CeljevsSlovan Bratislava
Celje 1–2 Slovan Bratislava
3 of 4 AIs leaned Draw — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Draw 3/4
- Correct calls
- 0/4
- Final
- 1–2
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Celje -0.25 1/4 models |
Celje 2/4 models |
yes 2/4 models |
Draw 3/4 models |
Celje 2/4 models |
Draw / Draw 2/4 models |
1-1 3/4 models |
under 2/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
51%
Celje -0.25
L
|
55%
Celje
L
|
52%
no
L
|
48%
Celje
L
|
44%
Celje
L
|
29%
Draw / Celje
L
|
18%
1-0
L
|
57%
under
L
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
Celje -0.25 Half-goal handicap reflects Celje's home edge without overcommitting against a well-rested away side. Training data through 2024-09.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Celje Home advantage and 7 rest days favor Celje to avoid defeat against Slovan. Both sides in good form but Celje's venue edge matters. Training...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
no Celje concede infrequently at home while Slovan keep clean sheets on the road. 1-1 H2H does not guarantee both scoring again. Training data...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Celje Celje home form (DWWWL) gives slight edge over Slovan's strong away record in a match with limited prior data. Recent 1-1 H2H suggests Celje...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
44%
Celje Celje favored to win but margin likely narrow given Slovan's strong recent results. Training data through 2024-09.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
29%
Draw / Celje Even first half likely before Celje use home advantage to pull ahead late. Training data through 2024-09.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 Low-scoring profile and recent 1-1 point to narrow home win as most probable outcome. Training data through 2024-09.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
57%
under Recent H2H finished 1-1 and both teams show controlled scoring trends. European qualifiers often stay low-scoring. Training data through 202... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
60%
Slovan Bratislava +0.25
W
|
52%
Celje
L
|
60%
Yes
W
|
35%
Draw
L
|
70%
Slovan Bratislava +1
W
|
35%
Draw / Draw
L
|
25%
1-1
L
|
55%
Under 2.5
L
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Slovan Bratislava +0.25 Utilizing the brief and my training knowledge, Slovan Bratislava +0.25 offers good value. The first leg was a draw, and Slovan's recent form...
1 source cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
52%
Celje Considering the provided brief and my training knowledge, if a winner must be determined, Celje holds an advantage. They are playing at home...
1 source cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
Yes According to the brief and my training knowledge, the first leg ended 1-1, with both teams scoring. Slovan Bratislava *must* score in this m...
1 source cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
35%
Draw Based on training data up to my last update and the provided brief, the first leg ended 1-1, giving Celje a crucial away goal advantage for...
1 source cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Slovan Bratislava +1 Based on my training data and the provided brief, Celje winning by a margin of two goals or more (-1 spread win) against a strong Slovan Bra...
1 source cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
Draw / Draw Given the high stakes of a Champions League second leg, both teams are likely to start cautiously, as suggested by the brief and my training...
1 source cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
1-1 Based on my training data and the provided brief, a 1-1 draw is the most likely correct score. The first leg already finished 1-1, indicatin...
1 source cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under 2.5 Drawing on the brief and my training data, the first leg ended 1-1, indicating a tight contest. Both teams have respectable defensive record...
1 source cited
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
53%
Celje +0.25
L
|
45%
Draw
L
|
58%
yes
W
|
45%
Draw
L
|
52%
Celje
L
|
40%
Draw / Draw
L
|
35%
1-1
L
|
55%
over
W
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
53%
Celje +0.25 Considering Celje's home advantage and the recent draw against Slovan Bratislava, a +0.25 handicap for Celje seems reasonable. This bet offe...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
45%
Draw Given the high probability of a draw identified in the H2H market and the limited information on other decisive factors, the Draw No Bet mar...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Both teams have shown a tendency to score in their recent matches. Slovan Bratislava has scored in 4 of their last 5, and Celje in 3 of thei...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Draw Based on training data through 2025-09, Slovan Bratislava and Celje have a very limited head-to-head history with their only recent encounte...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Celje Celje is playing at home, and while Slovan Bratislava has a better recent record, the home advantage often levels the playing field. Given t...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
Draw / Draw Given the prediction of a draw in the H2H market and the overall close nature of the teams based on limited data, a Draw-Draw outcome for HT...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
35%
1-1 The most recent head-to-head match ended 1-1, making this scoreline a strong candidate. Both teams have shown an ability to score but also c...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Slovan Bratislava has scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals per game, while Celje has scored 8 in their last 5, avera... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Slovan Bratislava -0.5
W
|
50%
Slovan Bratislava
W
|
60%
yes
W
|
35%
Draw
L
|
60%
Slovan Bratislava |
30%
Draw / Slovan Bratislava |
20%
1-1
L
|
55%
under
L
|
|
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Slovan Bratislava -0.5 The away team is stronger overall and the draw in the first leg gives them an edge. A half-goal handicap is a balanced yet favorable line, a...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
50%
Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava are in better form and have the advantage from the first leg. Celje will need to attack but may leave gaps, giving the awa...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
yes Both teams scored in the first leg and both have been scoring regularly recently. Celje need a goal at home, while Slovan have scored in mos...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
35%
Draw First leg ended 1-1, and both teams are evenly matched. Celje's recent form includes a loss, while Slovan is unbeaten in five, but this is a...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava are in better form and have the aggregate advantage; they are likely to win by more than one goal or at least cover the -1...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Slovan Bratislava The match is likely to be tight early, with the first half ending level. As the game progresses, Slovan's superior quality may tell, leading...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-1 Given the tight nature of the first leg and both teams' defensive solidity, a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline. Both teams have the abi...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under First leg was 1-1, suggesting tight margins. Both teams have solid defensive records, and European knockout matches often see cautious play,... |
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Asian handicap
ConsensusCelje -0.25 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Celje -0.25
L
Half-goal handicap reflects Celje's home edge without overcommitting against a well-rested away side. Training data through 2024-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Slovan Bratislava +0.25
W
Utilizing the brief and my training knowledge, Slovan Bratislava +0.25 offers good value. The first leg was a draw, and Slovan's recent form...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
Celje +0.25
L
Considering Celje's home advantage and the recent draw against Slovan Bratislava, a +0.25 handicap for Celje seems reasonable. This bet offe...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Slovan Bratislava -0.5
W
The away team is stronger overall and the draw in the first leg gives them an edge. A half-goal handicap is a balanced yet favorable line, a...
Draw no bet
ConsensusCelje 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Celje
L
Home advantage and 7 rest days favor Celje to avoid defeat against Slovan. Both sides in good form but Celje's venue edge matters. Training...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Celje
L
Considering the provided brief and my training knowledge, if a winner must be determined, Celje holds an advantage. They are playing at home...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw
L
Given the high probability of a draw identified in the H2H market and the limited information on other decisive factors, the Draw No Bet mar...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Slovan Bratislava
W
Slovan Bratislava are in better form and have the advantage from the first leg. Celje will need to attack but may leave gaps, giving the awa...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
no
L
Celje concede infrequently at home while Slovan keep clean sheets on the road. 1-1 H2H does not guarantee both scoring again. Training data...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Yes
W
According to the brief and my training knowledge, the first leg ended 1-1, with both teams scoring. Slovan Bratislava *must* score in this m...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
W
Both teams have shown a tendency to score in their recent matches. Slovan Bratislava has scored in 4 of their last 5, and Celje in 3 of thei...
DeepSeek V3
60%
yes
W
Both teams scored in the first leg and both have been scoring regularly recently. Celje need a goal at home, while Slovan have scored in mos...
Match winner
ConsensusDraw 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Celje
L
Celje home form (DWWWL) gives slight edge over Slovan's strong away record in a match with limited prior data. Recent 1-1 H2H suggests Celje...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
35%
Draw
L
Based on training data up to my last update and the provided brief, the first leg ended 1-1, giving Celje a crucial away goal advantage for...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Draw
L
Based on training data through 2025-09, Slovan Bratislava and Celje have a very limited head-to-head history with their only recent encounte...
DeepSeek V3
35%
Draw
L
First leg ended 1-1, and both teams are evenly matched. Celje's recent form includes a loss, while Slovan is unbeaten in five, but this is a...
Spread
ConsensusCelje 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
44%
Celje
L
Celje favored to win but margin likely narrow given Slovan's strong recent results. Training data through 2024-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Slovan Bratislava +1
W
Based on my training data and the provided brief, Celje winning by a margin of two goals or more (-1 spread win) against a strong Slovan Bra...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Celje
L
Celje is playing at home, and while Slovan Bratislava has a better recent record, the home advantage often levels the playing field. Given t...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava are in better form and have the aggregate advantage; they are likely to win by more than one goal or at least cover the -1...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Draw 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
29%
Draw / Celje
L
Even first half likely before Celje use home advantage to pull ahead late. Training data through 2024-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
35%
Draw / Draw
L
Given the high stakes of a Champions League second leg, both teams are likely to start cautiously, as suggested by the brief and my training...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Draw / Draw
L
Given the prediction of a draw in the H2H market and the overall close nature of the teams based on limited data, a Draw-Draw outcome for HT...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Draw / Slovan Bratislava
The match is likely to be tight early, with the first half ending level. As the game progresses, Slovan's superior quality may tell, leading...
Correct score
Consensus1-1 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-0
L
Low-scoring profile and recent 1-1 point to narrow home win as most probable outcome. Training data through 2024-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
25%
1-1
L
Based on my training data and the provided brief, a 1-1 draw is the most likely correct score. The first leg already finished 1-1, indicatin...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
35%
1-1
L
The most recent head-to-head match ended 1-1, making this scoreline a strong candidate. Both teams have shown an ability to score but also c...
DeepSeek V3
20%
1-1
L
Given the tight nature of the first leg and both teams' defensive solidity, a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline. Both teams have the abi...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
57%
under
L
Recent H2H finished 1-1 and both teams show controlled scoring trends. European qualifiers often stay low-scoring. Training data through 202...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Under 2.5
L
Drawing on the brief and my training data, the first leg ended 1-1, indicating a tight contest. Both teams have respectable defensive record...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
Slovan Bratislava has scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.4 goals per game, while Celje has scored 8 in their last 5, avera...
DeepSeek V3
55%
under
L
First leg was 1-1, suggesting tight margins. Both teams have solid defensive records, and European knockout matches often see cautious play,...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Celje
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Draw
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Draw
DeepSeek V3
Draw
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
520ec28e5e3ba9c1…
- Kickoff
- Wed, Aug 26 · 19:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 31461,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "UEFA Champions League",
"starts_at": "2026-08-26T19:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Wed, 26 Aug 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Slovan Bratislava",
"home": "Celje"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WDWWW",
"record": "4W-1D-0L",
"scored": 12,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 3
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DWWWL",
"record": "3W-1D-1L",
"scored": 8,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 4
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 7
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-08-19: Slovan Bratislava 1–1 Celje"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 1 source
1 citation captured — unlock with Pro
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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