Philadelphia Union IIvsColumbus Crew II
Philadelphia Union II 1–0 Columbus Crew II
All 4 AIs backed Philadelphia Union II — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Philadelphia Union II 4/4
- Correct calls
- 4/4
- Final
- 1–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
over 3/4 models |
yes 4/4 models |
Columbus Crew II +0.5 1/4 models |
2-1 4/4 models |
Philadelphia Union II -1 1/4 models |
Draw / Philadelphia Union II 2/4 models |
Philadelphia Union II 4/4 models |
Philadelphia Union II 4/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
55%
over
L
|
53%
yes
L
|
51%
Philadelphia Union II -0.25
W
|
18%
2-1
L
|
48%
Philadelphia Union II -1 |
32%
Philadelphia Union II / Philadelphia Union II |
52%
Philadelphia Union II
W
|
58%
Philadelphia Union II
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams average over 2 goals per game in recent fixtures combined. Home scored 12 and conceded 11 in 5 matches while away netted 10. MLS...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
yes Home concedes 11 in 5 and away concedes 7, both sides concede regularly. Recent scoring rates support both teams finding the net. No strong...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
Philadelphia Union II -0.25 Home form and venue give slight edge but away can compete. Half-goal handicap reflects modest quality gap. Both sides rested equally.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Expected goals around 3 total with home slight edge. Recent scoring and concession patterns align with 2-1 or 1-1 outcomes. H2H was low scor...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Philadelphia Union II -1 Home edge exists but away side capable of staying within one goal given recent results. Form differential not large enough for strong handic...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
32%
Philadelphia Union II / Philadelphia Union II Home likely leads at half given attacking output and then holds on. Form suggests home control in first half. Away has struggled for consist...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
Philadelphia Union II Home side shows stronger recent form with 3 wins and 1 draw in last 5, scoring 12 goals. Recent H2H favors away but that single match does n...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Philadelphia Union II Home record and venue edge point to a win or draw outcome. Away side has conceded 7 in 5 games while home has attacking output. Single prior... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
70%
over_2.5
L
|
68%
yes
L
|
42%
home_ -0.5 |
12%
2-1
L
|
45%
away_ +1 |
25%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II |
42%
Philadelphia Union II
W
|
58%
Philadelphia Union II
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
70%
over_2.5 Predicting from training data through my last update and the provided brief for this future event. Both teams exhibit high-scoring tendencie...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
68%
yes Predicting from training data through my last update and the provided brief for this future event. Both Philadelphia and Columbus have demon...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
42%
home_ -0.5 Predicting from training data through my last update and the provided brief for this future event. Betting on Philadelphia Union II to win o...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 Predicting from training data through my last update and the provided brief for this future event. A 2-1 scoreline for Philadelphia aligns w...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
away_ +1 Predicting from training data through my last update and the provided brief for this future event. While Philadelphia has home advantage, th...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II Predicting from training data through my last update and the provided brief for this future event. Given both teams' ability to score and Ph...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Philadelphia Union II Predicting from training data through my last update and the provided brief for this future event. Philadelphia Union II holds a slight edge...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Philadelphia Union II Predicting from training data through my last update and the provided brief for this future event. Removing the draw outcome, Philadelphia's... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
60%
over
L
|
55%
yes
L
|
56%
home_ 0.0 |
15%
2-1
L
|
52%
Philadelphia Union II |
30%
home_draw |
55%
Philadelphia Union II
W
|
58%
Philadelphia Union II
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have shown decent attacking output in their recent matches, scoring a combined 22 goals in their last 5 games. Philadelphia Union...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Philadelphia Union II have a strong recent scoring record, while Columbus Crew II have also been consistent in finding the net. Both teams h...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
56%
home_ 0.0 The home team, Philadelphia Union II, has a slight advantage due to recent form and playing at Subaru Park. The 0.0 Asian Handicap offers pr...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Considering Philadelphia Union II's home advantage and slightly better recent form, a narrow win seems likely. Columbus Crew II have shown t...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II have a slight edge in form and home advantage. While Columbus Crew II won the last encounter, Philadelphia's overall r...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
home_draw Philadelphia Union II are slightly favored to win at home, but Columbus Crew II have shown some resilience. A scenario where Philadelphia le...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Philadelphia Union II Philadelphia Union II have a slightly better recent form than Columbus Crew II, with 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches compared to C...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Philadelphia Union II Given the slight edge in recent form and the home advantage, Philadelphia Union II are favored. The draw-no-bet market mitigates the risk of... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
60%
over
L
|
55%
yes
L
|
55%
Columbus Crew II +0.5
L
|
12%
2-1
L
|
55%
away_plus_ 1 |
20%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II |
45%
Philadelphia Union II
W
|
55%
Philadelphia Union II
W
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently: home matches average 4.6 goals total, away matches 3.4 goals total. Defensive...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams have shown ability to score, with home scoring 12 and away scoring 10 in their last five. Defensive vulnerabilities are clear as...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Columbus Crew II +0.5 Columbus Crew II have been competitive and won the last meeting. Philadelphia's home form is good but not overwhelming. An away +0.5 provide...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 From my training knowledge, MLS Next Pro games often have goals. A 2-1 home win is a common scoreline that reflects the home side's slight e...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
away_plus_ 1 Despite home advantage, Philadelphia Union II are not dominant enough to be expected to win by 2+ goals. Columbus Crew II won the last meeti...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II Given the evenly matched teams, an early goal might not decide the game. Likely scenarios include a draw at half-time with a home win in the...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Philadelphia Union II Training data through 2025-09. Philadelphia Union II have shown better recent form at home with 3 wins in their last 5, scoring 12 goals. Co...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Philadelphia Union II Without the draw, home win is favored based on recent form and playing at home. The home side has outscored opponents in the last five, whil... |
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Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
over
L
Both teams average over 2 goals per game in recent fixtures combined. Home scored 12 and conceded 11 in 5 matches while away netted 10. MLS...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
over_2.5
L
Predicting from training data through my last update and the provided brief for this future event. Both teams exhibit high-scoring tendencie...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
L
Both teams have shown decent attacking output in their recent matches, scoring a combined 22 goals in their last 5 games. Philadelphia Union...
DeepSeek V3
60%
over
L
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently: home matches average 4.6 goals total, away matches 3.4 goals total. Defensive...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
yes
L
Home concedes 11 in 5 and away concedes 7, both sides concede regularly. Recent scoring rates support both teams finding the net. No strong...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
yes
L
Predicting from training data through my last update and the provided brief for this future event. Both Philadelphia and Columbus have demon...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
L
Philadelphia Union II have a strong recent scoring record, while Columbus Crew II have also been consistent in finding the net. Both teams h...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
L
Both teams have shown ability to score, with home scoring 12 and away scoring 10 in their last five. Defensive vulnerabilities are clear as...
Asian handicap
ConsensusColumbus Crew II +0.5 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Philadelphia Union II -0.25
W
Home form and venue give slight edge but away can compete. Half-goal handicap reflects modest quality gap. Both sides rested equally.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
42%
home_ -0.5
Predicting from training data through my last update and the provided brief for this future event. Betting on Philadelphia Union II to win o...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
56%
home_ 0.0
The home team, Philadelphia Union II, has a slight advantage due to recent form and playing at Subaru Park. The 0.0 Asian Handicap offers pr...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Columbus Crew II +0.5
L
Columbus Crew II have been competitive and won the last meeting. Philadelphia's home form is good but not overwhelming. An away +0.5 provide...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
L
Expected goals around 3 total with home slight edge. Recent scoring and concession patterns align with 2-1 or 1-1 outcomes. H2H was low scor...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
12%
2-1
L
Predicting from training data through my last update and the provided brief for this future event. A 2-1 scoreline for Philadelphia aligns w...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
L
Considering Philadelphia Union II's home advantage and slightly better recent form, a narrow win seems likely. Columbus Crew II have shown t...
DeepSeek V3
12%
2-1
L
From my training knowledge, MLS Next Pro games often have goals. A 2-1 home win is a common scoreline that reflects the home side's slight e...
Spread
ConsensusPhiladelphia Union II -1 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Philadelphia Union II -1
Home edge exists but away side capable of staying within one goal given recent results. Form differential not large enough for strong handic...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
away_ +1
Predicting from training data through my last update and the provided brief for this future event. While Philadelphia has home advantage, th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Philadelphia Union II
Philadelphia Union II have a slight edge in form and home advantage. While Columbus Crew II won the last encounter, Philadelphia's overall r...
DeepSeek V3
55%
away_plus_ 1
Despite home advantage, Philadelphia Union II are not dominant enough to be expected to win by 2+ goals. Columbus Crew II won the last meeti...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Philadelphia Union II 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
32%
Philadelphia Union II / Philadelphia Union II
Home likely leads at half given attacking output and then holds on. Form suggests home control in first half. Away has struggled for consist...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
25%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II
Predicting from training data through my last update and the provided brief for this future event. Given both teams' ability to score and Ph...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
home_draw
Philadelphia Union II are slightly favored to win at home, but Columbus Crew II have shown some resilience. A scenario where Philadelphia le...
DeepSeek V3
20%
Draw / Philadelphia Union II
Given the evenly matched teams, an early goal might not decide the game. Likely scenarios include a draw at half-time with a home win in the...
Match winner
ConsensusPhiladelphia Union II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Philadelphia Union II
W
Home side shows stronger recent form with 3 wins and 1 draw in last 5, scoring 12 goals. Recent H2H favors away but that single match does n...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
42%
Philadelphia Union II
W
Predicting from training data through my last update and the provided brief for this future event. Philadelphia Union II holds a slight edge...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Philadelphia Union II
W
Philadelphia Union II have a slightly better recent form than Columbus Crew II, with 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches compared to C...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Philadelphia Union II
W
Training data through 2025-09. Philadelphia Union II have shown better recent form at home with 3 wins in their last 5, scoring 12 goals. Co...
Draw no bet
ConsensusPhiladelphia Union II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Philadelphia Union II
W
Home record and venue edge point to a win or draw outcome. Away side has conceded 7 in 5 games while home has attacking output. Single prior...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Philadelphia Union II
W
Predicting from training data through my last update and the provided brief for this future event. Removing the draw outcome, Philadelphia's...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Philadelphia Union II
W
Given the slight edge in recent form and the home advantage, Philadelphia Union II are favored. The draw-no-bet market mitigates the risk of...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Philadelphia Union II
W
Without the draw, home win is favored based on recent form and playing at home. The home side has outscored opponents in the last five, whil...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Philadelphia Union II
Grok 4 Fast
Philadelphia Union II
DeepSeek V3
Philadelphia Union II
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Philadelphia Union II
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
5e23faf0dc16726f…
- Kickoff
- Fri, Sep 4 · 23:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 36148,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Subaru Park",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-09-04T23:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Fri, 04 Sep 2026 23:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Columbus Crew II",
"home": "Philadelphia Union II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WLWLL",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 7
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WLWWD",
"record": "3W-1D-1L",
"scored": 12,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 11
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 5,
"home": 5
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-07-18: Columbus Crew II 2–0 Philadelphia Union II"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
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