HEBCvsBorussia Dortmund
HEBC 0–5 Borussia Dortmund
All 4 AIs backed Borussia Dortmund — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Borussia Dortmund 4/4
- Correct calls
- 4/4
- Final
- 0–5
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
0-4 4/4 models |
Borussia Dortmund 3/4 models |
Borussia Dortmund -2.5 2/4 models |
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund 2/4 models |
Borussia Dortmund 4/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
Borussia Dortmund 4/4 models |
no 3/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
22%
0-4
L
|
85%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
72%
Borussia Dortmund -2.5
W
|
81%
away away |
88%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
78%
over
W
|
90%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
82%
no
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
0-4 Most probable scorelines cluster around 0-4 to 0-5 given the talent disparity and Dortmund's attacking output in cup ties. Training data thr...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
85%
Borussia Dortmund Dortmund expected margin comfortably exceeds one goal; historical cup results against tier-5 sides average four-goal wins. Training data thr...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
72%
Borussia Dortmund -2.5 Line reflects the gap; Dortmund cover -2.5 in most comparable away cup games. Training data through 2025-09.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
81%
away away Dortmund typically establish control early and add further goals after halftime against weaker sides. Training data through 2025-09.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
88%
Borussia Dortmund HEBC are a regional amateur side while Dortmund are a Bundesliga club; cup mismatches at this level produce lopsided results. Dortmund's squ...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
78%
over Dortmund attack creates high expected goals against amateur defenses; set-piece and transition threat inflates total. HEBC concede frequentl...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
90%
Borussia Dortmund Draw is possible only in extreme upset scenarios that are statistically rare here. Dortmund rotation still fields multiple international pla...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
82%
no HEBC lack the quality to breach Dortmund's organized defense even with rotation. Clean-sheet probability remains high in cup ties of this mi... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
20%
0-4
L
|
88%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
75%
Borussia Dortmund -2.5
W
|
85%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund |
92%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
|
95%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
80%
No
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
0-4 Based on the vast quality difference, a clean sheet for Dortmund is highly likely, and they are expected to score multiple goals. A 0-4 vict...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
88%
Borussia Dortmund Dortmund is expected to win by a comfortable margin against HEBC. A victory by at least two goals is standard for a top-tier team facing ama...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
75%
Borussia Dortmund -2.5 Building on the expectation of a dominant win, Borussia Dortmund should be able to cover a -2.5 Asian Handicap, meaning they need to win by...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
85%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund is expected to take control of the game from the start and maintain their lead. They will likely be ahead at half-time and...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
92%
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund is a top-tier Bundesliga club facing HEBC, likely an amateur or lower-league side in the DFB Pokal. The quality disparity...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
85%
Over 2.5 Goals Borussia Dortmund frequently scores multiple goals against lower-tier opposition in cup competitions. HEBC's defense is unlikely to withstan...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
95%
Borussia Dortmund Given the overwhelming advantage of Borussia Dortmund over HEBC, a draw is an extremely unlikely outcome. Removing the draw option further s...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
80%
No Dortmund's defense, even with potential rotation, should be too strong for HEBC's attack. A clean sheet for the Bundesliga side against an a... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
20%
0-4
L
|
75%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
70%
away- -2.5 |
80%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund |
95%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
85%
over
W
|
96%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
70%
no
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
0-4 Borussia Dortmund is expected to win comfortably against HEBC. A scoreline of 0-4 reflects Dortmund's attacking strength and HEBC's likely d...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund's superior quality should allow them to overcome a -1 handicap. They are expected to win by at least two goals, covering t...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
70%
away- -2.5 Given the significant gulf in class, Borussia Dortmund is expected to win by at least three goals. Therefore, selecting Dortmund with an Asi...
2 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
80%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund is expected to dominate this match from start to finish. They should score in the first half and continue to assert their...
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
95%
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund, a top Bundesliga side, is heavily favored against HEBC, a team from a significantly lower division. Dortmund's superior q...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
85%
over Borussia Dortmund's attacking prowess, combined with the potential for HEBC to concede multiple goals against a superior opponent, suggests...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
96%
Borussia Dortmund Given Borussia Dortmund's overwhelming superiority, it is extremely unlikely they will fail to secure at least a draw in this match. The 'dr...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
70%
no While Dortmund is expected to score, HEBC's offensive capabilities against a team of Dortmund's defensive caliber are questionable. It is mo...
2 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
15%
0-4
L
|
70%
away_cover |
60%
away_ -2.5 |
85%
away_away |
98%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
90%
over
W
|
99%
Borussia Dortmund
W
|
80%
no
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
0-4 Given Dortmund's attacking power and the defensive weakness of HEBC, a multi-goal away win is expected. Scores like 0-4 or 0-3 are plausible...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
away_cover Dortmund should win by more than one goal given the massive quality gap. Even with rotation, Dortmund's attacking players should easily outs...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
away_ -2.5 Dortmund's superiority suggests a win margin of at least three goals. Even a rotated side should be able to beat a lower-league team by seve...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
85%
away_away Dortmund should take the lead early and maintain it throughout the match. HEBC is unlikely to mount a comeback or even hold a lead. The away...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
98%
Borussia Dortmund HEBC is a lower-league side facing Borussia Dortmund, a Bundesliga powerhouse. The gap in quality is enormous, and Dortmund's squad depth an...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
90%
over Dortmund's attacking quality should produce several goals against a much weaker opponent. HEBC may concede a high number, and Dortmund's sco...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
99%
Borussia Dortmund With the draw void, the away win is almost certain given Dortmund's massive superiority. Even a rotated Dortmund side should have far more q...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
80%
no HEBC is unlikely to score against Dortmund's defense, even if rotated. Dortmund will dominate possession and chances, making it highly proba... |
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Correct score
Consensus0-4 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
22%
0-4
L
Most probable scorelines cluster around 0-4 to 0-5 given the talent disparity and Dortmund's attacking output in cup ties. Training data thr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
0-4
L
Based on the vast quality difference, a clean sheet for Dortmund is highly likely, and they are expected to score multiple goals. A 0-4 vict...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
20%
0-4
L
Borussia Dortmund is expected to win comfortably against HEBC. A scoreline of 0-4 reflects Dortmund's attacking strength and HEBC's likely d...
DeepSeek V3
15%
0-4
L
Given Dortmund's attacking power and the defensive weakness of HEBC, a multi-goal away win is expected. Scores like 0-4 or 0-3 are plausible...
Spread
ConsensusBorussia Dortmund 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
85%
Borussia Dortmund
W
Dortmund expected margin comfortably exceeds one goal; historical cup results against tier-5 sides average four-goal wins. Training data thr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
88%
Borussia Dortmund
W
Dortmund is expected to win by a comfortable margin against HEBC. A victory by at least two goals is standard for a top-tier team facing ama...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
75%
Borussia Dortmund
W
Borussia Dortmund's superior quality should allow them to overcome a -1 handicap. They are expected to win by at least two goals, covering t...
DeepSeek V3
70%
away_cover
Dortmund should win by more than one goal given the massive quality gap. Even with rotation, Dortmund's attacking players should easily outs...
Asian handicap
ConsensusBorussia Dortmund -2.5 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
72%
Borussia Dortmund -2.5
W
Line reflects the gap; Dortmund cover -2.5 in most comparable away cup games. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
Borussia Dortmund -2.5
W
Building on the expectation of a dominant win, Borussia Dortmund should be able to cover a -2.5 Asian Handicap, meaning they need to win by...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
70%
away- -2.5
Given the significant gulf in class, Borussia Dortmund is expected to win by at least three goals. Therefore, selecting Dortmund with an Asi...
DeepSeek V3
60%
away_ -2.5
Dortmund's superiority suggests a win margin of at least three goals. Even a rotated side should be able to beat a lower-league team by seve...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusBorussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
81%
away away
Dortmund typically establish control early and add further goals after halftime against weaker sides. Training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
85%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund is expected to take control of the game from the start and maintain their lead. They will likely be ahead at half-time and...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
80%
Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund is expected to dominate this match from start to finish. They should score in the first half and continue to assert their...
DeepSeek V3
85%
away_away
Dortmund should take the lead early and maintain it throughout the match. HEBC is unlikely to mount a comeback or even hold a lead. The away...
Match winner
ConsensusBorussia Dortmund 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
88%
Borussia Dortmund
W
HEBC are a regional amateur side while Dortmund are a Bundesliga club; cup mismatches at this level produce lopsided results. Dortmund's squ...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
92%
Borussia Dortmund
W
Borussia Dortmund is a top-tier Bundesliga club facing HEBC, likely an amateur or lower-league side in the DFB Pokal. The quality disparity...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
95%
Borussia Dortmund
W
Borussia Dortmund, a top Bundesliga side, is heavily favored against HEBC, a team from a significantly lower division. Dortmund's superior q...
DeepSeek V3
98%
Borussia Dortmund
W
HEBC is a lower-league side facing Borussia Dortmund, a Bundesliga powerhouse. The gap in quality is enormous, and Dortmund's squad depth an...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
78%
over
W
Dortmund attack creates high expected goals against amateur defenses; set-piece and transition threat inflates total. HEBC concede frequentl...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
Borussia Dortmund frequently scores multiple goals against lower-tier opposition in cup competitions. HEBC's defense is unlikely to withstan...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
85%
over
W
Borussia Dortmund's attacking prowess, combined with the potential for HEBC to concede multiple goals against a superior opponent, suggests...
DeepSeek V3
90%
over
W
Dortmund's attacking quality should produce several goals against a much weaker opponent. HEBC may concede a high number, and Dortmund's sco...
Draw no bet
ConsensusBorussia Dortmund 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
90%
Borussia Dortmund
W
Draw is possible only in extreme upset scenarios that are statistically rare here. Dortmund rotation still fields multiple international pla...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
95%
Borussia Dortmund
W
Given the overwhelming advantage of Borussia Dortmund over HEBC, a draw is an extremely unlikely outcome. Removing the draw option further s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
96%
Borussia Dortmund
W
Given Borussia Dortmund's overwhelming superiority, it is extremely unlikely they will fail to secure at least a draw in this match. The 'dr...
DeepSeek V3
99%
Borussia Dortmund
W
With the draw void, the away win is almost certain given Dortmund's massive superiority. Even a rotated Dortmund side should have far more q...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
82%
no
W
HEBC lack the quality to breach Dortmund's organized defense even with rotation. Clean-sheet probability remains high in cup ties of this mi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
80%
No
W
Dortmund's defense, even with potential rotation, should be too strong for HEBC's attack. A clean sheet for the Bundesliga side against an a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
70%
no
W
While Dortmund is expected to score, HEBC's offensive capabilities against a team of Dortmund's defensive caliber are questionable. It is mo...
DeepSeek V3
80%
no
W
HEBC is unlikely to score against Dortmund's defense, even if rotated. Dortmund will dominate possession and chances, making it highly proba...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
DeepSeek V3
Borussia Dortmund
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Borussia Dortmund
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Borussia Dortmund
Grok 4 Fast
Borussia Dortmund
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
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Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
c16c4190ddb422fd…
- Kickoff
- Tue, Sep 1 · 18:45 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 35073,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Volksparkstadion",
"league": "DFB Pokal",
"starts_at": "2026-09-01T18:45:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Tue, 01 Sep 2026 18:45:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Borussia Dortmund",
"home": "HEBC"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WLDWW",
"record": "3W-1D-1L",
"scored": 9,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LWLWL",
"record": "2W-0D-3L",
"scored": 5,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 7
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 3,
"home": 4
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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