BrightonvsTromso
Brighton 4–0 Tromso
All 4 AIs backed Brighton — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Brighton 4/4
- Correct calls
- 4/4
- Final
- 4–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
yes 2/4 models |
2-0 3/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
Brighton 1/4 models |
Brighton / Brighton 3/4 models |
Brighton 4/4 models |
Brighton 4/4 models |
Brighton 4/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
55%
no
W
|
22%
2-0
L
|
58%
over
W
|
52%
Brighton -1.5
W
|
55%
Brighton / Brighton |
80%
Brighton
W
|
65%
Brighton
W
|
72%
Brighton
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no Brighton's defensive record at home (3 conceded in 5) suggests clean-sheet likelihood. Tromso's attack lacks penetration against top sides....
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
2-0 2-0 aligns with Brighton's controlled home wins and Tromso's low scoring away. Clean-sheet probability elevated. Training data through 2025-...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over Brighton average over 2.4 goals per home game while Tromso concede regularly on the road. Set-piece threat and open style expected at Amex p...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Brighton -1.5 Brighton favored to win by 1.5+ goals margin. Tromso defensive but limited counter threat. Fixture congestion for Brighton noted but quality...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
Brighton / Brighton Brighton likely lead at half-time and extend lead. Early pressure at home typical for the Seagulls. Tromso sit deep but concede late.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
80%
Brighton Brighton's superior squad depth and home record make a draw unlikely. Tromso's away form is respectable but insufficient against Premier Lea...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
Brighton Brighton expected to win by 2+ goals given quality difference. Tromso's away record shows vulnerability to high-pressing sides. Home venue a...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
72%
Brighton Brighton's home form WDWWW shows strong attacking output at Amex while Tromso's recent 0-0 result came away from home. Premier League qualit... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
55%
yes
L
|
15%
2-0
L
|
60%
over
W
|
55%
Brighton |
50%
Brighton / Brighton |
85%
Brighton
W
|
55%
Brighton
W
|
75%
Brighton
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Brighton is expected to score at home. Tromso, despite a 0-0 in the first leg, has demonstrated good attacking form recently and will be eag...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-0 Brighton's home advantage and defensive solidity suggest a clean sheet is possible, especially considering their need for a win. They need a...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Brighton must score at home after the 0-0 first leg, and their recent offensive form is strong (12 goals in 5 games). While Tromso showed de...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Brighton Assuming an Asian Handicap line of Brighton -1.5, Brighton is expected to win by at least two goals at home. Their superior quality and the...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Brighton / Brighton Brighton will look to start strong at home, aiming for an early goal to settle the nerves and take control of the tie. Their superior qualit...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
85%
Brighton Given Brighton's significant home advantage and their imperative to win this second leg, they are strong favorites. Eliminating the draw out...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Brighton Brighton has a strong incentive to win convincingly at home to ensure progression. Against a team from a lower-ranked league, and with their...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Brighton Brighton, a Premier League side, will be highly motivated at home after a goalless first leg against Tromso. Their strong home form and supe... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
58%
yes
L
|
15%
2-1
L
|
55%
over
W
|
65%
home_ -0.5 |
50%
Brighton / Brighton |
70%
Brighton
W
|
60%
Brighton
W
|
65%
Brighton
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
yes Tromso has a strong scoring record in their recent matches, and Brighton has also been scoring consistently. Despite a previous 0-0 draw, bo...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Considering Brighton's attacking form and Tromso's ability to score, a 2-1 victory for Brighton seems a plausible outcome. Brighton should s...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown good attacking form, with Tromso scoring 14 goals in their last 5 and Brighton scoring 12. While their last encounter...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
home_ -0.5 Brighton are favored to win this match, and a -0.5 handicap reflects their expected dominance. Their recent form and home advantage make the...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Brighton / Brighton Brighton's strong form and home advantage suggest they will start aggressively and maintain control throughout the match. A 'home-home' resu...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
70%
Brighton Given Brighton's superior form and home advantage, they are the clear favorites. Even if the match ends in a draw, Brighton is still the mor...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Brighton Brighton's strong home form and overall quality suggest they can overcome a -1 handicap. While Tromso is capable, Brighton's attacking prowe...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Brighton Brighton are in strong recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and conceding few goals. Tromso's form is also good but Brighton have... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
60%
no
W
|
25%
2-0
L
|
55%
under
L
|
60%
Brighton -1.0
W
|
55%
home_home |
80%
Brighton
W
|
60%
Brighton
W
|
70%
Brighton
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
no Tromso scored in most recent games but struggled against Brighton in the first leg. Brighton's defense is strong, and Tromso may park the bu...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
2-0 Brighton's solid defense and attacking strength point to a 2-0 home win. Tromso will likely sit deep, so a clean sheet is plausible. Trainin...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
under The first leg was 0-0 and Tromso are defensively solid. Brighton may rotate due to fixture congestion, potentially limiting goals. Under 2.5...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Brighton -1.0 Brighton's dominance at home should result in a comfortable win. A one-goal handicap is a fair line, and Brighton are likely to cover it. Tr...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
home_home Brighton are likely to score early at home and maintain control. A halftime lead and full-time win is the most probable outcome. Training da...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
80%
Brighton Brighton's quality advantage is clear, and even if they drew in the first leg, they are expected to win at home. With the draw removed, Brig...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Brighton Brighton are strong at home and should win by at least two goals. Tromso are weaker away, and Brighton's attacking firepower should overcome...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
70%
Brighton Brighton's strong home form and superior squad depth should prove decisive. The first leg ended 0-0, but Brighton are likely to create more... |
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Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
no
W
Brighton's defensive record at home (3 conceded in 5) suggests clean-sheet likelihood. Tromso's attack lacks penetration against top sides....
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
yes
L
Brighton is expected to score at home. Tromso, despite a 0-0 in the first leg, has demonstrated good attacking form recently and will be eag...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
yes
L
Tromso has a strong scoring record in their recent matches, and Brighton has also been scoring consistently. Despite a previous 0-0 draw, bo...
DeepSeek V3
60%
no
W
Tromso scored in most recent games but struggled against Brighton in the first leg. Brighton's defense is strong, and Tromso may park the bu...
Correct score
Consensus2-0 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
22%
2-0
L
2-0 aligns with Brighton's controlled home wins and Tromso's low scoring away. Clean-sheet probability elevated. Training data through 2025-...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
2-0
L
Brighton's home advantage and defensive solidity suggest a clean sheet is possible, especially considering their need for a win. They need a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
L
Considering Brighton's attacking form and Tromso's ability to score, a 2-1 victory for Brighton seems a plausible outcome. Brighton should s...
DeepSeek V3
25%
2-0
L
Brighton's solid defense and attacking strength point to a 2-0 home win. Tromso will likely sit deep, so a clean sheet is plausible. Trainin...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
over
W
Brighton average over 2.4 goals per home game while Tromso concede regularly on the road. Set-piece threat and open style expected at Amex p...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
over
W
Brighton must score at home after the 0-0 first leg, and their recent offensive form is strong (12 goals in 5 games). While Tromso showed de...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
Both teams have shown good attacking form, with Tromso scoring 14 goals in their last 5 and Brighton scoring 12. While their last encounter...
DeepSeek V3
55%
under
L
The first leg was 0-0 and Tromso are defensively solid. Brighton may rotate due to fixture congestion, potentially limiting goals. Under 2.5...
Asian handicap
ConsensusBrighton 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Brighton -1.5
W
Brighton favored to win by 1.5+ goals margin. Tromso defensive but limited counter threat. Fixture congestion for Brighton noted but quality...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Brighton
Assuming an Asian Handicap line of Brighton -1.5, Brighton is expected to win by at least two goals at home. Their superior quality and the...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
home_ -0.5
Brighton are favored to win this match, and a -0.5 handicap reflects their expected dominance. Their recent form and home advantage make the...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Brighton -1.0
W
Brighton's dominance at home should result in a comfortable win. A one-goal handicap is a fair line, and Brighton are likely to cover it. Tr...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusBrighton / Brighton 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Brighton / Brighton
Brighton likely lead at half-time and extend lead. Early pressure at home typical for the Seagulls. Tromso sit deep but concede late.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Brighton / Brighton
Brighton will look to start strong at home, aiming for an early goal to settle the nerves and take control of the tie. Their superior qualit...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Brighton / Brighton
Brighton's strong form and home advantage suggest they will start aggressively and maintain control throughout the match. A 'home-home' resu...
DeepSeek V3
55%
home_home
Brighton are likely to score early at home and maintain control. A halftime lead and full-time win is the most probable outcome. Training da...
Draw no bet
ConsensusBrighton 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
80%
Brighton
W
Brighton's superior squad depth and home record make a draw unlikely. Tromso's away form is respectable but insufficient against Premier Lea...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
85%
Brighton
W
Given Brighton's significant home advantage and their imperative to win this second leg, they are strong favorites. Eliminating the draw out...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
70%
Brighton
W
Given Brighton's superior form and home advantage, they are the clear favorites. Even if the match ends in a draw, Brighton is still the mor...
DeepSeek V3
80%
Brighton
W
Brighton's quality advantage is clear, and even if they drew in the first leg, they are expected to win at home. With the draw removed, Brig...
Spread
ConsensusBrighton 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
65%
Brighton
W
Brighton expected to win by 2+ goals given quality difference. Tromso's away record shows vulnerability to high-pressing sides. Home venue a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Brighton
W
Brighton has a strong incentive to win convincingly at home to ensure progression. Against a team from a lower-ranked league, and with their...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
Brighton
W
Brighton's strong home form and overall quality suggest they can overcome a -1 handicap. While Tromso is capable, Brighton's attacking prowe...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Brighton
W
Brighton are strong at home and should win by at least two goals. Tromso are weaker away, and Brighton's attacking firepower should overcome...
Match winner
ConsensusBrighton 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
72%
Brighton
W
Brighton's home form WDWWW shows strong attacking output at Amex while Tromso's recent 0-0 result came away from home. Premier League qualit...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
Brighton
W
Brighton, a Premier League side, will be highly motivated at home after a goalless first leg against Tromso. Their strong home form and supe...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
Brighton
W
Brighton are in strong recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and conceding few goals. Tromso's form is also good but Brighton have...
DeepSeek V3
70%
Brighton
W
Brighton's strong home form and superior squad depth should prove decisive. The first leg ended 0-0, but Brighton are likely to create more...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Brighton
Grok 4 Fast
Brighton
DeepSeek V3
Brighton
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Brighton
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
2619a93ecd1dad46…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Aug 27 · 18:30 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 31628,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Amex Stadium",
"league": "UEFA Europa Conference League",
"starts_at": "2026-08-27T18:30:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 27 Aug 2026 18:30:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Tromso",
"home": "Brighton"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WDLWW",
"record": "3W-1D-1L",
"scored": 14,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 4
},
"home_form": {
"last": "WDWWW",
"record": "4W-1D-0L",
"scored": 12,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 3
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 5,
"home": 4
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-08-20: Tromso 0–0 Brighton"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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