HNK RijekavsFC Midtjylland
HNK Rijeka 1–4 FC Midtjylland
3 of 4 AIs leaned FC Midtjylland — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- FC Midtjylland 3/4
- Correct calls
- 3/4
- Final
- 1–4
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
FC Midtjylland 3/4 models |
FC Midtjylland 3/4 models |
under 2/4 models |
no 2/4 models |
1-1 2/4 models |
Draw / FC Midtjylland 3/4 models |
away_ 0.0 1/4 models |
FC Midtjylland 2/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
62%
FC Midtjylland
W
|
68%
FC Midtjylland
W
|
55%
under
L
|
58%
no
L
|
22%
1-2
L
|
37%
Draw / FC Midtjylland |
61%
FC Midtjylland -0.25
W
|
53%
FC Midtjylland
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
FC Midtjylland Midtjylland arrive with superior recent form (WWDWW) and a 2-0 first-leg lead; Rijeka's home record shows defensive vulnerability. Training...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
68%
FC Midtjylland Rijeka's home form (WLLDW) concedes too many goals while Midtjylland remain organized away. Training data through 2025-09 provides no live 2...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under Both sides average under 2.5 goals in recent outings and the first leg finished 2-0. Training data through 2025-09 provides no live 2026 lin...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
no Midtjylland's strong defensive record (3 conceded in 5) and Rijeka's modest attacking output at home point to a clean-sheet chance. Training...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
1-2 Midtjylland's away scoring and Rijeka's defensive issues point to a 1-2 or 0-2 result. Training data through 2025-09 provides no live 2026 l...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
37%
Draw / FC Midtjylland A cautious first half is likely given the aggregate score; Midtjylland then push for the second goal. Training data through 2025-09 provides...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
61%
FC Midtjylland -0.25 Midtjylland are the stronger side with a lead to protect; Asian -0.25 offers value on the visitors. Training data through 2025-09 provides n...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
53%
FC Midtjylland Midtjylland's form and first-leg advantage suggest they can cover a -1 spread. Training data through 2025-09 provides no live 2026 lineups o... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
45%
FC Midtjylland
W
|
65%
FC Midtjylland
W
|
55%
Over 2.5
W
|
58%
Yes
W
|
18%
1-1
L
|
28%
Draw / FC Midtjylland |
55%
FC Midtjylland -0.5
W
|
70%
FC Midtjylland +1
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland has superior recent form (4W-1D-0L vs Rijeka's 2W-1D-2L) and a decisive 2-0 lead from the first leg, which will allow them to...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
FC Midtjylland Building on the H2H analysis, FC Midtjylland's strong recent form and their two-goal aggregate lead from the first leg make them the favouri...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Rijeka needs to score at least two goals to have any chance, forcing them to adopt an attacking approach. This aggressive strategy could lea...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
Yes Rijeka's imperative to score to overcome the two-goal deficit means they will commit players forward. While FC Midtjylland has a solid defen...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-1 With a two-goal lead from the first leg, FC Midtjylland will prioritize defensive stability. Rijeka, needing goals, will push forward, but M...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland holds a comfortable 2-0 aggregate lead, which allows them to approach the first half cautiously, possibly resulting in a stal...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
FC Midtjylland -0.5 FC Midtjylland demonstrated their superiority in the first leg with a 2-0 victory and maintains better current form. Despite playing away, t...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
FC Midtjylland +1 Given FC Midtjylland's strong aggregate lead (2-0) and superior recent form, it is highly improbable for HNK Rijeka to win by a margin of tw... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
FC Midtjylland
W
|
60%
FC Midtjylland
W
|
55%
under
L
|
60%
no
L
|
15%
1-1
L
|
40%
Draw / FC Midtjylland |
55%
away_ 0.0 |
55%
FC Midtjylland
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland won the first leg 2-0 and have superior recent form (4 wins in last 5) compared to HNK Rijeka (2 wins in last 5). Midtjylland...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
FC Midtjylland Given Midtjylland's superior form and their first-leg advantage, they are the more likely team to win or at least avoid defeat. Their strong...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under The first leg ended 2-0, suggesting a controlled performance rather than an open, high-scoring affair. Both teams have reasonable defensive...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
no The first leg between these two teams ended 2-0, indicating that neither team managed to score against the other. Midtjylland's defense has...
2 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 Considering the first leg result (2-0 to Midtjylland) and the general trend towards under 2.5 goals, a narrow victory for either side or a d...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Draw / FC Midtjylland Given Midtjylland's first-leg lead and overall stronger form, it's likely they will manage the game. They might not score first, potentially...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
away_ 0.0 FC Midtjylland's first-leg victory and superior recent form make them the favored side. A 0.0 Asian Handicap means a bet on Midtjylland wins...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland won the first leg 2-0, which already covers a -1 spread. Their superior form and confidence from the first leg suggest they a...
2 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
40%
HNK Rijeka
L
|
55%
HNK Rijeka
L
|
60%
over
W
|
55%
yes
W
|
12%
2-1
L
|
20%
Draw / HNK Rijeka
L
|
50%
away_ +0.25 |
30%
home_cover |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
40%
HNK Rijeka Rijeka trail 0-2 but have home advantage and must attack, while Midtjylland are in strong form. Training data through 2025-09 suggests Rijek...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
HNK Rijeka With the draw void, Rijeka's home advantage and necessity to attack give them a slight edge, but Midtjylland's form is a concern. Training d...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Rijeka's need to score will create an open game, and Midtjylland are capable on the counter. Both teams have scored in recent matches, and h...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Rijeka must score to stay in the tie, and their attacking intent will leave spaces for Midtjylland. Both teams have shown scoring ability, a...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 A 2-1 win for Rijeka is the most plausible scoreline given their need to attack and Midtjylland's ability to score on the break. Other close...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / HNK Rijeka Rijeka likely to start strongly and score first, but Midtjylland's quality could see them equalize. The most likely half-time result is a dr...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
away_ +0.25 Midtjylland's strong form and defensive solidity suggest they won't lose, so the +0.25 handicap is a safe bet. Rijeka's desperation could le...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
30%
home_cover Winning by 2+ goals is a tall order for Rijeka despite home advantage, given Midtjylland's solid defense and form. The away side likely to w... |
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Match winner
ConsensusFC Midtjylland 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
FC Midtjylland
W
Midtjylland arrive with superior recent form (WWDWW) and a 2-0 first-leg lead; Rijeka's home record shows defensive vulnerability. Training...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
FC Midtjylland
W
FC Midtjylland has superior recent form (4W-1D-0L vs Rijeka's 2W-1D-2L) and a decisive 2-0 lead from the first leg, which will allow them to...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
FC Midtjylland
W
FC Midtjylland won the first leg 2-0 and have superior recent form (4 wins in last 5) compared to HNK Rijeka (2 wins in last 5). Midtjylland...
DeepSeek V3
40%
HNK Rijeka
L
Rijeka trail 0-2 but have home advantage and must attack, while Midtjylland are in strong form. Training data through 2025-09 suggests Rijek...
Draw no bet
ConsensusFC Midtjylland 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
68%
FC Midtjylland
W
Rijeka's home form (WLLDW) concedes too many goals while Midtjylland remain organized away. Training data through 2025-09 provides no live 2...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
FC Midtjylland
W
Building on the H2H analysis, FC Midtjylland's strong recent form and their two-goal aggregate lead from the first leg make them the favouri...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
FC Midtjylland
W
Given Midtjylland's superior form and their first-leg advantage, they are the more likely team to win or at least avoid defeat. Their strong...
DeepSeek V3
55%
HNK Rijeka
L
With the draw void, Rijeka's home advantage and necessity to attack give them a slight edge, but Midtjylland's form is a concern. Training d...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
under
L
Both sides average under 2.5 goals in recent outings and the first leg finished 2-0. Training data through 2025-09 provides no live 2026 lin...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Over 2.5
W
Rijeka needs to score at least two goals to have any chance, forcing them to adopt an attacking approach. This aggressive strategy could lea...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
under
L
The first leg ended 2-0, suggesting a controlled performance rather than an open, high-scoring affair. Both teams have reasonable defensive...
DeepSeek V3
60%
over
W
Rijeka's need to score will create an open game, and Midtjylland are capable on the counter. Both teams have scored in recent matches, and h...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
no
L
Midtjylland's strong defensive record (3 conceded in 5) and Rijeka's modest attacking output at home point to a clean-sheet chance. Training...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Yes
W
Rijeka's imperative to score to overcome the two-goal deficit means they will commit players forward. While FC Midtjylland has a solid defen...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
no
L
The first leg between these two teams ended 2-0, indicating that neither team managed to score against the other. Midtjylland's defense has...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
W
Rijeka must score to stay in the tie, and their attacking intent will leave spaces for Midtjylland. Both teams have shown scoring ability, a...
Correct score
Consensus1-1 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
22%
1-2
L
Midtjylland's away scoring and Rijeka's defensive issues point to a 1-2 or 0-2 result. Training data through 2025-09 provides no live 2026 l...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
1-1
L
With a two-goal lead from the first leg, FC Midtjylland will prioritize defensive stability. Rijeka, needing goals, will push forward, but M...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
1-1
L
Considering the first leg result (2-0 to Midtjylland) and the general trend towards under 2.5 goals, a narrow victory for either side or a d...
DeepSeek V3
12%
2-1
L
A 2-1 win for Rijeka is the most plausible scoreline given their need to attack and Midtjylland's ability to score on the break. Other close...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / FC Midtjylland 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
37%
Draw / FC Midtjylland
A cautious first half is likely given the aggregate score; Midtjylland then push for the second goal. Training data through 2025-09 provides...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
28%
Draw / FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland holds a comfortable 2-0 aggregate lead, which allows them to approach the first half cautiously, possibly resulting in a stal...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Draw / FC Midtjylland
Given Midtjylland's first-leg lead and overall stronger form, it's likely they will manage the game. They might not score first, potentially...
DeepSeek V3
20%
Draw / HNK Rijeka
L
Rijeka likely to start strongly and score first, but Midtjylland's quality could see them equalize. The most likely half-time result is a dr...
Asian handicap
Consensusaway_ 0.0 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
61%
FC Midtjylland -0.25
W
Midtjylland are the stronger side with a lead to protect; Asian -0.25 offers value on the visitors. Training data through 2025-09 provides n...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
FC Midtjylland -0.5
W
FC Midtjylland demonstrated their superiority in the first leg with a 2-0 victory and maintains better current form. Despite playing away, t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
away_ 0.0
FC Midtjylland's first-leg victory and superior recent form make them the favored side. A 0.0 Asian Handicap means a bet on Midtjylland wins...
DeepSeek V3
50%
away_ +0.25
Midtjylland's strong form and defensive solidity suggest they won't lose, so the +0.25 handicap is a safe bet. Rijeka's desperation could le...
Spread
ConsensusFC Midtjylland 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
FC Midtjylland
W
Midtjylland's form and first-leg advantage suggest they can cover a -1 spread. Training data through 2025-09 provides no live 2026 lineups o...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
FC Midtjylland +1
W
Given FC Midtjylland's strong aggregate lead (2-0) and superior recent form, it is highly improbable for HNK Rijeka to win by a margin of tw...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
FC Midtjylland
W
FC Midtjylland won the first leg 2-0, which already covers a -1 spread. Their superior form and confidence from the first leg suggest they a...
DeepSeek V3
30%
home_cover
Winning by 2+ goals is a tall order for Rijeka despite home advantage, given Midtjylland's solid defense and form. The away side likely to w...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
FC Midtjylland
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
FC Midtjylland
Gemini 2.5 Flash
FC Midtjylland
DeepSeek V3
HNK Rijeka
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
906cfb879351c55c…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Aug 27 · 18:45 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 31633,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Stadion HNK Rijeka",
"league": "UEFA Europa Conference League",
"starts_at": "2026-08-27T18:45:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 27 Aug 2026 18:45:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "FC Midtjylland",
"home": "HNK Rijeka"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWDWW",
"record": "4W-1D-0L",
"scored": 9,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 3
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WLLDW",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 5,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 7
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 4
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-08-20: FC Midtjylland 2–0 HNK Rijeka"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.