Connecticut FCvsNew York RB II
Connecticut FC 2–4 New York RB II
3 of 4 AIs leaned Connecticut FC — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Connecticut FC 3/4
- Correct calls
- 1/4
- Final
- 2–4
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC 3/4 models |
2-1 4/4 models |
Connecticut FC 3/4 models |
Connecticut FC 3/4 models |
Connecticut FC 2/4 models |
Connecticut FC -1 1/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
|||||||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
32%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC
L
|
18%
2-1
L
|
55%
Connecticut FC
L
|
65%
Connecticut FC
L
|
48%
Connecticut FC
L
|
53%
Connecticut FC |
52%
yes
W
|
58%
over
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
32%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC Connecticut FC strong home form suggests leading at half and full time. Youth league dynamics often see early goals from the better home att...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Expected scoreline aligns with home form producing 2-3 goals and away side scoring once. Head-to-head finished 2-1 and developmental league...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Connecticut FC Connecticut FC hold a superior recent home record of 4W-0D-1L with 14 goals scored versus 8 conceded. They defeated New York RB II 2-1 in th...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Connecticut FC Home form edge and head-to-head win give Connecticut FC the clearer path to victory. Both sides have identical 6 rest days but the home venu...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Connecticut FC Connecticut FC home scoring edge is offset by the developmental nature of the league where results are volatile. Spreads favor the away side...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Connecticut FC Home advantage and prior 2-1 win provide slight edge for Connecticut FC on Asian handicap. Both sides share equal rest but venue and attacki...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
yes Both teams have conceded in most recent outings with Connecticut FC conceding 8 in 5 home games and New York RB II 10 in 5 away. Head-to-hea...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over MLS Next Pro matches frequently produce high goal tallies. Connecticut FC average 2.8 goals per home game while New York RB II concede 2.0 p... |
|||||||||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
35%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC
L
|
15%
2-1
L
|
50%
Connecticut FC
L
|
65%
Connecticut FC
L
|
45%
Connecticut FC -1.0
L
|
48%
Connecticut FC (-1.0) |
65%
Yes
W
|
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC With Connecticut FC's strong form and home advantage, they are expected to start strongly and maintain their lead throughout the match. Thei...
2 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 The 2-1 scoreline is favored as it aligns with Connecticut FC's previous H2H win against New York RB II and their trend of winning high-scor...
2 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
50%
Connecticut FC Connecticut FC holds a strong home advantage, reflected in their impressive recent form of four wins in five matches and a 2-1 win in their...
2 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Connecticut FC Given Connecticut FC's superior recent form, strong home record, and previous head-to-head victory, they are the clear favorites to win this...
2 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Connecticut FC -1.0 Connecticut FC's robust home form and attacking prowess suggest they are capable of winning by more than a single goal. Their average of 2.8...
2 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
Connecticut FC (-1.0) Connecticut FC's superior offensive output and home field advantage make them strong contenders for a comfortable win, justifying the -1.0 h...
2 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
Yes Connecticut FC has scored in all of their last five matches, and New York RB II has scored in four of their last five. Both teams also have...
2 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over 2.5 Goals Both teams have demonstrated an ability to score and concede goals recently; Connecticut FC averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per g...
2 sources cited
|
|||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
30%
away_draw |
15%
2-1
L
|
55%
New York RB II
W
|
57%
New York RB II
W
|
53%
New York RB II
W
|
56%
away_ 0.0 |
55%
yes
W
|
52%
over
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
away_draw New York RB II is slightly favored to win, but Connecticut FC has shown strong recent form. A scenario where NYRB II leads at halftime and t...
4 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Considering the slight edge for NYRB II and the potential for goals from both sides, a narrow win for NYRB II seems most probable. The 2-1 s...
4 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
New York RB II New York RB II is higher in the league standings and has a slightly better head-to-head record, winning their most recent encounter. Despite...
4 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
57%
New York RB II Considering the slight edge NYRB II has in league position and head-to-head, they are more likely to secure a result. The 'draw no bet' mark...
4 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
53%
New York RB II Given NYRB II's higher league standing and the recent head-to-head win, they are slightly favored to win by more than one goal. While Connec...
4 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
56%
away_ 0.0 NYRB II is favored based on league standing and head-to-head, making them the likely choice on the Asian Handicap. The 0.0 handicap means a...
4 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Connecticut FC has a strong recent scoring record, while NYRB II has conceded a notable amount recently. Their recent head-to-head also saw...
4 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Both teams have shown attacking prowess in their recent matches, with Connecticut FC scoring 14 and NYRB II scoring 10 in their last five. T...
4 sources cited
|
|||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
30%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC
L
|
12%
2-1
L
|
55%
Connecticut FC
L
|
60%
Connecticut FC
L
|
45%
Connecticut FC
L
|
45%
Connecticut FC -1
L
|
60%
yes
W
|
58%
over
W
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC Home team likely to lead at half-time given their form, but a draw at half-time is also possible. The most likely outcome is home win from t...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
2-1 Based on H2H score and home team's attacking strength, a 2-1 victory for Connecticut is plausible. Other close scores like 1-1 and 1-0 are a...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Connecticut FC Connecticut FC have strong home form with 4 wins in last 5, scoring 14 goals, while New York RB II are inconsistent away with 3 wins and 2 l...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
60%
Connecticut FC Given Connecticut's dominance at home and the H2H win, they are more likely to win without the draw safety. The draw probability is moderate...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Connecticut FC Connecticut are strong at home but a -1 spread is demanding; they won by one goal in the H2H. Away side can keep it close, so this is a marg...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Connecticut FC -1 Similar to spread, home team may win but not by multiple goals. The handicap is close to even money.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Away team has scored in most matches, while home team is strong offensively. Both defenses are leaky, making it likely both score. The H2H h...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Both teams have high scoring and conceding rates: home averaged 2.8 goals per game and away 4.0 total goals per game in their last 5. The H2... |
|||||||||
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusConnecticut FC / Connecticut FC 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
32%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC
L
Connecticut FC strong home form suggests leading at half and full time. Youth league dynamics often see early goals from the better home att...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
35%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC
L
With Connecticut FC's strong form and home advantage, they are expected to start strongly and maintain their lead throughout the match. Thei...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
away_draw
New York RB II is slightly favored to win, but Connecticut FC has shown strong recent form. A scenario where NYRB II leads at halftime and t...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC
L
Home team likely to lead at half-time given their form, but a draw at half-time is also possible. The most likely outcome is home win from t...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
L
Expected scoreline aligns with home form producing 2-3 goals and away side scoring once. Head-to-head finished 2-1 and developmental league...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
2-1
L
The 2-1 scoreline is favored as it aligns with Connecticut FC's previous H2H win against New York RB II and their trend of winning high-scor...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
L
Considering the slight edge for NYRB II and the potential for goals from both sides, a narrow win for NYRB II seems most probable. The 2-1 s...
DeepSeek V3
12%
2-1
L
Based on H2H score and home team's attacking strength, a 2-1 victory for Connecticut is plausible. Other close scores like 1-1 and 1-0 are a...
Match winner
ConsensusConnecticut FC 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Connecticut FC
L
Connecticut FC hold a superior recent home record of 4W-0D-1L with 14 goals scored versus 8 conceded. They defeated New York RB II 2-1 in th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Connecticut FC
L
Connecticut FC holds a strong home advantage, reflected in their impressive recent form of four wins in five matches and a 2-1 win in their...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
New York RB II
W
New York RB II is higher in the league standings and has a slightly better head-to-head record, winning their most recent encounter. Despite...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Connecticut FC
L
Connecticut FC have strong home form with 4 wins in last 5, scoring 14 goals, while New York RB II are inconsistent away with 3 wins and 2 l...
Draw no bet
ConsensusConnecticut FC 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
65%
Connecticut FC
L
Home form edge and head-to-head win give Connecticut FC the clearer path to victory. Both sides have identical 6 rest days but the home venu...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Connecticut FC
L
Given Connecticut FC's superior recent form, strong home record, and previous head-to-head victory, they are the clear favorites to win this...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
57%
New York RB II
W
Considering the slight edge NYRB II has in league position and head-to-head, they are more likely to secure a result. The 'draw no bet' mark...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Connecticut FC
L
Given Connecticut's dominance at home and the H2H win, they are more likely to win without the draw safety. The draw probability is moderate...
Spread
ConsensusConnecticut FC 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Connecticut FC
L
Connecticut FC home scoring edge is offset by the developmental nature of the league where results are volatile. Spreads favor the away side...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Connecticut FC -1.0
L
Connecticut FC's robust home form and attacking prowess suggest they are capable of winning by more than a single goal. Their average of 2.8...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
New York RB II
W
Given NYRB II's higher league standing and the recent head-to-head win, they are slightly favored to win by more than one goal. While Connec...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Connecticut FC
L
Connecticut are strong at home but a -1 spread is demanding; they won by one goal in the H2H. Away side can keep it close, so this is a marg...
Asian handicap
ConsensusConnecticut FC -1 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
Connecticut FC
Home advantage and prior 2-1 win provide slight edge for Connecticut FC on Asian handicap. Both sides share equal rest but venue and attacki...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
48%
Connecticut FC (-1.0)
Connecticut FC's superior offensive output and home field advantage make them strong contenders for a comfortable win, justifying the -1.0 h...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
56%
away_ 0.0
NYRB II is favored based on league standing and head-to-head, making them the likely choice on the Asian Handicap. The 0.0 handicap means a...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Connecticut FC -1
L
Similar to spread, home team may win but not by multiple goals. The handicap is close to even money.
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
yes
W
Both teams have conceded in most recent outings with Connecticut FC conceding 8 in 5 home games and New York RB II 10 in 5 away. Head-to-hea...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Yes
W
Connecticut FC has scored in all of their last five matches, and New York RB II has scored in four of their last five. Both teams also have...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
W
Connecticut FC has a strong recent scoring record, while NYRB II has conceded a notable amount recently. Their recent head-to-head also saw...
DeepSeek V3
60%
yes
W
Away team has scored in most matches, while home team is strong offensively. Both defenses are leaky, making it likely both score. The H2H h...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
over
W
MLS Next Pro matches frequently produce high goal tallies. Connecticut FC average 2.8 goals per home game while New York RB II concede 2.0 p...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
Both teams have demonstrated an ability to score and concede goals recently; Connecticut FC averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per g...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
over
W
Both teams have shown attacking prowess in their recent matches, with Connecticut FC scoring 14 and NYRB II scoring 10 in their last five. T...
DeepSeek V3
58%
over
W
Both teams have high scoring and conceding rates: home averaged 2.8 goals per game and away 4.0 total goals per game in their last 5. The H2...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Connecticut FC
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
New York RB II
DeepSeek V3
Connecticut FC
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Connecticut FC
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
ca9770b50586618f…
- Kickoff
- Sat, Aug 29 · 23:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 33663,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Morrone Stadium",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-08-29T23:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sat, 29 Aug 2026 23:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "New York RB II",
"home": "Connecticut FC"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWWLL",
"record": "3W-0D-2L",
"scored": 10,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 10
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WWWLW",
"record": "4W-0D-1L",
"scored": 14,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 8
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 6,
"home": 6
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-07-19: Connecticut FC 2–1 New York RB II"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 4 sources
4 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 2 sources
2 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.