PafosvsDinamo Tirana
Pafos 4–2 Dinamo Tirana
2 of 4 AIs leaned Draw — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Draw 2/4
- Correct calls
- 2/4
- Final
- 4–2
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Draw 2/4 models |
Pafos 3/4 models |
under 2/4 models |
yes 2/4 models |
Dinamo Tirana +0.25 1/4 models |
1-1 2/4 models |
Dinamo Tirana 2/4 models |
Draw / Draw 2/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
62%
Pafos
W
|
68%
Pafos
W
|
55%
under
L
|
53%
yes
W
|
57%
Pafos -0.75
W
|
22%
2-1
L
|
48%
Pafos -1
W
|
31%
Draw / Pafos |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Pafos Pafos host after a 1-1 first leg and hold a clear quality edge over Dinamo Tirana. Home side has six rest days versus three for the visitors...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
68%
Pafos Pafos are the stronger side at Alphamega Stadium and should avoid defeat. The 1-1 draw away gives them the platform to push for a win withou...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under First leg finished 1-1 and both sides are defensively organised. Pafos concede at a higher rate but Dinamo have kept clean sheets in three o...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
yes Both teams scored in the first leg and Pafos average over one goal per home game. Dinamo's attacking output on the road remains decent despi...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
57%
Pafos -0.75 Half-goal handicap captures Pafos' home advantage after a shared first leg. Dinamo have shown resilience but face a rested home side with su...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
2-1 2-1 mirrors the first-leg scoreline reversed and fits Pafos' home edge. Dinamo can score on the break but are unlikely to keep a clean sheet...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Pafos -1 Pafos are expected to win by one goal on home soil after the first-leg draw. The away side's recent results show they can nick a goal but st...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
31%
Draw / Pafos Pafos likely to start cautiously and take the lead after half-time. First-leg pattern and home rest advantage support a second-half breakthr... |
|||||||||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
35%
Draw
L
|
53%
Pafos
W
|
58%
Under 2.5
L
|
55%
Yes
W
|
60%
Dinamo Tirana +0.5
L
|
20%
1-1
L
|
65%
Dinamo Tirana +1
L
|
30%
Draw / Draw
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
35%
Draw Based on provided training data, the first leg was a 1-1 draw, suggesting these teams are closely matched. While Pafos has home advantage an...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
53%
Pafos Considering Pafos's home advantage and significantly more rest days, they are marginally favored to win if the draw outcome is excluded. Din...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under 2.5 The first leg ended 1-1, and Dinamo Tirana has shown a strong defensive record recently, conceding only 3 goals in 5 matches. With the aggre...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
Yes Both teams scored in the first leg (1-1), and Pafos, playing at home with the aggregate tied, will be compelled to score to advance. Dinamo...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Dinamo Tirana +0.5 With the aggregate score tied at 1-1 and Dinamo Tirana holding the away goal advantage, a draw in this leg would see them advance. Their sol...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-1 The 1-1 scoreline from the first leg suggests these teams are evenly matched. Given Dinamo Tirana's strong defensive record and the high-pre...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
Dinamo Tirana +1 Given the first leg was a tight 1-1 draw and Dinamo Tirana's strong defensive form, it's improbable that Pafos will win by a margin of two g...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw European knockout second legs, especially when the aggregate is tied, often feature cautious starts from both sides, leading to a half-time... |
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
45%
Draw
L
|
45%
Draw
L
|
55%
under
L
|
55%
no
L
|
45%
Dinamo Tirana +0.25
L
|
15%
1-1
L
|
45%
Dinamo Tirana
L
|
25%
Draw / Draw
L
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Draw The previous encounter between these two teams, just a week prior, ended in a 1-1 draw. Both teams have shown inconsistent form in their las...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
45%
Draw As with the head-to-head market, the previous 1-1 draw and similar recent form suggest that a draw is the most probable result. Therefore, b...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Dinamo Tirana has a strong defensive record, conceding only 3 goals in their last 5 matches. Pafos's form is slightly less impressive defens...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no While the previous match did see both teams score, Dinamo Tirana's robust defense (3 goals conceded in 5 games) suggests they are unlikely t...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Dinamo Tirana +0.25 Given the recent 1-1 draw and the comparable, albeit inconsistent, form of both sides, Dinamo Tirana is unlikely to lose this match. The +0....
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 The most recent head-to-head match finished 1-1, and given the similarly inconsistent form of both teams and a tendency towards tighter game...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Dinamo Tirana Dinamo Tirana's solid defense suggests they are unlikely to lose by more than one goal, and their recent form is comparable to Pafos. Even i...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Draw / Draw The previous match ended 1-1, and both teams have shown inconsistency. A pattern of 'draw-draw' is common in matches where neither team can... |
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
45%
Pafos
W
|
50%
Pafos
W
|
50%
over
W
|
55%
yes
W
|
48%
Pafos -0.25
W
|
12%
2-1
L
|
50%
Dinamo Tirana
L
|
18%
Draw / Pafos |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Pafos Based on training data through 2025-09, Pafos has home advantage and more rest (6 days vs 3). However, recent form is poor (DDLWL) while Din...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
50%
Pafos With the draw removed, Pafos' home advantage and superior rest tilt the balance slightly. Dinamo Tirana have been decent but away form is un...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
50%
over Both teams have scored and conceded in recent matches, and the first leg produced 2 goals. With a return leg likely more open as the away te...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams have shown scoring ability and defensive lapses in recent form. The first leg had both teams score. Dinamo Tirana need to score t...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
Pafos -0.25 The Asian handicap at -0.25 for home means a half win if Pafos win, half loss if draw. Given the even matchup and home advantage, this is cl...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 Given the even matchup, a narrow home win is plausible. Pafos have home advantage and need to win, while Dinamo Tirana will also score as th...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Dinamo Tirana The -1 spread means home team must win by 2+ to cover. Given Pafos' recent poor form and the tight nature of the tie, covering a 2-goal marg...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
18%
Draw / Pafos The first leg was 1-1 at full time, and both teams are evenly matched. I expect a cautious start, leading to a draw at half-time. As the gam... |
|||||||||
Match winner
ConsensusDraw 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Pafos
W
Pafos host after a 1-1 first leg and hold a clear quality edge over Dinamo Tirana. Home side has six rest days versus three for the visitors...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
35%
Draw
L
Based on provided training data, the first leg was a 1-1 draw, suggesting these teams are closely matched. While Pafos has home advantage an...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw
L
The previous encounter between these two teams, just a week prior, ended in a 1-1 draw. Both teams have shown inconsistent form in their las...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Pafos
W
Based on training data through 2025-09, Pafos has home advantage and more rest (6 days vs 3). However, recent form is poor (DDLWL) while Din...
Draw no bet
ConsensusPafos 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
68%
Pafos
W
Pafos are the stronger side at Alphamega Stadium and should avoid defeat. The 1-1 draw away gives them the platform to push for a win withou...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
53%
Pafos
W
Considering Pafos's home advantage and significantly more rest days, they are marginally favored to win if the draw outcome is excluded. Din...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw
L
As with the head-to-head market, the previous 1-1 draw and similar recent form suggest that a draw is the most probable result. Therefore, b...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Pafos
W
With the draw removed, Pafos' home advantage and superior rest tilt the balance slightly. Dinamo Tirana have been decent but away form is un...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
under
L
First leg finished 1-1 and both sides are defensively organised. Pafos concede at a higher rate but Dinamo have kept clean sheets in three o...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Under 2.5
L
The first leg ended 1-1, and Dinamo Tirana has shown a strong defensive record recently, conceding only 3 goals in 5 matches. With the aggre...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
under
L
Dinamo Tirana has a strong defensive record, conceding only 3 goals in their last 5 matches. Pafos's form is slightly less impressive defens...
DeepSeek V3
50%
over
W
Both teams have scored and conceded in recent matches, and the first leg produced 2 goals. With a return leg likely more open as the away te...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
yes
W
Both teams scored in the first leg and Pafos average over one goal per home game. Dinamo's attacking output on the road remains decent despi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Yes
W
Both teams scored in the first leg (1-1), and Pafos, playing at home with the aggregate tied, will be compelled to score to advance. Dinamo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
no
L
While the previous match did see both teams score, Dinamo Tirana's robust defense (3 goals conceded in 5 games) suggests they are unlikely t...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
W
Both teams have shown scoring ability and defensive lapses in recent form. The first leg had both teams score. Dinamo Tirana need to score t...
Asian handicap
ConsensusDinamo Tirana +0.25 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
57%
Pafos -0.75
W
Half-goal handicap captures Pafos' home advantage after a shared first leg. Dinamo have shown resilience but face a rested home side with su...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Dinamo Tirana +0.5
L
With the aggregate score tied at 1-1 and Dinamo Tirana holding the away goal advantage, a draw in this leg would see them advance. Their sol...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Dinamo Tirana +0.25
L
Given the recent 1-1 draw and the comparable, albeit inconsistent, form of both sides, Dinamo Tirana is unlikely to lose this match. The +0....
DeepSeek V3
48%
Pafos -0.25
W
The Asian handicap at -0.25 for home means a half win if Pafos win, half loss if draw. Given the even matchup and home advantage, this is cl...
Correct score
Consensus1-1 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
22%
2-1
L
2-1 mirrors the first-leg scoreline reversed and fits Pafos' home edge. Dinamo can score on the break but are unlikely to keep a clean sheet...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
1-1
L
The 1-1 scoreline from the first leg suggests these teams are evenly matched. Given Dinamo Tirana's strong defensive record and the high-pre...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
1-1
L
The most recent head-to-head match finished 1-1, and given the similarly inconsistent form of both teams and a tendency towards tighter game...
DeepSeek V3
12%
2-1
L
Given the even matchup, a narrow home win is plausible. Pafos have home advantage and need to win, while Dinamo Tirana will also score as th...
Spread
ConsensusDinamo Tirana 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Pafos -1
W
Pafos are expected to win by one goal on home soil after the first-leg draw. The away side's recent results show they can nick a goal but st...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Dinamo Tirana +1
L
Given the first leg was a tight 1-1 draw and Dinamo Tirana's strong defensive form, it's improbable that Pafos will win by a margin of two g...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Dinamo Tirana
L
Dinamo Tirana's solid defense suggests they are unlikely to lose by more than one goal, and their recent form is comparable to Pafos. Even i...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Dinamo Tirana
L
The -1 spread means home team must win by 2+ to cover. Given Pafos' recent poor form and the tight nature of the tie, covering a 2-goal marg...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Draw 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
31%
Draw / Pafos
Pafos likely to start cautiously and take the lead after half-time. First-leg pattern and home rest advantage support a second-half breakthr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
30%
Draw / Draw
L
European knockout second legs, especially when the aggregate is tied, often feature cautious starts from both sides, leading to a half-time...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
25%
Draw / Draw
L
The previous match ended 1-1, and both teams have shown inconsistency. A pattern of 'draw-draw' is common in matches where neither team can...
DeepSeek V3
18%
Draw / Pafos
The first leg was 1-1 at full time, and both teams are evenly matched. I expect a cautious start, leading to a draw at half-time. As the gam...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Pafos
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Draw
DeepSeek V3
Pafos
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Draw
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
9fbcb3c3633f7daf…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Aug 27 · 17:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 31599,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Alphamega Stadium",
"league": "UEFA Europa Conference League",
"starts_at": "2026-08-27T17:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 27 Aug 2026 17:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Dinamo Tirana",
"home": "Pafos"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LDWLW",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 8,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 3
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DDLWL",
"record": "1W-2D-2L",
"scored": 6,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 7
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 3,
"home": 6
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-08-20: Dinamo Tirana 1–1 Pafos"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.