AarhusvsBenfica
Aarhus 1–3 Benfica
All 4 AIs backed Benfica — and reality agreed.
- AI lean
- Benfica 4/4
- Correct calls
- 4/4
- Final
- 1–3
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
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Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
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Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
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Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
yes 2/4 models |
1-2 2/4 models |
Benfica / Benfica 2/4 models |
away_ -0.75 1/4 models |
Benfica 4/4 models |
over 3/4 models |
Benfica 3/4 models |
Benfica 4/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4 Fast Xai |
53%
yes
W
|
18%
1-3
W
|
48%
Benfica / Benfica |
57%
Benfica -1
W
|
68%
Benfica
W
|
54%
over
W
|
59%
Benfica
W
|
62%
Benfica
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
53%
yes Aarhus need to attack at home and will concede but can nick a goal. Benfica rarely keep clean sheets on the road in Europe. Recent H2H also...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-3 Scoreline reflects Benfica dominance and Aarhus ability to score once at home. Recent H2H 3-1 supports multiple goals for visitors. Training...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
48%
Benfica / Benfica Benfica typically establish control early and maintain it. Aarhus poor start rate at home. Half-time lead for Benfica is probable given squa...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
57%
Benfica -1 Benfica expected margin aligns with -1 Asian line. Home side's 12 goals conceded in 5 home matches signals vulnerability. Training knowledge...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
68%
Benfica Aarhus lacks the defensive organization to hold Benfica. Benfica's attacking depth and set-piece threat should decide the match. Limited res...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
54%
over Benfica's high-pressing attack creates consistent goal threats. Aarhus concedes heavily at home. Weather at New Vejlby is unlikely to suppre...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
59%
Benfica Benfica should win by more than one goal given quality gap. Aarhus defensive frailties exposed in recent losses. Set-piece aerial mismatches...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Benfica Benfica's superior squad quality and recent 3-1 win over Aarhus make them heavy favorites. Aarhus's poor recent home form (1W-1D-3L) offers... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Flash |
70%
Yes
W
|
18%
1-2
L
|
45%
Benfica / Benfica |
60%
Benfica -1.0
W
|
80%
Benfica
W
|
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
|
80%
Benfica +1
W
|
65%
Benfica
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
70%
Yes Aarhus must attack fiercely to overturn the 3-1 deficit, which increases their likelihood of scoring, especially at home after scoring one i...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-2 Benfica is expected to win, but Aarhus's desperate need for goals means they will push forward and likely find the net at home, as they did...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Benfica / Benfica Benfica is the stronger team and holds a lead, so they will be confident and proactive. They have the quality to take an early lead against...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Benfica -1.0 Benfica demonstrated superior quality in the first leg and is in excellent form. Aarhus will be forced to play an open, attacking game to ov...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
80%
Benfica Given Benfica's commanding lead from the first leg and superior form, they are very likely to at least avoid defeat. A draw or win for Benfi...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
Over 2.5 Goals Aarhus needs at least two goals to level the tie, forcing them to adopt an attacking approach. This will likely open up the game, creating c...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
80%
Benfica +1 Aarhus needs to win by at least two goals to cover a -1 handicap, which is highly unlikely given their poor form and Benfica's strong positi...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Benfica Benfica holds a significant aggregate lead and displayed clear superiority in the first leg, winning 3-1. Their strong recent form and offen... |
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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
yes
W
|
15%
1-2
L
|
35%
draw_away |
55%
away_ -0.75 |
65%
Benfica
W
|
60%
over
W
|
55%
Benfica
W
|
65%
Benfica
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Aarhus will likely need to score at home to have any chance of overturning the deficit, and Benfica has shown they can concede, as seen in t...
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-2 Considering Benfica won the first leg 3-1, a similar scoreline or a narrow away win is likely. Aarhus will be playing at home and will need...
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
draw_away Benfica is likely to be the stronger side, but Aarhus might put up a fight initially. A draw at halftime, with Benfica securing the win in t...
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
away_ -0.75 Benfica's 3-1 victory in the first leg suggests they are capable of overcoming a handicap of less than one goal. Given their offensive stren...
3 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
65%
Benfica Given Benfica's convincing performance in the first leg and their superior squad depth, they are very likely to avoid defeat. Even if Aarhus...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over The first leg ended 3-1, indicating an open game with scoring potential. Benfica's strong attack combined with Aarhus needing to push for a...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Benfica Benfica is the stronger team and won the first leg by two goals. While Aarhus might score, Benfica's ability to control the game and secure...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Benfica Benfica demonstrated superiority in the first leg, winning 3-1. Despite Aarhus having a slight rest advantage, Benfica's overall quality and...
3 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
65%
no
L
|
19%
0-2
L
|
60%
away_away |
60%
Benfica -1.5
W
|
92%
Benfica
W
|
60%
over
W
|
70%
Benfica
W
|
85%
Benfica
W
|
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
no Aarhus have scored only 6 goals in 5 matches and face a solid Benfica defense that conceded only 5. Benfica are likely to control the game a...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
19%
0-2 Benfica are strong away and Aarhus are unlikely to score, so a clean 0-2 or 0-3 is plausible. The first leg was 3-1, but the return leg may...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
60%
away_away Given Benfica's early scoring tendency and overall dominance, they are likely to lead at half-time and maintain that lead. Aarhus rarely sco...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
Benfica -1.5 Benfica are heavy favorites and likely to win by 2+ goals. Their attacking form and Aarhus's defensive problems support a comfortable victor...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
92%
Benfica With the draw removed, Benfica's win probability increases as they are the clear stronger side. Aarhus are unlikely to beat Benfica given th...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
60%
over Benfica have scored 19 goals in their last 5, averaging nearly 4 per game, while Aarhus have conceded 12 in their last 5. The first leg prod...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Benfica Benfica are expected to win by at least two goals given their superiority and the need to secure the tie. They already won by two at home, a...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
85%
Benfica Benfica are far superior in quality and form, having won the first leg 3-1 at home. Aarhus are in poor domestic form and will need to overtu... |
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Both teams to score
Consensusyes 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
yes
W
Aarhus need to attack at home and will concede but can nick a goal. Benfica rarely keep clean sheets on the road in Europe. Recent H2H also...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
70%
Yes
W
Aarhus must attack fiercely to overturn the 3-1 deficit, which increases their likelihood of scoring, especially at home after scoring one i...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
W
Aarhus will likely need to score at home to have any chance of overturning the deficit, and Benfica has shown they can concede, as seen in t...
DeepSeek V3
65%
no
L
Aarhus have scored only 6 goals in 5 matches and face a solid Benfica defense that conceded only 5. Benfica are likely to control the game a...
Correct score
Consensus1-2 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-3
W
Scoreline reflects Benfica dominance and Aarhus ability to score once at home. Recent H2H 3-1 supports multiple goals for visitors. Training...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
1-2
L
Benfica is expected to win, but Aarhus's desperate need for goals means they will push forward and likely find the net at home, as they did...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
1-2
L
Considering Benfica won the first leg 3-1, a similar scoreline or a narrow away win is likely. Aarhus will be playing at home and will need...
DeepSeek V3
19%
0-2
L
Benfica are strong away and Aarhus are unlikely to score, so a clean 0-2 or 0-3 is plausible. The first leg was 3-1, but the return leg may...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusBenfica / Benfica 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Benfica / Benfica
Benfica typically establish control early and maintain it. Aarhus poor start rate at home. Half-time lead for Benfica is probable given squa...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Benfica / Benfica
Benfica is the stronger team and holds a lead, so they will be confident and proactive. They have the quality to take an early lead against...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
35%
draw_away
Benfica is likely to be the stronger side, but Aarhus might put up a fight initially. A draw at halftime, with Benfica securing the win in t...
DeepSeek V3
60%
away_away
Given Benfica's early scoring tendency and overall dominance, they are likely to lead at half-time and maintain that lead. Aarhus rarely sco...
Asian handicap
Consensusaway_ -0.75 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
57%
Benfica -1
W
Benfica expected margin aligns with -1 Asian line. Home side's 12 goals conceded in 5 home matches signals vulnerability. Training knowledge...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Benfica -1.0
W
Benfica demonstrated superior quality in the first leg and is in excellent form. Aarhus will be forced to play an open, attacking game to ov...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
away_ -0.75
Benfica's 3-1 victory in the first leg suggests they are capable of overcoming a handicap of less than one goal. Given their offensive stren...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Benfica -1.5
W
Benfica are heavy favorites and likely to win by 2+ goals. Their attacking form and Aarhus's defensive problems support a comfortable victor...
Draw no bet
ConsensusBenfica 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
68%
Benfica
W
Aarhus lacks the defensive organization to hold Benfica. Benfica's attacking depth and set-piece threat should decide the match. Limited res...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
80%
Benfica
W
Given Benfica's commanding lead from the first leg and superior form, they are very likely to at least avoid defeat. A draw or win for Benfi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
Benfica
W
Given Benfica's convincing performance in the first leg and their superior squad depth, they are very likely to avoid defeat. Even if Aarhus...
DeepSeek V3
92%
Benfica
W
With the draw removed, Benfica's win probability increases as they are the clear stronger side. Aarhus are unlikely to beat Benfica given th...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
54%
over
W
Benfica's high-pressing attack creates consistent goal threats. Aarhus concedes heavily at home. Weather at New Vejlby is unlikely to suppre...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
W
Aarhus needs at least two goals to level the tie, forcing them to adopt an attacking approach. This will likely open up the game, creating c...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
over
W
The first leg ended 3-1, indicating an open game with scoring potential. Benfica's strong attack combined with Aarhus needing to push for a...
DeepSeek V3
60%
over
W
Benfica have scored 19 goals in their last 5, averaging nearly 4 per game, while Aarhus have conceded 12 in their last 5. The first leg prod...
Spread
ConsensusBenfica 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
59%
Benfica
W
Benfica should win by more than one goal given quality gap. Aarhus defensive frailties exposed in recent losses. Set-piece aerial mismatches...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
80%
Benfica +1
W
Aarhus needs to win by at least two goals to cover a -1 handicap, which is highly unlikely given their poor form and Benfica's strong positi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Benfica
W
Benfica is the stronger team and won the first leg by two goals. While Aarhus might score, Benfica's ability to control the game and secure...
DeepSeek V3
70%
Benfica
W
Benfica are expected to win by at least two goals given their superiority and the need to secure the tie. They already won by two at home, a...
Match winner
ConsensusBenfica 4/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Benfica
W
Benfica's superior squad quality and recent 3-1 win over Aarhus make them heavy favorites. Aarhus's poor recent home form (1W-1D-3L) offers...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Benfica
W
Benfica holds a significant aggregate lead and displayed clear superiority in the first leg, winning 3-1. Their strong recent form and offen...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
Benfica
W
Benfica demonstrated superiority in the first leg, winning 3-1. Despite Aarhus having a slight rest advantage, Benfica's overall quality and...
DeepSeek V3
85%
Benfica
W
Benfica are far superior in quality and form, having won the first leg 3-1 at home. Aarhus are in poor domestic form and will need to overtu...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
DeepSeek V3
Benfica
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Benfica
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Benfica
Grok 4 Fast
Benfica
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
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- Kickoff
- Thu, Aug 27 · 18:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 31619,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "New Vejlby Stadium",
"league": "UEFA Europa League",
"starts_at": "2026-08-27T18:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Thu, 27 Aug 2026 18:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Benfica",
"home": "Aarhus"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "WWDDW",
"record": "3W-2D-0L",
"scored": 19,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 5
},
"home_form": {
"last": "DLLLW",
"record": "1W-1D-3L",
"scored": 6,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 12
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 6,
"home": 4
},
"head_to_head": {
"recent": [
"2026-08-20: Benfica 3–1 Aarhus"
],
"matches": 1
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
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