Maccabi Tel AvivvsFC Lugano
Maccabi Tel Aviv 1–1 FC Lugano
4 of 5 AIs leaned FC Lugano — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- FC Lugano 4/5
- Correct calls
- 0/5
- Final
- 1–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 5 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
FC Lugano 4/5 models |
over 3/5 models |
FC Lugano 3/5 models |
Maccabi Tel Aviv / Maccabi Tel Aviv 1/5 models |
2-1 2/5 models |
FC Lugano -0.5 1/5 models |
FC Lugano 4/5 models |
yes 3/5 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
58%
FC Lugano
L
|
62%
Over 2.5
L
|
51%
FC Lugano
L
|
42%
Lugano / Lugano
L
|
18%
2-1
L
|
58%
Lugano -0.5 |
64%
FC Lugano |
55%
Yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
FC Lugano Lugano arrive with superior form (4W-1D-0L, 21 goals in 5 matches) compared to Maccabi's 3W-0D-2L with only 10 goals conceded but 8 conceded...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Over 2.5 Lugano's explosive attacking form (4.2 goals per match) and Maccabi's leaky defence (8 conceded in 5 matches) suggest a high-scoring encount...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
FC Lugano Lugano's superior form and rest advantage position them to win by a goal, but Maccabi's home venue and defensive organization create enough...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
42%
Lugano / Lugano Lugano's attacking momentum may manifest early, setting a half-time lead that they consolidate into a full match win. However, the complexit...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 The recent 2-1 Lugano victory mirrors the most likely outcome if trends repeat. However, given Lugano's elite attacking form (4.2 goals/matc...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Lugano -0.5 At -0.5 (half-goal), Lugano wins outright or the bettor gets half back on a draw, substantially improving odds over the full -1 spread. Luga...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
64%
FC Lugano Lugano's attack (4.2 goals per match) vastly outperforms Maccabi's defence (1.6 conceded per match average). The away side's recent form mom...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
Yes Both teams have shown attacking intent in recent matches. Lugano average 4.2 goals per match and Maccabi 2 goals per match; Lugano's defence... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
48%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
L
|
53%
over
L
|
52%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
L
|
32%
Maccabi Tel Aviv / Maccabi Tel Aviv
L
|
18%
2-1
L
|
51%
Maccabi Tel Aviv |
58%
Maccabi Tel Aviv |
55%
yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv benefit from home advantage at Adjarabet Arena despite recent 2-1 H2H loss. Home form shows three wins in five while Lugano...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Lugano average over 4 goals per game recently while Maccabi concede regularly. Set-piece threat and attacking quality point to an open game...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Home side expected to win by one goal margin given venue and motivation in Conference League tie. Lugano's strong record makes it tight but...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
32%
Maccabi Tel Aviv / Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi likely to lead at half and hold on given home advantage and early pressure. Lugano's form suggests they can score but rarely come fr...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Expected narrow home win mirrors recent H2H scoreline reversed. Both sides score in most games so 2-1 or 1-1 dominate probabilities.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Slight edge to Maccabi on Asian line due to home support and tactical familiarity. Away side's recent wins are mostly at home so handicap fa...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi at home with only three rest days but strong domestic record favors them. Lugano's excellent away form is noted yet European away ga...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams show leaky defenses in recent matches with Lugano conceding 4 and Maccabi 8 in 5 games. High-scoring H2H and attacking styles sup... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
40%
FC Lugano
L
|
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
L
|
80%
FC Lugano +1
W
|
25%
Draw / Draw |
20%
1-1
W
|
68%
FC Lugano +0.5
W
|
65%
FC Lugano |
65%
Yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
40%
FC Lugano FC Lugano enters this second leg with a 2-1 aggregate lead and significantly better recent form (4W-1D-0L) compared to Maccabi Tel Aviv (3W-...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Over 2.5 Goals The first leg between these teams finished 2-1, hitting over 2.5 goals. FC Lugano has been prolific in front of goal recently (21 goals in 5...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
80%
FC Lugano +1 Betting on Maccabi Tel Aviv -1 implies they must win by at least two goals, which is highly unlikely given FC Lugano's excellent form, stron...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Draw / Draw Given FC Lugano's aggregate lead, they will likely adopt a cautious approach, aiming to maintain their advantage. Maccabi Tel Aviv will push...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-1 A 1-1 draw is a highly plausible outcome, allowing FC Lugano to progress comfortably with a 3-2 aggregate win. Maccabi Tel Aviv needs to sco...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
68%
FC Lugano +0.5 FC Lugano is in superior form, holds an aggregate lead, and has more rest. A +0.5 Asian Handicap means the bet wins if Lugano wins or draws,...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
FC Lugano Given FC Lugano's strong form, aggregate lead, and superior rest, they are well-positioned to either win or draw this match. Maccabi Tel Avi...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
Yes Maccabi Tel Aviv must score to have any chance of progressing, and they have scored in their recent home matches. FC Lugano has a strong att... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
52%
FC Lugano
L
|
55%
over
L
|
53%
FC Lugano
L
|
35%
Draw / FC Lugano
L
|
15%
1-1
W
|
55%
FC Lugano +0.25
W
|
55%
FC Lugano |
58%
yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
52%
FC Lugano FC Lugano hold a 2-1 lead from the first leg, giving them a significant advantage heading into this away fixture. Maccabi Tel Aviv has a str...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over The first leg saw 3 goals, and both teams have shown a tendency to score in recent matches. Maccabi Tel Aviv will be pushing to overturn the...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
53%
FC Lugano FC Lugano's 2-1 first-leg advantage translates to a need for Maccabi Tel Aviv to win by more than one goal. Lugano's strong form and defensi...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Draw / FC Lugano Maccabi Tel Aviv will likely start strongly at home, attempting to get back into the tie. However, Lugano's ability to defend and hit on the...
2 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 Considering Lugano's first-leg advantage and Maccabi's need to attack, a score draw like 1-1 seems probable. This result would see Lugano ad...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
FC Lugano +0.25 FC Lugano's first-leg win gives them a psychological and scoreline advantage. The +0.25 handicap for Lugano accounts for their lead and stro...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
FC Lugano Given Lugano's first-leg advantage and superior recent form, they are the more likely side to secure a result. The draw-no-bet market offers...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes FC Lugano scored twice in the first leg, and Maccabi Tel Aviv managed to score once. Both teams' recent form indicates they are capable of f...
2 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
FC Lugano
L
|
55%
over
L
|
50%
FC Lugano
L
|
40%
FC Lugano / FC Lugano
L
|
35%
1-2
L
|
55%
FC Lugano -0.5
L
|
60%
FC Lugano |
60%
yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
FC Lugano FC Lugano won the first leg 2-1 at home and have superior recent form (4W-1D-0L, scoring 21 goals in 5 matches). Maccabi Tel Aviv have been...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown attacking intent: Lugano scored 21 in 5, Maccabi 10 in 5. The first leg had 3 goals, and Maccabi must chase the game,...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
FC Lugano Lugano are the stronger team and have the lead, but Maccabi at home are not easy to beat by a margin. However, Lugano's red-hot form and Mac...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
FC Lugano / FC Lugano Lugano are likely to control the game and score early, given their attacking form. Maccabi might push early but could tire as the game goes...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
35%
1-2 Given Maccabi's need to score and Lugano's away strength, a 1-2 win for Lugano seems plausible. They might concede a goal as Maccabi push bu...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
FC Lugano -0.5 This is essentially a win market without the draw. Lugano's superior form and rest days make them favorites to win outright, so covering the...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
FC Lugano Removing the draw from the equation, Lugano's superior form and rest advantage make them the clear side to advance. Maccabi's home form is s...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Both teams have been scoring and conceding regularly. Maccabi have scored in most home games but also conceded 8 in 5. Lugano are potent awa... |
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Match winner
ConsensusFC Lugano 4/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
FC Lugano
L
Lugano arrive with superior form (4W-1D-0L, 21 goals in 5 matches) compared to Maccabi's 3W-0D-2L with only 10 goals conceded but 8 conceded...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
L
Maccabi Tel Aviv benefit from home advantage at Adjarabet Arena despite recent 2-1 H2H loss. Home form shows three wins in five while Lugano...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
40%
FC Lugano
L
FC Lugano enters this second leg with a 2-1 aggregate lead and significantly better recent form (4W-1D-0L) compared to Maccabi Tel Aviv (3W-...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
FC Lugano
L
FC Lugano hold a 2-1 lead from the first leg, giving them a significant advantage heading into this away fixture. Maccabi Tel Aviv has a str...
DeepSeek V3
55%
FC Lugano
L
FC Lugano won the first leg 2-1 at home and have superior recent form (4W-1D-0L, scoring 21 goals in 5 matches). Maccabi Tel Aviv have been...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Over 2.5
L
Lugano's explosive attacking form (4.2 goals per match) and Maccabi's leaky defence (8 conceded in 5 matches) suggest a high-scoring encount...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
L
Lugano average over 4 goals per game recently while Maccabi concede regularly. Set-piece threat and attacking quality point to an open game...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
L
The first leg between these teams finished 2-1, hitting over 2.5 goals. FC Lugano has been prolific in front of goal recently (21 goals in 5...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
L
The first leg saw 3 goals, and both teams have shown a tendency to score in recent matches. Maccabi Tel Aviv will be pushing to overturn the...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
L
Both teams have shown attacking intent: Lugano scored 21 in 5, Maccabi 10 in 5. The first leg had 3 goals, and Maccabi must chase the game,...
Spread
ConsensusFC Lugano 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
51%
FC Lugano
L
Lugano's superior form and rest advantage position them to win by a goal, but Maccabi's home venue and defensive organization create enough...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
L
Home side expected to win by one goal margin given venue and motivation in Conference League tie. Lugano's strong record makes it tight but...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
80%
FC Lugano +1
W
Betting on Maccabi Tel Aviv -1 implies they must win by at least two goals, which is highly unlikely given FC Lugano's excellent form, stron...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
FC Lugano
L
FC Lugano's 2-1 first-leg advantage translates to a need for Maccabi Tel Aviv to win by more than one goal. Lugano's strong form and defensi...
DeepSeek V3
50%
FC Lugano
L
Lugano are the stronger team and have the lead, but Maccabi at home are not easy to beat by a margin. However, Lugano's red-hot form and Mac...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusMaccabi Tel Aviv / Maccabi Tel Aviv 1/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
42%
Lugano / Lugano
L
Lugano's attacking momentum may manifest early, setting a half-time lead that they consolidate into a full match win. However, the complexit...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
32%
Maccabi Tel Aviv / Maccabi Tel Aviv
L
Maccabi likely to lead at half and hold on given home advantage and early pressure. Lugano's form suggests they can score but rarely come fr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
25%
Draw / Draw
Given FC Lugano's aggregate lead, they will likely adopt a cautious approach, aiming to maintain their advantage. Maccabi Tel Aviv will push...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
35%
Draw / FC Lugano
L
Maccabi Tel Aviv will likely start strongly at home, attempting to get back into the tie. However, Lugano's ability to defend and hit on the...
DeepSeek V3
40%
FC Lugano / FC Lugano
L
Lugano are likely to control the game and score early, given their attacking form. Maccabi might push early but could tire as the game goes...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
18%
2-1
L
The recent 2-1 Lugano victory mirrors the most likely outcome if trends repeat. However, given Lugano's elite attacking form (4.2 goals/matc...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
L
Expected narrow home win mirrors recent H2H scoreline reversed. Both sides score in most games so 2-1 or 1-1 dominate probabilities.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
1-1
W
A 1-1 draw is a highly plausible outcome, allowing FC Lugano to progress comfortably with a 3-2 aggregate win. Maccabi Tel Aviv needs to sco...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
1-1
W
Considering Lugano's first-leg advantage and Maccabi's need to attack, a score draw like 1-1 seems probable. This result would see Lugano ad...
DeepSeek V3
35%
1-2
L
Given Maccabi's need to score and Lugano's away strength, a 1-2 win for Lugano seems plausible. They might concede a goal as Maccabi push bu...
Asian handicap
ConsensusFC Lugano -0.5 1/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Lugano -0.5
At -0.5 (half-goal), Lugano wins outright or the bettor gets half back on a draw, substantially improving odds over the full -1 spread. Luga...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Slight edge to Maccabi on Asian line due to home support and tactical familiarity. Away side's recent wins are mostly at home so handicap fa...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
68%
FC Lugano +0.5
W
FC Lugano is in superior form, holds an aggregate lead, and has more rest. A +0.5 Asian Handicap means the bet wins if Lugano wins or draws,...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
FC Lugano +0.25
W
FC Lugano's first-leg win gives them a psychological and scoreline advantage. The +0.25 handicap for Lugano accounts for their lead and stro...
DeepSeek V3
55%
FC Lugano -0.5
L
This is essentially a win market without the draw. Lugano's superior form and rest days make them favorites to win outright, so covering the...
Draw no bet
ConsensusFC Lugano 4/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
64%
FC Lugano
Lugano's attack (4.2 goals per match) vastly outperforms Maccabi's defence (1.6 conceded per match average). The away side's recent form mom...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi at home with only three rest days but strong domestic record favors them. Lugano's excellent away form is noted yet European away ga...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
FC Lugano
Given FC Lugano's strong form, aggregate lead, and superior rest, they are well-positioned to either win or draw this match. Maccabi Tel Avi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
FC Lugano
Given Lugano's first-leg advantage and superior recent form, they are the more likely side to secure a result. The draw-no-bet market offers...
DeepSeek V3
60%
FC Lugano
Removing the draw from the equation, Lugano's superior form and rest advantage make them the clear side to advance. Maccabi's home form is s...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
55%
Yes
W
Both teams have shown attacking intent in recent matches. Lugano average 4.2 goals per match and Maccabi 2 goals per match; Lugano's defence...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
yes
W
Both teams show leaky defenses in recent matches with Lugano conceding 4 and Maccabi 8 in 5 games. High-scoring H2H and attacking styles sup...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Yes
W
Maccabi Tel Aviv must score to have any chance of progressing, and they have scored in their recent home matches. FC Lugano has a strong att...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
W
FC Lugano scored twice in the first leg, and Maccabi Tel Aviv managed to score once. Both teams' recent form indicates they are capable of f...
DeepSeek V3
60%
yes
W
Both teams have been scoring and conceding regularly. Maccabi have scored in most home games but also conceded 8 in 5. Lugano are potent awa...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Claude Haiku 4.5
FC Lugano
DeepSeek V3
FC Lugano
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
FC Lugano
Grok 4 Fast
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Gemini 2.5 Flash
FC Lugano
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
d2af1b1af98e45b1…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Aug 27 · 16:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 31573,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Adjarabet Arena",
"league": "UEFA Europa Conference League",
"starts_at": "2026-08-27T16:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 27 Aug 2026 16:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "FC Lugano",
"home": "Maccabi Tel Aviv"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWDWW",
"record": "4W-1D-0L",
"scored": 21,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 4
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WLWWL",
"record": "3W-0D-2L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 8
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 6,
"home": 3
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-08-20: FC Lugano 2–1 Maccabi Tel Aviv"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.