Houston Dynamo FC IIvsMinnesota United II
Houston Dynamo FC II 0–2 Minnesota United II
All 4 AIs backed Houston Dynamo FC II — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Houston Dynamo FC II 4/4
- Correct calls
- 0/4
- Final
- 0–2
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
2-0 2/4 models |
yes 2/4 models |
Houston Dynamo FC II 4/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
Houston Dynamo FC II 4/4 models |
Houston Dynamo FC II / Houston Dynamo FC II 2/4 models |
Houston Dynamo FC II 1/4 models |
Houston Dynamo FC II -0.5 1/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
18%
2-1
L
|
51%
yes
L
|
58%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
|
54%
over
L
|
72%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
|
39%
Houston Dynamo FC II / Houston Dynamo FC II
L
|
49%
home_ -1 |
55%
home_ -0.25 |
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Recent 4-0 and home scoring trends favor 2-1 as most likely narrow win. Both teams' goal rates support low-to-mid scores. Training data thro...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
51%
yes Both sides concede regularly and the prior 4-0 still saw open play. Similar records suggest neither keeps many clean sheets. Form data alone...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Houston Dynamo FC II Houston Dynamo FC II won the only recent H2H 4-0 and both sides show identical 1W-2D-2L records over five matches. Home venue and seven rest...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
54%
over Combined goals in recent H2H reached four and both teams average over 2.8 goals per game in their last five. Outdoor venue but no noted weat...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
72%
Houston Dynamo FC II Houston's home scoring edge and the 4-0 precedent point to a win without the draw option. Both teams concede at similar rates but hosts have...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
39%
Houston Dynamo FC II / Houston Dynamo FC II Houston's 4-0 H2H suggests they can lead at half and close it out. Similar overall form makes other HT/FT paths viable but home/home edges t...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
49%
home_ -1 Houston's 4-0 H2H win supports a -1 spread but away side's recent results keep the line close. Identical rest and form records make this nea...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
home_ -0.25 Half-goal handicap reflects Houston's home advantage and recent dominance without overcommitting. Both teams' defensive records are comparab... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
18%
2-0
L
|
58%
No
W
|
55%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
|
55%
Over
L
|
73%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
|
35%
Houston Dynamo FC II / Houston Dynamo FC II
L
|
52%
Houston Dynamo FC II -1
L
|
55%
Houston Dynamo FC II -0.5
L
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-0 A 2-0 scoreline for Houston is a balanced prediction, reflecting their strong head-to-head win (4-0) without overstating dominance in light...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
No The recent 4-0 head-to-head result saw Minnesota fail to score. While Houston often scores, Minnesota's attack is slightly less potent in re...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Houston Dynamo FC II Houston Dynamo FC II holds a strong head-to-head advantage, having decisively beaten Minnesota United II 4-0 recently. Coupled with home adv...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over Houston's recent form shows them scoring and conceding at an average of 1.6 goals per game, while Minnesota scores 1.2 and concedes 1.4 per...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
73%
Houston Dynamo FC II Given the strong H2H record for Houston and their home advantage, picking them to win with the draw covered makes sense. This prediction off...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Houston Dynamo FC II / Houston Dynamo FC II Given Houston's dominant 4-0 victory in the last encounter and their home advantage, it's reasonable to predict them to take an early lead a...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Houston Dynamo FC II -1 Given Houston's dominant 4-0 win in the only recent head-to-head match, they demonstrated the capability to win by more than a single goal....
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Houston Dynamo FC II -0.5 The 'Home -0.5' Asian Handicap is equivalent to betting on a direct home win. With Houston's strong head-to-head record (4-0 victory) and pl... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
18%
2-0
L
|
55%
no
W
|
55%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
|
52%
over
L
|
58%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
|
45%
home_draw |
53%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
|
57%
home_ 0.0 |
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-0 Houston Dynamo FC II's recent form and dominant 4-0 head-to-head victory suggest they are the more likely winners, with a clean sheet being...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Although both teams have scored in some recent matches, their overall defensive performances have been somewhat inconsistent. The dominant 4...
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Houston Dynamo FC II Houston Dynamo FC II has a superior recent form and finished higher in the league standings. They also have a dominant head-to-head record,...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Both teams have similar scoring and conceding records over their last five matches. The previous encounter between these two teams resulted...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Houston Dynamo FC II Given Houston's slightly better form and strong head-to-head advantage, they are the more likely to secure at least a draw. The home advanta...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
home_draw Houston is expected to start stronger at home and has a history of dominance. However, Minnesota may hold on for a draw in the second half i...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
53%
Houston Dynamo FC II Houston Dynamo FC II has shown better offensive output recently and has a strong historical advantage. Despite the -1 handicap, their abilit...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
57%
home_ 0.0 Houston Dynamo FC II is favored due to their superior league position and recent head-to-head result. The 0.0 Asian Handicap offers a balanc...
2 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
15%
1-1
L
|
55%
yes
L
|
50%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
|
55%
over
L
|
55%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
|
20%
draw_home |
60%
away_plus_ 1 |
50%
away_ +0.5 |
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 The most likely result is a low-scoring draw or a narrow home win given the similar form and the close nature of the match. A 1-1 draw is th...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Despite Houston's clean sheet in the previous meeting, both teams have been scoring and conceding consistently in their recent matches. Minn...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
50%
Houston Dynamo FC II Houston Dynamo FC II has a strong recent head-to-head record with a 4-0 win, and both teams show similar form. Home advantage and the venue...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown moderate scoring, with Houston scoring 8 and Minnesota 6 in their last 5 matches. However, the previous H2H had 4 goal...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Houston Dynamo FC II With the draw removed, Houston's home advantage and the previous convincing victory make them the more likely side to win. Even though both...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
draw_home Given the evenly matched teams, a draw at halftime is plausible, and the home team may edge the second half. The previous H2H saw all goals...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
away_plus_ 1 Houston's previous big win is not enough to justify a -1 spread given their recent form is similar to Minnesota's. Away games are often comp...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
away_ +0.5 With no clear favorite, the +0.5 handicap for the away team offers value because it covers a draw and they are likely to avoid defeat given... |
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Correct score
Consensus2-0 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
L
Recent 4-0 and home scoring trends favor 2-1 as most likely narrow win. Both teams' goal rates support low-to-mid scores. Training data thro...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
2-0
L
A 2-0 scoreline for Houston is a balanced prediction, reflecting their strong head-to-head win (4-0) without overstating dominance in light...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
18%
2-0
L
Houston Dynamo FC II's recent form and dominant 4-0 head-to-head victory suggest they are the more likely winners, with a clean sheet being...
DeepSeek V3
15%
1-1
L
The most likely result is a low-scoring draw or a narrow home win given the similar form and the close nature of the match. A 1-1 draw is th...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
yes
L
Both sides concede regularly and the prior 4-0 still saw open play. Similar records suggest neither keeps many clean sheets. Form data alone...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
No
W
The recent 4-0 head-to-head result saw Minnesota fail to score. While Houston often scores, Minnesota's attack is slightly less potent in re...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
no
W
Although both teams have scored in some recent matches, their overall defensive performances have been somewhat inconsistent. The dominant 4...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
L
Despite Houston's clean sheet in the previous meeting, both teams have been scoring and conceding consistently in their recent matches. Minn...
Match winner
ConsensusHouston Dynamo FC II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
Houston Dynamo FC II won the only recent H2H 4-0 and both sides show identical 1W-2D-2L records over five matches. Home venue and seven rest...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
Houston Dynamo FC II holds a strong head-to-head advantage, having decisively beaten Minnesota United II 4-0 recently. Coupled with home adv...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
Houston Dynamo FC II has a superior recent form and finished higher in the league standings. They also have a dominant head-to-head record,...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
Houston Dynamo FC II has a strong recent head-to-head record with a 4-0 win, and both teams show similar form. Home advantage and the venue...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
54%
over
L
Combined goals in recent H2H reached four and both teams average over 2.8 goals per game in their last five. Outdoor venue but no noted weat...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Over
L
Houston's recent form shows them scoring and conceding at an average of 1.6 goals per game, while Minnesota scores 1.2 and concedes 1.4 per...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
over
L
Both teams have similar scoring and conceding records over their last five matches. The previous encounter between these two teams resulted...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
L
Both teams have shown moderate scoring, with Houston scoring 8 and Minnesota 6 in their last 5 matches. However, the previous H2H had 4 goal...
Draw no bet
ConsensusHouston Dynamo FC II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
72%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
Houston's home scoring edge and the 4-0 precedent point to a win without the draw option. Both teams concede at similar rates but hosts have...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
73%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
Given the strong H2H record for Houston and their home advantage, picking them to win with the draw covered makes sense. This prediction off...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
Given Houston's slightly better form and strong head-to-head advantage, they are the more likely to secure at least a draw. The home advanta...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
With the draw removed, Houston's home advantage and the previous convincing victory make them the more likely side to win. Even though both...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusHouston Dynamo FC II / Houston Dynamo FC II 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
39%
Houston Dynamo FC II / Houston Dynamo FC II
L
Houston's 4-0 H2H suggests they can lead at half and close it out. Similar overall form makes other HT/FT paths viable but home/home edges t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
35%
Houston Dynamo FC II / Houston Dynamo FC II
L
Given Houston's dominant 4-0 victory in the last encounter and their home advantage, it's reasonable to predict them to take an early lead a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
home_draw
Houston is expected to start stronger at home and has a history of dominance. However, Minnesota may hold on for a draw in the second half i...
DeepSeek V3
20%
draw_home
Given the evenly matched teams, a draw at halftime is plausible, and the home team may edge the second half. The previous H2H saw all goals...
Spread
ConsensusHouston Dynamo FC II 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
49%
home_ -1
Houston's 4-0 H2H win supports a -1 spread but away side's recent results keep the line close. Identical rest and form records make this nea...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Houston Dynamo FC II -1
L
Given Houston's dominant 4-0 win in the only recent head-to-head match, they demonstrated the capability to win by more than a single goal....
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
Houston Dynamo FC II
L
Houston Dynamo FC II has shown better offensive output recently and has a strong historical advantage. Despite the -1 handicap, their abilit...
DeepSeek V3
60%
away_plus_ 1
Houston's previous big win is not enough to justify a -1 spread given their recent form is similar to Minnesota's. Away games are often comp...
Asian handicap
ConsensusHouston Dynamo FC II -0.5 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
home_ -0.25
Half-goal handicap reflects Houston's home advantage and recent dominance without overcommitting. Both teams' defensive records are comparab...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Houston Dynamo FC II -0.5
L
The 'Home -0.5' Asian Handicap is equivalent to betting on a direct home win. With Houston's strong head-to-head record (4-0 victory) and pl...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
57%
home_ 0.0
Houston Dynamo FC II is favored due to their superior league position and recent head-to-head result. The 0.0 Asian Handicap offers a balanc...
DeepSeek V3
50%
away_ +0.5
With no clear favorite, the +0.5 handicap for the away team offers value because it covers a draw and they are likely to avoid defeat given...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Houston Dynamo FC II
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Houston Dynamo FC II
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Houston Dynamo FC II
DeepSeek V3
Houston Dynamo FC II
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
451993cebc54dc76…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Aug 30 · 23:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 34606,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "SaberCats Stadium",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-08-30T23:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 30 Aug 2026 23:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Minnesota United II",
"home": "Houston Dynamo FC II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "DDLLW",
"record": "1W-2D-2L",
"scored": 6,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 7
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DDLWL",
"record": "1W-2D-2L",
"scored": 8,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 8
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 7,
"home": 7
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-07-05: Houston Dynamo FC II 4–0 Minnesota United II"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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