SunderlandvsAZ Alkmaar
Your call
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AI predictions
8 markets · 4 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 8 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
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Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
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Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Yes 2/4 models |
Sunderland -1 1/4 models |
AZ Alkmaar 0 1/4 models |
AZ Alkmaar 3/4 models |
AZ Alkmaar 3/4 models |
Over 2.5 1/4 models |
Draw / AZ Alkmaar 3/4 models |
1-2 3/4 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
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Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
52%
no |
48%
Sunderland -1 |
51%
AZ Alkmaar 0 |
42%
Sunderland |
55%
Sunderland |
53%
under |
28%
Draw / Sunderland |
18%
1-1 |
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
no Sunderland concede sparingly at home while AZ keep games tight on the road. Training data through 2025-09 supports a no-BTTS lean in similar...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Sunderland -1 AZ's recent form suggests they can cover a plus-one line. Training data through 2025-09 shows away sides often keep margins close in opening...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
AZ Alkmaar 0 AZ's strong away record makes them competitive on zero line. Training data through 2025-09 favors the away side or draw in handicap terms fo...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
42%
Sunderland Sunderland hold a slight home edge at the Stadium of Light against a typically solid but not dominant AZ side. Training data through 2025-09...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
Sunderland Sunderland benefit from home support and rest parity. Training data through 2025-09 indicates AZ struggle to win away in early European roun...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
53%
under Both teams show modest scoring rates in recent windows. Training data through 2025-09 points to low-scoring Europa openers when an English s...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
28%
Draw / Sunderland A cautious first half is likely followed by Sunderland pushing later. Training data through 2025-09 shows draw/home as a common pattern in h...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-1 Low event game expected with both sides cautious early. Training data through 2025-09 points to 1-1 or 1-0 as the most frequent outcomes in... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 8 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
60%
Yes |
75%
AZ Alkmaar +1 |
75%
AZ Alkmaar +0.5 |
45%
AZ Alkmaar |
64%
AZ Alkmaar |
55%
Over |
30%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar |
15%
1-2 |
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
Yes AZ Alkmaar has a strong attacking record, making them highly likely to score. Despite Sunderland's lower scoring rate, they are playing at h...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
75%
AZ Alkmaar +1 This market indicates AZ Alkmaar +1 wins if AZ wins or draws, or if Sunderland wins by exactly one goal. Given AZ Alkmaar's superior form an...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
75%
AZ Alkmaar +0.5 AZ Alkmaar +0.5 means AZ Alkmaar wins or draws the match, effectively covering their strong form and the home side's inconsistency. This pic...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar enters this match in significantly better form, winning four and drawing one of their last five matches, with a strong scoring re...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
64%
AZ Alkmaar Given AZ Alkmaar's superior form and attacking prowess, they are the more likely side to win the match outright. Removing the draw option fu...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over AZ Alkmaar has been prolific recently, scoring 15 goals in their last five matches, but also conceded 6 in the same period. While Sunderland...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar A common scenario for stronger teams playing away is to have a closely contested first half, often ending in a draw, before asserting their...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-2 A 1-2 scoreline reflects AZ Alkmaar's strong attacking capabilities and higher likelihood of winning, while also acknowledging Sunderland's... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
55%
yes |
40%
AZ Alkmaar |
45%
AZ Alkmaar |
45%
AZ Alkmaar |
50%
AZ Alkmaar |
55%
over |
20%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar |
10%
1-2 |
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
yes AZ Alkmaar's recent form includes scoring in all of their last 5 games, and Sunderland has conceded in 3 of their last 5. Sunderland's need...
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar's superior form and likely better squad fitness give them an edge. While Sunderland might put up a fight at home, AZ's attacking...
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
45%
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar's current form and attacking efficiency suggest they are the more likely team to win this match. Sunderland's home form has been...
3 sources cited
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
45%
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar's recent form is significantly stronger than Sunderland's, with a more consistent scoring record. Sunderland's home form has been...
3 sources cited
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
50%
AZ Alkmaar Given AZ Alkmaar's superior recent form and Sunderland's struggles at home, AZ is the more likely winner. The draw-no-bet market mitigates t...
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over AZ Alkmaar has a strong attacking record, scoring 15 goals in their last 5 matches, while Sunderland has conceded 5 in theirs. Both teams ha...
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
20%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar's strong recent form suggests they are capable of winning, but Sunderland may hold firm in the first half at home. AZ's superior...
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
10%
1-2 Considering AZ Alkmaar's attacking strength and Sunderland's home form, a narrow away win seems probable. AZ's consistent scoring and Sunder...
3 sources cited
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
52%
Yes |
28%
AZ Alkmaar -1 |
55%
Sunderland +0.5 |
48%
AZ Alkmaar |
55%
AZ Alkmaar |
55%
Over 2.5 |
22%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar |
12%
1-2 |
|
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
Yes AZ concede (6 in 5) and Sunderland will get chances at home, making BTTS a slight lean. Both teams have shown defensive frailty, though Sund...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
28%
AZ Alkmaar -1 A -1 spread for the away side is a big ask in a competitive Europa League opener. Sunderland at home should keep it within one goal, so the...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Sunderland +0.5 Taking the home side on a +0.5 handicap protects against a narrow away win while backing the draw or Sunderland win. Given the Stadium of Li...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
48%
AZ Alkmaar No live access, so this is a judgement call from training knowledge (through mid-2025) plus the supplied brief. AZ arrive on a strong 4W-1D-...
Draw no bet
?
Draw no bet
Market explanation coming soon.
55%
AZ Alkmaar Removing the draw, AZ's better form and goal output give them the edge in a DNB market. Sunderland's home advantage keeps this close but AZ'...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 AZ scoring 15 in 5 screams goals, and Sunderland's recent games have been low-scoring but open. Europa League midweek games often see end-to...
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
22%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar HT/FT is a lottery; the most likely script is a tight first half with AZ's quality telling late. Draw/AZ reflects that. Probabilities are sp...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
12%
1-2 Correct score is highly uncertain; a 1-2 away win aligns with AZ's form and Sunderland's home goal threat. The 1-1 and 0-1 scorelines are cl... |
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Both teams to score
ConsensusYes 2/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
no
Sunderland concede sparingly at home while AZ keep games tight on the road. Training data through 2025-09 supports a no-BTTS lean in similar...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
60%
Yes
AZ Alkmaar has a strong attacking record, making them highly likely to score. Despite Sunderland's lower scoring rate, they are playing at h...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
yes
AZ Alkmaar's recent form includes scoring in all of their last 5 games, and Sunderland has conceded in 3 of their last 5. Sunderland's need...
DeepSeek V3
52%
Yes
AZ concede (6 in 5) and Sunderland will get chances at home, making BTTS a slight lean. Both teams have shown defensive frailty, though Sund...
Spread
ConsensusSunderland -1 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
48%
Sunderland -1
AZ's recent form suggests they can cover a plus-one line. Training data through 2025-09 shows away sides often keep margins close in opening...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
AZ Alkmaar +1
This market indicates AZ Alkmaar +1 wins if AZ wins or draws, or if Sunderland wins by exactly one goal. Given AZ Alkmaar's superior form an...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
40%
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar's superior form and likely better squad fitness give them an edge. While Sunderland might put up a fight at home, AZ's attacking...
DeepSeek V3
28%
AZ Alkmaar -1
A -1 spread for the away side is a big ask in a competitive Europa League opener. Sunderland at home should keep it within one goal, so the...
Asian handicap
ConsensusAZ Alkmaar 0 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
AZ Alkmaar 0
AZ's strong away record makes them competitive on zero line. Training data through 2025-09 favors the away side or draw in handicap terms fo...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
75%
AZ Alkmaar +0.5
AZ Alkmaar +0.5 means AZ Alkmaar wins or draws the match, effectively covering their strong form and the home side's inconsistency. This pic...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar's current form and attacking efficiency suggest they are the more likely team to win this match. Sunderland's home form has been...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Sunderland +0.5
Taking the home side on a +0.5 handicap protects against a narrow away win while backing the draw or Sunderland win. Given the Stadium of Li...
Match winner
ConsensusAZ Alkmaar 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
42%
Sunderland
Sunderland hold a slight home edge at the Stadium of Light against a typically solid but not dominant AZ side. Training data through 2025-09...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar enters this match in significantly better form, winning four and drawing one of their last five matches, with a strong scoring re...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
45%
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar's recent form is significantly stronger than Sunderland's, with a more consistent scoring record. Sunderland's home form has been...
DeepSeek V3
48%
AZ Alkmaar
No live access, so this is a judgement call from training knowledge (through mid-2025) plus the supplied brief. AZ arrive on a strong 4W-1D-...
Draw no bet
ConsensusAZ Alkmaar 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Sunderland
Sunderland benefit from home support and rest parity. Training data through 2025-09 indicates AZ struggle to win away in early European roun...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
64%
AZ Alkmaar
Given AZ Alkmaar's superior form and attacking prowess, they are the more likely side to win the match outright. Removing the draw option fu...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
AZ Alkmaar
Given AZ Alkmaar's superior recent form and Sunderland's struggles at home, AZ is the more likely winner. The draw-no-bet market mitigates t...
DeepSeek V3
55%
AZ Alkmaar
Removing the draw, AZ's better form and goal output give them the edge in a DNB market. Sunderland's home advantage keeps this close but AZ'...
Over / Under
ConsensusOver 2.5 1/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
53%
under
Both teams show modest scoring rates in recent windows. Training data through 2025-09 points to low-scoring Europa openers when an English s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Over
AZ Alkmaar has been prolific recently, scoring 15 goals in their last five matches, but also conceded 6 in the same period. While Sunderland...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
AZ Alkmaar has a strong attacking record, scoring 15 goals in their last 5 matches, while Sunderland has conceded 5 in theirs. Both teams ha...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Over 2.5
AZ scoring 15 in 5 screams goals, and Sunderland's recent games have been low-scoring but open. Europa League midweek games often see end-to...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusDraw / AZ Alkmaar 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
28%
Draw / Sunderland
A cautious first half is likely followed by Sunderland pushing later. Training data through 2025-09 shows draw/home as a common pattern in h...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
30%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
A common scenario for stronger teams playing away is to have a closely contested first half, often ending in a draw, before asserting their...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
20%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar's strong recent form suggests they are capable of winning, but Sunderland may hold firm in the first half at home. AZ's superior...
DeepSeek V3
22%
Draw / AZ Alkmaar
HT/FT is a lottery; the most likely script is a tight first half with AZ's quality telling late. Draw/AZ reflects that. Probabilities are sp...
Correct score
Consensus1-2 3/4
Claude Haiku 4.5
—
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
18%
1-1
Low event game expected with both sides cautious early. Training data through 2025-09 points to 1-1 or 1-0 as the most frequent outcomes in...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
15%
1-2
A 1-2 scoreline reflects AZ Alkmaar's strong attacking capabilities and higher likelihood of winning, while also acknowledging Sunderland's...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
10%
1-2
Considering AZ Alkmaar's attacking strength and Sunderland's home form, a narrow away win seems probable. AZ's consistent scoring and Sunder...
DeepSeek V3
12%
1-2
Correct score is highly uncertain; a 1-2 away win aligns with AZ's form and Sunderland's home goal threat. The 1-1 and 0-1 scorelines are cl...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
DeepSeek V3
AZ Alkmaar
Gemini 2.5 Flash
AZ Alkmaar
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
AZ Alkmaar
Grok 4 Fast
Sunderland
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Refresh the read
Team newsRe-run the AIs closer to kickoff and watch the read evolve. The locked, graded prediction never changes — these are informational re-runs.
Lineups change everything — Pro re-runs the AIs after they drop.
Confirmed XIs, late injuries and line moves land in the final hour. Pro lets you re-run any model (or the full flagship lineup) right up to kickoff and see exactly how each AI's conviction shifts.
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Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
d0399af4b30ae9b7…
- Kickoff
- Wed, Sep 16 · 19:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Draw no bet · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 8. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 8, in this order): h2h | draw_no_bet | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 44125,
"sport": "football",
"venue": "Stadium of Light",
"league": "UEFA Europa League",
"starts_at": "2026-09-16T19:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Wed, 16 Sep 2026 19:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "AZ Alkmaar",
"home": "Sunderland"
},
"version": "v2",
"sport_focus": [
"Weight CONFIRMED team news heavily: a missing first-choice striker, creator, or centre-back swings a match more than season-long form.",
"Compare attacking vs defensive quality directly — clean-sheet rate and goals-conceded trend often predict unders/BTTS better than the win line.",
"Set pieces decide tight games: note corner/free-kick threat and aerial mismatches.",
"Account for fixture congestion + likely rotation (midweek European or cup games before this one) and the home/away form split.",
"For outdoor venues, factor heavy rain or strong wind — both suppress goals and favour the under.",
"Tactical style matters: a high-press side vs a possession side, or two defensive setups, shapes the goals expectation."
],
"team_context": {
"note": "Reference data from our settled-results database. Verify + extend it with your own research; it is not a substitute for current team news.",
"away_form": {
"last": "DWWWW",
"record": "4W-1D-0L",
"scored": 15,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 6
},
"home_form": {
"last": "LWDWL",
"record": "2W-1D-2L",
"scored": 4,
"matches": 5,
"conceded": 5
},
"rest_days": {
"away": 5,
"home": 4
}
},
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"draw_no_bet",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
-
0 tool calls · 0 sources
No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
Results settle automatically once the final score lands. Picks are permanent — no hindsight edits.
Recent recaps
How the AI lineup did on other recent matches.
Get the AI consensus before kickoff
Free. Pre-match alert per AI + see your picks graded as results land.