Uruguay vs Cape Verde
CVKickoff · Sun, Jun 21 · 22:00 GMT+0000
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
34148903607220af…
- Kickoff
- Sun, Jun 21 · 22:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
- Odds
- 15+ live books
- Research
- AIs self-source
System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 7. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 7, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 389,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "FIFA World Cup",
"starts_at": "2026-06-21T22:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Sun, 21 Jun 2026 22:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Cape Verde",
"home": "Uruguay"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-18T05:52:55+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": {
"away": 8.5,
"draw": 4.7,
"home": 1.47
},
"note": "Bookmaker consensus odds at the moment of the call. Frozen here so settlement grades against the same line.",
"extra_markets": {
"h2h": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.38,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.65,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.55,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.5,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.55,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.5,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.45,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.2,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.45,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.5,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.1,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 6.25,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.4,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.6,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.5,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.6,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.55,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.5,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.65,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.43,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.32,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.7,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.45,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.2,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.7,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.45,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.2,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.5,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.6,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.4,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.4,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.6,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.42,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.5,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.5,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.45,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 8.25,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.44,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 7.5,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 4.4,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.45,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
}
],
"totals": [
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.02,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.83,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 2.02,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.92,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.87,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.91,
"outcome": "Over"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Under"
},
{
"point": 2.5,
"price": 1.85,
"outcome": "Over"
}
],
"h2h_lay": [
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.48,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.4,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.48,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.4,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 5.2,
"outcome": "Draw"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 1.48,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": null,
"price": 9.4,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
}
],
"spreads": [
{
"point": -1,
"price": 1.75,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 2.18,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": -1.25,
"price": 2.08,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": 1.25,
"price": 1.78,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": -1.25,
"price": 2.08,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": 1.25,
"price": 1.78,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 1.75,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 2.18,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": -1.25,
"price": 2.06,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": 1.25,
"price": 1.76,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
},
{
"point": -1,
"price": 1.69,
"outcome": "Uruguay"
},
{
"point": 1,
"price": 2.04,
"outcome": "Cape Verde"
}
]
}
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
Your call
Who wins? One tap, no signup.
AI predictions
Featured · open arena7 markets · 7 models picked
Who picked what
16 models × 7 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
book: Uruguay 65% |
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
book: 2.5 · Over 53% |
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
book: Uruguay -1.3 |
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.7 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Opus 4.8 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Claude Sonnet 4.6 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
68%
Uruguay
~1.47
|
52%
Over 2.5
~2.20
|
61%
No
~1.57
|
64%
Uruguay
~1.69
|
59%
Uruguay -1.25
~2.27
|
54%
Uruguay / Uruguay |
26%
2-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
68%
Uruguay Uruguay is a established World Cup nation with significantly stronger pedigree than Cape Verde, a debutant in the 2026 World Cup. The market...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: -0.0%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
52%
Over 2.5 Market odds for Over 2.5 average ~1.90–2.02, implying ~50–52% probability. Uruguay typically plays attacking football and should create mult...
Odds: 2.20
Edge: +6.5%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
61%
No Cape Verde, as a first-time World Cup qualifier and smaller footballing nation, is unlikely to score against Uruguay in a group stage clash....
Odds: 1.57
Edge: -2.7%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
64%
Uruguay Uruguay -1 Asian handicap is priced at 1.75, implying ~57% win probability by >1 goal. Given the quality gap and group stage context, Urugua...
Odds: 1.69
Edge: +4.8%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
59%
Uruguay -1.25 Uruguay -1.25 is priced at 2.06–2.08, implying ~48–49% win probability by >1.25 goals. This is a slight underdog position, but Uruguay's cle...
Odds: 2.27
Edge: +14.9%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
54%
Uruguay / Uruguay Uruguay leading at half-time and winning the match is the most probable outcome. Uruguay should dominate possession and territory from kick-...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
26%
2-0 2-0 is the modal outcome: Uruguay wins comfortably without Cape Verde scoring, reflecting the quality gap and Cape Verde's lack of World Cup... |
||||||||
GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
GPT-5 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
62%
Uruguay
~1.47
|
58%
Under
~1.85
|
55%
Yes
~2.74
|
48%
Uruguay
~1.69
|
46%
Uruguay -1.25
~2.27
|
38%
Draw / Uruguay |
22%
1-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
62%
Uruguay Uruguay are the stronger, more experienced side on paper and remain the bookmakers' favourites, while Cape Verde impressed defensively but l...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: -6.0%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under Both teams opened the group with low-scoring results (Uruguay 1-1, Cape Verde 0-0) and Cape Verde are likely to deploy a compact defensive s...
Odds: 1.85
Edge: +4.0%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
Yes Uruguay have quality in attack (Darwin Núñez, Viñas) and should break through a defensive Cape Verde at least once, while Cape Verde showed...
Odds: 2.74
Edge: +18.5%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Uruguay Covering a -1 spread (win by 2+) is a tougher ask — Uruguay are favourites but recent form and defensive doubts reduce the chance they win b...
Odds: 1.69
Edge: -11.2%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
46%
Uruguay -1.25 A Uruguay -1.25 Asian line requires a clear win to deliver full value; given the defensive resilience shown by Cape Verde and Uruguay's inju...
Odds: 2.27
Edge: +1.9%
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
38%
Draw / Uruguay A common World Cup pattern: the underdog sits deep and the favourite struggles to break them down early; Uruguay may only convert late when...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
1-0 A narrow 1-0 Uruguay win is the most likely exact score given Uruguay's edge in quality, Cape Verde's defensive setup, and the likelihood of...
🔍 researched
8 sources cited
|
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|
GPT-4o Mini Openai |
65%
Uruguay
~1.53
|
55%
Under
~1.85
|
60%
No
~1.61
|
65%
Uruguay
~1.69
|
65%
Uruguay -1
~1.79
|
60%
Uruguay / Uruguay |
30%
1-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Uruguay Uruguay's superior squad depth and experience make them favorites against World Cup debutants Cape Verde. Their recent form, including a 1-1...
Odds: 1.53
Edge: -0.4%
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under Both teams have shown defensive solidity in their opening matches, with Uruguay's 1-1 draw and Cape Verde's 0-0 draw. The match is expected...
Odds: 1.85
Edge: +0.9%
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Both teams have demonstrated strong defensive performances in their opening matches, suggesting a low likelihood of both teams scoring. ([sq...
Odds: 1.61
Edge: -2.1%
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
65%
Uruguay Uruguay's superior squad depth and experience make them favorites to win by at least one goal against Cape Verde. ([squawka.com](https://www...
Odds: 1.69
Edge: +5.8%
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
65%
Uruguay -1 Uruguay's superior squad depth and experience make them favorites to win by at least one goal against Cape Verde. ([squawka.com](https://www...
Odds: 1.79
Edge: +9.1%
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
60%
Uruguay / Uruguay Uruguay's attacking prowess and Cape Verde's defensive approach suggest Uruguay will lead at halftime and maintain that lead to full time. (...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
30%
1-0 Given both teams' defensive strengths and the high likelihood of performance-impairing heat, a 1-0 victory for Uruguay is the most probable...
🔍 researched
6 sources cited
|
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|
o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
o4-mini hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Grok 4.3 hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
75%
Uruguay
~1.47
|
58%
Over
~1.83
|
65%
No
~1.57
|
55%
Uruguay
~1.69
|
52%
Uruguay -1.5
~2.27
|
62%
Uruguay / Uruguay |
22%
3-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Uruguay Uruguay is a far superior side with World Cup pedigree while Cape Verde is a much lower-ranked African nation. Training data through 2025-09...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: +7.0%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Over Uruguay typically creates high-quality chances and scores multiple goals against inferior defenses. Cape Verde is unlikely to keep a clean s...
Odds: 1.83
Edge: +3.4%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
65%
No Uruguay's defensive organization should secure a clean sheet against Cape Verde's limited attacking threat. Historical results show strong s...
Odds: 1.57
Edge: +1.3%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Uruguay Uruguay is expected to win by more than one goal given the talent gap. Consensus odds imply value on the -1 line for the home side. Training...
Odds: 1.69
Edge: -4.2%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Uruguay -1.5 The expected scoreline favors Uruguay winning by two or more goals. Asian handicap markets price this outcome slightly above even. Historica...
Odds: 2.27
Edge: +8.0%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
62%
Uruguay / Uruguay Uruguay is likely to take an early lead and maintain control through the second half. Training knowledge of similar mismatches shows favorit...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
22%
3-0 Most probable outcomes are comfortable Uruguay wins by 2-3 goals with Cape Verde shut out. Training data through 2025-09 supports 3-0 or 2-0... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 3.1 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
Gemini 2.5 Pro hasn't run on this match yet.
Unlock this model →
|
|||||||
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
||||||||
|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
65%
Uruguay
~1.47
|
55%
Under
~1.85
|
58%
No
~1.57
|
48%
Uruguay
~1.69
|
48%
Uruguay -1.0
~1.74
|
45%
Uruguay / Uruguay |
18%
2-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Uruguay Uruguay, with its strong historical performance and talented squad, is expected to dominate against Cape Verde. While Cape Verde has shown r...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: -3.0%
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under While Uruguay is expected to win, Cape Verde is known for their defensive organization and ability to keep games tight. It's unlikely to be...
Odds: 1.85
Edge: +0.9%
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
No Uruguay possesses a robust defense, making it challenging for Cape Verde to score. Given Cape Verde's expected defensive approach and potent...
Odds: 1.57
Edge: -5.7%
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
48%
Uruguay Uruguay is expected to win this match, but covering a -1 goal spread by winning with a two-goal margin or more could be challenging against...
Odds: 1.69
Edge: -11.2%
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
48%
Uruguay -1.0 For Uruguay to win the -1.0 Asian Handicap, they need to win by two or more goals. A one-goal victory would result in a push. Given Cape Ver...
Odds: 1.74
Edge: -9.5%
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Uruguay / Uruguay Uruguay is expected to take control of the game early and aim for an opening goal in the first half. Their superior talent and tactical disc...
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
2-0 Considering Uruguay's attacking prowess and solid defense, a 2-0 victory appears to be the most likely scoreline. This aligns with predictio...
3 sources cited
|
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
80%
Uruguay
~1.47
|
58%
Under
~1.85
|
60%
No
~1.57
|
55%
Uruguay
~1.69
|
75%
Uruguay
~1.24
|
65%
Uruguay / Uruguay |
15%
2-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
80%
Uruguay Uruguay, a historical powerhouse in international football, is expected to dominate this match against Cape Verde. Uruguay's pedigree and co...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: +12.0%
3 sources cited
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
Under While Uruguay has offensive capabilities, Cape Verde is likely to play defensively to limit damage against a stronger opponent. This tactica...
Odds: 1.85
Edge: +4.0%
3 sources cited
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Given Uruguay's defensive strength and Cape Verde's likely defensive setup, it's probable that only one team will find the back of the net....
Odds: 1.57
Edge: -3.7%
3 sources cited
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Uruguay Uruguay is expected to win by at least one goal given the significant difference in team pedigree and likely squad strength. While a dominan...
Odds: 1.69
Edge: -4.2%
3 sources cited
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
75%
Uruguay Considering the substantial difference in quality and international standing, Uruguay is heavily favored to win this match. The most recent...
Odds: 1.24
Edge: -5.7%
3 sources cited
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
65%
Uruguay / Uruguay Uruguay is expected to start strongly and maintain their dominance throughout the match. Given their superior quality and experience, they a...
3 sources cited
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
2-0 Uruguay is expected to win comfortably, likely without conceding. A 2-0 scoreline reflects their expected dominance and defensive solidity a...
3 sources cited
|
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
65%
Uruguay
~1.47
|
55%
Under
~1.85
|
55%
No
~1.57
|
55%
Cape Verde
~5.11
|
55%
Cape Verde +1.25
~1.79
|
50%
Uruguay / Uruguay |
18%
1-0 |
|
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
65%
Uruguay Uruguay has a significantly stronger squad on paper, with players from top European leagues, while Cape Verde is a smaller footballing natio...
Odds: 1.47
Edge: -3.0%
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Under Cape Verde will likely defend deep, making it hard for Uruguay to score freely. Uruguay's recent matches (based on training data) often have...
Odds: 1.85
Edge: +0.9%
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
No Cape Verde struggles to create chances against top sides, and Uruguay's defense is solid, likely keeping a clean sheet. Uruguay may score bu...
Odds: 1.57
Edge: -8.7%
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
55%
Cape Verde Uruguay may not win by 2+ goals given Cape Verde's defensive approach and potential fatigue in a World Cup group stage. The spread of -1 off...
Odds: 5.11
Edge: +35.4%
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Cape Verde +1.25 Asian handicap +1.25 gives partial protection for a one-goal loss. Uruguay's win margin is likely 1 goal or less, making Cape Verde's handic...
Odds: 1.79
Edge: -0.9%
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
50%
Uruguay / Uruguay Uruguay is favored to lead at halftime and maintain the lead to full time, but Cape Verde's resilience might keep it level at the break. Sti...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
18%
1-0 Given Uruguay's strength and Cape Verde's defensive mindset, a low-scoring game is expected. 1-0 and 2-0 are the most plausible exact scores... |
||||||||
|
Consensus |
Uruguay 7/7 |
Under 5/7 |
No 6/7 |
Uruguay 6/7 |
Uruguay -1.25 2/7 |
Uruguay / Uruguay 6/7 |
2-0 3/7 |
|
|
Bookmaker line |
Uruguay 65% |
2.5 · Over 53% |
— |
Uruguay -1.3 |
— |
— |
— |
|
Match winner
ConsensusUruguay 7/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
68%
Uruguay
~1.47
Uruguay is a established World Cup nation with significantly stronger pedigree than Cape Verde, a debutant in the 2026 World Cup. The market...
GPT-5 Mini
62%
Uruguay
~1.47
Uruguay are the stronger, more experienced side on paper and remain the bookmakers' favourites, while Cape Verde impressed defensively but l...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
Uruguay
~1.53
Uruguay's superior squad depth and experience make them favorites against World Cup debutants Cape Verde. Their recent form, including a 1-1...
Grok 4 Fast
75%
Uruguay
~1.47
Uruguay is a far superior side with World Cup pedigree while Cape Verde is a much lower-ranked African nation. Training data through 2025-09...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
65%
Uruguay
~1.47
Uruguay, with its strong historical performance and talented squad, is expected to dominate against Cape Verde. While Cape Verde has shown r...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
80%
Uruguay
~1.47
Uruguay, a historical powerhouse in international football, is expected to dominate this match against Cape Verde. Uruguay's pedigree and co...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Uruguay
~1.47
Uruguay has a significantly stronger squad on paper, with players from top European leagues, while Cape Verde is a smaller footballing natio...
Bookmaker line: Uruguay 65%
Over / Under
ConsensusUnder 5/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Over 2.5
~2.20
Market odds for Over 2.5 average ~1.90–2.02, implying ~50–52% probability. Uruguay typically plays attacking football and should create mult...
GPT-5 Mini
58%
Under
~1.85
Both teams opened the group with low-scoring results (Uruguay 1-1, Cape Verde 0-0) and Cape Verde are likely to deploy a compact defensive s...
GPT-4o Mini
55%
Under
~1.85
Both teams have shown defensive solidity in their opening matches, with Uruguay's 1-1 draw and Cape Verde's 0-0 draw. The match is expected...
Grok 4 Fast
58%
Over
~1.83
Uruguay typically creates high-quality chances and scores multiple goals against inferior defenses. Cape Verde is unlikely to keep a clean s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Under
~1.85
While Uruguay is expected to win, Cape Verde is known for their defensive organization and ability to keep games tight. It's unlikely to be...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
58%
Under
~1.85
While Uruguay has offensive capabilities, Cape Verde is likely to play defensively to limit damage against a stronger opponent. This tactica...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Under
~1.85
Cape Verde will likely defend deep, making it hard for Uruguay to score freely. Uruguay's recent matches (based on training data) often have...
Bookmaker line: 2.5 · Over 53%
Both teams to score
ConsensusNo 6/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
61%
No
~1.57
Cape Verde, as a first-time World Cup qualifier and smaller footballing nation, is unlikely to score against Uruguay in a group stage clash....
GPT-5 Mini
55%
Yes
~2.74
Uruguay have quality in attack (Darwin Núñez, Viñas) and should break through a defensive Cape Verde at least once, while Cape Verde showed...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
No
~1.61
Both teams have demonstrated strong defensive performances in their opening matches, suggesting a low likelihood of both teams scoring. ([sq...
Grok 4 Fast
65%
No
~1.57
Uruguay's defensive organization should secure a clean sheet against Cape Verde's limited attacking threat. Historical results show strong s...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
No
~1.57
Uruguay possesses a robust defense, making it challenging for Cape Verde to score. Given Cape Verde's expected defensive approach and potent...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
60%
No
~1.57
Given Uruguay's defensive strength and Cape Verde's likely defensive setup, it's probable that only one team will find the back of the net....
DeepSeek V3
55%
No
~1.57
Cape Verde struggles to create chances against top sides, and Uruguay's defense is solid, likely keeping a clean sheet. Uruguay may score bu...
Spread
ConsensusUruguay 6/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
64%
Uruguay
~1.69
Uruguay -1 Asian handicap is priced at 1.75, implying ~57% win probability by >1 goal. Given the quality gap and group stage context, Urugua...
GPT-5 Mini
48%
Uruguay
~1.69
Covering a -1 spread (win by 2+) is a tougher ask — Uruguay are favourites but recent form and defensive doubts reduce the chance they win b...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
Uruguay
~1.69
Uruguay's superior squad depth and experience make them favorites to win by at least one goal against Cape Verde. ([squawka.com](https://www...
Grok 4 Fast
55%
Uruguay
~1.69
Uruguay is expected to win by more than one goal given the talent gap. Consensus odds imply value on the -1 line for the home side. Training...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
48%
Uruguay
~1.69
Uruguay is expected to win this match, but covering a -1 goal spread by winning with a two-goal margin or more could be challenging against...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Uruguay
~1.69
Uruguay is expected to win by at least one goal given the significant difference in team pedigree and likely squad strength. While a dominan...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Cape Verde
~5.11
Uruguay may not win by 2+ goals given Cape Verde's defensive approach and potential fatigue in a World Cup group stage. The spread of -1 off...
Bookmaker line: Uruguay -1.3
Asian handicap
ConsensusUruguay -1.25 2/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
59%
Uruguay -1.25
~2.27
Uruguay -1.25 is priced at 2.06–2.08, implying ~48–49% win probability by >1.25 goals. This is a slight underdog position, but Uruguay's cle...
GPT-5 Mini
46%
Uruguay -1.25
~2.27
A Uruguay -1.25 Asian line requires a clear win to deliver full value; given the defensive resilience shown by Cape Verde and Uruguay's inju...
GPT-4o Mini
65%
Uruguay -1
~1.79
Uruguay's superior squad depth and experience make them favorites to win by at least one goal against Cape Verde. ([squawka.com](https://www...
Grok 4 Fast
52%
Uruguay -1.5
~2.27
The expected scoreline favors Uruguay winning by two or more goals. Asian handicap markets price this outcome slightly above even. Historica...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
48%
Uruguay -1.0
~1.74
For Uruguay to win the -1.0 Asian Handicap, they need to win by two or more goals. A one-goal victory would result in a push. Given Cape Ver...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
75%
Uruguay
~1.24
Considering the substantial difference in quality and international standing, Uruguay is heavily favored to win this match. The most recent...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Cape Verde +1.25
~1.79
Asian handicap +1.25 gives partial protection for a one-goal loss. Uruguay's win margin is likely 1 goal or less, making Cape Verde's handic...
Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusUruguay / Uruguay 6/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
54%
Uruguay / Uruguay
Uruguay leading at half-time and winning the match is the most probable outcome. Uruguay should dominate possession and territory from kick-...
GPT-5 Mini
38%
Draw / Uruguay
A common World Cup pattern: the underdog sits deep and the favourite struggles to break them down early; Uruguay may only convert late when...
GPT-4o Mini
60%
Uruguay / Uruguay
Uruguay's attacking prowess and Cape Verde's defensive approach suggest Uruguay will lead at halftime and maintain that lead to full time. (...
Grok 4 Fast
62%
Uruguay / Uruguay
Uruguay is likely to take an early lead and maintain control through the second half. Training knowledge of similar mismatches shows favorit...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
45%
Uruguay / Uruguay
Uruguay is expected to take control of the game early and aim for an opening goal in the first half. Their superior talent and tactical disc...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
65%
Uruguay / Uruguay
Uruguay is expected to start strongly and maintain their dominance throughout the match. Given their superior quality and experience, they a...
DeepSeek V3
50%
Uruguay / Uruguay
Uruguay is favored to lead at halftime and maintain the lead to full time, but Cape Verde's resilience might keep it level at the break. Sti...
Correct score
Consensus2-0 3/7
Claude Haiku 4.5
26%
2-0
2-0 is the modal outcome: Uruguay wins comfortably without Cape Verde scoring, reflecting the quality gap and Cape Verde's lack of World Cup...
GPT-5 Mini
22%
1-0
A narrow 1-0 Uruguay win is the most likely exact score given Uruguay's edge in quality, Cape Verde's defensive setup, and the likelihood of...
GPT-4o Mini
30%
1-0
Given both teams' defensive strengths and the high likelihood of performance-impairing heat, a 1-0 victory for Uruguay is the most probable...
Grok 4 Fast
22%
3-0
Most probable outcomes are comfortable Uruguay wins by 2-3 goals with Cape Verde shut out. Training data through 2025-09 supports 3-0 or 2-0...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
18%
2-0
Considering Uruguay's attacking prowess and solid defense, a 2-0 victory appears to be the most likely scoreline. This aligns with predictio...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
2-0
Uruguay is expected to win comfortably, likely without conceding. A 2-0 scoreline reflects their expected dominance and defensive solidity a...
DeepSeek V3
18%
1-0
Given Uruguay's strength and Cape Verde's defensive mindset, a low-scoring game is expected. 1-0 and 2-0 are the most plausible exact scores...
Polymarket: tournament odds
What real money is betting on each team to lift the 2026 FIFA World Cup trophy.
Uruguay
to win World Cup
Cape Verde
to win World Cup
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Bookmaker odds
44 books · sharp books pinned · best price highlighted
| Book | Uruguay | Draw | Cape Verde |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.40 | 4.43 | 7.32 |
| Draftkings | 1.44 | 4.60 | 7.50 |
| Fanduel | 1.42 | 4.60 | 7.50 |
| Betmgm | 1.40 | 4.10 | 6.25 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| Betfair Exchange UK | 1.45 | 4.70 | 8.20 |
| Betfair Exchange EU | 1.45 | 4.70 | 8.20 |
| Betanysports | 1.42 | 4.55 | 7.50 |
| Betclic FR | 1.44 | 4.45 | 7.00 |
| Betfred | 1.44 | 4.20 | 7.50 |
| BetOnline | 1.44 | 4.65 | 8.00 |
| Betrivers | 1.42 | 4.50 | 8.00 |
| Betus | 1.42 | 4.55 | 7.50 |
| Betway | 1.38 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| Bovada | 1.42 | 4.55 | 7.50 |
| Boylesports | 1.40 | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| Casumo | 1.42 | 4.50 | 8.00 |
| Codere It | 1.45 | 4.50 | 7.20 |
| Coolbet | 1.45 | 4.50 | 8.25 |
| Coral | 1.44 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| Everygame | 1.40 | 4.60 | 8.00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40 | 4.40 | 8.00 |
| Gtbets | 1.47 | 4.44 | 7.37 |
| Ladbrokes | 1.44 | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| Leovegas | 1.42 | 4.50 | 8.00 |
| Leovegas Se | 1.42 | 4.50 | 8.00 |
| Livescorebet | 1.40 | 4.40 | 8.00 |
| LowVig | 1.44 | 4.65 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 4.50 | 7.40 |
| MyBookie | 1.45 | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| Onexbet | 1.47 | 4.62 | 7.70 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40 | 4.50 | 7.50 |
| Pmu | 1.40 | 4.40 | 8.00 |
| Skybet | 1.40 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| Smarkets | 1.44 | 4.40 | 8.00 |
| Sport888 | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.50 |
| Tipico | 1.40 | 4.70 | 7.80 |
| Unibet | 1.43 | 4.50 | 7.20 |
| Unibet Nl | 1.43 | 4.70 | 8.50 |
| Unibet Se | 1.43 | 4.70 | 8.50 |
| Unibet | 1.45 | 4.35 | 7.00 |
| Virginbet | 1.40 | 4.40 | 8.00 |
| Winamax | 1.39 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| Winamax | 1.38 | 4.10 | 5.90 |
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.5 | 1.87 | 1.92 |
| Betmgm | 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| William Hill | 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| Betanysports | 2.5 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| BetOnline | 2.5 | 2.02 | 1.85 |
| Betrivers | 2.5 | 1.87 | 1.88 |
| Betus | 2.5 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Bovada | 2.5 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Casumo | 2.5 | 1.87 | 1.88 |
| Codere It | 2.5 | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Coolbet | 2.5 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Grosvenor | 2.5 | 1.87 | 1.88 |
| Gtbets | 2.5 | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Leovegas | 2.5 | 1.87 | 1.88 |
| LowVig | 2.5 | 2.02 | 1.85 |
| MyBookie | 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| Onexbet | 2.5 | 1.90 | 1.92 |
| Pmu | 2.5 | 1.83 | 1.85 |
| Unibet Nl | 2.5 | 1.87 | 1.88 |
| Unibet Se | 2.5 | 1.89 | 1.93 |
| Book | Uruguay | Cape Verde |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | -1.3 @ 2.06 | +1.3 @ 1.76 |
| Betanysports | -1.3 @ 2.08 | +1.3 @ 1.78 |
| BetOnline | -1.0 @ 1.75 | +1.0 @ 2.18 |
| Bovada | -1.3 @ 2.08 | +1.3 @ 1.78 |
| Gtbets | -1.5 @ 2.22 | +1.5 @ 1.60 |
| LowVig | -1.0 @ 1.75 | +1.0 @ 2.18 |
| MyBookie | -1.0 @ 1.69 | +1.0 @ 2.04 |
| Onexbet | -1.5 @ 2.31 | +1.5 @ 1.63 |
Research trail
What each AI looked up before picking
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No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
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0 tool calls · 3 sources
3 citations captured — unlock with Pro
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No live web access — picked from training-data knowledge.
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7 tool calls · 6 sources
6 citations captured — unlock with Pro
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91 tool calls · 8 sources
8 citations captured — unlock with Pro
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