Atlanta United IIvsConnecticut FC
Atlanta United II 4–1 Connecticut FC
All 4 AIs backed Atlanta United II — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Atlanta United II 4/4
- Correct calls
- 4/4
- Final
- 4–1
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Connecticut FC 2/4 models |
Atlanta United II 3/4 models |
Connecticut FC -0.75 1/4 models |
2-1 3/4 models |
Draw / Atlanta United II 2/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
Atlanta United II 4/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
48%
home_ -1 |
55%
Atlanta United II
W
|
51%
home_ -0.25 |
18%
2-1
L
|
32%
Atlanta United II / Atlanta United II |
52%
over
W
|
53%
yes
W
|
45%
Atlanta United II
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
home_ -1 Home side expected to win by one goal on average given venue edge. Form data shows slight home superiority. Training data through 2025-09 ba...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Atlanta United II Home side benefits from venue and rest parity in this future fixture. Away side's high concession rate supports backing the home team to avo...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
home_ -0.25 Slight home bias in MLS Next Pro youth games favors the quarter-ball handicap. Rest days are nearly equal so no major fatigue edge. Training...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-1 Most likely scoreline aligns with home win by one goal given attacking output and defensive trends. 2-1 appears frequently in training data...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
32%
Atlanta United II / Atlanta United II Home side likely to control the match from the start given venue. Full-time home win is the most probable outcome from historical patterns....
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
over Both sides average over 2 goals per game in recent form data. Away team in particular scores and concedes heavily. Training data through 202...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
yes Both teams concede regularly based on the provided form records. Home side's defensive record is better but still allows goals. Training dat...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
Atlanta United II Atlanta United II hold home advantage at Fifth Third Stadium with a solid recent record in training data. Connecticut FC show attacking outp... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
60%
Connecticut FC +1
L
|
55%
Atlanta United II
W
|
55%
Atlanta United II 0.0
W
|
15%
2-1
L
|
25%
Draw / Atlanta United II |
60%
Over 2.5 goals
W
|
65%
Yes
W
|
38%
Atlanta United II
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Connecticut FC +1 While Atlanta is slightly favored for an outright win, expecting them to cover a -1 goal spread against a free-scoring Connecticut side is c...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Atlanta United II Favoring Atlanta United II due to their home advantage and better defensive record, which should prevent an outright loss. Connecticut's att...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Atlanta United II 0.0 This pick reflects the expectation that Atlanta United II will not lose the match outright, leveraging their home advantage and slightly bet...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 This scoreline aligns with Atlanta's slight home advantage and stronger defense while acknowledging Connecticut's ability to score at least...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Draw / Atlanta United II Atlanta's home defense and Connecticut's attacking prowess could lead to a cagey first half, resulting in a draw at halftime. However, Atlan...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
Over 2.5 goals Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, particularly Connecticut FC whose matches average over four goals (2.4 scored, 2.0...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
Yes Connecticut possesses a strong attack with a high goals-scored record (2.4 goals per game), while Atlanta also scores regularly at home (1.8...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
38%
Atlanta United II Atlanta's home form shows a more stable defense, conceding fewer goals (1.2 per game) than Connecticut on the road (2.0 per game). While Con... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
Connecticut FC
L
|
55%
Atlanta United II
W
|
52%
Atlanta United II -0.25
W
|
15%
2-1
L
|
30%
Draw / Atlanta United II |
55%
over
W
|
55%
yes
W
|
50%
Atlanta United II
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Connecticut FC Connecticut FC, despite their mixed recent form, has shown a decent scoring record. If they can manage to score, they might cover a -1 sprea...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Atlanta United II Given the slight advantage for Atlanta United II at home and their slightly better defensive record, they are expected to at least avoid def...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Atlanta United II -0.25 Atlanta United II has a home advantage and a slightly better defensive record. While their form isn't overwhelming, playing at home gives th...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Given the prediction of both teams scoring and the slight advantage to Atlanta United II at home, a 2-1 scoreline seems plausible. It reflec...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Atlanta United II Atlanta United II, playing at home, is slightly favored to win. However, they have shown a tendency to draw in their last five matches. A dr...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in their recent matches. Connecticut FC has scored 12 and conceded 10 in their last 5,...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes The recent form of both teams indicates they are capable of scoring but also concede. Connecticut FC has scored 12 and conceded 10 in their...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
50%
Atlanta United II Based on training data up to 2025-09, Atlanta United II shows a slight edge due to home advantage and slightly better recent form compared t... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
45%
Connecticut FC
L
|
55%
Connecticut FC
L
|
40%
Connecticut FC -0.75
L
|
4%
1-2
L
|
30%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC
L
|
50%
over
W
|
50%
yes
W
|
30%
Atlanta United II
W
|
|
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
45%
Connecticut FC Connecticut being a full senior team likely has more quality, and they have scored heavily. Atlanta United II reserve side often struggles a...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Connecticut FC In training data, Connecticut FC as a senior side often outperforms MLS Next Pro reserve teams. Their attacking output is higher, and they h...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
40%
Connecticut FC -0.75 Asian handicap -0.75 for away means half stake on -0.5 and half on -1. Given Connecticut's superiority, a half-goal head start for home is s...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
4%
1-2 Both teams are likely to score, and away win is likely but not by heavy margin. 1-2 is a common scoreline, but many possibilities exist. Giv...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC Connecticut FC is expected to lead at half and maintain the lead for a full-time away win. However, reserve teams can be unpredictable, so t...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
50%
over Both teams have high-scoring tendencies in their recent matches: Connecticut scored 12 and conceded 10 in 5, while Atlanta scored 9 and conc...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
50%
yes Given both teams' recent form, they have shown ability to score and concede. Connecticut scored in all last 5, and Atlanta has scored in 4 o...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
30%
Atlanta United II Training data through 2025-09 suggests Atlanta United II often fields young prospects, but Connecticut FC has shown strong away scoring in r... |
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Spread
ConsensusConnecticut FC 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
home_ -1
Home side expected to win by one goal on average given venue edge. Form data shows slight home superiority. Training data through 2025-09 ba...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Connecticut FC +1
L
While Atlanta is slightly favored for an outright win, expecting them to cover a -1 goal spread against a free-scoring Connecticut side is c...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Connecticut FC
L
Connecticut FC, despite their mixed recent form, has shown a decent scoring record. If they can manage to score, they might cover a -1 sprea...
DeepSeek V3
45%
Connecticut FC
L
Connecticut being a full senior team likely has more quality, and they have scored heavily. Atlanta United II reserve side often struggles a...
Draw no bet
ConsensusAtlanta United II 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Atlanta United II
W
Home side benefits from venue and rest parity in this future fixture. Away side's high concession rate supports backing the home team to avo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Atlanta United II
W
Favoring Atlanta United II due to their home advantage and better defensive record, which should prevent an outright loss. Connecticut's att...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Atlanta United II
W
Given the slight advantage for Atlanta United II at home and their slightly better defensive record, they are expected to at least avoid def...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Connecticut FC
L
In training data, Connecticut FC as a senior side often outperforms MLS Next Pro reserve teams. Their attacking output is higher, and they h...
Asian handicap
ConsensusConnecticut FC -0.75 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
home_ -0.25
Slight home bias in MLS Next Pro youth games favors the quarter-ball handicap. Rest days are nearly equal so no major fatigue edge. Training...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Atlanta United II 0.0
W
This pick reflects the expectation that Atlanta United II will not lose the match outright, leveraging their home advantage and slightly bet...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
52%
Atlanta United II -0.25
W
Atlanta United II has a home advantage and a slightly better defensive record. While their form isn't overwhelming, playing at home gives th...
DeepSeek V3
40%
Connecticut FC -0.75
L
Asian handicap -0.75 for away means half stake on -0.5 and half on -1. Given Connecticut's superiority, a half-goal head start for home is s...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-1
L
Most likely scoreline aligns with home win by one goal given attacking output and defensive trends. 2-1 appears frequently in training data...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
2-1
L
This scoreline aligns with Atlanta's slight home advantage and stronger defense while acknowledging Connecticut's ability to score at least...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
L
Given the prediction of both teams scoring and the slight advantage to Atlanta United II at home, a 2-1 scoreline seems plausible. It reflec...
DeepSeek V3
4%
1-2
L
Both teams are likely to score, and away win is likely but not by heavy margin. 1-2 is a common scoreline, but many possibilities exist. Giv...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Atlanta United II 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
32%
Atlanta United II / Atlanta United II
Home side likely to control the match from the start given venue. Full-time home win is the most probable outcome from historical patterns....
Gemini 2.5 Flash
25%
Draw / Atlanta United II
Atlanta's home defense and Connecticut's attacking prowess could lead to a cagey first half, resulting in a draw at halftime. However, Atlan...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
Draw / Atlanta United II
Atlanta United II, playing at home, is slightly favored to win. However, they have shown a tendency to draw in their last five matches. A dr...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Connecticut FC / Connecticut FC
L
Connecticut FC is expected to lead at half and maintain the lead for a full-time away win. However, reserve teams can be unpredictable, so t...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
over
W
Both sides average over 2 goals per game in recent form data. Away team in particular scores and concedes heavily. Training data through 202...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Over 2.5 goals
W
Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, particularly Connecticut FC whose matches average over four goals (2.4 scored, 2.0...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in their recent matches. Connecticut FC has scored 12 and conceded 10 in their last 5,...
DeepSeek V3
50%
over
W
Both teams have high-scoring tendencies in their recent matches: Connecticut scored 12 and conceded 10 in 5, while Atlanta scored 9 and conc...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
yes
W
Both teams concede regularly based on the provided form records. Home side's defensive record is better but still allows goals. Training dat...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Yes
W
Connecticut possesses a strong attack with a high goals-scored record (2.4 goals per game), while Atlanta also scores regularly at home (1.8...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
W
The recent form of both teams indicates they are capable of scoring but also concede. Connecticut FC has scored 12 and conceded 10 in their...
DeepSeek V3
50%
yes
W
Given both teams' recent form, they have shown ability to score and concede. Connecticut scored in all last 5, and Atlanta has scored in 4 o...
Match winner
ConsensusAtlanta United II 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
45%
Atlanta United II
W
Atlanta United II hold home advantage at Fifth Third Stadium with a solid recent record in training data. Connecticut FC show attacking outp...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
38%
Atlanta United II
W
Atlanta's home form shows a more stable defense, conceding fewer goals (1.2 per game) than Connecticut on the road (2.0 per game). While Con...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Atlanta United II
W
Based on training data up to 2025-09, Atlanta United II shows a slight edge due to home advantage and slightly better recent form compared t...
DeepSeek V3
30%
Atlanta United II
W
Training data through 2025-09 suggests Atlanta United II often fields young prospects, but Connecticut FC has shown strong away scoring in r...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Atlanta United II
Grok 4 Fast
Atlanta United II
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Atlanta United II
DeepSeek V3
Atlanta United II
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
b348f34de1a8feab…
- Kickoff
- Tue, Sep 8 · 18:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 39290,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Fifth Third Stadium",
"league": "MLS Next Pro",
"starts_at": "2026-09-08T18:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Tue, 08 Sep 2026 18:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Connecticut FC",
"home": "Atlanta United II"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "LWWWL",
"record": "3W-0D-2L",
"scored": 12,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 10
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DWWLL",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 9,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 9,
"home": 10
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
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