Orlando City IIvsCrown Legacy
Orlando City II 3–2 Crown Legacy
All 4 AIs backed Crown Legacy — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Crown Legacy 4/4
- Correct calls
- 0/4
- Final
- 3–2
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Crown Legacy 2/4 models |
Crown Legacy -0.25 1/4 models |
Crown Legacy / Crown Legacy 2/4 models |
Crown Legacy 4/4 models |
Crown Legacy 4/4 models |
1-2 3/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
over 2/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
43%
Crown Legacy
L
|
46%
Crown Legacy -0.25
L
|
38%
Crown Legacy / Crown Legacy
L
|
48%
Crown Legacy
L
|
45%
Crown Legacy
L
|
18%
1-2
L
|
52%
yes
W
|
55%
over
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
43%
Crown Legacy Away team has better underlying numbers and form edge sufficient for a narrow handicap cover. Home side struggles to win at any margin. Uses...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
46%
Crown Legacy -0.25 Crown Legacy hold form advantage and should be slight favorites on Asian lines. Orlando City II winless streak makes home handicap unattract...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Crown Legacy / Crown Legacy Away side likely to control game and see it out given form gap. Home side unlikely to lead at half time. Uses provided context and training...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
48%
Crown Legacy Away side enters with superior recent results and better goal difference. Home side has conceded 3 per game on average. Uses provided contex...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Crown Legacy Orlando City II show 0W-5L form scoring 3 conceding 15 while Crown Legacy are 3W-1D-1L. The single recent H2H ended 1-1. Prediction uses pro...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 Most probable outcome aligns with away win and low-scoring but not goalless draw given home defensive issues. Uses provided context and trai...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
yes Both teams have shown scoring and conceding tendencies in recent matches. Home side rarely keeps clean sheets. Uses provided context and tra...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Home defense is porous while away attack is productive. Recent H2H produced 2 goals but current form trends point to more. Uses provided con... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
88%
Crown Legacy +1 |
58%
Crown Legacy -1.5
L
|
48%
Crown Legacy / Crown Legacy
L
|
79%
Crown Legacy
L
|
63%
Crown Legacy
L
|
18%
1-2
L
|
58%
Yes
W
|
63%
Over 2.5
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
88%
Crown Legacy +1 Given Orlando City II's dire form with five straight losses and a -12 goal difference in their last five matches, it is highly improbable fo...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Crown Legacy -1.5 Crown Legacy's offensive power (2 goals/game) combined with Orlando City II's defensive fragility (3 goals conceded/game) suggests a multi-g...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
Crown Legacy / Crown Legacy Given Crown Legacy's superior form and offensive capabilities, they are likely to take an early lead and maintain it throughout the match. O...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
79%
Crown Legacy Considering Crown Legacy's dominant recent form against Orlando City II's severe struggles, an away win is highly anticipated. The draw no b...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
63%
Crown Legacy Crown Legacy enters this match in excellent form, securing three wins and a draw in their last five outings. In stark contrast, Orlando City...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 Crown Legacy is expected to win this match with a comfortable margin, scoring multiple goals due to Orlando City II's weak defense. While Or...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
Yes While Orlando City II's scoring record is poor, playing at home might provide them with an opportunity to net a goal, especially against a C...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
63%
Over 2.5 Orlando City II's defense has been extremely leaky, conceding an average of 3 goals per game in their last five matches. Crown Legacy, on th... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
Crown Legacy
L
|
55%
Crown Legacy |
40%
Draw / Crown Legacy
L
|
60%
Crown Legacy
L
|
55%
Crown Legacy
L
|
12%
1-2
L
|
55%
yes
W
|
55%
over
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Crown Legacy Crown Legacy's superior form suggests they have a strong chance of winning by more than one goal. Orlando City II's recent struggles make it...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Crown Legacy With Crown Legacy in strong form and Orlando City II struggling, Crown Legacy is expected to perform better even with a handicap. The bettin...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Draw / Crown Legacy Orlando City II has struggled significantly, often conceding goals and losing matches, potentially after a draw in the first half. Crown Leg...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Crown Legacy Given Crown Legacy's superior recent form and Orlando City II's consistent losses, Crown Legacy is highly favored. The draw-no-bet market mi...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Crown Legacy Crown Legacy's recent form (3W-1D-1L) is significantly better than Orlando City II's (5L), indicating a strong advantage for Crown Legacy. D...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-2 Crown Legacy's recent form (scoring 10 in 5) and Orlando City II's defensive struggles (conceding 15 in 5) suggest a scoreline with goals fo...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Crown Legacy averages 2 goals per game in their last 5, and Orlando City II has conceded an average of 3 goals per game in their last 5. Thi...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Crown Legacy has scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 2 per game. Orlando City II has conceded 15 goals in their last 5, avera... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
away_ -1 |
55%
away_ -0.75 |
45%
away_away |
70%
Crown Legacy
L
|
65%
Crown Legacy
L
|
15%
2-1
L
|
55%
yes
W
|
60%
over_2.5
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
away_ -1 Crown Legacy's strong form and Orlando City II's collapse suggest a win by at least two goals is plausible, but the H2H draw shows they can...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
away_ -0.75 The away team's quality should show, but Orlando City II might keep it close. The -0.75 line partially insures against a draw. Given the for...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
away_away Crown Legacy are strong favorites and likely to take the lead early, but Orlando City II might resist in the first half. The away-away doubl...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
Crown Legacy Removing the draw from the equation, away team's superiority is even more pronounced. Orlando City II's defensive collapse makes them vulner...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Crown Legacy Orlando City II have lost five straight, conceding 15 goals and scoring only 3, while Crown Legacy are unbeaten in their last four with 10 g...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Crown Legacy's strong attack and Orlando City II's leaky defense suggest multiple goals for the away team, but Orlando might grab a consolat...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Orlando City II have scored in only 3 of their last 5, but Crown Legacy's defense is not impenetrable, conceding 6 in 5. However, Orlando Ci...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over_2.5 Orlando City II's defense is leaking goals (15 in 5), and Crown Legacy have scored 10 in 5. However, their head-to-head ended 1-1, suggestin... |
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Spread
ConsensusCrown Legacy 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
43%
Crown Legacy
L
Away team has better underlying numbers and form edge sufficient for a narrow handicap cover. Home side struggles to win at any margin. Uses...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
88%
Crown Legacy +1
Given Orlando City II's dire form with five straight losses and a -12 goal difference in their last five matches, it is highly improbable fo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Crown Legacy
L
Crown Legacy's superior form suggests they have a strong chance of winning by more than one goal. Orlando City II's recent struggles make it...
DeepSeek V3
55%
away_ -1
Crown Legacy's strong form and Orlando City II's collapse suggest a win by at least two goals is plausible, but the H2H draw shows they can...
Asian handicap
ConsensusCrown Legacy -0.25 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
46%
Crown Legacy -0.25
L
Crown Legacy hold form advantage and should be slight favorites on Asian lines. Orlando City II winless streak makes home handicap unattract...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Crown Legacy -1.5
L
Crown Legacy's offensive power (2 goals/game) combined with Orlando City II's defensive fragility (3 goals conceded/game) suggests a multi-g...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Crown Legacy
With Crown Legacy in strong form and Orlando City II struggling, Crown Legacy is expected to perform better even with a handicap. The bettin...
DeepSeek V3
55%
away_ -0.75
The away team's quality should show, but Orlando City II might keep it close. The -0.75 line partially insures against a draw. Given the for...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusCrown Legacy / Crown Legacy 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
38%
Crown Legacy / Crown Legacy
L
Away side likely to control game and see it out given form gap. Home side unlikely to lead at half time. Uses provided context and training...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
48%
Crown Legacy / Crown Legacy
L
Given Crown Legacy's superior form and offensive capabilities, they are likely to take an early lead and maintain it throughout the match. O...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Draw / Crown Legacy
L
Orlando City II has struggled significantly, often conceding goals and losing matches, potentially after a draw in the first half. Crown Leg...
DeepSeek V3
45%
away_away
Crown Legacy are strong favorites and likely to take the lead early, but Orlando City II might resist in the first half. The away-away doubl...
Draw no bet
ConsensusCrown Legacy 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Crown Legacy
L
Away side enters with superior recent results and better goal difference. Home side has conceded 3 per game on average. Uses provided contex...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
79%
Crown Legacy
L
Considering Crown Legacy's dominant recent form against Orlando City II's severe struggles, an away win is highly anticipated. The draw no b...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Crown Legacy
L
Given Crown Legacy's superior recent form and Orlando City II's consistent losses, Crown Legacy is highly favored. The draw-no-bet market mi...
DeepSeek V3
70%
Crown Legacy
L
Removing the draw from the equation, away team's superiority is even more pronounced. Orlando City II's defensive collapse makes them vulner...
Match winner
ConsensusCrown Legacy 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
45%
Crown Legacy
L
Orlando City II show 0W-5L form scoring 3 conceding 15 while Crown Legacy are 3W-1D-1L. The single recent H2H ended 1-1. Prediction uses pro...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
63%
Crown Legacy
L
Crown Legacy enters this match in excellent form, securing three wins and a draw in their last five outings. In stark contrast, Orlando City...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Crown Legacy
L
Crown Legacy's recent form (3W-1D-1L) is significantly better than Orlando City II's (5L), indicating a strong advantage for Crown Legacy. D...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Crown Legacy
L
Orlando City II have lost five straight, conceding 15 goals and scoring only 3, while Crown Legacy are unbeaten in their last four with 10 g...
Correct score
Consensus1-2 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-2
L
Most probable outcome aligns with away win and low-scoring but not goalless draw given home defensive issues. Uses provided context and trai...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
1-2
L
Crown Legacy is expected to win this match with a comfortable margin, scoring multiple goals due to Orlando City II's weak defense. While Or...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
12%
1-2
L
Crown Legacy's recent form (scoring 10 in 5) and Orlando City II's defensive struggles (conceding 15 in 5) suggest a scoreline with goals fo...
DeepSeek V3
15%
2-1
L
Crown Legacy's strong attack and Orlando City II's leaky defense suggest multiple goals for the away team, but Orlando might grab a consolat...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
yes
W
Both teams have shown scoring and conceding tendencies in recent matches. Home side rarely keeps clean sheets. Uses provided context and tra...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Yes
W
While Orlando City II's scoring record is poor, playing at home might provide them with an opportunity to net a goal, especially against a C...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
W
Crown Legacy averages 2 goals per game in their last 5, and Orlando City II has conceded an average of 3 goals per game in their last 5. Thi...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
W
Orlando City II have scored in only 3 of their last 5, but Crown Legacy's defense is not impenetrable, conceding 6 in 5. However, Orlando Ci...
Over / Under
Consensusover 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
over
W
Home defense is porous while away attack is productive. Recent H2H produced 2 goals but current form trends point to more. Uses provided con...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
63%
Over 2.5
W
Orlando City II's defense has been extremely leaky, conceding an average of 3 goals per game in their last five matches. Crown Legacy, on th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
Crown Legacy has scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 2 per game. Orlando City II has conceded 15 goals in their last 5, avera...
DeepSeek V3
60%
over_2.5
W
Orlando City II's defense is leaking goals (15 in 5), and Crown Legacy have scored 10 in 5. However, their head-to-head ended 1-1, suggestin...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
DeepSeek V3
Crown Legacy
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Crown Legacy
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Crown Legacy
Grok 4 Fast
Crown Legacy
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
7e8711510a07582e…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Aug 30 · 23:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 34608,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Osceola County Stadium",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-08-30T23:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 30 Aug 2026 23:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Crown Legacy",
"home": "Orlando City II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WLDWW",
"record": "3W-1D-1L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LLLLL",
"record": "0W-0D-5L",
"scored": 3,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 15
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 7,
"home": 8
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-07-05: Crown Legacy 1–1 Orlando City II"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
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