LillestromvsEgnatia Rrogozhinë
Lillestrom 2–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
2 of 4 AIs leaned Draw — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Draw 2/4
- Correct calls
- 1/4
- Final
- 2–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
under 3/4 models |
no 3/4 models |
Draw 2/4 models |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2/4 models |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3/4 models |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.25 1/4 models |
1-1 1/4 models |
Draw / Draw 3/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
61%
under
L
|
58%
no
L
|
42%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
L
|
48%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
L
|
39%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
L
|
51%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.25
L
|
19%
0-1
L
|
33%
Draw / Draw
L
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
61%
under Both sides average under 3 total goals per game in recent outings, Lillestrom especially low-scoring at home. The 0-0 first leg and Lillestr...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
no Lillestrom have failed to score in three of their last five and kept no clean sheets. Egnatia's solid defensive record on the road combined...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Egnatia arrive with superior recent form, scoring 10 goals and conceding only 5 in their last 5, while Lillestrom managed just 2 goals and c...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
48%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Lillestrom's home scoring drought and defensive leaks make them unreliable favourites. Egnatia's better attacking output and rest advantage...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
39%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Egnatia's better goal difference and attacking threat make them capable of covering +1 on the handicap. Lillestrom's poor home results incre...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.25 The 0-0 first leg and Lillestrom's attacking struggles give Egnatia a strong chance to avoid defeat. Half-goal Asian line on the visitors of...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
19%
0-1 The 0-0 first leg and Lillestrom's scoring issues point to another low-scoring result. Egnatia's better away output makes 0-1 the single mos...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
33%
Draw / Draw Both teams are defensively cautious, with the first leg finishing 0-0. Lillestrom's lack of home goals and Egnatia's controlled style make a... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
65%
Under
L
|
70%
No
L
|
40%
Draw
L
|
65%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
L
|
70%
Egnatia +1 |
75%
Egnatia +0.5 |
20%
0-0
L
|
30%
Draw / Draw
L
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
Under The first leg ended 0-0, indicating a defensive setup from both sides or difficulty in breaking down defenses. Lillestrom has only scored tw...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
70%
No Lillestrom's significant difficulty in finding the net (2 goals in 5 matches) suggests they might struggle to score even at home. Given the...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
40%
Draw Lillestrom enters this second leg with very poor form, failing to win any of their last five matches and scoring only two goals. Egnatia's r...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Considering Lillestrom's struggles and Egnatia's better form, Egnatia is favored to either win outright or draw, making the 'Away' pick for...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Egnatia +1 Lillestrom's form (0 wins in last 5, 2 goals scored) makes winning by two or more goals highly unlikely. Egnatia's better form and the first...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
75%
Egnatia +0.5 Egnatia +0.5 essentially means Egnatia to win or draw, which aligns with their superior recent form compared to Lillestrom. Lillestrom's poo...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
0-0 Given the 0-0 draw in the first leg and Lillestrom's severe struggles to score (2 goals in their last 5 games), a goalless draw again is a v...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw With the first leg ending 0-0 and both teams likely to be cautious in such a crucial European fixture, a goalless first half is highly proba... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
under
L
|
55%
no
L
|
45%
Draw
L
|
45%
Draw
L
|
50%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
L
|
55%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
25%
1-1
L
|
30%
Draw / Draw
L
|
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Both teams have shown defensive solidity in their recent matches, with Egnatia conceding 5 goals in 5 games and Lillestrom also conceding a...
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no The previous 0-0 draw is a strong indicator that both teams may struggle to score against each other. Considering Lillestrom's recent scorin...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Draw The recent 0-0 draw between these two teams suggests a closely contested match. Lillestrom's poor recent home form contrasts with Egnatia's...
3 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
45%
Draw Given the evenly matched nature of the teams, as evidenced by their recent 0-0 draw and Egnatia's slightly better away form, a draw is the m...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Egnatia has shown more resilience away from home compared to Lillestrom's struggles at home. While Lillestrom might be motivated to perform...
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Considering Egnatia's superior away form and Lillestrom's concerning home form, Egnatia is more likely to get a result. Even if Lillestrom m...
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
1-1 The previous 0-0 draw indicates that these teams are closely matched. However, Lillestrom's poor home scoring record combined with Egnatia's...
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw Given the previous 0-0 draw and both teams' tendency to be solid defensively for periods, a draw at halftime is highly probable. Lillestrom'...
3 sources cited
|
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
under
L
|
60%
no
L
|
45%
Lillestrom
W
|
60%
Lillestrom
W
|
50%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
L
|
55%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.5
L
|
20%
1-0
L
|
20%
Draw / Lillestrom |
|
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under The first leg ended 0-0, and Egnatia are likely to defend deep. Lillestrom have been in poor scoring form, netting just 2 in their last 5. E...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
no Egnatia are unlikely to score away from home, as they failed to do so in the first leg and will likely park the bus. Lillestrom may struggle...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Lillestrom Training data through 2025 shows Lillestrom as a solid Norwegian side, and they have home advantage with extra rest. Egnatia are from Albani...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Lillestrom With the draw removed, the home side are more likely to win given home advantage and the away side's likely defensive approach. Lillestrom h...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë With a -1 spread, the home team must win by 2 or more goals. Given Lillestrom's poor scoring form and Egnatia's defensive approach, a clear...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.5 The away side receiving a half-goal cushion is valuable because they are expected to defend and could snatch a draw or win. Lillestrom's for...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-0 A narrow home win is the most likely outcome given home advantage and the away side's defensive setup. The first leg was 0-0, so a 1-0 score...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / Lillestrom Given the low-scoring nature of the first leg, a draw at half-time is likely. Lillestrom may then push for a winner in the second half, maki... |
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Over / Under
Consensusunder 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
61%
under
L
Both sides average under 3 total goals per game in recent outings, Lillestrom especially low-scoring at home. The 0-0 first leg and Lillestr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Under
L
The first leg ended 0-0, indicating a defensive setup from both sides or difficulty in breaking down defenses. Lillestrom has only scored tw...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
under
L
Both teams have shown defensive solidity in their recent matches, with Egnatia conceding 5 goals in 5 games and Lillestrom also conceding a...
DeepSeek V3
55%
under
L
The first leg ended 0-0, and Egnatia are likely to defend deep. Lillestrom have been in poor scoring form, netting just 2 in their last 5. E...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
no
L
Lillestrom have failed to score in three of their last five and kept no clean sheets. Egnatia's solid defensive record on the road combined...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
No
L
Lillestrom's significant difficulty in finding the net (2 goals in 5 matches) suggests they might struggle to score even at home. Given the...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
no
L
The previous 0-0 draw is a strong indicator that both teams may struggle to score against each other. Considering Lillestrom's recent scorin...
DeepSeek V3
60%
no
L
Egnatia are unlikely to score away from home, as they failed to do so in the first leg and will likely park the bus. Lillestrom may struggle...
Match winner
ConsensusDraw 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
L
Egnatia arrive with superior recent form, scoring 10 goals and conceding only 5 in their last 5, while Lillestrom managed just 2 goals and c...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
40%
Draw
L
Lillestrom enters this second leg with very poor form, failing to win any of their last five matches and scoring only two goals. Egnatia's r...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw
L
The recent 0-0 draw between these two teams suggests a closely contested match. Lillestrom's poor recent home form contrasts with Egnatia's...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Lillestrom
W
Training data through 2025 shows Lillestrom as a solid Norwegian side, and they have home advantage with extra rest. Egnatia are from Albani...
Draw no bet
ConsensusEgnatia Rrogozhinë 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
L
Lillestrom's home scoring drought and defensive leaks make them unreliable favourites. Egnatia's better attacking output and rest advantage...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
L
Considering Lillestrom's struggles and Egnatia's better form, Egnatia is favored to either win outright or draw, making the 'Away' pick for...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw
L
Given the evenly matched nature of the teams, as evidenced by their recent 0-0 draw and Egnatia's slightly better away form, a draw is the m...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Lillestrom
W
With the draw removed, the home side are more likely to win given home advantage and the away side's likely defensive approach. Lillestrom h...
Spread
ConsensusEgnatia Rrogozhinë 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
39%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
L
Egnatia's better goal difference and attacking threat make them capable of covering +1 on the handicap. Lillestrom's poor home results incre...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Egnatia +1
Lillestrom's form (0 wins in last 5, 2 goals scored) makes winning by two or more goals highly unlikely. Egnatia's better form and the first...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
L
Egnatia has shown more resilience away from home compared to Lillestrom's struggles at home. While Lillestrom might be motivated to perform...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
L
With a -1 spread, the home team must win by 2 or more goals. Given Lillestrom's poor scoring form and Egnatia's defensive approach, a clear...
Asian handicap
ConsensusEgnatia Rrogozhinë +0.25 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.25
L
The 0-0 first leg and Lillestrom's attacking struggles give Egnatia a strong chance to avoid defeat. Half-goal Asian line on the visitors of...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
Egnatia +0.5
Egnatia +0.5 essentially means Egnatia to win or draw, which aligns with their superior recent form compared to Lillestrom. Lillestrom's poo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Considering Egnatia's superior away form and Lillestrom's concerning home form, Egnatia is more likely to get a result. Even if Lillestrom m...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë +0.5
L
The away side receiving a half-goal cushion is valuable because they are expected to defend and could snatch a draw or win. Lillestrom's for...
Correct score
Consensus1-1 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
19%
0-1
L
The 0-0 first leg and Lillestrom's scoring issues point to another low-scoring result. Egnatia's better away output makes 0-1 the single mos...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
0-0
L
Given the 0-0 draw in the first leg and Lillestrom's severe struggles to score (2 goals in their last 5 games), a goalless draw again is a v...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
25%
1-1
L
The previous 0-0 draw indicates that these teams are closely matched. However, Lillestrom's poor home scoring record combined with Egnatia's...
DeepSeek V3
20%
1-0
L
A narrow home win is the most likely outcome given home advantage and the away side's defensive setup. The first leg was 0-0, so a 1-0 score...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Draw 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
33%
Draw / Draw
L
Both teams are defensively cautious, with the first leg finishing 0-0. Lillestrom's lack of home goals and Egnatia's controlled style make a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
30%
Draw / Draw
L
With the first leg ending 0-0 and both teams likely to be cautious in such a crucial European fixture, a goalless first half is highly proba...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
Draw / Draw
L
Given the previous 0-0 draw and both teams' tendency to be solid defensively for periods, a draw at halftime is highly probable. Lillestrom'...
DeepSeek V3
20%
Draw / Lillestrom
Given the low-scoring nature of the first leg, a draw at half-time is likely. Lillestrom may then push for a winner in the second half, maki...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Draw
DeepSeek V3
Lillestrom
Grok 4 Fast
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Draw
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
dbf9e7c0614017ff…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Aug 27 · 17:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 31602,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "UEFA Europa League",
"starts_at": "2026-08-27T17:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 27 Aug 2026 17:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Egnatia Rrogozhinë",
"home": "Lillestrom"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WDWLD",
"record": "2W-2D-1L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 5
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DDLLL",
"record": "0W-2D-3L",
"scored": 2,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 9
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 3,
"home": 7
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-08-20: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0–0 Lillestrom"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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