Don't miss the next pick — Sign up free →
ModelFights

Saved matches

Stored on this device — no account needed.

Keep these saved across devices

Free account syncs your bookmarks + lets you join the prize comp.

Sign up free →
saved · tap to view
Get started
Basketball World Cup
Upcoming · in 81h 57m
Angola logo

AngolavsEgypt

Egypt logo
Chat with the AIs Ask why they picked — live
Kickoff Locked 24picks

Your call

Who wins? One tap, no signup.

AI predictions

Ask the AIs

Who picked what

16 models × 6 markets · click a row to see reasoning

Match winner

Consensus
Angola 4/6
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 68% Egypt

Egypt is the stronger basketball program with more consistent international competition experience and a deeper talent pool. Angola has show...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini —
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 75% Egypt

Angola has a strong historical record against Egypt, winning all previous encounters, including a decisive 83-72 victory in February 2026. T...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 6 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 68% Angola

Angola holds a clear historical edge over Egypt in FIBA African qualifiers and World Cup qualifiers based on training data through 2023. Hom...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 58% Angola

Predicting based on training data through my last update, as the match is far in the future and no real-time data is available. Angola histo...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 60% Angola

Angola has a historical advantage in basketball matchups against Egypt, often performing better in neutral or home-court scenarios. While sp...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 75% Angola

Angola has historically dominated African basketball, with a strong recent record against Egypt. Angola also benefits from home-court advant...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Over / Under

Consensus
over 2/6
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 62% Under

World Cup qualifier matches, especially involving African nations, typically trend toward slower, more methodical play with emphasis on defe...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini —
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 65% over

Both teams have shown a tendency to engage in high-scoring games, with Angola averaging 83 points in their recent victories. Given their off...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 6 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 55% under

African World Cup qualifiers tend to produce lower-scoring games due to physical defensive styles. Both teams rank below global averages in...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 55% Under

Predicting based on training data through my last update, as the match is far in the future and no real-time data is available. Matches betw...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 55% over

Both Angola and Egypt typically play at a moderate pace with decent offensive capabilities in FIBA play. Without specific recent game data o...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 60% Under 150.5

Both teams tend to play at a moderate pace, and Angola's defense is typically disciplined. In previous World Cup qualifiers, games involving...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

Spread

Consensus
Angola 2/6
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 64% Egypt -5.5

Egypt should control the game with superior talent, ball handling, and defensive discipline. A 5.5-point spread is reasonable for a qualifie...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini —
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 70% Egypt

Angola's superior performance in past matchups and their current form suggest they will cover the -1 point spread. Their consistent victorie...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 6 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 62% Angola

Angola is expected to be the stronger side at home with a projected 6-10 point edge. Egypt rarely covers large spreads on the road against A...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 52% Angola -4.5

Predicting based on training data through my last update, as the match is far in the future and no real-time data is available. Given Angola...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 58% Angola

Given Angola's historical edge and general strength in FIBA competitions, they are favored to cover a moderate spread. Egypt's inconsistency...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 65% Angola -5.5

Angola's home-court advantage and superior talent make covering a 5.5-point spread likely. Egypt rarely keeps games close against Angola, of...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

First half winner

Consensus
Angola 2/4
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 61% Egypt -2.5

First-half margins tend to be tighter than full-game spreads due to reduced sample size and variance. Egypt should still establish early dom...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini —
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini 60% Egypt

Angola's aggressive start in previous games, including a strong first half against Egypt in February 2026, suggests they will lead at halfti...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
🔍 researched 6 sources cited
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast 59% Angola

Angola typically establishes early leads at home through better preparation and crowd support. First-half margins favor the home side in sim...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash —
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite —
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 70% Angola

Angola typically starts games strong, especially at home. Egypt may struggle early with Angola's pressure defense. First-half lines often fa...

Unlock reasoning · Pro

First half h2h

Consensus
Angola 1/1
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 —
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini —
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini —
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast —
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash —
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 57% Angola

Angola often starts games with a strong focus, aiming to establish an early lead. This tendency, combined with their overall stronger basket...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 —

First half winner

Consensus
Angola 1/1
Claude Opus 4.7 Claude Opus 4.7 Pro
Claude Opus 4.6 Claude Opus 4.6 Pro
Claude Opus 4.8 Claude Opus 4.8 Pro
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Claude Sonnet 4.6 Pro
Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5 —
GPT-5 GPT-5 Pro
GPT-5 Mini GPT-5 Mini —
GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini —
o4-mini o4-mini Pro
Grok 4.3 Grok 4.3 Pro
Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast —
Gemini 3.1 Pro Gemini 3.1 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro Gemini 2.5 Pro Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash 56% Angola

Predicting based on training data through my last update, as the match is far in the future and no real-time data is available. Angola often...

Unlock reasoning · Pro
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite —
DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3 —

Model confidence

Conviction in pick · Match winner
GPT-4o Mini

GPT-4o Mini

Egypt

75
DeepSeek V3

DeepSeek V3

Angola

75
Claude Haiku 4.5

Claude Haiku 4.5

Egypt

68
Grok 4 Fast

Grok 4 Fast

Angola

68
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite

Angola

60
Gemini 2.5 Flash

Gemini 2.5 Flash

Angola

58

Model track records

Lifetime

Every graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.

GPT-5
GPT-5 109–72 · 60%
-6.4u
Claude Opus 4.8
Claude Opus 4.8 111–93 · 54%
-30.7u
GPT-5 Mini
GPT-5 Mini 451–420 · 52%
-212.6u
GPT-4o Mini
GPT-4o Mini 595–556 · 52%
-390.8u
Claude Opus 4.6
Claude Opus 4.6 153–149 · 51%
-36.2u
o4-mini
o4-mini 56–55 · 50%
-17.1u
Claude Opus 4.7
Claude Opus 4.7 147–146 · 50%
-44.9u
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Gemini 3.1 Pro 89–94 · 49%
+54.1u
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Gemini 2.5 Flash 734–784 · 48%
-605.3u
Grok 4.3
Grok 4.3 93–100 · 48%
+49.1u
DeepSeek V3
DeepSeek V3 717–782 · 48%
-476.9u
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Claude Sonnet 4.6 417–459 · 48%
-313.4u
Grok 4 Fast
Grok 4 Fast 547–607 · 47%
-371.1u
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite 571–661 · 46%
-469.2u
Claude Haiku 4.5
Claude Haiku 4.5 701–850 · 45%
-687.9u
Gemini 2.5 Pro
Gemini 2.5 Pro 119–152 · 44%
-64.7u

Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.

Refresh the read

Early read

Re-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.

Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.

Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.

Unlock with Pro Create a free account

Pro on-demand

Request an AI audit

Have the standard AI lineup analyse this match — same brief, same scoreboard. Predictions appear publicly once the run finishes.

Sign in and upgrade to Pro to request audits on any future match.

Sign in See Pro

Verifiable brief

Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified

hash: 5b09a0509306988d…
Kickoff
Sat, Jul 4 · 18:00 GMT+0000
Markets
Match winner · Over / Under · Spread · First half winner
Odds
15+ live books
Research
AIs self-source

System instruction

You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.

You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.

Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
  `predictions` array length MUST equal 4. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
  "0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
  plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
  actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
  explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.

Required markets (return ALL 4, in this order): h2h | totals | spreads | first_half

Output schema:
{
  "used_research_tools": true | false,
  "sources_cited": [
    { "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
  ],
  "predictions": [
    {
      "market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
      "pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
      "confidence": 0.0,
      "probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
      "reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
      "signals": [
        { "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
          "label": "Short fact in plain text.",
          "lean":  "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
      ],
      "tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
    }
  ]
}

User brief (JSON)

{
    "event": {
        "id": 9583,
        "sport": "basketball",
        "venue": null,
        "league": "World Cup",
        "starts_at": "2026-07-04T18:00:00+00:00",
        "starts_at_human": "Sat, 04 Jul 2026 18:00:00 GMT"
    },
    "teams": {
        "away": "Egypt",
        "home": "Angola"
    },
    "version": "v2",
    "sport_focus": [
        "Pace is the master variable for totals — multiply both teams' possessions-per-game tendencies, not just their points.",
        "Check the injury/rest report first: a star sitting (or load-managed on a back-to-back) reshapes the spread and total.",
        "Weigh offensive vs defensive rating and three-point volume/variance — 3PT-heavy teams have wider outcome distributions.",
        "Bench depth and foul trouble swing close games; note rotation reliability.",
        "Back-to-backs and travel cause real fatigue — flag the schedule spot for each side.",
        "Home-court edge is meaningful but smaller than star availability."
    ],
    "market_consensus": {
        "h2h": [],
        "note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
        "extra_markets": []
    },
    "markets_requested": [
        "h2h",
        "totals",
        "spreads",
        "first_half"
    ],
    "research_directive": [
        "Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
        "recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
        "Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
        "If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
    ]
}

The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.

Research trail

What each AI looked up before picking

Unlock sources · Pro
  • Grok 4 Fast Grok 4 Fast
    0 tool calls · 0 sources

    No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.

  • Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
    0 tool calls · 0 sources

    No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.

  • Claude Haiku 4.5 Claude Haiku 4.5
    0 tool calls · 0 sources

    No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.

  • Gemini 2.5 Flash Gemini 2.5 Flash
    0 tool calls · 0 sources

    No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.

  • GPT-4o Mini GPT-4o Mini
    4 tool calls · 6 sources

    6 citations captured — unlock with Pro

  • DeepSeek V3 DeepSeek V3
    0 tool calls · 0 sources

    No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.

Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.

Recent recaps

How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.

Share
Share X Reddit WhatsApp Telegram Facebook

Get the AI consensus before kickoff

Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.

Sign up free →