NecaxavsCruz Azul
Necaxa 1–3 Cruz Azul
All 4 AIs backed Cruz Azul — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Cruz Azul 4/4
- Correct calls
- 4/4
- Final
- 1–3
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
0-1 2/4 models |
under 3/4 models |
no 3/4 models |
Draw / Cruz Azul 3/4 models |
away_ 0.25 1/4 models |
Cruz Azul 4/4 models |
Cruz Azul 4/4 models |
Cruz Azul 2/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
18%
1-2
L
|
53%
under
L
|
52%
no
L
|
29%
Draw / Cruz Azul |
54%
Cruz Azul -0.25
W
|
48%
Cruz Azul
W
|
55%
Cruz Azul
W
|
51%
Cruz Azul -1
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 Training data through 2025-09 points to 1-2 as the most frequent scoreline when Cruz Azul wins away against mid-table Liga MX sides. Necaxa'...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Training data through 2025-09 indicates Liga MX matches at Estadio Victoria trend low scoring when both sides are in poor form. Necaxa and C...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
no Training data through 2025-09 shows Necaxa often fails to score at home against organized defenses. Cruz Azul's away clean sheet rate in rec...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
29%
Draw / Cruz Azul Training data through 2025-09 shows many Cruz Azul away wins feature a scoreless or low first half. Necaxa's defensive home setup often dela...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
54%
Cruz Azul -0.25 Training data through 2025-09 shows Cruz Azul as the superior side on the road in this fixture type. Necaxa's home form of 1 win in 5 suppor...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Cruz Azul Based on training data through 2025-09, Necaxa has historically struggled at home against stronger sides like Cruz Azul. The away side's rec...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Cruz Azul Training data through 2025-09 shows Cruz Azul winning the majority of Liga MX away fixtures against mid-table sides. Necaxa's poor home reco...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Cruz Azul -1 Training data through 2025-09 favors Cruz Azul covering a -1 spread in away games versus weaker Liga MX opposition. Necaxa's conceded trend... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
18%
0-1
L
|
60%
Under 2.5
L
|
52%
No
L
|
28%
Draw / Cruz Azul |
54%
Cruz Azul 0.0
W
|
38%
Cruz Azul
W
|
54%
Cruz Azul
W
|
75%
Cruz Azul +1
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
0-1 Consistent with the 'Under 2.5' and 'Cruz Azul Win' picks, a narrow 0-1 victory for the away side is a strong possibility. Both teams' strug...
1 source cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Under 2.5 Both teams have scored only 5 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating significant offensive struggles. Necaxa has conceded 9 goals and Cru...
1 source cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
No Given the low goal-scoring averages for both Necaxa and Cruz Azul (1 goal per game each over their last five matches), it's more probable th...
1 source cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Cruz Azul Given the low-scoring tendencies and both teams' poor form, a cautious start leading to a halftime draw is very plausible. Cruz Azul's sligh...
1 source cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
54%
Cruz Azul 0.0 Assuming the Asian Handicap 0.0 line (effectively Draw No Bet), Cruz Azul is the slight favorite due to their marginally better recent form...
1 source cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
38%
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul generally possesses a stronger historical pedigree in Liga MX, and their recent form, while poor, is marginally better than Necaxa...
1 source cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
54%
Cruz Azul Removing the draw option, Cruz Azul becomes the more favored outcome, capitalizing on their slightly better recent form and historical stren...
1 source cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
Cruz Azul +1 For Necaxa to cover a -1 handicap, they would need to win by two or more goals. Given their poor form (1 win in 5, only 5 goals scored) and...
1 source cited
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
15%
0-1
L
|
55%
under
L
|
55%
no
L
|
35%
Draw / Cruz Azul |
50%
away_ 0.25 |
45%
Cruz Azul
W
|
50%
Cruz Azul
W
|
50%
Cruz Azul
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
0-1 Given the tendency for lower-scoring games between these two teams and Cruz Azul's slight edge, a narrow 0-1 victory for the away side is th...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Both teams have struggled offensively in their recent matches, with a combined total of 10 goals in 10 games. This suggests a tendency towar...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Given the struggles of both Necaxa and Cruz Azul to score consistently, and the defensive frailties shown by Necaxa, it is more likely that...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Draw / Cruz Azul Necaxa's home form is poor, but they are capable of holding draws. Cruz Azul might start cautiously, leading to a draw at halftime, and then...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
away_ 0.25 Cruz Azul's slightly superior form and historical advantage against Necaxa suggest they are more likely to get a result. The +0.25 handicap...
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul has a stronger recent form and a better head-to-head record against Necaxa, making them the slight favorite. Their away form has b...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
50%
Cruz Azul Considering Cruz Azul's slight edge in form and historical performance, combined with the inherent unpredictability of football, backing the...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Cruz Azul While Cruz Azul is the favorite, Necaxa at home can be stubborn. The spread of -1 makes it tough to confidently back Cruz Azul, but their sl...
2 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
16%
1-0
L
|
55%
under
L
|
53%
no
L
|
28%
Cruz Azul / Cruz Azul |
45%
Cruz Azul -0.5
W
|
42%
Cruz Azul
W
|
52%
Cruz Azul
W
|
38%
Cruz Azul
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
16%
1-0 Given the low-scoring nature, a 1-0 home win is a plausible narrow result, but away win by one goal is also likely. The probabilities reflec...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Both teams have been low-scoring lately, with Necaxa conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game and Cruz Azul scoring only 5 in their last 5...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
no With both teams struggling to score consistently, a clean sheet for either side is plausible. Cruz Azul's defense is solid on paper, and Nec...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Cruz Azul / Cruz Azul The most probable half-time result is a draw given the cautious start, but Cruz Azul's quality should see them edge ahead in the second half...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Cruz Azul -0.5 The Asian handicap with -0.5 for Cruz Azul essentially asks them to win, which I estimate as a 42% probability, but with the push possibilit...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Cruz Azul Based on training data through September 2025, Cruz Azul has a stronger squad and historically performs well against Necaxa, though both tea...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
52%
Cruz Azul Without the draw option, Cruz Azul's superior squad depth and attacking talent give them an edge despite the lack of form. Necaxa's defensiv...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
38%
Cruz Azul While Cruz Azul is favored to win, beating Necaxa by two or more goals is less likely given both teams' poor attacking output. The expected... |
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Correct score
Consensus0-1 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-2
L
Training data through 2025-09 points to 1-2 as the most frequent scoreline when Cruz Azul wins away against mid-table Liga MX sides. Necaxa'...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
0-1
L
Consistent with the 'Under 2.5' and 'Cruz Azul Win' picks, a narrow 0-1 victory for the away side is a strong possibility. Both teams' strug...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
0-1
L
Given the tendency for lower-scoring games between these two teams and Cruz Azul's slight edge, a narrow 0-1 victory for the away side is th...
DeepSeek V3
16%
1-0
L
Given the low-scoring nature, a 1-0 home win is a plausible narrow result, but away win by one goal is also likely. The probabilities reflec...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
L
Training data through 2025-09 indicates Liga MX matches at Estadio Victoria trend low scoring when both sides are in poor form. Necaxa and C...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Under 2.5
L
Both teams have scored only 5 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating significant offensive struggles. Necaxa has conceded 9 goals and Cru...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
under
L
Both teams have struggled offensively in their recent matches, with a combined total of 10 goals in 10 games. This suggests a tendency towar...
DeepSeek V3
55%
under
L
Both teams have been low-scoring lately, with Necaxa conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game and Cruz Azul scoring only 5 in their last 5...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
no
L
Training data through 2025-09 shows Necaxa often fails to score at home against organized defenses. Cruz Azul's away clean sheet rate in rec...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
No
L
Given the low goal-scoring averages for both Necaxa and Cruz Azul (1 goal per game each over their last five matches), it's more probable th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
no
L
Given the struggles of both Necaxa and Cruz Azul to score consistently, and the defensive frailties shown by Necaxa, it is more likely that...
DeepSeek V3
53%
no
L
With both teams struggling to score consistently, a clean sheet for either side is plausible. Cruz Azul's defense is solid on paper, and Nec...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Cruz Azul 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
29%
Draw / Cruz Azul
Training data through 2025-09 shows many Cruz Azul away wins feature a scoreless or low first half. Necaxa's defensive home setup often dela...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
28%
Draw / Cruz Azul
Given the low-scoring tendencies and both teams' poor form, a cautious start leading to a halftime draw is very plausible. Cruz Azul's sligh...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
35%
Draw / Cruz Azul
Necaxa's home form is poor, but they are capable of holding draws. Cruz Azul might start cautiously, leading to a draw at halftime, and then...
DeepSeek V3
28%
Cruz Azul / Cruz Azul
The most probable half-time result is a draw given the cautious start, but Cruz Azul's quality should see them edge ahead in the second half...
Asian handicap
Consensusaway_ 0.25 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
54%
Cruz Azul -0.25
W
Training data through 2025-09 shows Cruz Azul as the superior side on the road in this fixture type. Necaxa's home form of 1 win in 5 suppor...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
54%
Cruz Azul 0.0
W
Assuming the Asian Handicap 0.0 line (effectively Draw No Bet), Cruz Azul is the slight favorite due to their marginally better recent form...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
away_ 0.25
Cruz Azul's slightly superior form and historical advantage against Necaxa suggest they are more likely to get a result. The +0.25 handicap...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Cruz Azul -0.5
W
The Asian handicap with -0.5 for Cruz Azul essentially asks them to win, which I estimate as a 42% probability, but with the push possibilit...
Match winner
ConsensusCruz Azul 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Cruz Azul
W
Based on training data through 2025-09, Necaxa has historically struggled at home against stronger sides like Cruz Azul. The away side's rec...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
38%
Cruz Azul
W
Cruz Azul generally possesses a stronger historical pedigree in Liga MX, and their recent form, while poor, is marginally better than Necaxa...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Cruz Azul
W
Cruz Azul has a stronger recent form and a better head-to-head record against Necaxa, making them the slight favorite. Their away form has b...
DeepSeek V3
42%
Cruz Azul
W
Based on training data through September 2025, Cruz Azul has a stronger squad and historically performs well against Necaxa, though both tea...
Draw no bet
ConsensusCruz Azul 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Cruz Azul
W
Training data through 2025-09 shows Cruz Azul winning the majority of Liga MX away fixtures against mid-table sides. Necaxa's poor home reco...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
54%
Cruz Azul
W
Removing the draw option, Cruz Azul becomes the more favored outcome, capitalizing on their slightly better recent form and historical stren...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Cruz Azul
W
Considering Cruz Azul's slight edge in form and historical performance, combined with the inherent unpredictability of football, backing the...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Cruz Azul
W
Without the draw option, Cruz Azul's superior squad depth and attacking talent give them an edge despite the lack of form. Necaxa's defensiv...
Spread
ConsensusCruz Azul 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Cruz Azul -1
W
Training data through 2025-09 favors Cruz Azul covering a -1 spread in away games versus weaker Liga MX opposition. Necaxa's conceded trend...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
Cruz Azul +1
W
For Necaxa to cover a -1 handicap, they would need to win by two or more goals. Given their poor form (1 win in 5, only 5 goals scored) and...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Cruz Azul
W
While Cruz Azul is the favorite, Necaxa at home can be stubborn. The spread of -1 makes it tough to confidently back Cruz Azul, but their sl...
DeepSeek V3
38%
Cruz Azul
W
While Cruz Azul is favored to win, beating Necaxa by two or more goals is less likely given both teams' poor attacking output. The expected...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Cruz Azul
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Cruz Azul
DeepSeek V3
Cruz Azul
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Cruz Azul
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
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Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
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- Kickoff
- Sat, Aug 29 · 01:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 32285,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Estadio Victoria",
"league": "Liga MX",
"starts_at": "2026-08-29T01:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 29 Aug 2026 01:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Cruz Azul",
"home": "Necaxa"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LLLWW",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 5,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 7
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DLWLL",
"record": "1W-1D-3L",
"scored": 5,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 9
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 5,
"home": 5
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 1 source
1 citation captured — unlock with Pro
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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