USA vs Australia
Kickoff · Fri, Jun 19 · 19:00 GMT+0000
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
25e8bd4f774324eb…
- Kickoff
- Fri, Jun 19 · 19:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 7. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 7, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 379,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "FIFA World Cup",
"starts_at": "2026-06-19T19:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Fri, 19 Jun 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Australia",
"home": "USA"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-17T05:45:08+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 6,
"draw": 4.5,
"home": 1.77
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.3,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.53,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.75,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.53,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.75,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.48,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.25,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.7,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.54,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.8,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.6,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.47,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.68,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.6,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.58,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.4,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.75,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.49,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.75,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.55,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.53,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.5,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.5,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.8,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.53,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.54,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.9,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 3.8,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.25,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.55,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.55,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.75,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.53,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.6,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.51,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.75,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.75,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.49,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.75,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.7,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.54,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.8,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.6,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.47,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.68,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.57,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.2,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.5,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.5,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.3,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.55,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.75,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.54,
"outcome": "USA"
}
],
"totals": [
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.93,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.93,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.93,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.02,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.97,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.93,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.8,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.82,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.77,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.93,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.89,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.93,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.93,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.9,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.88,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.96,
"outcome": "Over"
}
],
"h2h_lay": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.8,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.6,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.6,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.8,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.6,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.6,
"outcome": "Australia"
}
],
"spreads": [
{
"point": -1,
"price": 1.9,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 1.95,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 1.95,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 2,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 1.82,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 2.02,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 1.82,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 2.02,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 1.94,
"outcome": "Australia"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "USA"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 1.96,
"outcome": "Australia"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
1 vote so far · cast yours to see results
AI predictions
Featured · open arena7 markets · 7 models picked
Who picked what
16 models × 7 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: USA 56% |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
book: 2.5 · Over 52% |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
book: USA -1.0 |
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.7 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.8 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Sonnet 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
63%
USA
~1.58
|
52%
Over
~1.94
|
58%
Yes
~2.51
|
56%
USA
~1.85
|
63%
USA -0.5
~1.50
|
42%
USA / USA |
22%
1-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
63%
USA USA are hosts with strong qualifying form and depth in attacking talent (Pulisic, Reyna, Folau). Australia qualified impressively but have w...
Odds: 1.58
Edge: -0.3%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Over Market prices are near even (~1.91 each side), suggesting genuine uncertainty. USA's attacking depth and Australia's defensive vulnerabiliti...
Odds: 1.94
Edge: +0.5%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
Yes USA likely to score at home; Australia have shown they can score in qualifying and may exploit USA defensive frailties on transition. Both t...
Odds: 2.51
Edge: +18.2%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
56%
USA Spread at -1 means USA must win by 2+ goals. Market prices 1.90 for USA, 1.95 for Australia, suggesting ~52–53% each. USA's superior talent...
Odds: 1.85
Edge: +1.9%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
63%
USA -0.5 Asian handicap -0.5 (USA by half a goal) aligns with the h2h odds and eliminates draw risk. USA's home advantage, superior squad depth, and...
Odds: 1.50
Edge: -3.7%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
42%
USA / USA USA-USA (USA up at half, USA win full time) is most likely outcome given USA's attacking depth and home field. They likely dominate early, s...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
1-0 1-0 USA is the modal outcome: narrow home win, Australia rigid defensively but clinical, USA patient until breakthrough. 2-0 and 1-1 are clo... |
||||||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
GPT-5 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
62%
USA
~1.77
|
56%
Over
~1.94
|
58%
Yes
~2.33
|
57%
USA
~1.85
|
62%
USA -0.5
~1.61
|
45%
USA / USA |
22%
2-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
USA USA are at home in Seattle (Lumen Field) and opened the tournament with a comprehensive 4-1 win over Paraguay; Australia also won their open...
Odds: 1.77
Edge: +5.5%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
56%
Over Both teams scored in their recent matches (USA 4 goals vs Paraguay; Australia scored twice vs Turkey), and the USA profile under Pochettino...
Odds: 1.94
Edge: +4.5%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
Yes USA conceded in the opener (Paraguay scored once) while Australia kept a clean sheet against Turkey but achieved it with a defensive gamepla...
Odds: 2.33
Edge: +15.1%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
57%
USA The -1 spread (USA must win by 2+ to 'cover') is plausible because the U.S. looked sharp in attack (4-1) and have home advantage; Australia'...
Odds: 1.85
Edge: +3.0%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
62%
USA -0.5 Asian handicap -0.5 is equivalent to backing the USA to win (no push), and given home advantage, attacking form and roster depth, this offer...
Odds: 1.61
Edge: -0.1%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
USA / USA Most-likely HT/FT is USA leading at half and winning (Home-Home) because the US attack often starts quickly at home and Australia are likely...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
2-1 A 2-1 scoreline balances the US attack quality with Australia's defensive resilience and counter threat; historical meeting (USA 2-1 Oct 14,...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
|
||||||||
|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
58%
USA
~1.58
|
55%
Over
~1.94
|
57%
No
~1.66
|
55%
USA
~1.85
|
55%
USA -1
~1.87
|
55%
USA / USA |
13%
2-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
USA The USA has demonstrated strong offensive capabilities, notably in their 4-1 victory over Paraguay, and possesses a deeper attacking midfiel...
Odds: 1.58
Edge: -5.3%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over The USA's offensive prowess suggests a high-scoring game, with their recent matches averaging over 2.5 goals. ([predictobets.com](https://ww...
Odds: 1.94
Edge: +3.5%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
57%
No Australia's defensive setup may limit the USA's scoring opportunities, leading to a match where only one team scores. ([squawka.com](https:/...
Odds: 1.66
Edge: -3.2%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
USA The USA's superior attacking options and home advantage make them likely to win by at least one goal. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka.com...
Odds: 1.85
Edge: +0.9%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
USA -1 The USA's attacking strength and home advantage suggest they can win by at least one goal. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka.com/ca/news/wo...
Odds: 1.87
Edge: +1.5%
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
55%
USA / USA The USA's offensive capabilities and home advantage make them likely to lead at halftime and win the match. ([squawka.com](https://www.squaw...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
13%
2-0 The USA's offensive strength and Australia's defensive setup suggest a 2-0 victory for the USA. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka.com/ca/ne...
🔍 researched
3 sources cited
|
||||||||
|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
o4-mini hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Grok 4.3 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
61%
USA
~1.58
|
52%
Under
~1.84
|
57%
No
~1.66
|
53%
USA
~1.85
|
51%
USA -1
~1.87
|
38%
USA / USA |
18%
2-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
61%
USA USA holds a clear quality edge over Australia based on FIFA rankings and historical results in training data through 2023. Australia rarely...
Odds: 1.58
Edge: -2.3%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Under World Cup openers tend to be cautious affairs with both teams prioritizing not conceding. USA-Australia style of play historically produces...
Odds: 1.84
Edge: -2.4%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
57%
No USA defense is organized while Australia struggles to create against stronger opponents. Expect USA to keep a clean sheet in most likely sce...
Odds: 1.66
Edge: -3.2%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
53%
USA USA is expected to win but margin may be one goal given Australia's counter-attacking threat. Spread at -1 offers value on the favorite.
Odds: 1.85
Edge: -1.1%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
USA -1 Asian handicap removes the draw outcome and aligns closely with USA win probability adjusted for margin. Slight lean to USA covering given s...
Odds: 1.87
Edge: -2.5%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
USA / USA USA typically establishes control early and maintains leads. Halftime lead followed by full-time win is the most probable path given talent...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-0 Training knowledge shows USA most often wins by 2-0 or 2-1 margins against mid-tier teams. Australia rarely scores first in such fixtures. |
||||||||
Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 3.1 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 2.5 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
65%
USA
~1.58
|
53%
Under
~1.84
|
55%
No
~1.66
|
52%
USA
~1.85
|
54%
USA -1.0
~1.87
|
40%
USA / USA |
15%
2-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
USA Based on general football knowledge from my training data, USA typically boasts a stronger squad with more prominent players and greater dep...
Odds: 1.58
Edge: +1.7%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
Under World Cup group stage matches, particularly between teams with a noticeable but not vast quality gap, often tend to be cagey affairs. Austra...
Odds: 1.84
Edge: -1.4%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Considering USA's defensive solidity and Australia's potential struggles to consistently create high-quality chances against stronger opposi...
Odds: 1.66
Edge: -5.2%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
USA USA is the favorite, and while Australia can be resilient, USA has the attacking quality to secure a multi-goal victory if they perform to t...
Odds: 1.85
Edge: -2.0%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
54%
USA -1.0 Aligning with the European Handicap, USA's superior quality suggests they can win this match by a margin of at least two goals. The Asian Ha...
Odds: 1.87
Edge: +0.5%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
40%
USA / USA If USA is to win, they are expected to control the game from the outset and maintain that dominance throughout. Their superior quality shoul...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-0 Given the prediction of a USA win, under 2.5 goals, and BTTS 'No', a 2-0 scoreline for USA stands out as a strong candidate. It reflects USA... |
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
65%
USA
~1.58
|
53%
over
~1.94
|
55%
yes
~2.51
|
58%
USA
~1.85
|
60%
USA
~4.39
|
50%
USA / USA |
15%
2-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
USA The USA is the strong favorite, as indicated by the market consensus odds. While Australia could put up a fight, the USA's home advantage, c...
Odds: 1.58
Edge: +1.7%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
over The odds for over and under 2.5 goals are very close, suggesting a tight match. However, given the attacking potential of both teams in a Wo...
Odds: 1.94
Edge: +1.4%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes Both teams are expected to score in this World Cup fixture. The USA will be eager to impress on home soil, and Australia will likely aim to...
Odds: 2.51
Edge: +15.2%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
58%
USA The USA is favored to win by at least one goal. Their home advantage in the World Cup and general strength should allow them to overcome a -...
Odds: 1.85
Edge: +4.0%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
60%
USA The USA is the clear favorite in this match, and their odds reflect a strong likelihood of securing a win. Considering they are playing at h...
Odds: 4.39
Edge: +37.2%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
USA / USA The USA is expected to start strong and maintain their dominance throughout the match, especially with home advantage. They are likely to le...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-1 Given the USA's favorite status and the expectation of goals from both sides, a 2-1 victory for the USA seems plausible. This scoreline refl... |
||||||||
DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
58%
USA
~1.58
|
52%
Under
~1.84
|
56%
No
~1.66
|
50%
USA
~1.85
|
50%
USA -1
~1.87
|
35%
USA / USA |
14%
2-1 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
USA USA are strong at home with a deeper squad, while Australia have been inconsistent away. The odds imply roughly 62% for USA, but we adjust s...
Odds: 1.58
Edge: -5.3%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Under Both teams have shown moderate scoring in recent matches. Australia tend to sit deep, making low-scoring games likely. However, USA's attack...
Odds: 1.84
Edge: -2.4%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
56%
No Australia have failed to score in 3 of last 5 away matches. USA's defense is solid at home. Expect either a clean sheet for USA or a low-sco...
Odds: 1.66
Edge: -4.2%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
USA USA are expected to win but by a narrow margin. The -1 spread is very close to 50-50. Given home advantage, USA have slight edge to cover.
Odds: 1.85
Edge: -4.0%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
50%
USA -1 Same as spread -1 market; USA likely to win by one goal, making the handicap a push. Slight lean towards USA covering due to home crowd.
Odds: 1.87
Edge: -3.5%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
35%
USA / USA USA likely to lead at half-time given home advantage and quality. However, Australia may hold out until after the break. Most probable half-...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
14%
2-1 The most likely scoreline is 2-1 to USA, reflecting their attacking strength and Australia's ability to grab a consolation. Other narrow win... |
||||||||
|
Consensus |
USA 7/7 |
Over 3/7 |
No 4/7 |
USA 7/7 |
USA -1 3/7 |
USA / USA 7/7 |
2-1 3/7 |
|
|
Bookmaker line |
USA 56% |
2.5 · Over 52% |
— |
USA -1.0 |
— |
— |
— |
|
Match winner
ConsensusUSA 7/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
63%
USA
~1.58
USA are hosts with strong qualifying form and depth in attacking talent (Pulisic, Reyna, Folau). Australia qualified impressively but have w...
GPT-5 Mini
62%
USA
~1.77
USA are at home in Seattle (Lumen Field) and opened the tournament with a comprehensive 4-1 win over Paraguay; Australia also won their open...
GPT-4o Mini
58%
USA
~1.58
The USA has demonstrated strong offensive capabilities, notably in their 4-1 victory over Paraguay, and possesses a deeper attacking midfiel...
Grok 4 Fast
61%
USA
~1.58
USA holds a clear quality edge over Australia based on FIFA rankings and historical results in training data through 2023. Australia rarely...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
USA
~1.58
Based on general football knowledge from my training data, USA typically boasts a stronger squad with more prominent players and greater dep...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
USA
~1.58
The USA is the strong favorite, as indicated by the market consensus odds. While Australia could put up a fight, the USA's home advantage, c...
DeepSeek V3
58%
USA
~1.58
USA are strong at home with a deeper squad, while Australia have been inconsistent away. The odds imply roughly 62% for USA, but we adjust s...
Bookmaker line: USA 56%
Over / Under
ConsensusOver 3/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Over
~1.94
Market prices are near even (~1.91 each side), suggesting genuine uncertainty. USA's attacking depth and Australia's defensive vulnerabiliti...
GPT-5 Mini
56%
Over
~1.94
Both teams scored in their recent matches (USA 4 goals vs Paraguay; Australia scored twice vs Turkey), and the USA profile under Pochettino...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Over
~1.94
The USA's offensive prowess suggests a high-scoring game, with their recent matches averaging over 2.5 goals. ([predictobets.com](https://ww...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Under
~1.84
World Cup openers tend to be cautious affairs with both teams prioritizing not conceding. USA-Australia style of play historically produces...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
53%
Under
~1.84
World Cup group stage matches, particularly between teams with a noticeable but not vast quality gap, often tend to be cagey affairs. Austra...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
53%
over
~1.94
The odds for over and under 2.5 goals are very close, suggesting a tight match. However, given the attacking potential of both teams in a Wo...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Under
~1.84
Both teams have shown moderate scoring in recent matches. Australia tend to sit deep, making low-scoring games likely. However, USA's attack...
Bookmaker line: 2.5 · Over 52%
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 4/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Yes
~2.51
USA likely to score at home; Australia have shown they can score in qualifying and may exploit USA defensive frailties on transition. Both t...
GPT-5 Mini
58%
Yes
~2.33
USA conceded in the opener (Paraguay scored once) while Australia kept a clean sheet against Turkey but achieved it with a defensive gamepla...
GPT-4o Mini
57%
No
~1.66
Australia's defensive setup may limit the USA's scoring opportunities, leading to a match where only one team scores. ([squawka.com](https:/...
Grok 4 Fast
57%
No
~1.66
USA defense is organized while Australia struggles to create against stronger opponents. Expect USA to keep a clean sheet in most likely sce...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
No
~1.66
Considering USA's defensive solidity and Australia's potential struggles to consistently create high-quality chances against stronger opposi...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
~2.51
Both teams are expected to score in this World Cup fixture. The USA will be eager to impress on home soil, and Australia will likely aim to...
DeepSeek V3
56%
No
~1.66
Australia have failed to score in 3 of last 5 away matches. USA's defense is solid at home. Expect either a clean sheet for USA or a low-sco...
Spread
ConsensusUSA 7/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
56%
USA
~1.85
Spread at -1 means USA must win by 2+ goals. Market prices 1.90 for USA, 1.95 for Australia, suggesting ~52–53% each. USA's superior talent...
GPT-5 Mini
57%
USA
~1.85
The -1 spread (USA must win by 2+ to 'cover') is plausible because the U.S. looked sharp in attack (4-1) and have home advantage; Australia'...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
USA
~1.85
The USA's superior attacking options and home advantage make them likely to win by at least one goal. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka.com...
Grok 4 Fast
53%
USA
~1.85
USA is expected to win but margin may be one goal given Australia's counter-attacking threat. Spread at -1 offers value on the favorite.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
USA
~1.85
USA is the favorite, and while Australia can be resilient, USA has the attacking quality to secure a multi-goal victory if they perform to t...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
USA
~1.85
The USA is favored to win by at least one goal. Their home advantage in the World Cup and general strength should allow them to overcome a -...
DeepSeek V3
50%
USA
~1.85
USA are expected to win but by a narrow margin. The -1 spread is very close to 50-50. Given home advantage, USA have slight edge to cover.
Bookmaker line: USA -1.0
Asian handicap
ConsensusUSA -1 3/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
63%
USA -0.5
~1.50
Asian handicap -0.5 (USA by half a goal) aligns with the h2h odds and eliminates draw risk. USA's home advantage, superior squad depth, and...
GPT-5 Mini
62%
USA -0.5
~1.61
Asian handicap -0.5 is equivalent to backing the USA to win (no push), and given home advantage, attacking form and roster depth, this offer...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
USA -1
~1.87
The USA's attacking strength and home advantage suggest they can win by at least one goal. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka.com/ca/news/wo...
Grok 4 Fast
51%
USA -1
~1.87
Asian handicap removes the draw outcome and aligns closely with USA win probability adjusted for margin. Slight lean to USA covering given s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
54%
USA -1.0
~1.87
Aligning with the European Handicap, USA's superior quality suggests they can win this match by a margin of at least two goals. The Asian Ha...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
USA
~4.39
The USA is the clear favorite in this match, and their odds reflect a strong likelihood of securing a win. Considering they are playing at h...
DeepSeek V3
50%
USA -1
~1.87
Same as spread -1 market; USA likely to win by one goal, making the handicap a push. Slight lean towards USA covering due to home crowd.
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusUSA / USA 7/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
42%
USA / USA
USA-USA (USA up at half, USA win full time) is most likely outcome given USA's attacking depth and home field. They likely dominate early, s...
GPT-5 Mini
45%
USA / USA
Most-likely HT/FT is USA leading at half and winning (Home-Home) because the US attack often starts quickly at home and Australia are likely...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
USA / USA
The USA's offensive capabilities and home advantage make them likely to lead at halftime and win the match. ([squawka.com](https://www.squaw...
Grok 4 Fast
38%
USA / USA
USA typically establishes control early and maintains leads. Halftime lead followed by full-time win is the most probable path given talent...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
40%
USA / USA
If USA is to win, they are expected to control the game from the outset and maintain that dominance throughout. Their superior quality shoul...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
USA / USA
The USA is expected to start strong and maintain their dominance throughout the match, especially with home advantage. They are likely to le...
DeepSeek V3
35%
USA / USA
USA likely to lead at half-time given home advantage and quality. However, Australia may hold out until after the break. Most probable half-...
Correct score
Consensus2-1 3/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
22%
1-0
1-0 USA is the modal outcome: narrow home win, Australia rigid defensively but clinical, USA patient until breakthrough. 2-0 and 1-1 are clo...
GPT-5 Mini
22%
2-1
A 2-1 scoreline balances the US attack quality with Australia's defensive resilience and counter threat; historical meeting (USA 2-1 Oct 14,...
GPT-4o Mini
13%
2-0
The USA's offensive strength and Australia's defensive setup suggest a 2-0 victory for the USA. ([squawka.com](https://www.squawka.com/ca/ne...
Grok 4 Fast
18%
2-0
Training knowledge shows USA most often wins by 2-0 or 2-1 margins against mid-tier teams. Australia rarely scores first in such fixtures.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
2-0
Given the prediction of a USA win, under 2.5 goals, and BTTS 'No', a 2-0 scoreline for USA stands out as a strong candidate. It reflects USA...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-1
Given the USA's favorite status and the expectation of goals from both sides, a 2-1 victory for the USA seems plausible. This scoreline refl...
DeepSeek V3
14%
2-1
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 to USA, reflecting their attacking strength and Australia's ability to grab a consolation. Other narrow win...
Polymarket: tournament odds
What real money is betting on each team to lift the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy.
USA
to win World Cup
Australia
to win World Cup
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Bookmaker odds
47 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | USA | Draw | Australia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 4.60 | 5.68 |
| Draftkings | 1.51 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| Fanduel | 1.54 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| Betmgm | 1.50 | 3.80 | 5.25 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| Betfair Exchange UK | 1.58 | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| Betfair Exchange EU | 1.58 | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| Betanysports | 1.49 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
| Betclic FR | 1.53 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| Betfred | 1.50 | 4.20 | 6.50 |
| BetOnline | 1.54 | 4.70 | 5.80 |
| Betrivers | 1.53 | 4.35 | 6.00 |
| Betus | 1.47 | 4.60 | 5.68 |
| Betway | 1.48 | 4.50 | 5.25 |
| Bovada | 1.49 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
| Boylesports | 1.53 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| Casumo | 1.53 | 4.35 | 6.00 |
| Codere It | 1.55 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| Coolbet | 1.55 | 4.30 | 6.75 |
| Coral | 1.55 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| Everygame | 1.50 | 4.75 | 6.00 |
| Fanatics | 1.53 | 4.30 | 5.75 |
| Grosvenor | 1.51 | 4.25 | 5.80 |
| Gtbets | 1.56 | 4.18 | 5.97 |
| Ladbrokes | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.75 |
| Leovegas | 1.53 | 4.35 | 6.00 |
| Leovegas Se | 1.53 | 4.35 | 6.00 |
| Livescorebet | 1.50 | 4.25 | 5.80 |
| LowVig | 1.54 | 4.70 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 4.30 | 5.80 |
| Matchbook | 1.58 | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| MyBookie | 1.54 | 4.20 | 5.90 |
| Onexbet | 1.55 | 4.47 | 6.30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| Pmu | 1.50 | 4.25 | 5.80 |
| Skybet | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.75 |
| Smarkets | 1.57 | 4.50 | 6.20 |
| Sport888 | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Tipico | 1.47 | 4.70 | 6.20 |
| Unibet | 1.52 | 4.35 | 6.20 |
| Unibet Nl | 1.55 | 4.50 | 6.25 |
| Unibet Se | 1.55 | 4.50 | 6.25 |
| Unibet | 1.54 | 4.20 | 5.75 |
| Virginbet | 1.50 | 4.25 | 5.80 |
| Williamhill | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.75 |
| Winamax | 1.48 | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| Winamax | 1.46 | 3.90 | 5.10 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.5 | 1.88 | 1.90 |
| Betmgm | 2.5 | 1.91 | 1.77 |
| William Hill | 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| Betanysports | 2.5 | 1.89 | 1.93 |
| BetOnline | 2.5 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| Betrivers | 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.89 |
| Betus | 2.5 | 1.89 | 1.93 |
| Bovada | 2.5 | 1.89 | 1.93 |
| Casumo | 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.89 |
| Codere It | 2.5 | 1.87 | 1.80 |
| Coolbet | 2.5 | 1.96 | 1.85 |
| Grosvenor | 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.89 |
| Gtbets | 2.5 | 1.94 | 1.84 |
| Leovegas | 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.89 |
| LowVig | 2.5 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| Matchbook | 2.5 | 1.97 | 2.02 |
| MyBookie | 2.5 | 1.88 | 1.82 |
| Onexbet | 2.5 | 1.93 | 1.90 |
| Pmu | 2.5 | 1.82 | 1.85 |
| Unibet Nl | 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.89 |
| Unibet Se | 2.5 | 1.88 | 1.93 |
| Book | USA | Australia |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | -1.0 @ 1.85 | +0.8 @ 1.94 |
| Betanysports | -1.0 @ 1.82 | +0.8 @ 1.87 |
| BetOnline | -1.0 @ 1.91 | +0.5 @ 2.46 |
| Betus | -1.0 @ 1.91 | +1.0 @ 1.91 |
| Bovada | -1.0 @ 1.82 | +0.8 @ 1.95 |
| Gtbets | -1.5 @ 2.50 | +0.5 @ 2.44 |
| LowVig | -1.0 @ 1.90 | +0.5 @ 2.23 |
| Matchbook | -1.0 @ 1.95 | +0.8 @ 2.00 |
| MyBookie | -1.0 @ 1.87 | +0.5 @ 2.02 |
| Onexbet | -1.5 @ 2.58 | +1.5 @ 1.52 |
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
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63 tool calls · 8 sources
8 citations captured — unlock with Pro
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0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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7 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
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0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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