Inter Miami IIvsOrlando City II
Inter Miami II 1–4 Orlando City II
3 of 4 AIs leaned Inter Miami II — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Inter Miami II 3/4
- Correct calls
- 1/4
- Final
- 1–4
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Inter Miami II -0.5 2/4 models |
Inter Miami II 3/4 models |
Orlando City II 2/4 models |
Inter Miami II 3/4 models |
2-1 1/4 models |
Inter Miami II / Inter Miami II 2/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
58%
Inter Miami II -0.5
L
|
65%
Inter Miami II
L
|
52%
Inter Miami II
L
|
58%
Inter Miami II
L
|
18%
2-1
L
|
42%
Inter Miami II / Inter Miami II
L
|
55%
yes
W
|
62%
over
W
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Inter Miami II -0.5 Home favored by form and venue; Asian line at -0.5 aligns with expected win probability. Training data through 2025-09.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Inter Miami II Home holds clear edge in goal difference and record. Away side leaking heavily on the road makes backing home without draw risk the value. T...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Inter Miami II Home expected to win by margin given away form collapse; spread -1 leans home. Training data through 2025-09.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Inter Miami II Home side shows superior recent form with 2W-1D-2L and 10 goals scored versus away's 1W-0D-4L and 16 conceded. Fewer rest days for home but...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Expected low-scoring but home win; 2-1 most probable outcome based on average goals and form. Training data through 2025-09.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
42%
Inter Miami II / Inter Miami II Home likely leads at half and controls second half given away poor record. Training data through 2025-09.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams concede regularly and home attack creates chances; away poor clean sheet rate supports BTTS. Training data through 2025-09.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
over MLS Next Pro matches trend open; home scoring rate and away defensive weakness point to at least three goals. Training data through 2025-09. |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
Inter Miami II -1.0
L
|
80%
Inter Miami II
L
|
55%
Inter Miami II -1
L
|
65%
Inter Miami II
L
|
15%
3-1
L
|
40%
Inter Miami II / Inter Miami II
L
|
65%
Yes
W
|
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Inter Miami II -1.0 Similar to the spreads_-1 market, Inter Miami II is expected to win this match by at least a two-goal margin. Their offensive strength and O...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
80%
Inter Miami II With the draw outcome removed, Inter Miami II's superior form and home advantage become even more pronounced. Orlando City II's poor defensi...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Inter Miami II -1 Inter Miami II's stronger attacking output (2 G/game) combined with Orlando City II's dismal defense (3.2 G/game conceded) points to a multi...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Inter Miami II Inter Miami II enters this match with significantly better recent form (2W-1D-2L) compared to Orlando City II's struggles (1W-0D-4L). The ho...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
3-1 Considering Inter Miami II's average of 2 goals scored and Orlando City II's high average of 3.2 goals conceded, a scoreline where Miami sco...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Inter Miami II / Inter Miami II As the stronger home team facing a struggling Orlando City II, Inter Miami II is likely to establish an early lead and maintain it throughou...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
Yes Inter Miami II is a strong offensive team, scoring an average of 2 goals per game, and also concedes on average 2 goals per game. While Orla...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
70%
Over 2.5 Goals Inter Miami II averages 2 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per game over their last five, while Orlando City II averages 1.2 goals scored a... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
54%
away_ +0.25 |
55%
Orlando City II
W
|
52%
Orlando City II
W
|
51%
Orlando City II
W
|
12%
1-2
L
|
30%
Draw / Orlando City II |
57%
yes
W
|
58%
over
W
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
54%
away_ +0.25 Orlando City II's recent form, while not stellar, is slightly superior to Inter Miami II's. The +0.25 handicap offers a cushion, making them...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Orlando City II Orlando City II's slightly better recent form and marginally higher scoring rate suggest they have a slight advantage. Even considering Inte...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Orlando City II Given Orlando City II's slightly better recent form and their need to overcome a deficit, they are the marginally better pick to cover the -...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
51%
Orlando City II Orlando City II's recent form (WLLLL) is slightly better than Inter Miami II's (WDLWL). However, Inter Miami II has had more rest, which cou...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-2 Considering Orlando City II's slightly better form and their tendency to concede, a narrow away win seems plausible. A 1-2 scoreline reflect...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Orlando City II Orlando City II has a slightly better recent form and might start cautiously, potentially leading to a draw at halftime. However, their abil...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
57%
yes Orlando City II's defense has been porous, conceding 16 goals in their last 5 matches. Despite this, they have managed to score in some of t...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Both teams have shown some attacking capability, with Inter Miami II scoring 10 goals in their last 5 and Orlando City II scoring 6 in their... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
42%
Inter Miami II -0.5
L
|
55%
Inter Miami II
L
|
75%
Orlando City II
W
|
42%
Inter Miami II
L
|
20%
2-2
L
|
20%
Orlando City II / Draw
L
|
58%
yes
W
|
65%
over
W
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
42%
Inter Miami II -0.5 Inter Miami II are slight favourites at home, but their form is inconsistent and Orlando City II have had rest. A close game is likely, so t...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Inter Miami II Removing the draw, Inter Miami II are more likely to win given home advantage and better recent form. Orlando City II have struggled away, l...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
Orlando City II With a -1 spread for the home side, this is essentially predicting Inter Miami II to win by at least 2 goals. Given the tight nature of thes...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Inter Miami II Inter Miami II have a slightly better recent form and home advantage, but both teams have shown defensive frailty. Orlando City II have lost...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
2-2 Both teams score and concede readily, making draws or high-scoring draws plausible. The combined goals average suggests around 3-4 total, an...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Orlando City II / Draw Given the likely close match, a halftime draw or away lead could shift. Orlando City II have more rest and may start strongly, but Inter Mia...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Both teams have shown ability to score and concede; Orlando City II have scored in four of five despite heavy defeats. Inter Miami II also t...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
over Both teams have leaky defences, with Inter Miami II conceding 10 in 5 and Orlando City II conceding 16 in 5 while scoring regularly. Their m... |
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Asian handicap
ConsensusInter Miami II -0.5 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Inter Miami II -0.5
L
Home favored by form and venue; Asian line at -0.5 aligns with expected win probability. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Inter Miami II -1.0
L
Similar to the spreads_-1 market, Inter Miami II is expected to win this match by at least a two-goal margin. Their offensive strength and O...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
54%
away_ +0.25
Orlando City II's recent form, while not stellar, is slightly superior to Inter Miami II's. The +0.25 handicap offers a cushion, making them...
DeepSeek V3
42%
Inter Miami II -0.5
L
Inter Miami II are slight favourites at home, but their form is inconsistent and Orlando City II have had rest. A close game is likely, so t...
Draw no bet
ConsensusInter Miami II 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
65%
Inter Miami II
L
Home holds clear edge in goal difference and record. Away side leaking heavily on the road makes backing home without draw risk the value. T...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
80%
Inter Miami II
L
With the draw outcome removed, Inter Miami II's superior form and home advantage become even more pronounced. Orlando City II's poor defensi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Orlando City II
W
Orlando City II's slightly better recent form and marginally higher scoring rate suggest they have a slight advantage. Even considering Inte...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Inter Miami II
L
Removing the draw, Inter Miami II are more likely to win given home advantage and better recent form. Orlando City II have struggled away, l...
Spread
ConsensusOrlando City II 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Inter Miami II
L
Home expected to win by margin given away form collapse; spread -1 leans home. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Inter Miami II -1
L
Inter Miami II's stronger attacking output (2 G/game) combined with Orlando City II's dismal defense (3.2 G/game conceded) points to a multi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Orlando City II
W
Given Orlando City II's slightly better recent form and their need to overcome a deficit, they are the marginally better pick to cover the -...
DeepSeek V3
75%
Orlando City II
W
With a -1 spread for the home side, this is essentially predicting Inter Miami II to win by at least 2 goals. Given the tight nature of thes...
Match winner
ConsensusInter Miami II 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Inter Miami II
L
Home side shows superior recent form with 2W-1D-2L and 10 goals scored versus away's 1W-0D-4L and 16 conceded. Fewer rest days for home but...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Inter Miami II
L
Inter Miami II enters this match with significantly better recent form (2W-1D-2L) compared to Orlando City II's struggles (1W-0D-4L). The ho...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
51%
Orlando City II
W
Orlando City II's recent form (WLLLL) is slightly better than Inter Miami II's (WDLWL). However, Inter Miami II has had more rest, which cou...
DeepSeek V3
42%
Inter Miami II
L
Inter Miami II have a slightly better recent form and home advantage, but both teams have shown defensive frailty. Orlando City II have lost...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
L
Expected low-scoring but home win; 2-1 most probable outcome based on average goals and form. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
3-1
L
Considering Inter Miami II's average of 2 goals scored and Orlando City II's high average of 3.2 goals conceded, a scoreline where Miami sco...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
12%
1-2
L
Considering Orlando City II's slightly better form and their tendency to concede, a narrow away win seems plausible. A 1-2 scoreline reflect...
DeepSeek V3
20%
2-2
L
Both teams score and concede readily, making draws or high-scoring draws plausible. The combined goals average suggests around 3-4 total, an...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusInter Miami II / Inter Miami II 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Inter Miami II / Inter Miami II
L
Home likely leads at half and controls second half given away poor record. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
40%
Inter Miami II / Inter Miami II
L
As the stronger home team facing a struggling Orlando City II, Inter Miami II is likely to establish an early lead and maintain it throughou...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
Draw / Orlando City II
Orlando City II has a slightly better recent form and might start cautiously, potentially leading to a draw at halftime. However, their abil...
DeepSeek V3
20%
Orlando City II / Draw
L
Given the likely close match, a halftime draw or away lead could shift. Orlando City II have more rest and may start strongly, but Inter Mia...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
yes
W
Both teams concede regularly and home attack creates chances; away poor clean sheet rate supports BTTS. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Yes
W
Inter Miami II is a strong offensive team, scoring an average of 2 goals per game, and also concedes on average 2 goals per game. While Orla...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
57%
yes
W
Orlando City II's defense has been porous, conceding 16 goals in their last 5 matches. Despite this, they have managed to score in some of t...
DeepSeek V3
58%
yes
W
Both teams have shown ability to score and concede; Orlando City II have scored in four of five despite heavy defeats. Inter Miami II also t...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
over
W
MLS Next Pro matches trend open; home scoring rate and away defensive weakness point to at least three goals. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
Inter Miami II averages 2 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per game over their last five, while Orlando City II averages 1.2 goals scored a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
over
W
Both teams have shown some attacking capability, with Inter Miami II scoring 10 goals in their last 5 and Orlando City II scoring 6 in their...
DeepSeek V3
65%
over
W
Both teams have leaky defences, with Inter Miami II conceding 10 in 5 and Orlando City II conceding 16 in 5 while scoring regularly. Their m...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Inter Miami II
Grok 4 Fast
Inter Miami II
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Orlando City II
DeepSeek V3
Inter Miami II
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
04061a4928584774…
- Kickoff
- Fri, Sep 4 · 23:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 36147,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Chase Stadium",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-09-04T23:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Fri, 04 Sep 2026 23:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Orlando City II",
"home": "Inter Miami II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WLLLL",
"record": "1W-0D-4L",
"scored": 6,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 16
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WDLWL",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 10
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 5,
"home": 2
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
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