Carolina CorevsNew England II
Carolina Core 2–2 New England II
3 of 4 AIs leaned Carolina Core — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Carolina Core 3/4
- Correct calls
- 0/4
- Final
- 2–2
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Carolina Core 3/4 models |
2-1 2/4 models |
New England II 1/4 models |
draw_home 2/4 models |
Carolina Core 3/4 models |
home_ 0 1/4 models |
over 4/4 models |
yes 4/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
48%
Carolina Core
L
|
18%
2-1
L
|
42%
home_ -1 |
29%
draw_home |
55%
Carolina Core |
51%
home_ 0 |
53%
over
W
|
59%
yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
Carolina Core Carolina Core and New England II both show poor recent form in the provided data with heavy concessions. Home side has a marginally better r...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 2-1 aligns with the expected goal volume and the home side's narrow edge. High concession rates support multiple 2-3 goal scorelines. Traini...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
42%
home_ -1 Home side receives a narrow edge on the -1 spread given venue and one extra draw in recent results. Heavy scoring trends make a push or away...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
29%
draw_home Half-time draw followed by home win is the most probable path given both teams concede early and home side improves after the break in devel...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Carolina Core Draw no bet removes the draw outcome and favors the side with the home venue and slightly superior recent points haul. Both teams leak goals...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
home_ 0 Asian line at level favors the home team on the basis of venue and marginally better recent form. Both teams' defensive frailties balance th...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Both sides average over 3 goals per game in the supplied last-5 records with 25-31 total goals across 10 matches. MLS Next Pro games frequen...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
59%
yes Concession rates of 15-16 goals in 5 matches each point to both teams struggling defensively and likely to score. Developmental league match... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
40%
Carolina Core
L
|
15%
2-1
L
|
55%
away_ +1 |
25%
Carolina Core / Carolina Core
L
|
53%
Carolina Core |
60%
away_ +0.5 |
75%
over
W
|
70%
yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
40%
Carolina Core Both teams exhibit poor form and leaky defenses. Carolina Core has a slight edge with home advantage and a slightly less dire recent record,...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Considering the high probability of both teams scoring and the 'over 2.5 goals' prediction, scores like 2-1 or 3-1 are likely if the home si...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
away_ +1 Neither team has shown sufficient dominance to confidently predict a multi-goal victory for Carolina Core. New England II +1, which covers a...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Carolina Core / Carolina Core Despite both teams' defensive frailties, a home win is still marginally favored. If Carolina Core secures the win, leading at both half-time...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
53%
Carolina Core Factoring out the draw, Carolina Core is slightly favored due to their home advantage and marginally better recent performance. However, New...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
away_ +0.5 With Carolina Core only having a marginal home advantage and both teams exhibiting poor form, backing New England II with a +0.5 goal handic...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
75%
over Both teams show an extremely high average of goals in their recent matches; Carolina Core averages 5 goals per game (scored 1.8, conceded 3....
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
70%
yes Given that both teams have conceded heavily in their last five matches and score at a reasonable rate (1.8 goals per game each), it's highly... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
45%
New England II
L
|
15%
1-1
L
|
45%
New England II
L
|
20%
Draw / New England II
L
|
45%
New England II |
45%
away_ 0.0 |
55%
over
W
|
55%
yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
New England II Both teams have poor recent form with multiple losses. Carolina Core has a slightly worse record over the last five matches, and New England...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-1 Considering the similar, albeit poor, form of both teams, a low-scoring draw like 1-1 is the most probable outcome. Both teams have shown so...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
New England II Given the narrow advantage for New England II in the head-to-head and draw-no-bet markets, they are slightly favored to cover the -1 spread....
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / New England II Given the poor form of both teams and their tendency to concede, a draw at halftime seems probable. New England II's slight edge in offensiv...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
45%
New England II This market mirrors the head-to-head prediction due to the evenly matched, albeit poor, form of both teams. New England II is marginally fav...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
away_ 0.0 This market aligns with the 'draw_no_bet' prediction. New England II is favored slightly to get at least a draw, and thus 'push' or win with...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Despite both teams' poor defensive records, their combined scoring record in the last five games suggests a tendency for goals. New England...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams have shown a capacity to concede multiple goals in their recent matches, as indicated by their defensive records. Concurrently, t... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
40%
Carolina Core
L
|
14%
2-2
W
|
50%
away_plus_ 1 |
10%
draw_home |
45%
Carolina Core |
45%
home_ -0.25 |
60%
over
W
|
65%
yes
W
|
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
40%
Carolina Core Both teams have poor defensive records, but Carolina Core plays at home with a slight rest advantage. New England II has lost four of their...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
14%
2-2 Given the high-scoring nature and weak defenses, a 2-2 draw or similar high score is plausible. The most likely scoreline is a draw with bot...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
away_plus_ 1 Given the close quality of these teams, a one-goal margin is uncertain. New England II has lost by more than one goal in some matches, but t...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
10%
draw_home These evenly matched teams are likely to start cautiously, leading to a halftime draw. The home side may then edge ahead in the second half...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
45%
Carolina Core In a draw-no-bet market, the home side offers a slight edge due to home advantage and better rest. Both teams are comparable in quality, but...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
home_ -0.25 A slight home edge is justified by playing at home and better rest, but the advantage is minimal. A quarter-ball handicap acknowledges the p...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Defenses have been poor: the two teams have combined for 31 goals conceded in their last 10 matches. Their recent matches suggest high-scori...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
yes Both teams have shown they can score, each netting 9 in their last 5, while also conceding a lot. BTTS has hit in most of their recent match... |
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Match winner
ConsensusCarolina Core 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Carolina Core
L
Carolina Core and New England II both show poor recent form in the provided data with heavy concessions. Home side has a marginally better r...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
40%
Carolina Core
L
Both teams exhibit poor form and leaky defenses. Carolina Core has a slight edge with home advantage and a slightly less dire recent record,...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
New England II
L
Both teams have poor recent form with multiple losses. Carolina Core has a slightly worse record over the last five matches, and New England...
DeepSeek V3
40%
Carolina Core
L
Both teams have poor defensive records, but Carolina Core plays at home with a slight rest advantage. New England II has lost four of their...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
L
2-1 aligns with the expected goal volume and the home side's narrow edge. High concession rates support multiple 2-3 goal scorelines. Traini...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
2-1
L
Considering the high probability of both teams scoring and the 'over 2.5 goals' prediction, scores like 2-1 or 3-1 are likely if the home si...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
1-1
L
Considering the similar, albeit poor, form of both teams, a low-scoring draw like 1-1 is the most probable outcome. Both teams have shown so...
DeepSeek V3
14%
2-2
W
Given the high-scoring nature and weak defenses, a 2-2 draw or similar high score is plausible. The most likely scoreline is a draw with bot...
Spread
ConsensusNew England II 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
42%
home_ -1
Home side receives a narrow edge on the -1 spread given venue and one extra draw in recent results. Heavy scoring trends make a push or away...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
away_ +1
Neither team has shown sufficient dominance to confidently predict a multi-goal victory for Carolina Core. New England II +1, which covers a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
New England II
L
Given the narrow advantage for New England II in the head-to-head and draw-no-bet markets, they are slightly favored to cover the -1 spread....
DeepSeek V3
50%
away_plus_ 1
Given the close quality of these teams, a one-goal margin is uncertain. New England II has lost by more than one goal in some matches, but t...
Half-time / Full-time
Consensusdraw_home 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
29%
draw_home
Half-time draw followed by home win is the most probable path given both teams concede early and home side improves after the break in devel...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
25%
Carolina Core / Carolina Core
L
Despite both teams' defensive frailties, a home win is still marginally favored. If Carolina Core secures the win, leading at both half-time...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
20%
Draw / New England II
L
Given the poor form of both teams and their tendency to concede, a draw at halftime seems probable. New England II's slight edge in offensiv...
DeepSeek V3
10%
draw_home
These evenly matched teams are likely to start cautiously, leading to a halftime draw. The home side may then edge ahead in the second half...
Draw no bet
ConsensusCarolina Core 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Carolina Core
Draw no bet removes the draw outcome and favors the side with the home venue and slightly superior recent points haul. Both teams leak goals...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
53%
Carolina Core
Factoring out the draw, Carolina Core is slightly favored due to their home advantage and marginally better recent performance. However, New...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
New England II
This market mirrors the head-to-head prediction due to the evenly matched, albeit poor, form of both teams. New England II is marginally fav...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Carolina Core
In a draw-no-bet market, the home side offers a slight edge due to home advantage and better rest. Both teams are comparable in quality, but...
Asian handicap
Consensushome_ 0 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
home_ 0
Asian line at level favors the home team on the basis of venue and marginally better recent form. Both teams' defensive frailties balance th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
away_ +0.5
With Carolina Core only having a marginal home advantage and both teams exhibiting poor form, backing New England II with a +0.5 goal handic...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
away_ 0.0
This market aligns with the 'draw_no_bet' prediction. New England II is favored slightly to get at least a draw, and thus 'push' or win with...
DeepSeek V3
45%
home_ -0.25
A slight home edge is justified by playing at home and better rest, but the advantage is minimal. A quarter-ball handicap acknowledges the p...
Over / Under
Consensusover 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
W
Both sides average over 3 goals per game in the supplied last-5 records with 25-31 total goals across 10 matches. MLS Next Pro games frequen...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
over
W
Both teams show an extremely high average of goals in their recent matches; Carolina Core averages 5 goals per game (scored 1.8, conceded 3....
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
Despite both teams' poor defensive records, their combined scoring record in the last five games suggests a tendency for goals. New England...
DeepSeek V3
60%
over
W
Defenses have been poor: the two teams have combined for 31 goals conceded in their last 10 matches. Their recent matches suggest high-scori...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
59%
yes
W
Concession rates of 15-16 goals in 5 matches each point to both teams struggling defensively and likely to score. Developmental league match...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
yes
W
Given that both teams have conceded heavily in their last five matches and score at a reasonable rate (1.8 goals per game each), it's highly...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
W
Both teams have shown a capacity to concede multiple goals in their recent matches, as indicated by their defensive records. Concurrently, t...
DeepSeek V3
65%
yes
W
Both teams have shown they can score, each netting 9 in their last 5, while also conceding a lot. BTTS has hit in most of their recent match...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Grok 4 Fast
Carolina Core
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
New England II
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Carolina Core
DeepSeek V3
Carolina Core
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
be34e2574152d4cc…
- Kickoff
- Fri, Sep 4 · 23:30 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 36142,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Truist Point",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-09-04T22:30:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Fri, 04 Sep 2026 22:30:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "New England II",
"home": "Carolina Core"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LLLLW",
"record": "1W-0D-4L",
"scored": 9,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 15
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LLWDL",
"record": "1W-1D-3L",
"scored": 9,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 16
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 5
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
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