Ararat-ArmeniavsUniversitatea Craiova
Ararat-Armenia 1–0 Universitatea Craiova
3 of 4 AIs leaned Draw — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Draw 3/4
- Correct calls
- 1/4
- Final
- 1–0
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Ararat-Armenia 2/4 models |
Draw 3/4 models |
Universitatea Craiova 2/4 models |
Universitatea Craiova 0 1/4 models |
Draw / Draw 3/4 models |
1-1 4/4 models |
yes 3/4 models |
under 3/4 models |
|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market. |
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
51%
Ararat-Armenia
W
|
37%
Draw
L
|
49%
Ararat-Armenia |
50%
Universitatea Craiova 0
L
|
29%
Draw / Draw
L
|
18%
1-1
L
|
52%
yes
L
|
54%
under
W
|
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
51%
Ararat-Armenia Home venue and three rest days give Ararat-Armenia a narrow edge once the draw is removed. Recent H2H draw and comparable form records keep...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
37%
Draw Both sides enter with identical 2W-2D-1L records over the last five matches and the only prior meeting finished 1-1. Limited rest for the ho...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
49%
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia receive a home boost but Craiova's slightly superior attacking output in recent matches makes the away side the marginal pick...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
Universitatea Craiova 0 The 1-1 H2H and near-identical recent records point to a level matchup where away 0 offers the fairest value. Home advantage is offset by Cr...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
29%
Draw / Draw Low-scoring recent games and the 1-1 precedent make a draw at both half and full time the single most probable outcome. Short rest days for...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-1 The 1-1 head-to-head, similar defensive records and expected low total goals converge on 1-1 as the modal scoreline. Outdoor conditions and...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
yes Each side has conceded in four of their last five outings while scoring regularly enough to suggest both will find the net. The recent 1-1 h...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
54%
under Both teams average just over one goal scored per game in recent form and the 1-1 H2H suggests a cagey European tie. Outdoor stadium and shor... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
58%
Ararat-Armenia
W
|
38%
Ararat-Armenia
W
|
60%
Universitatea Craiova +1 |
58%
Ararat-Armenia 0.0
W
|
25%
Draw / Draw
L
|
20%
1-1
L
|
65%
Yes
L
|
56%
Under 2.5
W
|
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
58%
Ararat-Armenia Based on training data through 2025-09. With the draw option removed, Ararat-Armenia gets the edge due to playing at home and holding a crit...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
38%
Ararat-Armenia Based on training data through 2025-09. The first leg ended 1-1, indicating very evenly matched teams. Ararat-Armenia has the home advantage...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
60%
Universitatea Craiova +1 Based on training data through 2025-09. Given the tight 1-1 first leg and identical recent form, a multi-goal victory for Ararat-Armenia see...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Ararat-Armenia 0.0 Based on training data through 2025-09. This market functions similarly to Draw No Bet. Ararat-Armenia, playing at home and having an away g...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Draw / Draw Based on training data through 2025-09. Given the tight nature of the first leg (1-1) and the high stakes of a European qualifier's second l...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
20%
1-1 Based on training data through 2025-09. The first leg ended 1-1, indicating an extremely even match. Both teams have decent defensive record...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
Yes Based on training data through 2025-09. The first leg finished 1-1, with both teams finding the net. Universitatea Craiova needs to score to...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
56%
Under 2.5 Based on training data through 2025-09. The first leg ended 1-1, suggesting a relatively low-scoring encounter. Both teams have conceded onl... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
40%
Draw
L
|
40%
Draw
L
|
55%
Universitatea Craiova
L
|
45%
Ararat-Armenia +0.0
W
|
35%
draw_draw |
25%
1-1
L
|
55%
yes
L
|
60%
under
W
|
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
40%
Draw As the previous leg ended in a draw and both teams are in similar form, the most probable outcome for this match is also a draw. Therefore,...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
40%
Draw The first leg ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a closely matched tie. Both teams have similar recent form (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in their l...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Universitatea Craiova While the tie is close, Universitatea Craiova is slightly favored by the bookmakers, and in a match where Ararat-Armenia might be pressured...
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
Ararat-Armenia +0.0 The first leg ended 1-1, and both teams have identical recent form, suggesting a very evenly matched contest. Therefore, a bet on either tea...
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
draw_draw The first leg ended 1-1, suggesting a tight game that could remain level at halftime and potentially finish as a draw as well. Given the clo...
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
25%
1-1 The first leg ended 1-1, and both teams have similar scoring and conceding records, suggesting that this scoreline is a highly probable outc...
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes The first leg saw both teams score, ending 1-1. Both Ararat-Armenia and Universitatea Craiova have scored in 3 of their last 5 matches, indi...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
under The first leg between these two teams ended with exactly two goals (1-1). Both teams have shown a similar scoring and conceding record in th...
3 sources cited
|
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
55%
Universitatea Craiova
L
|
35%
Draw
L
|
50%
Universitatea Craiova
L
|
55%
Universitatea Craiova -0.5
L
|
20%
Draw / Draw
L
|
18%
1-1
L
|
55%
yes
L
|
60%
under
W
|
|
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova have a slight edge due to more rest and a solid away performance in the first leg. With the draw removed, the away sid...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
35%
Draw First leg ended 1-1, second leg is finely balanced. Both teams have similar recent form, each with two wins, two draws, and a loss. Ararat-A...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Universitatea Craiova With a -1 spread, the away team needs to win by 2+ goals. Universitatea Craiova have shown they can score, but a two-goal margin is not high...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Universitatea Craiova -0.5 The away team is slightly favored due to superior rest and comparable form. A half-goal handicap gives the away side a solid chance to cover...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / Draw Given the tight nature of the tie and similar form, a draw at half-time is plausible. The second half might see no change as teams remain ca...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-1 A 1-1 scoreline mirrors the first leg and reflects the balanced nature of the tie. Low-scoring draws are common when both teams are evenly m...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams have scored in 3 of their last 5 matches, and the first leg both scored. Attacking capabilities are similar, and both defenses ar...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
under Both teams have averaged roughly 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match in recent games. The first leg finished 1-1, indicating a low-s... |
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Draw no bet
ConsensusArarat-Armenia 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Ararat-Armenia
W
Home venue and three rest days give Ararat-Armenia a narrow edge once the draw is removed. Recent H2H draw and comparable form records keep...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Ararat-Armenia
W
Based on training data through 2025-09. With the draw option removed, Ararat-Armenia gets the edge due to playing at home and holding a crit...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Draw
L
As the previous leg ended in a draw and both teams are in similar form, the most probable outcome for this match is also a draw. Therefore,...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Universitatea Craiova
L
Universitatea Craiova have a slight edge due to more rest and a solid away performance in the first leg. With the draw removed, the away sid...
Match winner
ConsensusDraw 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
37%
Draw
L
Both sides enter with identical 2W-2D-1L records over the last five matches and the only prior meeting finished 1-1. Limited rest for the ho...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
38%
Ararat-Armenia
W
Based on training data through 2025-09. The first leg ended 1-1, indicating very evenly matched teams. Ararat-Armenia has the home advantage...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
Draw
L
The first leg ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a closely matched tie. Both teams have similar recent form (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in their l...
DeepSeek V3
35%
Draw
L
First leg ended 1-1, second leg is finely balanced. Both teams have similar recent form, each with two wins, two draws, and a loss. Ararat-A...
Spread
ConsensusUniversitatea Craiova 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
49%
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia receive a home boost but Craiova's slightly superior attacking output in recent matches makes the away side the marginal pick...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Universitatea Craiova +1
Based on training data through 2025-09. Given the tight 1-1 first leg and identical recent form, a multi-goal victory for Ararat-Armenia see...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Universitatea Craiova
L
While the tie is close, Universitatea Craiova is slightly favored by the bookmakers, and in a match where Ararat-Armenia might be pressured...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Universitatea Craiova
L
With a -1 spread, the away team needs to win by 2+ goals. Universitatea Craiova have shown they can score, but a two-goal margin is not high...
Asian handicap
ConsensusUniversitatea Craiova 0 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
50%
Universitatea Craiova 0
L
The 1-1 H2H and near-identical recent records point to a level matchup where away 0 offers the fairest value. Home advantage is offset by Cr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Ararat-Armenia 0.0
W
Based on training data through 2025-09. This market functions similarly to Draw No Bet. Ararat-Armenia, playing at home and having an away g...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
Ararat-Armenia +0.0
W
The first leg ended 1-1, and both teams have identical recent form, suggesting a very evenly matched contest. Therefore, a bet on either tea...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Universitatea Craiova -0.5
L
The away team is slightly favored due to superior rest and comparable form. A half-goal handicap gives the away side a solid chance to cover...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / Draw 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
29%
Draw / Draw
L
Low-scoring recent games and the 1-1 precedent make a draw at both half and full time the single most probable outcome. Short rest days for...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
25%
Draw / Draw
L
Based on training data through 2025-09. Given the tight nature of the first leg (1-1) and the high stakes of a European qualifier's second l...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
35%
draw_draw
The first leg ended 1-1, suggesting a tight game that could remain level at halftime and potentially finish as a draw as well. Given the clo...
DeepSeek V3
20%
Draw / Draw
L
Given the tight nature of the tie and similar form, a draw at half-time is plausible. The second half might see no change as teams remain ca...
Correct score
Consensus1-1 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-1
L
The 1-1 head-to-head, similar defensive records and expected low total goals converge on 1-1 as the modal scoreline. Outdoor conditions and...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
20%
1-1
L
Based on training data through 2025-09. The first leg ended 1-1, indicating an extremely even match. Both teams have decent defensive record...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
25%
1-1
L
The first leg ended 1-1, and both teams have similar scoring and conceding records, suggesting that this scoreline is a highly probable outc...
DeepSeek V3
18%
1-1
L
A 1-1 scoreline mirrors the first leg and reflects the balanced nature of the tie. Low-scoring draws are common when both teams are evenly m...
Both teams to score
Consensusyes 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
yes
L
Each side has conceded in four of their last five outings while scoring regularly enough to suggest both will find the net. The recent 1-1 h...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Yes
L
Based on training data through 2025-09. The first leg finished 1-1, with both teams finding the net. Universitatea Craiova needs to score to...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
L
The first leg saw both teams score, ending 1-1. Both Ararat-Armenia and Universitatea Craiova have scored in 3 of their last 5 matches, indi...
DeepSeek V3
55%
yes
L
Both teams have scored in 3 of their last 5 matches, and the first leg both scored. Attacking capabilities are similar, and both defenses ar...
Over / Under
Consensusunder 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
54%
under
W
Both teams average just over one goal scored per game in recent form and the 1-1 H2H suggests a cagey European tie. Outdoor stadium and shor...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
56%
Under 2.5
W
Based on training data through 2025-09. The first leg ended 1-1, suggesting a relatively low-scoring encounter. Both teams have conceded onl...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
under
W
The first leg between these two teams ended with exactly two goals (1-1). Both teams have shown a similar scoring and conceding record in th...
DeepSeek V3
60%
under
W
Both teams have averaged roughly 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match in recent games. The first leg finished 1-1, indicating a low-s...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Draw
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Ararat-Armenia
Grok 4 Fast
Draw
DeepSeek V3
Draw
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
9fc7acc40564838a…
- Kickoff
- Thu, Aug 27 · 16:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 31575,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium",
"league": "UEFA Europa League",
"starts_at": "2026-08-27T16:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 27 Aug 2026 16:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Universitatea Craiova",
"home": "Ararat-Armenia"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WDDWL",
"record": "2W-2D-1L",
"scored": 7,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 5
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DDWLW",
"record": "2W-2D-1L",
"scored": 6,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 5
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 4,
"home": 3
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-08-20: Universitatea Craiova 1–1 Ararat-Armenia"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
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