HibernianvsGent
Hibernian 2–3 Gent
3 of 4 AIs leaned Draw — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Draw 3/4
- Correct calls
- 0/4
- Final
- 2–3
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Hibernian 1/4 models |
Draw 3/4 models |
under 3/4 models |
no 3/4 models |
Gent +1 2/4 models |
Hibernian +0 1/4 models |
Draw / Draw 4/4 models |
1-1 2/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
55%
Hibernian
L
|
48%
Hibernian
L
|
58%
under
L
|
61%
no
L
|
47%
Hibernian
L
|
52%
Hibernian +0
L
|
35%
Draw / Draw
L
|
22%
1-0
L
|
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Hibernian Home venue and rest parity favor Hibernian to avoid defeat. Gent's away record is solid but they have not won on the road in this form. The...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Hibernian Hibernian host at Easter Road with identical recent form to Gent but benefit from home advantage in a low-scoring tie. The 0-0 first leg sug...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
under First leg finished 0-0 and both teams concede few goals. Set-piece focus and defensive styles point to a low-event match. Outdoor venue in l...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
61%
no Low scoring recent meetings and strong defensive records for both sides make both teams to score unlikely. Hibernian average under 1.2 goals...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
47%
Hibernian Hibernian are unlikely to win by two goals against a compact Gent side. The 0-0 first leg signals a tight rematch where a single goal margin...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Hibernian +0 Home side starts with a slight edge but Gent's form makes a handicap draw or away win viable. Rest days are equal so no fatigue advantage.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Draw / Draw Both teams play conservatively in Europe; first half often ends level. Second half rarely produces a winner given the 0-0 precedent and defe...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
1-0 Low event game expected with home side edging a single goal. Historical European ties at Easter Road frequently finish 1-0 or 0-0. |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
38%
Gent DNB
L
|
36%
Draw
L
|
70%
Under 2.5
L
|
65%
No
L
|
65%
Gent +1
W
|
70%
Gent (0.0) |
30%
Draw / Draw
L
|
20%
0-0
L
|
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
38%
Gent DNB Considering the 0-0 first leg and Gent's slightly superior European experience, they are marginally favored to advance. If the match results...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
36%
Draw The first leg ended 0-0, indicating a tight contest between two defensively sound teams. Both sides enter this match with identical form (3W...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
70%
Under 2.5 The 0-0 first leg, coupled with both teams' strong defensive form (2 goals conceded in 5 matches), points to a low-scoring affair. Both side...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
No The 0-0 draw in the first leg and both teams' recent defensive prowess suggest that clean sheets are a strong possibility. It's more likely...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
Gent +1 Given the tight 0-0 first leg and both teams' similar form, it's highly improbable that Hibernian will win by more than one goal. Gent +1 me...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
70%
Gent (0.0) Choosing Gent (0.0), which is equivalent to Draw No Bet, reflects the slight edge Gent might have due to their experience in European compet...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw Given the 0-0 first leg and the defensive strengths of both teams, a cautious start is highly anticipated, leading to a half-time draw. The...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
0-0 The 0-0 result in the first leg and the strong defensive forms of both teams make another goalless draw a significant possibility. If a team... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
45%
Draw
L
|
45%
Draw
L
|
60%
under
L
|
60%
no
L
|
45%
Draw |
55%
Hibernian +0.25
L
|
30%
Draw / Draw
L
|
20%
1-1
L
|
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
45%
Draw As both teams are in very similar form and have demonstrated defensive strength, the draw is the most likely result. Therefore, hedging agai...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Draw Both teams have identical recent form (3W-2D-0L) and have conceded very few goals. The head-to-head record shows a draw in their only previo...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
under Both teams have strong defensive records, conceding only 2 goals in their last 5 matches respectively. The recent 0-0 draw between them also...
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
no Given the strong defensive records of both Hibernian and Gent, coupled with their recent 0-0 draw, it's more probable that at least one team...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Draw With both teams in identical form and having drawn their previous encounter 0-0, the match is expected to be very close. Hibernian winning b...
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Hibernian +0.25 Given the strong defensive records and identical recent form of both teams, this match is expected to be a very close affair, likely ending...
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Draw With both teams exhibiting strong defensive form and having drawn their last encounter 0-0, a cagey affair is expected. It's plausible that...
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-1 Considering the identical strong defensive records of both teams and their recent 0-0 draw, a low-scoring game is anticipated. While 0-0 is...
3 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Gent
W
|
35%
Draw
L
|
60%
under
L
|
60%
no
L
|
70%
Gent +1
W
|
55%
Gent 0.0
W
|
20%
Draw / Draw
L
|
14%
1-1
L
|
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Gent Gent have a slight edge on away form (scored 6 vs 5) and drew at home in the first leg, suggesting they can avoid defeat at Easter Road. Wit...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
35%
Draw Both teams show identical recent form (W3 D2 L0) with solid defenses, and their only H2H ended 0-0. With no injury information and balanced...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
under Both teams have conceded only 2 goals in last 5 matches, and their only H2H was 0-0. Defensive solidity suggests a low-scoring affair. Train...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
no Both teams have strong defenses (2 goals conceded each in last 5) and the H2H ended 0-0, indicating at least one team may not score. Expect...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Gent +1 With both teams evenly matched and a likely low-scoring game, Gent covering +1 is probable. A draw or away win by any margin covers the spre...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Gent 0.0 Gent have a slight edge in scoring and are away, but a draw is likely. The away 0.0 handicap (draw no bet) offers some safety. Training data...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / Draw Given the defensive nature and even matchup, a goalless first half and final draw is plausible. However, only one H2H (0-0) supports this, s...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
14%
1-1 A 1-1 draw is a common scoreline for evenly matched teams, but the 0-0 H2H and strong defenses suggest a low-scoring game. The probability d... |
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Draw no bet
ConsensusHibernian 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Hibernian
L
Home venue and rest parity favor Hibernian to avoid defeat. Gent's away record is solid but they have not won on the road in this form. The...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
38%
Gent DNB
L
Considering the 0-0 first leg and Gent's slightly superior European experience, they are marginally favored to advance. If the match results...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw
L
As both teams are in very similar form and have demonstrated defensive strength, the draw is the most likely result. Therefore, hedging agai...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Gent
W
Gent have a slight edge on away form (scored 6 vs 5) and drew at home in the first leg, suggesting they can avoid defeat at Easter Road. Wit...
Match winner
ConsensusDraw 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Hibernian
L
Hibernian host at Easter Road with identical recent form to Gent but benefit from home advantage in a low-scoring tie. The 0-0 first leg sug...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
36%
Draw
L
The first leg ended 0-0, indicating a tight contest between two defensively sound teams. Both sides enter this match with identical form (3W...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw
L
Both teams have identical recent form (3W-2D-0L) and have conceded very few goals. The head-to-head record shows a draw in their only previo...
DeepSeek V3
35%
Draw
L
Both teams show identical recent form (W3 D2 L0) with solid defenses, and their only H2H ended 0-0. With no injury information and balanced...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
under
L
First leg finished 0-0 and both teams concede few goals. Set-piece focus and defensive styles point to a low-event match. Outdoor venue in l...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Under 2.5
L
The 0-0 first leg, coupled with both teams' strong defensive form (2 goals conceded in 5 matches), points to a low-scoring affair. Both side...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
under
L
Both teams have strong defensive records, conceding only 2 goals in their last 5 matches respectively. The recent 0-0 draw between them also...
DeepSeek V3
60%
under
L
Both teams have conceded only 2 goals in last 5 matches, and their only H2H was 0-0. Defensive solidity suggests a low-scoring affair. Train...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
61%
no
L
Low scoring recent meetings and strong defensive records for both sides make both teams to score unlikely. Hibernian average under 1.2 goals...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
No
L
The 0-0 draw in the first leg and both teams' recent defensive prowess suggest that clean sheets are a strong possibility. It's more likely...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
no
L
Given the strong defensive records of both Hibernian and Gent, coupled with their recent 0-0 draw, it's more probable that at least one team...
DeepSeek V3
60%
no
L
Both teams have strong defenses (2 goals conceded each in last 5) and the H2H ended 0-0, indicating at least one team may not score. Expect...
Spread
ConsensusGent +1 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
47%
Hibernian
L
Hibernian are unlikely to win by two goals against a compact Gent side. The 0-0 first leg signals a tight rematch where a single goal margin...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Gent +1
W
Given the tight 0-0 first leg and both teams' similar form, it's highly improbable that Hibernian will win by more than one goal. Gent +1 me...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw
With both teams in identical form and having drawn their previous encounter 0-0, the match is expected to be very close. Hibernian winning b...
DeepSeek V3
70%
Gent +1
W
With both teams evenly matched and a likely low-scoring game, Gent covering +1 is probable. A draw or away win by any margin covers the spre...
Asian handicap
ConsensusHibernian +0 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Hibernian +0
L
Home side starts with a slight edge but Gent's form makes a handicap draw or away win viable. Rest days are equal so no fatigue advantage.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Gent (0.0)
Choosing Gent (0.0), which is equivalent to Draw No Bet, reflects the slight edge Gent might have due to their experience in European compet...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Hibernian +0.25
L
Given the strong defensive records and identical recent form of both teams, this match is expected to be a very close affair, likely ending...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Gent 0.0
W
Gent have a slight edge in scoring and are away, but a draw is likely. The away 0.0 handicap (draw no bet) offers some safety. Training data...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Draw 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
35%
Draw / Draw
L
Both teams play conservatively in Europe; first half often ends level. Second half rarely produces a winner given the 0-0 precedent and defe...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
30%
Draw / Draw
L
Given the 0-0 first leg and the defensive strengths of both teams, a cautious start is highly anticipated, leading to a half-time draw. The...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
Draw / Draw
L
With both teams exhibiting strong defensive form and having drawn their last encounter 0-0, a cagey affair is expected. It's plausible that...
DeepSeek V3
20%
Draw / Draw
L
Given the defensive nature and even matchup, a goalless first half and final draw is plausible. However, only one H2H (0-0) supports this, s...
Correct score
Consensus1-1 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
22%
1-0
L
Low event game expected with home side edging a single goal. Historical European ties at Easter Road frequently finish 1-0 or 0-0.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
0-0
L
The 0-0 result in the first leg and the strong defensive forms of both teams make another goalless draw a significant possibility. If a team...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
20%
1-1
L
Considering the identical strong defensive records of both teams and their recent 0-0 draw, a low-scoring game is anticipated. While 0-0 is...
DeepSeek V3
14%
1-1
L
A 1-1 draw is a common scoreline for evenly matched teams, but the 0-0 H2H and strong defenses suggest a low-scoring game. The probability d...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Hibernian
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Draw
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Draw
DeepSeek V3
Draw
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
30e540c3ad18ac80…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Aug 27 · 19:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 31638,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Easter Road",
"league": "UEFA Europa Conference League",
"starts_at": "2026-08-27T19:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 27 Aug 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Gent",
"home": "Hibernian"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "DWDWW",
"record": "3W-2D-0L",
"scored": 6,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 2
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DWDWW",
"record": "3W-2D-0L",
"scored": 5,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 2
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 7,
"home": 7
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-08-20: Gent 0–0 Hibernian"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
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