Fluminense U17vsPalmeiras U17
Fluminense U17 2–3 Palmeiras U17
All 4 AIs backed Fluminense U17 — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Fluminense U17 4/4
- Correct calls
- 0/4
- Final
- 2–3
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Fluminense U17 2/4 models |
Fluminense U17 4/4 models |
Fluminense U17 4/4 models |
over 2/4 models |
yes 2/4 models |
2-1 2/4 models |
Fluminense U17 -1 1/4 models |
Draw / Fluminense U17 2/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
48%
Fluminense U 17
L
|
45%
Fluminense U17
L
|
55%
Fluminense U17
L
|
52%
under
L
|
53%
no
L
|
18%
1-0
L
|
50%
Fluminense U 17 |
28%
Draw / Fluminense U17
L
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Fluminense U 17 Home side's unbeaten run gives slight edge on -1 handicap but away scoring volume creates risk of narrow defeat. Form split favors home but...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Fluminense U17 Fluminense U17 are unbeaten in their last five with a strong defensive record conceding only three goals while Palmeiras U17 have one loss a...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Fluminense U17 Home side has the better recent defensive record and no losses in last five matches. Away side shows vulnerability on the road despite high...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
under Both teams show low concession rates in recent matches with combined 7 goals conceded across 10 games. Youth league matches often trend lowe...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
no Home defensive record of only three goals conceded in five suggests clean-sheet potential. Away side concedes more but the low totals trend...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 Low-scoring profile from both defensive records points to 1-0 or 0-0 as most probable outcomes. Home edge and clean-sheet tendency support n...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Fluminense U 17 Even split on Asian handicap given comparable recent records and rest advantage for home. No clear favorite emerges from supplied data.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Fluminense U17 Home side likely to stay compact early and push later given strong overall form. Draw at half-time followed by home win is common pattern fo... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
75%
Palmeiras U17 +1
W
|
38%
Fluminense U17
L
|
53%
Fluminense U17
L
|
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
|
70%
Yes
W
|
15%
2-1
L
|
62%
Palmeiras U17 +0.5
W
|
25%
Fluminense U17 / Fluminense U17
L
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
Palmeiras U17 +1 While Fluminense U17 has a slight H2H edge, Palmeiras U17's strong attacking output and overall good form make it unlikely for them to lose...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
38%
Fluminense U17 Based on provided data and training knowledge, Fluminense U17 enters this match undefeated in their last five, with a solid home record. Pal...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
53%
Fluminense U17 Removing the draw option, Fluminense U17 maintains a slight advantage due to their undefeated streak and home form. Both teams are strong, b...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over 2.5 Goals Both teams display strong attacking form, with Fluminense U17 averaging 2 goals and Palmeiras U17 averaging 2.6 goals per game in their last...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
70%
Yes Given both teams' impressive scoring records (Fluminense 2 GPM, Palmeiras 2.6 GPM), it is highly probable that both will find the back of th...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Both teams have strong attacking records, suggesting a high-scoring affair. Fluminense U17's home advantage and defensive solidity (when com...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
62%
Palmeiras U17 +0.5 The +0.5 Asian Handicap on Palmeiras U17 means the pick wins if Palmeiras avoids defeat (draw or win). Given Palmeiras's strong form and hig...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Fluminense U17 / Fluminense U17 Based on Fluminense U17's strong overall form and home advantage, they are slightly favored to lead at half-time and convert that lead into... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
Palmeiras U 17 |
55%
Fluminense U17
L
|
58%
Fluminense U17
L
|
55%
over
W
|
58%
yes
W
|
15%
2-1
L
|
57%
away_ 0.0 |
40%
Draw / Fluminense U17
L
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Palmeiras U 17 Palmeiras U17's strong attacking form (13 goals in last 5 away) suggests they have the potential to win by more than one goal. While Flumine...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Fluminense U17 Fluminense U17 has a slightly better recent home form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding 3. Pal...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Fluminense U17 Fluminense U17's strong home form and slightly better defensive record give them an edge. While Palmeiras U17 is in good form, the home adva...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have demonstrated strong attacking capabilities in their recent matches. Fluminense U17 has scored 10 goals in their last 5 home...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Fluminense U17 has a strong home scoring record and has conceded only 3 goals in their last 5 home games, but Palmeiras U17 has a very poten...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Considering Fluminense U17's strong home form and decent scoring record, coupled with Palmeiras U17's attacking capabilities, a narrow home...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
57%
away_ 0.0 Palmeiras U17's recent form is slightly better overall, with more goals scored and a strong away record. Fluminense U17 is unbeaten at home,...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Draw / Fluminense U17 Fluminense U17 has a strong home record and often starts matches well, while Palmeiras U17 has a good scoring rate, suggesting they might eq... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
35%
Fluminense U 17
L
|
45%
Fluminense U17
L
|
60%
Fluminense U17
L
|
55%
over
W
|
52%
yes
W
|
16%
1-1
L
|
30%
Fluminense U17 -1
L
|
20%
draw_home |
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
35%
Fluminense U 17 Fluminense are unbeaten but often draw, and Palmeiras are nearly as strong. A one-goal margin win for Fluminense is plausible but not likely...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Fluminense U17 Both teams are in strong form, but Fluminense U17 have home advantage and remain unbeaten in their last five, while Palmeiras U17 have shown...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Fluminense U17 Fluminense U17 have the home advantage and remain unbeaten, giving them a stronger chance to avoid defeat. Palmeiras U17 are strong but have...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have been scoring consistently: Fluminense average 2 goals per match, Palmeiras average 2.6, and both have decent attacking outpu...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
yes Both attacks are potent, with Fluminense and Palmeiras averaging over 2 goals per game combined. Defensively, both have conceded a few goals...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
16%
1-1 The match is expected to be closely contested with both teams scoring. A 1-1 draw is a common outcome in such balanced fixtures, but a 2-1 h...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
30%
Fluminense U17 -1 Fluminense's home strength is not enough to overcome a one-goal handicap against a solid Palmeiras side. The Asian handicap -1 for the home...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
draw_home Given the tight nature of the match, a draw at half-time is plausible, with Fluminense possibly pulling ahead in the second half due to home... |
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Spread
ConsensusFluminense U17 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Fluminense U 17
L
Home side's unbeaten run gives slight edge on -1 handicap but away scoring volume creates risk of narrow defeat. Form split favors home but...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
Palmeiras U17 +1
W
While Fluminense U17 has a slight H2H edge, Palmeiras U17's strong attacking output and overall good form make it unlikely for them to lose...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Palmeiras U 17
Palmeiras U17's strong attacking form (13 goals in last 5 away) suggests they have the potential to win by more than one goal. While Flumine...
DeepSeek V3
35%
Fluminense U 17
L
Fluminense are unbeaten but often draw, and Palmeiras are nearly as strong. A one-goal margin win for Fluminense is plausible but not likely...
Match winner
ConsensusFluminense U17 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
45%
Fluminense U17
L
Fluminense U17 are unbeaten in their last five with a strong defensive record conceding only three goals while Palmeiras U17 have one loss a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
38%
Fluminense U17
L
Based on provided data and training knowledge, Fluminense U17 enters this match undefeated in their last five, with a solid home record. Pal...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Fluminense U17
L
Fluminense U17 has a slightly better recent home form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding 3. Pal...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Fluminense U17
L
Both teams are in strong form, but Fluminense U17 have home advantage and remain unbeaten in their last five, while Palmeiras U17 have shown...
Draw no bet
ConsensusFluminense U17 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Fluminense U17
L
Home side has the better recent defensive record and no losses in last five matches. Away side shows vulnerability on the road despite high...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
53%
Fluminense U17
L
Removing the draw option, Fluminense U17 maintains a slight advantage due to their undefeated streak and home form. Both teams are strong, b...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Fluminense U17
L
Fluminense U17's strong home form and slightly better defensive record give them an edge. While Palmeiras U17 is in good form, the home adva...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Fluminense U17
L
Fluminense U17 have the home advantage and remain unbeaten, giving them a stronger chance to avoid defeat. Palmeiras U17 are strong but have...
Over / Under
Consensusover 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
under
L
Both teams show low concession rates in recent matches with combined 7 goals conceded across 10 games. Youth league matches often trend lowe...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
Both teams display strong attacking form, with Fluminense U17 averaging 2 goals and Palmeiras U17 averaging 2.6 goals per game in their last...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
Both teams have demonstrated strong attacking capabilities in their recent matches. Fluminense U17 has scored 10 goals in their last 5 home...
DeepSeek V3
55%
over
W
Both teams have been scoring consistently: Fluminense average 2 goals per match, Palmeiras average 2.6, and both have decent attacking outpu...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
no
L
Home defensive record of only three goals conceded in five suggests clean-sheet potential. Away side concedes more but the low totals trend...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Yes
W
Given both teams' impressive scoring records (Fluminense 2 GPM, Palmeiras 2.6 GPM), it is highly probable that both will find the back of th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
W
Fluminense U17 has a strong home scoring record and has conceded only 3 goals in their last 5 home games, but Palmeiras U17 has a very poten...
DeepSeek V3
52%
yes
W
Both attacks are potent, with Fluminense and Palmeiras averaging over 2 goals per game combined. Defensively, both have conceded a few goals...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-0
L
Low-scoring profile from both defensive records points to 1-0 or 0-0 as most probable outcomes. Home edge and clean-sheet tendency support n...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
2-1
L
Both teams have strong attacking records, suggesting a high-scoring affair. Fluminense U17's home advantage and defensive solidity (when com...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
L
Considering Fluminense U17's strong home form and decent scoring record, coupled with Palmeiras U17's attacking capabilities, a narrow home...
DeepSeek V3
16%
1-1
L
The match is expected to be closely contested with both teams scoring. A 1-1 draw is a common outcome in such balanced fixtures, but a 2-1 h...
Asian handicap
ConsensusFluminense U17 -1 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
50%
Fluminense U 17
Even split on Asian handicap given comparable recent records and rest advantage for home. No clear favorite emerges from supplied data.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
62%
Palmeiras U17 +0.5
W
The +0.5 Asian Handicap on Palmeiras U17 means the pick wins if Palmeiras avoids defeat (draw or win). Given Palmeiras's strong form and hig...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
57%
away_ 0.0
Palmeiras U17's recent form is slightly better overall, with more goals scored and a strong away record. Fluminense U17 is unbeaten at home,...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Fluminense U17 -1
L
Fluminense's home strength is not enough to overcome a one-goal handicap against a solid Palmeiras side. The Asian handicap -1 for the home...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Fluminense U17 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
28%
Draw / Fluminense U17
L
Home side likely to stay compact early and push later given strong overall form. Draw at half-time followed by home win is common pattern fo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
25%
Fluminense U17 / Fluminense U17
L
Based on Fluminense U17's strong overall form and home advantage, they are slightly favored to lead at half-time and convert that lead into...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Draw / Fluminense U17
L
Fluminense U17 has a strong home record and often starts matches well, while Palmeiras U17 has a good scoring rate, suggesting they might eq...
DeepSeek V3
20%
draw_home
Given the tight nature of the match, a draw at half-time is plausible, with Fluminense possibly pulling ahead in the second half due to home...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Fluminense U17
Grok 4 Fast
Fluminense U17
DeepSeek V3
Fluminense U17
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Fluminense U17
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
24ebdd811e602720…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Aug 27 · 23:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 31653,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Brasileiro U17",
"starts_at": "2026-08-27T23:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 27 Aug 2026 23:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Palmeiras U17",
"home": "Fluminense U17"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWWDL",
"record": "3W-1D-1L",
"scored": 13,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 4
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DWDWW",
"record": "3W-2D-0L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 3
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 7,
"home": 8
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
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