PlzenvsFK Crvena Zvezda
Plzen 5–1 FK Crvena Zvezda
All 4 AIs backed FK Crvena Zvezda — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- FK Crvena Zvezda 4/4
- Correct calls
- 0/4
- Final
- 5–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
FK Crvena Zvezda 4/4 models |
FK Crvena Zvezda 4/4 models |
under 2/4 models |
no 2/4 models |
FK Crvena Zvezda 3/4 models |
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.0 2/4 models |
Draw / FK Crvena Zvezda 2/4 models |
1-2 2/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
58%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
|
65%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
|
54%
under
L
|
56%
no
L
|
52%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
|
55%
FK Crvena Zvezda -0.25
L
|
38%
Draw / FK Crvena Zvezda
L
|
22%
1-2
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
FK Crvena Zvezda Red Star arrive with superior recent form (WWLWL) and a 3-0 first-leg win over Plzen. Plzen's home record shows defensive fragility with 14...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
FK Crvena Zvezda Away side has won the only recent H2H meeting and shows better scoring efficiency. Plzen concede heavily at home while Red Star keep clean s...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
54%
under Both sides have shown low-scoring tendencies in away and home legs respectively. Set-piece and defensive focus in European ties often keeps...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
56%
no Red Star's defensive record and recent clean-sheet rate make BTTS less likely. Plzen struggle to score consistently against organized away s...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
FK Crvena Zvezda Red Star's recent scoring and defensive edge allow them to cover a -1 spread more often than not. Plzen's leaky home defense supports this l...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
FK Crvena Zvezda -0.25 The first-leg result and current form split favor Red Star on a quarter-ball handicap. Plzen's poor home results make the away line attracti...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Draw / FK Crvena Zvezda Red Star tend to control games after half-time while Plzen start matches competitively at home. The first-leg dominance suggests a draw at H...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
1-2 Recent H2H and form trends point to a narrow away win. Plzen score but concede regularly while Red Star finish efficiently. Training knowled... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
|
73%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
|
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
|
55%
No
L
|
75%
FK Crvena Zvezda +1
L
|
65%
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.0
L
|
35%
FK Crvena Zvezda / FK Crvena Zvezda
L
|
15%
0-2
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
FK Crvena Zvezda Based on my training data up to my knowledge cut-off, FK Crvena Zvezda generally possesses stronger form and quality. Their recent H2H victo...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
73%
FK Crvena Zvezda As with the H2H market, FK Crvena Zvezda is the stronger side based on historical performance and recent form from my training data. Removin...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Over 2.5 Goals Plzen's defensive record is poor, conceding 14 goals in their last 5 matches according to the brief, making them prone to conceding multiple...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No FK Crvena Zvezda has demonstrated a strong defensive record in recent matches, conceding only 3 goals in their last 5 games. While Plzen sco...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
FK Crvena Zvezda +1 This market implies a -1 goal handicap on the home team, Plzen. Given Crvena Zvezda's superior form and their 3-0 H2H victory, Plzen winning...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.0 Considering Crvena Zvezda's strong form and dominant H2H win, they are well-positioned to win by at least two goals. A -1.0 Asian Handicap m...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
FK Crvena Zvezda / FK Crvena Zvezda Given FK Crvena Zvezda's overall superiority and stronger attacking capabilities from my training data, they are expected to take an early l...
2 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
0-2 Based on my training data, FK Crvena Zvezda's robust defense makes a clean sheet or just one goal conceded a strong possibility. Their attac...
2 sources cited
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
58%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
|
60%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
|
55%
under
L
|
57%
no
L
|
52%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
|
55%
FK Crvena Zvezda |
45%
Draw / FK Crvena Zvezda
L
|
15%
1-0
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda won the first leg convincingly 3-0. They have shown better recent form in their last 5 matches, winning 3 out of 5 compared...
3 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
FK Crvena Zvezda Given FK Crvena Zvezda's strong first-leg performance and better recent form, they are the favorites. Even with the possibility of a draw, t...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under The first leg ended 3-0, indicating a strong defensive performance from FK Crvena Zvezda. While Plzen has conceded many goals, their attacki...
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
57%
no FK Crvena Zvezda has a strong defensive record, conceding only 3 goals in their last 5 matches, and kept a clean sheet in the first leg. Plz...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda has a 3-0 advantage from the first leg. While they might not win by more than one goal in this second leg, their overall st...
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda is the stronger side based on the first-leg result and recent form. They are favored to win this match, or at least avoid a...
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Draw / FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda has a significant lead and may opt for a more defensive approach in the first half, potentially leading to a draw at halfti...
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-0 FK Crvena Zvezda won the first leg 3-0. They are likely to focus on maintaining their aggregate lead. A narrow win or a draw is plausible. A...
3 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
45%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
|
55%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
|
55%
over
W
|
60%
yes
W
|
40%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
|
45%
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.0
L
|
25%
FK Crvena Zvezda / FK Crvena Zvezda
L
|
12%
1-2
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
FK Crvena Zvezda Based on training data through 2025-09, Crvena Zvezda won the first leg 3-0 and have stronger recent form (3W-0D-2L) compared to Plzen's 1W-...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
FK Crvena Zvezda In draw no bet, Crvena Zvezda are favored due to their first-leg advantage and superior form. Plzen's need to chase the game may leave them...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Given Plzen's need to score multiple goals and Zvezda's counter-attacking threat, the game is likely open with chances. Plzen have scored 10...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Plzen are likely to score at home as they need goals, and Zvezda have scoring ability. Plzen's defense is leaky, and Zvezda are strong on th...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
FK Crvena Zvezda Spread -1 means away team wins by 2+ goals. Given Zvezda's superiority and Plzen's need to push forward, a two-goal margin is possible but n...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.0 Asian handicap -1.0 for away means Zvezda need to win by 2+ for full win, by 1 for push. Given the first-leg result and form, a win by 2+ is...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
FK Crvena Zvezda / FK Crvena Zvezda Given Zvezda's strong defense and Plzen's need to attack, Zvezda are likely to lead at half-time and maintain the lead. Plzen might score la...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-2 The most likely scorelines reflect Plzen scoring at home but Zvezda outscoring them. 1-2 is a plausible outcome given Plzen's need to score... |
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Match winner
ConsensusFK Crvena Zvezda 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
Red Star arrive with superior recent form (WWLWL) and a 3-0 first-leg win over Plzen. Plzen's home record shows defensive fragility with 14...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
Based on my training data up to my knowledge cut-off, FK Crvena Zvezda generally possesses stronger form and quality. Their recent H2H victo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
FK Crvena Zvezda won the first leg convincingly 3-0. They have shown better recent form in their last 5 matches, winning 3 out of 5 compared...
DeepSeek V3
45%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
Based on training data through 2025-09, Crvena Zvezda won the first leg 3-0 and have stronger recent form (3W-0D-2L) compared to Plzen's 1W-...
Draw no bet
ConsensusFK Crvena Zvezda 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
65%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
Away side has won the only recent H2H meeting and shows better scoring efficiency. Plzen concede heavily at home while Red Star keep clean s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
73%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
As with the H2H market, FK Crvena Zvezda is the stronger side based on historical performance and recent form from my training data. Removin...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
Given FK Crvena Zvezda's strong first-leg performance and better recent form, they are the favorites. Even with the possibility of a draw, t...
DeepSeek V3
55%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
In draw no bet, Crvena Zvezda are favored due to their first-leg advantage and superior form. Plzen's need to chase the game may leave them...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
54%
under
L
Both sides have shown low-scoring tendencies in away and home legs respectively. Set-piece and defensive focus in European ties often keeps...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
Plzen's defensive record is poor, conceding 14 goals in their last 5 matches according to the brief, making them prone to conceding multiple...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
under
L
The first leg ended 3-0, indicating a strong defensive performance from FK Crvena Zvezda. While Plzen has conceded many goals, their attacki...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
W
Given Plzen's need to score multiple goals and Zvezda's counter-attacking threat, the game is likely open with chances. Plzen have scored 10...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
56%
no
L
Red Star's defensive record and recent clean-sheet rate make BTTS less likely. Plzen struggle to score consistently against organized away s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
No
L
FK Crvena Zvezda has demonstrated a strong defensive record in recent matches, conceding only 3 goals in their last 5 games. While Plzen sco...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
57%
no
L
FK Crvena Zvezda has a strong defensive record, conceding only 3 goals in their last 5 matches, and kept a clean sheet in the first leg. Plz...
DeepSeek V3
60%
yes
W
Plzen are likely to score at home as they need goals, and Zvezda have scoring ability. Plzen's defense is leaky, and Zvezda are strong on th...
Spread
ConsensusFK Crvena Zvezda 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
Red Star's recent scoring and defensive edge allow them to cover a -1 spread more often than not. Plzen's leaky home defense supports this l...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
FK Crvena Zvezda +1
L
This market implies a -1 goal handicap on the home team, Plzen. Given Crvena Zvezda's superior form and their 3-0 H2H victory, Plzen winning...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
FK Crvena Zvezda has a 3-0 advantage from the first leg. While they might not win by more than one goal in this second leg, their overall st...
DeepSeek V3
40%
FK Crvena Zvezda
L
Spread -1 means away team wins by 2+ goals. Given Zvezda's superiority and Plzen's need to push forward, a two-goal margin is possible but n...
Asian handicap
ConsensusFK Crvena Zvezda -1.0 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
FK Crvena Zvezda -0.25
L
The first-leg result and current form split favor Red Star on a quarter-ball handicap. Plzen's poor home results make the away line attracti...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.0
L
Considering Crvena Zvezda's strong form and dominant H2H win, they are well-positioned to win by at least two goals. A -1.0 Asian Handicap m...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda is the stronger side based on the first-leg result and recent form. They are favored to win this match, or at least avoid a...
DeepSeek V3
45%
FK Crvena Zvezda -1.0
L
Asian handicap -1.0 for away means Zvezda need to win by 2+ for full win, by 1 for push. Given the first-leg result and form, a win by 2+ is...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / FK Crvena Zvezda 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Draw / FK Crvena Zvezda
L
Red Star tend to control games after half-time while Plzen start matches competitively at home. The first-leg dominance suggests a draw at H...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
35%
FK Crvena Zvezda / FK Crvena Zvezda
L
Given FK Crvena Zvezda's overall superiority and stronger attacking capabilities from my training data, they are expected to take an early l...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw / FK Crvena Zvezda
L
FK Crvena Zvezda has a significant lead and may opt for a more defensive approach in the first half, potentially leading to a draw at halfti...
DeepSeek V3
25%
FK Crvena Zvezda / FK Crvena Zvezda
L
Given Zvezda's strong defense and Plzen's need to attack, Zvezda are likely to lead at half-time and maintain the lead. Plzen might score la...
Correct score
Consensus1-2 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
22%
1-2
L
Recent H2H and form trends point to a narrow away win. Plzen score but concede regularly while Red Star finish efficiently. Training knowled...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
0-2
L
Based on my training data, FK Crvena Zvezda's robust defense makes a clean sheet or just one goal conceded a strong possibility. Their attac...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
1-0
L
FK Crvena Zvezda won the first leg 3-0. They are likely to focus on maintaining their aggregate lead. A narrow win or a draw is plausible. A...
DeepSeek V3
12%
1-2
L
The most likely scorelines reflect Plzen scoring at home but Zvezda outscoring them. 1-2 is a plausible outcome given Plzen's need to score...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
FK Crvena Zvezda
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
FK Crvena Zvezda
Gemini 2.5 Flash
FK Crvena Zvezda
DeepSeek V3
FK Crvena Zvezda
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
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Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
31e9c7a7e714da7c…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Aug 27 · 17:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 31594,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Doosan Arena",
"league": "UEFA Europa League",
"starts_at": "2026-08-27T17:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 27 Aug 2026 17:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "FK Crvena Zvezda",
"home": "Plzen"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWLWL",
"record": "3W-0D-2L",
"scored": 9,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 3
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LWDDL",
"record": "1W-2D-2L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 14
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 6
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-08-20: FK Crvena Zvezda 3–0 Plzen"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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