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Basketball World Cup
Upcoming · in 82h 47m
Ivory Coast logo

Ivory CoastvsSenegal

Senegal logo
Chat with the AIs Ask why they picked — live
Kickoff Locked 24picks

Your call

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AI predictions

5 markets · 6 models picked

Consensus split

How the lineup voted · Match winner

6 picks
  • Ivory Coast 67% 4/6
  • Senegal 33% 2/6

Model confidence

Each model's confidence in its pick (%)

Who picked what

16 models × 5 markets · click a row to see reasoning

Match winner

Consensus
Ivory Coast 4/6
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 62% Senegal

Senegal has historically been the stronger African basketball nation with more consistent FIBA tournament appearances and deeper player deve...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini —
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 60% Senegal

Ivory Coast has demonstrated strong form, winning their last three matches, including a 90–80 victory over Senegal in February 2026. Their c...

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🔍 researched 4 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 56% Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast holds a modest home edge in FIBA competition against Senegal based on historical African qualifiers. Both sides rely on similar...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 52% Ivory Coast

Due to the future date of this match (July 2026), specific real-time information such as current form, injuries, or definitive lineups is un...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 60% Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast is historically the stronger team in men's international basketball, with a more consistent presence in major tournaments and a...

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DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 65% Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast has historically been the stronger team in African basketball, with better depth and recent success in continental competitions....

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1 source cited

Over / Under

Consensus
over 3/6
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 58% Under 160.5

African World Cup basketball games typically feature deliberate offensive tempos, strong defensive intensity, and lower three-point volume t...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini —
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 55% over

Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, with recent matches featuring substantial point totals. This trend suggests that th...

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🔍 researched 4 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 53% over

World Cup games between these two often feature transition play and higher possessions. Neither side plays elite half-court defense consiste...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 55% Under 145.5

Due to the future date of this match (July 2026), specific real-time information such as current form, injuries, or definitive lineups is un...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% over

Both teams tend to play at a moderate to fast pace, and their offensive capabilities suggest a potential for a combined score in this range....

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DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 60% under 150.5

African basketball games often feature slower pace and lower scoring than global averages, especially in knockout-style tournaments. Defensi...

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1 source cited

Spread

Consensus
Ivory Coast 2/6
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 56% Senegal -3.5

Senegal's superior international experience and roster depth warrant a modest 3–4 point edge. Ivory Coast has individual talent but less coh...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini —
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 60% Senegal

Given Ivory Coast's recent victories and head-to-head success, they are expected to cover a -1 point spread against Senegal.

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🔍 researched 4 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 54% Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast benefits from venue familiarity and crowd support in a July 2026 World Cup setting. Senegal has shown vulnerability when traveli...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 52% Senegal +3.5

Due to the future date of this match (July 2026), specific real-time information such as current form, injuries, or definitive lineups is un...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 58% Ivory Coast

Given Ivory Coast's perceived advantage in talent and historical performance, they are favored to cover a modest spread. Senegal is a solid...

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DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 60% Ivory Coast -5.5

Given Ivory Coast's historical advantage and superior talent, a 5.5-point spread is reasonable. They are likely to win by a margin of 6-10 p...

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1 source cited

First half winner

Consensus
Ivory Coast 2/4
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 54% Under 80.5

First halves in African World Cup basketball are typically slower-paced as teams probe defenses and establish early rhythm. Combined first-h...

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GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini —
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 55% Senegal

Ivory Coast's strong start in previous encounters, including a dominant first quarter in their February 2026 win over Senegal, indicates the...

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🔍 researched 4 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 52% Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast typically starts stronger at home while Senegal needs time to adjust to pace. First-half margins in prior encounters favor the h...

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Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash —
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite —
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 60% Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast typically starts games strongly, leveraging their experience and tactical discipline. Senegal may struggle to keep pace early on...

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1 source cited

First half h2h

Consensus
Ivory Coast 2/2
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 —
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini —
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini —
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast —
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 51% Ivory Coast

Due to the future date of this match (July 2026), specific real-time information such as current form, injuries, or definitive lineups is un...

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Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 57% Ivory Coast

Ivory Coast is expected to start strong and establish an early lead, leveraging their experience and primary lineup. Senegal might make a co...

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DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 —

Model track records

Lifetime

Every graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.

GPT-5
GPT-5 90–65 · 58%
-11.1u
Claude Opus 4.8
Claude Opus 4.8 95–81 · 54%
-26.5u
o4-mini
o4-mini 47–45 · 51%
-20.1u
GPT-4o Mini
GPT-4o Mini 520–500 · 51%
-351.4u
Claude Opus 4.7
Claude Opus 4.7 138–135 · 51%
-38.8u
Claude Opus 4.6
Claude Opus 4.6 139–137 · 50%
-34.0u
GPT-5 Mini
GPT-5 Mini 381–384 · 50%
-186.1u
Grok 4.3
Grok 4.3 81–87 · 48%
-28.6u
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Gemini 2.5 Flash 665–719 · 48%
-555.0u
DeepSeek V3
DeepSeek V3 665–723 · 48%
-423.4u
Grok 4 Fast
Grok 4 Fast 508–562 · 47%
-335.3u
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Claude Sonnet 4.6 403–447 · 47%
-309.9u
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro 74–83 · 47%
-29.3u
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 509–608 · 46%
-422.3u
Claude Haiku 4.5
Claude Haiku 4.5 649–804 · 45%
-646.1u
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro 105–142 · 43%
-71.5u

Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.

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Early read

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Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified

hash: 7ce318e4ec7b2c60…
Kickoff
Thu, Jul 2 · 18:00 GMT+0000
Markets
Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First half winner
Odds
15+ live books
Research
AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_half

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 9280,
        "sport": "basketball",
        "venue": null,
        "league": "World Cup",
        "starts_at": "2026-07-02T18:00:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Thu, 02 Jul 2026 18:00:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Senegal",
        "home": "Ivory Coast"
    },
    "version": "v2",
    "sport_focus": [
        "Pace is the master variable for totals — multiply both teams' possessions-per-game tendencies, not just their points.",
        "Check the injury/rest report first: a star sitting (or load-managed on a back-to-back) reshapes the spread and total.",
        "Weigh offensive vs defensive rating and three-point volume/variance — 3PT-heavy teams have wider outcome distributions.",
        "Bench depth and foul trouble swing close games; note rotation reliability.",
        "Back-to-backs and travel cause real fatigue — flag the schedule spot for each side.",
        "Home-court edge is meaningful but smaller than star availability."
    ],
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": [],
        "note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
        "extra_markets": []
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals",
        "spreads",
        "first_half"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

Research trail

What each AI looked up before picking

Unlock sources · Pro

Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.

Recent recaps

How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.

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