Fluminense U17vsCruzeiro U17
Fluminense U17 1–2 Cruzeiro U17
All 4 AIs backed Fluminense U17 — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Fluminense U17 4/4
- Correct calls
- 0/4
- Final
- 1–2
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Fluminense U17 -0.25 1/4 models |
Fluminense U17 2/4 models |
Fluminense U17 4/4 models |
yes 2/4 models |
Fluminense U17 4/4 models |
Draw / Fluminense U17 3/4 models |
1-1 2/4 models |
over 2/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
53%
Fluminense U17 -0.25
L
|
51%
Fluminense U 17
L
|
58%
Fluminense U17
L
|
52%
no
L
|
44%
Fluminense U17
L
|
28%
Draw / Fluminense U17
L
|
18%
1-0
L
|
53%
under
L
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Fluminense U17 -0.25 Slight home preference from form and venue suggests a quarter-ball handicap edge. Defensive records keep the margin narrow. Training data th...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Fluminense U 17 Home side's better home record supports a -1 spread lean despite modest overall margins. Equal rest and limited data keep probabilities clos...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Fluminense U17 Home side has better recent scoring and fewer concessions at home. Equal rest days limit fatigue difference. Youth matches often see home do...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
no Home concedes only 1.2 per game while away scores modestly on the road. Clean-sheet trends favor no both-teams-to-score outcome. Youth level...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
44%
Fluminense U17 Fluminense U17 hold a slight form edge at home with 2 wins and only 6 goals conceded versus Cruzeiro's 8 conceded on the road. Both sides sh...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Fluminense U17 Cautious starts common in U17 fixtures favor a draw at half-time followed by home second-half improvement. Form split supports this path ove...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 Low-scoring profile from both defensive forms points to 1-0 or 1-1 as most likely. Home edge and under trend support narrow results. Trainin...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Both teams average under 3.4 goals per game recently with solid defensive records. U17 matches frequently stay low-scoring without senior at... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
48%
Fluminense U17 -0.5
L
|
40%
Cruzeiro U17 +1
W
|
67%
Fluminense U17
L
|
65%
Yes
W
|
48%
Fluminense U17
L
|
25%
Draw / Fluminense U17
L
|
12%
2-1
L
|
55%
Over 2.5
W
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
Fluminense U17 -0.5 Fluminense U17 holds a slight edge in recent performance and will benefit from playing at home. Betting on Fluminense -0.5 is equivalent to...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
Cruzeiro U17 +1 While Fluminense U17 is favored, their recent form doesn't strongly suggest a dominant win by two goals or more. Cruzeiro U17's three draws...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
67%
Fluminense U17 Eliminating the draw outcome, Fluminense U17 remains the stronger side based on their recent form and goal-scoring ability. Their better win...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
Yes Both Fluminense U17 and Cruzeiro U17 have scored in 4 out of their last 5 matches, and similarly conceded in 4 out of their last 5. This str...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Fluminense U17 Fluminense U17 comes into this match with slightly better form, having secured two wins in their last five outings compared to Cruzeiro U17'...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Draw / Fluminense U17 Fluminense U17 is the favored team playing at home, but Cruzeiro U17's tendency for draws suggests they can hold their own for periods. A ti...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 Given Fluminense U17's stronger offensive output (1.8 goals/game) and Cruzeiro U17's defensive vulnerability (1.6 goals conceded/game), a 2-...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Both teams have shown a tendency for higher-scoring games, with an average of 3.0 goals per match in their last five respective fixtures. Fl... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
home_ 0.0 |
55%
Fluminense U 17
L
|
60%
Fluminense U17
L
|
55%
yes
W
|
55%
Fluminense U17
L
|
30%
draw_draw |
15%
1-1
L
|
55%
over
W
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
home_ 0.0 Given the slight edge in home form for Fluminense U17, they are marginally favored on a level handicap. Cruzeiro U17's away form is not stro...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Fluminense U 17 Fluminense U17's slightly better home form and goal difference make them the favored pick to win by at least one goal. Cruzeiro U17's away d...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Fluminense U17 Given Fluminense U17's slightly superior home form and defensive record, they are favored even with the draw insurance removed. Cruzeiro U17...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals in their recent matches, with Cruzeiro U17 conceding 8 in their last 5 away games and Flum...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Fluminense U17 Fluminense U17 has a slightly better recent home form, winning 2 of their last 5 matches and conceding fewer goals than Cruzeiro U17. Both t...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
draw_draw Considering the relatively even form and the tendency for both teams to concede, a draw at halftime followed by a second-half push from eith...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 Given the analysis for BTTS and totals, a 1-1 draw seems like a likely outcome. Both teams have shown they can score but also concede, makin...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over The combined scoring average of both teams in their recent matches (Fluminense U17 9 goals in 5 home games, Cruzeiro U17 7 goals in 5 away g... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
50%
Cruzeiro U17 +0.5
W
|
25%
Cruzeiro U 17 |
55%
Fluminense U17
L
|
55%
yes
W
|
35%
Fluminense U17
L
|
15%
Draw / Fluminense U17
L
|
12%
1-1
L
|
50%
over
W
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Cruzeiro U17 +0.5 An Asian handicap of -0.5 for the home team is essentially a draw-no-bet. With even form, I assign a 50% chance to each side. The slight edg...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
25%
Cruzeiro U 17 With a -1 spread, the away team must lose by 2+ to push or win. Given the even form, it is unlikely that either side wins by a 2+ margin. I...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Fluminense U17 Excluding the draw, the home team has a slight edge based on recent form and home advantage. Fluminense has scored more and conceded fewer i...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams have shown they can score, with the home netting 9 and the away 7 in their last five. Defensively, both have conceded consistentl...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
35%
Fluminense U17 Based on training data through 2025-09, no live research tools were used. Fluminense U17 and Cruzeiro U17 are evenly matched in form, but Fl...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
15%
Draw / Fluminense U17 In youth matches, teams often start evenly and settle later. Given the similar forms, a draw at halftime is plausible, with the home team po...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-1 A 1-1 draw is the most probable single scoreline given the balanced nature of the teams and their scoring patterns. Both teams have scored a...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
50%
over Both teams have averaged around 1.5 goals scored per match in their last five, and their defenses are not stout (home conceding 1.2 per matc... |
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Asian handicap
ConsensusFluminense U17 -0.25 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
Fluminense U17 -0.25
L
Slight home preference from form and venue suggests a quarter-ball handicap edge. Defensive records keep the margin narrow. Training data th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
48%
Fluminense U17 -0.5
L
Fluminense U17 holds a slight edge in recent performance and will benefit from playing at home. Betting on Fluminense -0.5 is equivalent to...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
home_ 0.0
Given the slight edge in home form for Fluminense U17, they are marginally favored on a level handicap. Cruzeiro U17's away form is not stro...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Cruzeiro U17 +0.5
W
An Asian handicap of -0.5 for the home team is essentially a draw-no-bet. With even form, I assign a 50% chance to each side. The slight edg...
Spread
ConsensusFluminense U17 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Fluminense U 17
L
Home side's better home record supports a -1 spread lean despite modest overall margins. Equal rest and limited data keep probabilities clos...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
40%
Cruzeiro U17 +1
W
While Fluminense U17 is favored, their recent form doesn't strongly suggest a dominant win by two goals or more. Cruzeiro U17's three draws...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Fluminense U 17
L
Fluminense U17's slightly better home form and goal difference make them the favored pick to win by at least one goal. Cruzeiro U17's away d...
DeepSeek V3
25%
Cruzeiro U 17
With a -1 spread, the away team must lose by 2+ to push or win. Given the even form, it is unlikely that either side wins by a 2+ margin. I...
Draw no bet
ConsensusFluminense U17 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Fluminense U17
L
Home side has better recent scoring and fewer concessions at home. Equal rest days limit fatigue difference. Youth matches often see home do...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
67%
Fluminense U17
L
Eliminating the draw outcome, Fluminense U17 remains the stronger side based on their recent form and goal-scoring ability. Their better win...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Fluminense U17
L
Given Fluminense U17's slightly superior home form and defensive record, they are favored even with the draw insurance removed. Cruzeiro U17...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Fluminense U17
L
Excluding the draw, the home team has a slight edge based on recent form and home advantage. Fluminense has scored more and conceded fewer i...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
no
L
Home concedes only 1.2 per game while away scores modestly on the road. Clean-sheet trends favor no both-teams-to-score outcome. Youth level...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Yes
W
Both Fluminense U17 and Cruzeiro U17 have scored in 4 out of their last 5 matches, and similarly conceded in 4 out of their last 5. This str...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
W
Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals in their recent matches, with Cruzeiro U17 conceding 8 in their last 5 away games and Flum...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
W
Both teams have shown they can score, with the home netting 9 and the away 7 in their last five. Defensively, both have conceded consistentl...
Match winner
ConsensusFluminense U17 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
44%
Fluminense U17
L
Fluminense U17 hold a slight form edge at home with 2 wins and only 6 goals conceded versus Cruzeiro's 8 conceded on the road. Both sides sh...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
48%
Fluminense U17
L
Fluminense U17 comes into this match with slightly better form, having secured two wins in their last five outings compared to Cruzeiro U17'...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Fluminense U17
L
Fluminense U17 has a slightly better recent home form, winning 2 of their last 5 matches and conceding fewer goals than Cruzeiro U17. Both t...
DeepSeek V3
35%
Fluminense U17
L
Based on training data through 2025-09, no live research tools were used. Fluminense U17 and Cruzeiro U17 are evenly matched in form, but Fl...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Fluminense U17 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
28%
Draw / Fluminense U17
L
Cautious starts common in U17 fixtures favor a draw at half-time followed by home second-half improvement. Form split supports this path ove...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
25%
Draw / Fluminense U17
L
Fluminense U17 is the favored team playing at home, but Cruzeiro U17's tendency for draws suggests they can hold their own for periods. A ti...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
draw_draw
Considering the relatively even form and the tendency for both teams to concede, a draw at halftime followed by a second-half push from eith...
DeepSeek V3
15%
Draw / Fluminense U17
L
In youth matches, teams often start evenly and settle later. Given the similar forms, a draw at halftime is plausible, with the home team po...
Correct score
Consensus1-1 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-0
L
Low-scoring profile from both defensive forms points to 1-0 or 1-1 as most likely. Home edge and under trend support narrow results. Trainin...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
12%
2-1
L
Given Fluminense U17's stronger offensive output (1.8 goals/game) and Cruzeiro U17's defensive vulnerability (1.6 goals conceded/game), a 2-...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
1-1
L
Given the analysis for BTTS and totals, a 1-1 draw seems like a likely outcome. Both teams have shown they can score but also concede, makin...
DeepSeek V3
12%
1-1
L
A 1-1 draw is the most probable single scoreline given the balanced nature of the teams and their scoring patterns. Both teams have scored a...
Over / Under
Consensusover 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
L
Both teams average under 3.4 goals per game recently with solid defensive records. U17 matches frequently stay low-scoring without senior at...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Over 2.5
W
Both teams have shown a tendency for higher-scoring games, with an average of 3.0 goals per match in their last five respective fixtures. Fl...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
The combined scoring average of both teams in their recent matches (Fluminense U17 9 goals in 5 home games, Cruzeiro U17 7 goals in 5 away g...
DeepSeek V3
50%
over
W
Both teams have averaged around 1.5 goals scored per match in their last five, and their defenses are not stout (home conceding 1.2 per matc...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Fluminense U17
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Fluminense U17
Grok 4 Fast
Fluminense U17
DeepSeek V3
Fluminense U17
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
83c3a7cd2a239333…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Sep 6 · 18:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 38796,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Brasileiro U17",
"starts_at": "2026-09-06T18:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 06 Sep 2026 18:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Cruzeiro U17",
"home": "Fluminense U17"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "DWLDD",
"record": "1W-3D-1L",
"scored": 7,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 8
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WLDWD",
"record": "2W-2D-1L",
"scored": 9,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 4
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
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