Chelsea WvsReal Sociedad W
Chelsea W 5–2 Real Sociedad W
All 4 AIs backed Chelsea W — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Chelsea W 4/4
- Correct calls
- 4/4
- Final
- 5–2
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
3-0 3/4 models |
no 2/4 models |
Chelsea W -1 2/4 models |
Chelsea W / Chelsea W 3/4 models |
Chelsea W 1/4 models |
Chelsea W 4/4 models |
over 2/4 models |
Chelsea W 4/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
22%
3-0
L
|
62%
no
L
|
78%
Chelsea W -1
W
|
72%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W |
55%
Chelsea W -2.5
W
|
92%
Chelsea W
W
|
68%
over
W
|
85%
Chelsea W
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
3-0 Chelsea's attacking output against weaker sides typically lands on 3 or 4 goals while keeping clean sheets. Training data through 2025-09 su...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
62%
no Chelsea keep frequent clean sheets against lesser opposition. Sociedad rarely score away in high-stakes matches.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
78%
Chelsea W -1 Chelsea expected to win by two or more goals given the quality gap. Set-piece and open-play threats favor the home side heavily.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
72%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W Chelsea control matches from the first whistle and rarely concede leads. Early goals followed by further pressure expected.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Chelsea W -2.5 Large home advantage and attacking depth point to a multi-goal margin. Sociedad unlikely to keep the scoreline close.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
92%
Chelsea W Real Sociedad lack the quality to avoid defeat against Chelsea. The gap in squad depth and attacking output makes a draw highly unlikely.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
68%
over Chelsea attack at high volume and Sociedad are vulnerable defensively on the road. Multiple goalscorers for the hosts are expected.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
85%
Chelsea W Chelsea W are a vastly superior side to Real Sociedad W in European competition. Home advantage at a familiar venue adds to the mismatch. Tr... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
18%
3-0
L
|
60%
No
L
|
60%
Chelsea W -1
W
|
55%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W |
60%
Chelsea W -1.5
W
|
85%
Chelsea W
W
|
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
|
75%
Chelsea W
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
3-0 Chelsea Women are expected to deliver a strong performance at home, scoring multiple goals while maintaining a solid defense against Real So...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Chelsea Women's defense is historically solid, and they have a strong record of keeping clean sheets at home. While Real Sociedad Women are...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Chelsea W -1 Chelsea Women are expected to dominate this match at home against Real Sociedad Women. Their superior squad quality and attacking strength s...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W Chelsea Women typically start matches strongly, especially when playing at home in major competitions. Their superior quality means they are...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Chelsea W -1.5 Given Chelsea Women's significant advantage in quality and home advantage, they are highly likely to secure a dominant victory. A win by at...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
85%
Chelsea W Chelsea Women's strong home record and superior squad depth make them overwhelming favourites. A draw is a less probable outcome, and a loss...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
Over 2.5 Goals Chelsea Women possess significant attacking firepower and are accustomed to scoring multiple goals in home fixtures, particularly in Europea...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Chelsea W Based on historical performance, Chelsea Women are a top-tier European club, particularly dominant at home. Real Sociedad Women, while compe... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
15%
2-0
L
|
58%
yes
W
|
52%
Real Sociedad W
L
|
45%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W |
60%
Chelsea W |
68%
Chelsea W
W
|
55%
over
W
|
65%
Chelsea W
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-0 Chelsea W is the favored team and is expected to win with a clean sheet or concede minimal goals. A 2-0 scoreline reflects their offensive c...
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Chelsea W is expected to score at home, and Real Sociedad W has the attacking capability to find the net against a strong opponent, especial...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Real Sociedad W This market implies Chelsea W starts with a -1 handicap. While Chelsea W is favored to win, Real Sociedad W is expected to keep the scorelin...
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W Chelsea W is expected to start strongly at home and maintain their dominance throughout the match, leading to a halftime and fulltime lead.
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Chelsea W Assuming Chelsea W is favored by a typical margin (e.g., -0.5 or -0.75), they are the stronger pick to overcome this handicap given their ho...
3 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
68%
Chelsea W Given Chelsea W's perceived superiority and home advantage, they are highly likely to win or at least avoid defeat. The draw insurance furth...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown the capacity to score in their respective leagues and in European competitions. Chelsea W, playing at home, is expecte...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Chelsea W Chelsea W is the home team and has a stronger recent record in the UEFA Women's Champions League. They are expected to leverage their home a...
3 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
20%
3-0
L
|
65%
no
L
|
60%
home_ -1 |
65%
Chelsea / Chelsea
L
|
55%
home_ -1.5 |
90%
Chelsea W
W
|
70%
over_2.5
W
|
85%
Chelsea W
W
|
|
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
3-0 Chelsea's attacking strength and Real Sociedad's defensive frailty suggest a multi-goal victory for the home side. A clean sheet is likely,...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
no Chelsea have a strong defense and are likely to keep a clean sheet against a weaker opponent. Real Sociedad are expected to create few chanc...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
home_ -1 Chelsea are expected to win by at least two goals, considering their attacking prowess and Real Sociedad's limited threat. The spread of -1...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
65%
Chelsea / Chelsea Chelsea are expected to take an early lead and maintain control throughout the match. Real Sociedad are unlikely to come from behind, so Che...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
home_ -1.5 Given Chelsea's dominance, a handicap of -1.5 is plausible, but there is risk of a tighter game if Chelsea rotate or Real Sociedad defend de...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
90%
Chelsea W Chelsea Women's attacking quality and defensive solidity make them very likely to win in regulation time. Real Sociedad are unlikely to pose...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
70%
over_2.5 Chelsea Women typically score multiple goals at home, and Real Sociedad may struggle to keep them out. The match is likely to see over 2.5 g...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
85%
Chelsea W Chelsea Women are historically dominant in the Women's Champions League and have superior squad depth compared to Real Sociedad Women. Chels... |
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Correct score
Consensus3-0 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
22%
3-0
L
Chelsea's attacking output against weaker sides typically lands on 3 or 4 goals while keeping clean sheets. Training data through 2025-09 su...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
3-0
L
Chelsea Women are expected to deliver a strong performance at home, scoring multiple goals while maintaining a solid defense against Real So...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-0
L
Chelsea W is the favored team and is expected to win with a clean sheet or concede minimal goals. A 2-0 scoreline reflects their offensive c...
DeepSeek V3
20%
3-0
L
Chelsea's attacking strength and Real Sociedad's defensive frailty suggest a multi-goal victory for the home side. A clean sheet is likely,...
Both teams to score
Consensusno 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
no
L
Chelsea keep frequent clean sheets against lesser opposition. Sociedad rarely score away in high-stakes matches.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
No
L
Chelsea Women's defense is historically solid, and they have a strong record of keeping clean sheets at home. While Real Sociedad Women are...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
W
Chelsea W is expected to score at home, and Real Sociedad W has the attacking capability to find the net against a strong opponent, especial...
DeepSeek V3
65%
no
L
Chelsea have a strong defense and are likely to keep a clean sheet against a weaker opponent. Real Sociedad are expected to create few chanc...
Spread
ConsensusChelsea W -1 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
78%
Chelsea W -1
W
Chelsea expected to win by two or more goals given the quality gap. Set-piece and open-play threats favor the home side heavily.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Chelsea W -1
W
Chelsea Women are expected to dominate this match at home against Real Sociedad Women. Their superior squad quality and attacking strength s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Real Sociedad W
L
This market implies Chelsea W starts with a -1 handicap. While Chelsea W is favored to win, Real Sociedad W is expected to keep the scorelin...
DeepSeek V3
60%
home_ -1
Chelsea are expected to win by at least two goals, considering their attacking prowess and Real Sociedad's limited threat. The spread of -1...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusChelsea W / Chelsea W 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
72%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W
Chelsea control matches from the first whistle and rarely concede leads. Early goals followed by further pressure expected.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W
Chelsea Women typically start matches strongly, especially when playing at home in major competitions. Their superior quality means they are...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Chelsea W / Chelsea W
Chelsea W is expected to start strongly at home and maintain their dominance throughout the match, leading to a halftime and fulltime lead.
DeepSeek V3
65%
Chelsea / Chelsea
L
Chelsea are expected to take an early lead and maintain control throughout the match. Real Sociedad are unlikely to come from behind, so Che...
Asian handicap
ConsensusChelsea W 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Chelsea W -2.5
W
Large home advantage and attacking depth point to a multi-goal margin. Sociedad unlikely to keep the scoreline close.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Chelsea W -1.5
W
Given Chelsea Women's significant advantage in quality and home advantage, they are highly likely to secure a dominant victory. A win by at...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Chelsea W
Assuming Chelsea W is favored by a typical margin (e.g., -0.5 or -0.75), they are the stronger pick to overcome this handicap given their ho...
DeepSeek V3
55%
home_ -1.5
Given Chelsea's dominance, a handicap of -1.5 is plausible, but there is risk of a tighter game if Chelsea rotate or Real Sociedad defend de...
Draw no bet
ConsensusChelsea W 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
92%
Chelsea W
W
Real Sociedad lack the quality to avoid defeat against Chelsea. The gap in squad depth and attacking output makes a draw highly unlikely.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
85%
Chelsea W
W
Chelsea Women's strong home record and superior squad depth make them overwhelming favourites. A draw is a less probable outcome, and a loss...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
68%
Chelsea W
W
Given Chelsea W's perceived superiority and home advantage, they are highly likely to win or at least avoid defeat. The draw insurance furth...
DeepSeek V3
90%
Chelsea W
W
Chelsea Women's attacking quality and defensive solidity make them very likely to win in regulation time. Real Sociedad are unlikely to pose...
Over / Under
Consensusover 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
68%
over
W
Chelsea attack at high volume and Sociedad are vulnerable defensively on the road. Multiple goalscorers for the hosts are expected.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
Chelsea Women possess significant attacking firepower and are accustomed to scoring multiple goals in home fixtures, particularly in Europea...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
Both teams have shown the capacity to score in their respective leagues and in European competitions. Chelsea W, playing at home, is expecte...
DeepSeek V3
70%
over_2.5
W
Chelsea Women typically score multiple goals at home, and Real Sociedad may struggle to keep them out. The match is likely to see over 2.5 g...
Match winner
ConsensusChelsea W 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
85%
Chelsea W
W
Chelsea W are a vastly superior side to Real Sociedad W in European competition. Home advantage at a familiar venue adds to the mismatch. Tr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
Chelsea W
W
Based on historical performance, Chelsea Women are a top-tier European club, particularly dominant at home. Real Sociedad Women, while compe...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
Chelsea W
W
Chelsea W is the home team and has a stronger recent record in the UEFA Women's Champions League. They are expected to leverage their home a...
DeepSeek V3
85%
Chelsea W
W
Chelsea Women are historically dominant in the Women's Champions League and have superior squad depth compared to Real Sociedad Women. Chels...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Chelsea W
DeepSeek V3
Chelsea W
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Chelsea W
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Chelsea W
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
7c6fcb894bb46f2c…
- Kickoff
- Wed, Aug 26 · 17:45 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 31416,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "The Cherry Red Records Stadium",
"league": "UEFA Champions League Women",
"starts_at": "2026-08-26T17:45:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Wed, 26 Aug 2026 17:45:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Real Sociedad W",
"home": "Chelsea W"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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