LyonvsFenerbahçe
Lyon 1–2 Fenerbahçe
2 of 4 AIs leaned Draw — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Draw 2/4
- Correct calls
- 0/4
- Final
- 1–2
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Draw 2/4 models |
Lyon 2/4 models |
under 3/4 models |
Lyon 2/4 models |
Lyon -0.25 1/4 models |
1-1 3/4 models |
Draw / Draw 2/4 models |
yes 4/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
48%
Lyon
L
|
55%
Lyon
L
|
52%
under
L
|
44%
Lyon
L
|
51%
Lyon -0.25
L
|
18%
2-1
L
|
27%
Draw / Lyon
L
|
53%
yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Lyon Lyon at home after a recent 1-1 draw with Fenerbahçe. Home form shows mixed results but Lyon has the venue advantage in a Champions League t...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Lyon Recent H2H ended level but Lyon benefits from home ground and 4 rest days. Fenerbahçe's strong away form is noted yet the tie context favors...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
under Both sides average under 3 goals per recent game and the 1-1 H2H suggests a controlled match. Outdoor venue and European tie often suppress...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
44%
Lyon Lyon -1 spread is marginal given recent draw and Fenerbahçe's attacking output. Away side slightly favored to cover the handicap.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
Lyon -0.25 Lyon receive a quarter-ball start at home. The 4-day rest and venue edge give slight value on the home Asian handicap.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Low-scoring profile and recent 1-1 result point to 2-1 or 1-1. Lyon home edge lifts probability of narrow home win.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
27%
Draw / Lyon Lyon often start cautiously but finish stronger at home. Recent H2H was level at half suggesting draw/home as most probable sequence.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
yes Lyon concede regularly at home while Fenerbahçe score away. The recent 1-1 meeting supports both teams finding the net again. |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
30%
Draw
L
|
52%
Fenerbahçe
W
|
52%
under
L
|
60%
away_ +1 |
65%
away_ +0.5 |
18%
1-1
L
|
25%
Draw / Draw
L
|
65%
yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
30%
Draw Based on training data up to my last update, Lyon holds home advantage, but Fenerbahçe shows slightly better recent form (3W-1D-1L vs 2W-1D-...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
52%
Fenerbahçe Based on training data up to my last update, removing the draw, Fenerbahçe's slightly superior recent form and goal-scoring record give them...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
under Based on training data up to my last update, both teams average around 2.8 goals per game in their recent five matches. However, the immedia...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
away_ +1 Based on training data up to my last update, Lyon winning by two or more goals (Home -1) appears unlikely given the tight head-to-head recor...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
away_ +0.5 Based on training data up to my last update, the 'Away +0.5' pick means Fenerbahçe wins or draws, which aligns with my overall assessment of...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-1 Based on training data up to my last update, the most recent head-to-head match between these two teams ended 1-1, making it a highly probab...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Draw / Draw Based on training data up to my last update, the recent 1-1 draw between these teams indicates a closely fought match. Given both teams' bal...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
yes Based on training data up to my last update, both Lyon and Fenerbahçe have scored in 4 out of their last 5 matches, and conceded in 4 and 3... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
45%
Draw
L
|
45%
Draw
L
|
60%
over
W
|
55%
Fenerbahçe |
55%
Fenerbahçe +0.5
W
|
20%
1-1
L
|
30%
Draw / Draw
L
|
65%
yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Draw The recent head-to-head shows a draw, and both teams have similar recent form with a mix of wins, draws, and losses. Lyon has a slight home...
3 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
45%
Draw Given the slight edge Lyon has at home but Fenerbahce's resilience, and the recent draw between them, the draw is the most probable result....
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over While the previous meeting was a 1-1 draw, both teams have shown decent attacking capabilities in their recent matches, scoring a combined 1...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Fenerbahçe Lyon has a slight home advantage, but their recent form shows 2 losses in their last 5 games. Fenerbahce has been more consistent and a draw...
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Fenerbahçe +0.5 Considering the balanced nature of the teams and their recent performances, a narrow victory for either side or a draw is most likely. Fener...
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-1 The previous encounter between these two teams ended in a 1-1 draw, and both teams have shown the ability to score and concede. Given the ev...
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw Both teams have drawn at halftime in recent matches and have shown the ability to come back or hold onto a result. Given the likely tight na...
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
yes Both teams have demonstrated a tendency to score and concede in their recent matches. Lyon has conceded in 3 of their last 5 home games, and...
3 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
45%
Lyon
L
|
55%
Lyon
L
|
55%
under
L
|
30%
Lyon
L
|
50%
Lyon -0.5
L
|
15%
1-1
L
|
20%
Draw / Lyon
L
|
52%
yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Lyon Lyon have home advantage and a slightly better squad on paper, but their recent form is inconsistent. Fenerbahçe are in decent shape and ear...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Lyon With the draw removed, Lyon's home advantage and slightly stronger overall quality make them the favoured side. Fenerbahçe are capable but l...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Both teams have shown moderate scoring and defensive solidity, and the first leg was low-scoring. In a high-stakes Champions League tie, tea...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
30%
Lyon Lyon winning by 2+ goals is unlikely given their inconsistent form and Fenerbahçe's competitiveness. The first leg was a draw, and this is e...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Lyon -0.5 The Asian handicap with Lyon at -0.5 essentially means Lyon must win. Given home advantage and overall quality, they have a slight edge, but...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 Given the evenly matched nature and the 1-1 result in the first leg, a 1-1 draw is a plausible outcome. However, a narrow home win or anothe...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / Lyon Lyon are likely to start brightly and may score first, but Fenerbahçe are resilient and could equalise. A draw at half-time with Lyon winnin...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
yes Fenerbahçe have scored in most matches and Lyon are prone to conceding at home. The first leg saw both teams score, suggesting they can find... |
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Match winner
ConsensusDraw 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Lyon
L
Lyon at home after a recent 1-1 draw with Fenerbahçe. Home form shows mixed results but Lyon has the venue advantage in a Champions League t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
30%
Draw
L
Based on training data up to my last update, Lyon holds home advantage, but Fenerbahçe shows slightly better recent form (3W-1D-1L vs 2W-1D-...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw
L
The recent head-to-head shows a draw, and both teams have similar recent form with a mix of wins, draws, and losses. Lyon has a slight home...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Lyon
L
Lyon have home advantage and a slightly better squad on paper, but their recent form is inconsistent. Fenerbahçe are in decent shape and ear...
Draw no bet
ConsensusLyon 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Lyon
L
Recent H2H ended level but Lyon benefits from home ground and 4 rest days. Fenerbahçe's strong away form is noted yet the tie context favors...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Fenerbahçe
W
Based on training data up to my last update, removing the draw, Fenerbahçe's slightly superior recent form and goal-scoring record give them...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw
L
Given the slight edge Lyon has at home but Fenerbahce's resilience, and the recent draw between them, the draw is the most probable result....
DeepSeek V3
55%
Lyon
L
With the draw removed, Lyon's home advantage and slightly stronger overall quality make them the favoured side. Fenerbahçe are capable but l...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
under
L
Both sides average under 3 goals per recent game and the 1-1 H2H suggests a controlled match. Outdoor venue and European tie often suppress...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
under
L
Based on training data up to my last update, both teams average around 2.8 goals per game in their recent five matches. However, the immedia...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
W
While the previous meeting was a 1-1 draw, both teams have shown decent attacking capabilities in their recent matches, scoring a combined 1...
DeepSeek V3
55%
under
L
Both teams have shown moderate scoring and defensive solidity, and the first leg was low-scoring. In a high-stakes Champions League tie, tea...
Spread
ConsensusLyon 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
44%
Lyon
L
Lyon -1 spread is marginal given recent draw and Fenerbahçe's attacking output. Away side slightly favored to cover the handicap.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
away_ +1
Based on training data up to my last update, Lyon winning by two or more goals (Home -1) appears unlikely given the tight head-to-head recor...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Fenerbahçe
Lyon has a slight home advantage, but their recent form shows 2 losses in their last 5 games. Fenerbahce has been more consistent and a draw...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Lyon
L
Lyon winning by 2+ goals is unlikely given their inconsistent form and Fenerbahçe's competitiveness. The first leg was a draw, and this is e...
Asian handicap
ConsensusLyon -0.25 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Lyon -0.25
L
Lyon receive a quarter-ball start at home. The 4-day rest and venue edge give slight value on the home Asian handicap.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
away_ +0.5
Based on training data up to my last update, the 'Away +0.5' pick means Fenerbahçe wins or draws, which aligns with my overall assessment of...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Fenerbahçe +0.5
W
Considering the balanced nature of the teams and their recent performances, a narrow victory for either side or a draw is most likely. Fener...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Lyon -0.5
L
The Asian handicap with Lyon at -0.5 essentially means Lyon must win. Given home advantage and overall quality, they have a slight edge, but...
Correct score
Consensus1-1 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
L
Low-scoring profile and recent 1-1 result point to 2-1 or 1-1. Lyon home edge lifts probability of narrow home win.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
1-1
L
Based on training data up to my last update, the most recent head-to-head match between these two teams ended 1-1, making it a highly probab...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
20%
1-1
L
The previous encounter between these two teams ended in a 1-1 draw, and both teams have shown the ability to score and concede. Given the ev...
DeepSeek V3
15%
1-1
L
Given the evenly matched nature and the 1-1 result in the first leg, a 1-1 draw is a plausible outcome. However, a narrow home win or anothe...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Draw 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
27%
Draw / Lyon
L
Lyon often start cautiously but finish stronger at home. Recent H2H was level at half suggesting draw/home as most probable sequence.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
25%
Draw / Draw
L
Based on training data up to my last update, the recent 1-1 draw between these teams indicates a closely fought match. Given both teams' bal...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
Draw / Draw
L
Both teams have drawn at halftime in recent matches and have shown the ability to come back or hold onto a result. Given the likely tight na...
DeepSeek V3
20%
Draw / Lyon
L
Lyon are likely to start brightly and may score first, but Fenerbahçe are resilient and could equalise. A draw at half-time with Lyon winnin...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
yes
W
Lyon concede regularly at home while Fenerbahçe score away. The recent 1-1 meeting supports both teams finding the net again.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
yes
W
Based on training data up to my last update, both Lyon and Fenerbahçe have scored in 4 out of their last 5 matches, and conceded in 4 and 3...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
yes
W
Both teams have demonstrated a tendency to score and concede in their recent matches. Lyon has conceded in 3 of their last 5 home games, and...
DeepSeek V3
52%
yes
W
Fenerbahçe have scored in most matches and Lyon are prone to conceding at home. The first leg saw both teams score, suggesting they can find...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Lyon
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Draw
DeepSeek V3
Lyon
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Draw
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
7346bf60fc35bb48…
- Kickoff
- Wed, Aug 26 · 19:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 31463,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Parc Olympique Lyonnais",
"league": "UEFA Champions League",
"starts_at": "2026-08-26T19:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Wed, 26 Aug 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Fenerbahçe",
"home": "Lyon"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WDLWW",
"record": "3W-1D-1L",
"scored": 9,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 5
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WDWLL",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 7,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 7
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 4
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-08-18: Fenerbahçe 1–1 Lyon"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
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