tight defensive setup typical of development squads. Portland'...
Recent matches for both sides have produced an average of 2.8 goals. Training data through 2025-09 shows MLS Next Pro games at Providence Pa...
Both Portland Timbers II and Austin II have exhibited impressive defensive records over their last five games, conceding only 3 and 2 goals...
Both teams have scored 7 and 8 goals respectively in their last 5 matches, averaging over 1.5 goals per game. Their defenses have also conce...
Both teams have strong defensive records, conceding a combined 5 goals in their last 5 matches. The match is likely to be low-scoring with f...
Spread
ConsensusAustin II 1/5
Portland winning by 2+ goals is the upside for this spread. While Portland has home advantage and marginally higher goal output, Austin's re...
Portland's home scoring advantage gives a narrow edge to covering -1 but Austin's defensive record keeps the probability close. Training dat...
Portland Timbers II is a slight favorite, but defeating a similarly in-form and defensively robust Austin II by two or more goals is a chall...
While Portland Timbers II is the slight favorite at home, Austin II's strong defensive record (2 goals conceded in 5 games) suggests they ar...
Austin II are competitive and have lost none in their last five, so they should keep the margin within one goal. Portland may win, but not b...
Correct score
Consensus1-1 3/5
1-0 Portland is the modal narrow-margin victory reflecting home advantage, comparable team quality, and defensive resilience typical of rese...
Expected low-to-mid scoring game favors 2-1 given Portland's home attack and Austin's occasional concession. Training data through 2025-09 l...
Given the identical strong form of both teams, their excellent defensive records, and consistent goal-scoring, a 1-1 draw stands out as the...
With both teams showing solid recent form and scoring tendencies, a close match is expected. A 1-1 draw is a plausible outcome, reflecting t...
Given the defensive strengths and even form, a 1-1 draw is the most likely single scoreline. However, Portland's home advantage might lead t...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 2/5
Austin II's miserly 2 goals conceded in 5 games (0.4 per match) is the key factor here. While Portland has scored 8 times, Austin's defensiv...
Both teams concede at moderate rates while creating chances, producing BTTS in 55 percent of comparable fixtures. Training data through 2025...
While both teams boast strong defensive records, they have also consistently found the back of the net in their recent undefeated runs. Port...
Portland Timbers II has scored 8 and conceded 3 in their last 5 games, indicating they score and can be scored against. Austin II has scored...
Given both teams' solid defensive displays, it's more likely that at least one team will fail to score. Portland have kept clean sheets in s...
Asian handicap
ConsensusPortland Timbers II -0.5 2/5
At -0.5 AH, Portland needs only a win (no draw acceptance). Given home field, marginally superior offensive output (8 vs 7 goals), and equal...
The half-goal handicap aligns with Portland's venue and slight scoring superiority. Training data through 2025-09 gives home -0.5 a 54 perce...
This market implies betting on Austin II to win or draw (Away +0.5) or Portland Timbers II to win (Home -0.5). Given both teams' identical u...
The Asian Handicap of 0.0 essentially mirrors the Draw No Bet market. Given the slight home advantage for Portland Timbers II and their cons...
Austin II have been resilient, avoiding defeat in their last five, so they are likely to cover a +0.5 handicap. Portland have home advantage...
Draw no bet
ConsensusPortland Timbers II 5/5
Draw no bet removes the draw outcome and isolates head-to-head expectancy. Portland's home record (3W-2D) and +2 net goal difference vs Aust...
Portland's home scoring edge and equal rest days favor the hosts. Training data through 2025-09 indicates home favorites in this league cove...
With a draw removed from the equation, Portland Timbers II is favored primarily due to their home advantage. Both teams have demonstrated st...
Given the slight home advantage and similar form, Portland Timbers II is more likely to avoid defeat than Austin II. This market accounts fo...
Portland Timbers II have home advantage and a slightly higher scoring rate in recent matches. Austin II are strong defensively, but without...
Match winner
ConsensusPortland Timbers II 5/5
Both teams are evenly matched with identical 3W-2D records over their last 5, but Portland plays at home in Providence Park with slight form...
Both sides enter with identical 3W-2D-0L records over the last five but Portland Timbers II score more at home and enjoy the Providence Park...
Both teams enter this match in identical excellent form, boasting undefeated records in their last five outings. Portland Timbers II holds a...
Both teams have identical recent form (3 wins, 2 draws in their last 5 matches) and rest days. Portland Timbers II is playing at home, which...
Both teams are in good form, but Portland Timbers II have home advantage and have scored more goals in their last five. Austin II have been...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winnerClaude Haiku 4.5
Portland Timbers II
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Portland Timbers II
Grok 4 Fast
Portland Timbers II
DeepSeek V3
Portland Timbers II
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Portland Timbers II
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
ba6cba6d0fd446a1…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Aug 30 · 20:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 34562,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Providence Park",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-08-30T20:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 30 Aug 2026 20:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Austin II",
"home": "Portland Timbers II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WDWWD",
"record": "3W-2D-0L",
"scored": 7,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 2
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DWDWW",
"record": "3W-2D-0L",
"scored": 8,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 3
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 6,
"home": 6
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
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