Atlanta Braves vs St.Louis Cardinals
Kickoff · Tue, Jun 30 · 23:15 GMT+0000
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
d22d90f470f421de…
- Kickoff
- Tue, Jun 30 · 23:15 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First 5 innings
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_five_innings
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 7807,
"sport": "baseball",
"venue": null,
"league": "MLB",
"starts_at": "2026-06-30T23:15:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Tue, 30 Jun 2026 23:15:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
"home": "Atlanta Braves"
},
"version": "v1",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals",
"spreads",
"first_five_innings"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
4 markets · 5 models picked
Who picked what
16 models × 4 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
58%
Atlanta Braves |
54%
Under 8.5 |
51%
Atlanta Braves -1.5 |
56%
Atlanta Braves |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Atlanta Braves The Braves have been the stronger franchise over the past 5 years with consistent playoff appearances and a deeper roster. Atlanta's home fi...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
54%
Under 8.5 Late June in Atlanta is warm but not peak summer heat. Both teams have solid but not exceptional offensive units as of mid-2026 knowledge. W...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
Atlanta Braves -1.5 Home-field advantage and franchise strength suggest Atlanta should win by a narrow margin in a typical matchup. A -1.5 run line is close to...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
56%
Atlanta Braves The Braves' recent history shows strong early-inning execution and a balanced lineup that tends to score first at home. The Cardinals' start... |
|||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
No pick on this market. |
|||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
60%
St.Louis Cardinals |
70%
over |
55%
St.Louis Cardinals |
60%
St.Louis Cardinals |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
60%
St.Louis Cardinals The Atlanta Braves have a strong home record, but the St. Louis Cardinals have been performing well recently, making them slight favorites i...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
70%
over Both teams have high-scoring offenses, and the game is expected to be played in warm conditions, favoring higher run totals.
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
St.Louis Cardinals The Cardinals' recent form and offensive strength give them a slight edge to cover the -1 spread.
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
60%
St.Louis Cardinals The Cardinals have been strong in the early innings, often taking leads in the first five frames.
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
|
|||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
58%
Atlanta Braves |
53%
over |
51%
home_ -1.5 |
55%
Atlanta Braves |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Atlanta Braves Atlanta has historically held a strong home record against St. Louis. Training data through 2025-09 shows Braves favored in similar matchups...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over Typical MLB totals hover near 8-9 runs in summer conditions at Truist Park. Cardinals offense tends to produce higher scoring games on the r...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
51%
home_ -1.5 Braves frequently cover run lines at home against NL Central opponents. Cardinals bullpen inconsistencies historically allow late leads to g...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Atlanta Braves Atlanta starters have shown early dominance in historical data. First five often decides value in Braves home games versus weaker road offen... |
|||||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 4 markets — unlock with Pro
Get Pro
|
||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
58%
Atlanta Braves |
52%
Over 8.5 |
55%
Atlanta Braves -1.5 |
50%
Atlanta Braves |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Atlanta Braves Based on historical strength from my training data through 2025-09, the Atlanta Braves are consistently a top contender with a formidable li...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Over 8.5 The Atlanta Braves possess a potent offense capable of high run production. While the Cardinals also have scoring potential, the Braves' bat...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Atlanta Braves -1.5 The Atlanta Braves, as the stronger team and playing at home, are often capable of winning games by multiple runs against most opponents. Th...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
50%
Atlanta Braves The Atlanta Braves typically boast a strong starting rotation and a high-powered offense that often starts games effectively, particularly a... |
|||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
— | — | — | — | |
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
No pick on this market. |
|||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
58%
Atlanta Braves |
52%
Under 8.5 |
37%
Atlanta Braves -1.5 |
55%
Atlanta Braves |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Atlanta Braves The Braves have a strong home-field advantage and a deeper lineup, while the Cardinals are inconsistent on the road. Atlanta's recent form h...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Under 8.5 Both teams have solid pitching staffs and the game is in a pitcher-friendly park with moderate weather. Recent matchups have trended lower-s...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
37%
Atlanta Braves -1.5 The Braves are slight favorites but winning by multiple runs is not highly probable given the Cardinals' pitching depth. Spreads often fail...
First 5 innings
?
First 5 innings
First five innings result. Standings after five innings, regardless of late drama.
55%
Atlanta Braves The Braves' bullpen is strong, but the first five innings often hinge on starters. Atlanta's starter has a favorable matchup and home park,... |
|||||
|
Consensus |
Atlanta Braves 4/5 |
Under 8.5 2/5 |
Atlanta Braves -1.5 3/5 |
Atlanta Braves 4/5 |
|
Match winner
ConsensusAtlanta Braves 4/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Atlanta Braves
The Braves have been the stronger franchise over the past 5 years with consistent playoff appearances and a deeper roster. Atlanta's home fi...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
60%
St.Louis Cardinals
The Atlanta Braves have a strong home record, but the St. Louis Cardinals have been performing well recently, making them slight favorites i...
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta has historically held a strong home record against St. Louis. Training data through 2025-09 shows Braves favored in similar matchups...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Atlanta Braves
Based on historical strength from my training data through 2025-09, the Atlanta Braves are consistently a top contender with a formidable li...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
58%
Atlanta Braves
The Braves have a strong home-field advantage and a deeper lineup, while the Cardinals are inconsistent on the road. Atlanta's recent form h...
Over / Under
ConsensusUnder 8.5 2/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
Under 8.5
Late June in Atlanta is warm but not peak summer heat. Both teams have solid but not exceptional offensive units as of mid-2026 knowledge. W...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
70%
over
Both teams have high-scoring offenses, and the game is expected to be played in warm conditions, favoring higher run totals.
Grok 4 Fast
53%
over
Typical MLB totals hover near 8-9 runs in summer conditions at Truist Park. Cardinals offense tends to produce higher scoring games on the r...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Over 8.5
The Atlanta Braves possess a potent offense capable of high run production. While the Cardinals also have scoring potential, the Braves' bat...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
52%
Under 8.5
Both teams have solid pitching staffs and the game is in a pitcher-friendly park with moderate weather. Recent matchups have trended lower-s...
Spread
ConsensusAtlanta Braves -1.5 3/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
51%
Atlanta Braves -1.5
Home-field advantage and franchise strength suggest Atlanta should win by a narrow margin in a typical matchup. A -1.5 run line is close to...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
55%
St.Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals' recent form and offensive strength give them a slight edge to cover the -1 spread.
Grok 4 Fast
51%
home_ -1.5
Braves frequently cover run lines at home against NL Central opponents. Cardinals bullpen inconsistencies historically allow late leads to g...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Atlanta Braves -1.5
The Atlanta Braves, as the stronger team and playing at home, are often capable of winning games by multiple runs against most opponents. Th...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
37%
Atlanta Braves -1.5
The Braves are slight favorites but winning by multiple runs is not highly probable given the Cardinals' pitching depth. Spreads often fail...
First 5 innings
ConsensusAtlanta Braves 4/5
Claude Haiku 4.5
56%
Atlanta Braves
The Braves' recent history shows strong early-inning execution and a balanced lineup that tends to score first at home. The Cardinals' start...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
60%
St.Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals have been strong in the early innings, often taking leads in the first five frames.
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta starters have shown early dominance in historical data. First five often decides value in Braves home games versus weaker road offen...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
50%
Atlanta Braves
The Atlanta Braves typically boast a strong starting rotation and a high-powered offense that often starts games effectively, particularly a...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
—
DeepSeek V3
55%
Atlanta Braves
The Braves' bullpen is strong, but the first five innings often hinge on starters. Atlanta's starter has a favorable matchup and home park,...
Pro on-demand
Request an AI audit
Have the standard AI lineup analyse this match — same brief, same scoreboard. Predictions appear publicly once the run finishes.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
4 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.