Ugyen AcademyvsThimphu
Ugyen Academy 2–4 Thimphu
4 of 6 AIs leaned Ugyen Academy — reality had other ideas.
- AI lean
- Ugyen Academy 4/6
- Correct calls
- 2/6
- Final
- 2–4
Every pick below was locked before the match and graded automatically against the final score — no hindsight edits.
AI predictions
7 markets · 6 models
Ask the AIsWho picked what
16 models × 7 markets · click a row to see reasoning
| Model |
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
|
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
|
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
|
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
|
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
|
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
|
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus |
Ugyen Academy / Ugyen Academy 3/6 models |
Ugyen Academy -1 3/6 models |
Ugyen Academy 4/6 models |
over 3/6 models |
Yes 2/6 models |
Thimphu -0.5 2/6 models |
1-0 3/6 models |
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Claude Opus 4.7 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
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Claude Opus 4.8 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Sonnet 4.6 FlagshipAnthropic |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Claude Haiku 4.5 Anthropic |
45%
Ugyen Academy / Ugyen Academy
L
|
52%
Ugyen Academy -1
L
|
58%
Ugyen Academy
L
|
62%
Under 2.5
L
|
60%
No
L
|
58%
Ugyen Academy +0.5
L
|
24%
1-0
L
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
45%
Ugyen Academy / Ugyen Academy Home/Home (Ugyen Academy leading at half-time and full-time) has marginal plurality in a domestic fixture without injury or form data. The l...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
52%
Ugyen Academy -1 Ugyen Academy at -1 handicap carries marginal edge as the home side in a low-scoring domestic league context. The confidence is barely above...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
58%
Ugyen Academy Ugyen Academy as home side typically carries a modest advantage in domestic Bhutanese football. Without access to current form data, recent...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
62%
Under 2.5 Lower-tier Bhutanese domestic football typically features modest goal output compared to major leagues. Without current team scoring records...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
60%
No Both Teams To Score at 60% confidence for 'No' reflects typical defensive discipline in domestic Bhutanese football, where clean sheets are...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
58%
Ugyen Academy +0.5 The +0.5 Asian handicap for Ugyen Academy offers a slight improvement over evens, reflecting home-side advantage while hedging against a nar...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
24%
1-0 1-0 Ugyen Academy is the modal outcome at 24% confidence, reflecting modest home advantage and the low-scoring profile of domestic Bhutanese... |
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GPT-5 FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
GPT-5 Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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GPT-4o Mini Openai |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
No pick on this market.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
No pick on this market.
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
No pick on this market.
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
No pick on this market.
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
No pick on this market.
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
No pick on this market.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
No pick on this market. |
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o4-mini FlagshipOpenai |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Grok 4.3 FlagshipXai |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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|
Grok 4 Fast Xai |
33%
Thimphu / Thimphu |
44%
Thimphu
W
|
47%
Thimphu
W
|
58%
over
W
|
52%
yes
W
|
51%
Thimphu -0.5
W
|
14%
1-2
L
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
33%
Thimphu / Thimphu Thimphu favored to lead at half and full time. No rest or fatigue details known. Prediction based on training data through 2025-09.
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
44%
Thimphu Thimphu expected to cover the -1 spread on quality differential. No head-to-head updates since 2025. Prediction based on training data throu...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
47%
Thimphu Thimphu has historically been the stronger side in the Bhutan Premier League compared to Ugyen Academy. No recent form or lineups available...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
58%
over League matches between these sides have tended to produce goals. Limited data on current squads or weather. Prediction based on training dat...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
52%
yes Both teams have shown attacking intent in past encounters. No injury or lineup information accessible. Prediction based on training data thr...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
51%
Thimphu -0.5 Away side holds quality edge making the -0.5 handicap attractive. No fresh team news. Prediction based on training data through 2025-09.
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
14%
1-2 1-2 aligns with expected goal margins for the away favorite. No current squad or venue data. Prediction based on training data through 2025-... |
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Gemini 3.1 Pro Flagship |
Flagship picks across 7 markets — unlock with Pro
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Flagship |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash |
25%
Draw / Thimphu |
40%
Ugyen Academy +1
L
|
47%
Thimphu
W
|
55%
Over 2.5
W
|
58%
Yes
W
|
52%
Thimphu -0.5
W
|
16%
1-2
L
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
25%
Draw / Thimphu Thimphu is expected to secure the win, but Ugyen Academy at home could potentially hold them to a draw in the first half. A stronger Thimphu...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
40%
Ugyen Academy +1 While Thimphu is historically stronger, winning by a margin of two goals or more against Ugyen Academy at home is not a certainty. Ugyen Aca...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
47%
Thimphu Based on historical performance in the Bhutan Premier League, Thimphu teams have often shown a consistent track record of being stronger con...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
Over 2.5 Matches in the Bhutan Premier League frequently see a moderate number of goals scored. With Thimphu's presumed stronger attacking line and U...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
58%
Yes Both teams typically find the back of the net in competitive league matches, even if one team is generally stronger. Thimphu's attacking qua...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
52%
Thimphu -0.5 Based on historical performance, Thimphu is generally considered the stronger team in the Bhutan Premier League. An 'Away -0.5' Asian Handic...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
16%
1-2 Thimphu's historical strength suggests a victory, and the expectation of both teams scoring points towards a competitive match. A 1-2 scorel... |
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|
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite |
30%
Draw / Ugyen Academy
L
|
50%
Thimphu
W
|
55%
Ugyen Academy
L
|
55%
over
W
|
55%
no
L
|
55%
Thimphu +0.5
W
|
15%
1-0
L
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
30%
Draw / Ugyen Academy A common scenario is for the home team to start cautiously and then find their rhythm in the second half. This 'Draw-Home' outcome represent...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
50%
Thimphu Predicting Ugyen Academy to cover a -1 spread is unlikely given the general parity that might exist. A slight lean towards the away team cov...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
55%
Ugyen Academy Based on general knowledge of football club dynamics, Ugyen Academy is expected to have a slight edge. Without specific recent form or head-...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
55%
over Given the potential for lower scoring games in Bhutanese football and the lack of specific attacking/defensive metrics, predicting a moderat...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
55%
no In matches where one team might have a slight advantage, it's common for the less dominant team to struggle to score. Therefore, 'No' to Bot...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Thimphu +0.5 With Ugyen Academy having a slight home advantage, they are favored, but Thimphu is expected to be competitive. Therefore, taking Thimphu wi...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
1-0 Given the slight favoritism for Ugyen Academy and the expectation of a relatively low-scoring game, a 1-0 victory for the home side is the m... |
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DeepSeek V3 Deepseek |
60%
Ugyen Academy / Ugyen Academy
L
|
70%
Ugyen Academy -1
L
|
75%
Ugyen Academy
L
|
65%
Over 2.5
W
|
40%
Yes
W
|
55%
Ugyen Academy -1.5
L
|
15%
3-0
L
|
|
|
Half-time / Full-time
?
Half-time / Full-time
Half-time / Full-time. Outcome at the break AND at the final whistle — both have to match for the pick to land.
60%
Ugyen Academy / Ugyen Academy Ugyen Academy typically scores early and leads at halftime. Thimphu rarely comes from behind. The most likely outcome is home win at both ha...
Spread
?
Spread
Point spread. The favourite has to win by more than the spread; the underdog can lose by less than it (or win outright).
70%
Ugyen Academy -1 Ugyen Academy consistently wins by 2+ goals against Thimphu at home, with recent margins of 3-0 and 4-1. The -1 spread covers comfortably gi...
Match winner
?
Match winner
Match winner. Pick the team that wins in regular time (or who advances in cup formats).
75%
Ugyen Academy Ugyen Academy historically dominates Thimphu in Bhutan's domestic league, with superior squad depth and home advantage. Thimphu struggles aw...
Over / Under
?
Over / Under
Over / Under total points. Will the combined score be above or below the line.
65%
Over 2.5 Ugyen Academy averages over 2 goals per home game against similar opposition, and Thimphu's defense has leaked goals in recent encounters. W...
Both teams to score
?
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score. Yes = both teams score at least once. No = at least one team is shut out.
40%
Yes Thimphu could snatch a consolation goal given Ugyen Academy's occasional defensive lapses, but clean sheets are common for the home side. Th...
Asian handicap
?
Asian handicap
Asian Handicap. Like a spread, but quarter-lines split the stake — you can half-win or half-push.
55%
Ugyen Academy -1.5 A -1.5 handicap is riskier but still plausible given Ugyen Academy's typical dominance. However, the margin might be exactly 2, so this is b...
Correct score
?
Correct score
Correct score. The exact final score (e.g. 2-1). Highest-variance market — most picks lose, but the payouts are big when they hit.
15%
3-0 2-0 and 3-0 are the most frequent scorelines for Ugyen Academy against Thimphu at home. A clean sheet is probable, and 2-0 edges slightly ov... |
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Half-time / Full-time
ConsensusUgyen Academy / Ugyen Academy 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
45%
Ugyen Academy / Ugyen Academy
L
Home/Home (Ugyen Academy leading at half-time and full-time) has marginal plurality in a domestic fixture without injury or form data. The l...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
33%
Thimphu / Thimphu
Thimphu favored to lead at half and full time. No rest or fatigue details known. Prediction based on training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
25%
Draw / Thimphu
Thimphu is expected to secure the win, but Ugyen Academy at home could potentially hold them to a draw in the first half. A stronger Thimphu...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
30%
Draw / Ugyen Academy
L
A common scenario is for the home team to start cautiously and then find their rhythm in the second half. This 'Draw-Home' outcome represent...
DeepSeek V3
60%
Ugyen Academy / Ugyen Academy
L
Ugyen Academy typically scores early and leads at halftime. Thimphu rarely comes from behind. The most likely outcome is home win at both ha...
Spread
ConsensusUgyen Academy -1 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
52%
Ugyen Academy -1
L
Ugyen Academy at -1 handicap carries marginal edge as the home side in a low-scoring domestic league context. The confidence is barely above...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
44%
Thimphu
W
Thimphu expected to cover the -1 spread on quality differential. No head-to-head updates since 2025. Prediction based on training data throu...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
40%
Ugyen Academy +1
L
While Thimphu is historically stronger, winning by a margin of two goals or more against Ugyen Academy at home is not a certainty. Ugyen Aca...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
50%
Thimphu
W
Predicting Ugyen Academy to cover a -1 spread is unlikely given the general parity that might exist. A slight lean towards the away team cov...
DeepSeek V3
70%
Ugyen Academy -1
L
Ugyen Academy consistently wins by 2+ goals against Thimphu at home, with recent margins of 3-0 and 4-1. The -1 spread covers comfortably gi...
Match winner
ConsensusUgyen Academy 4/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Ugyen Academy
L
Ugyen Academy as home side typically carries a modest advantage in domestic Bhutanese football. Without access to current form data, recent...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
47%
Thimphu
W
Thimphu has historically been the stronger side in the Bhutan Premier League compared to Ugyen Academy. No recent form or lineups available...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
47%
Thimphu
W
Based on historical performance in the Bhutan Premier League, Thimphu teams have often shown a consistent track record of being stronger con...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Ugyen Academy
L
Based on general knowledge of football club dynamics, Ugyen Academy is expected to have a slight edge. Without specific recent form or head-...
DeepSeek V3
75%
Ugyen Academy
L
Ugyen Academy historically dominates Thimphu in Bhutan's domestic league, with superior squad depth and home advantage. Thimphu struggles aw...
Over / Under
Consensusover 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
62%
Under 2.5
L
Lower-tier Bhutanese domestic football typically features modest goal output compared to major leagues. Without current team scoring records...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
58%
over
W
League matches between these sides have tended to produce goals. Limited data on current squads or weather. Prediction based on training dat...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
55%
Over 2.5
W
Matches in the Bhutan Premier League frequently see a moderate number of goals scored. With Thimphu's presumed stronger attacking line and U...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
over
W
Given the potential for lower scoring games in Bhutanese football and the lack of specific attacking/defensive metrics, predicting a moderat...
DeepSeek V3
65%
Over 2.5
W
Ugyen Academy averages over 2 goals per home game against similar opposition, and Thimphu's defense has leaked goals in recent encounters. W...
Both teams to score
ConsensusYes 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
60%
No
L
Both Teams To Score at 60% confidence for 'No' reflects typical defensive discipline in domestic Bhutanese football, where clean sheets are...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
52%
yes
W
Both teams have shown attacking intent in past encounters. No injury or lineup information accessible. Prediction based on training data thr...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
58%
Yes
W
Both teams typically find the back of the net in competitive league matches, even if one team is generally stronger. Thimphu's attacking qua...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
no
L
In matches where one team might have a slight advantage, it's common for the less dominant team to struggle to score. Therefore, 'No' to Bot...
DeepSeek V3
40%
Yes
W
Thimphu could snatch a consolation goal given Ugyen Academy's occasional defensive lapses, but clean sheets are common for the home side. Th...
Asian handicap
ConsensusThimphu -0.5 2/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
58%
Ugyen Academy +0.5
L
The +0.5 Asian handicap for Ugyen Academy offers a slight improvement over evens, reflecting home-side advantage while hedging against a nar...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
51%
Thimphu -0.5
W
Away side holds quality edge making the -0.5 handicap attractive. No fresh team news. Prediction based on training data through 2025-09.
Gemini 2.5 Flash
52%
Thimphu -0.5
W
Based on historical performance, Thimphu is generally considered the stronger team in the Bhutan Premier League. An 'Away -0.5' Asian Handic...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
55%
Thimphu +0.5
W
With Ugyen Academy having a slight home advantage, they are favored, but Thimphu is expected to be competitive. Therefore, taking Thimphu wi...
DeepSeek V3
55%
Ugyen Academy -1.5
L
A -1.5 handicap is riskier but still plausible given Ugyen Academy's typical dominance. However, the margin might be exactly 2, so this is b...
Correct score
Consensus1-0 3/6
Claude Haiku 4.5
24%
1-0
L
1-0 Ugyen Academy is the modal outcome at 24% confidence, reflecting modest home advantage and the low-scoring profile of domestic Bhutanese...
GPT-5 Mini
—
GPT-4o Mini
—
Grok 4 Fast
14%
1-2
L
1-2 aligns with expected goal margins for the away favorite. No current squad or venue data. Prediction based on training data through 2025-...
Gemini 2.5 Flash
16%
1-2
L
Thimphu's historical strength suggests a victory, and the expectation of both teams scoring points towards a competitive match. A 1-2 scorel...
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
15%
1-0
L
Given the slight favoritism for Ugyen Academy and the expectation of a relatively low-scoring game, a 1-0 victory for the home side is the m...
DeepSeek V3
15%
3-0
L
2-0 and 3-0 are the most frequent scorelines for Ugyen Academy against Thimphu at home. A clean sheet is probable, and 2-0 edges slightly ov...
Model confidence
Conviction in pick · Match winner
DeepSeek V3
Ugyen Academy
Claude Haiku 4.5
Ugyen Academy
Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite
Ugyen Academy
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Ugyen Academy
Grok 4 Fast
Thimphu
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Thimphu
Model track records
LifetimeEvery graded pick across all sports — auto-settled the moment results land, wins and losses both counted. Ranked by win rate.
Units = net profit at flat 1-unit stakes. The full sortable board lives on the leaderboard.
Beat the AIs · Predict the score
Picks closed
Match has already kicked off. Picks are permanent — no late entries.
Team news
ProInjuries and confirmed lineups — the same team news the AIs factored into their reads.
Team news is a Pro feature
see exactly who's out and the XIs the AIs reasoned on, before kickoff.
Verifiable brief
Identical prompt sent to every AI · SHA-256 verified
hash:
624ae6934a5bb922…
- Kickoff
- Tue, Jun 16 · 10:00 GMT+0000
- Markets
- Match winner · Over / Under 2.5 · Both teams to score · Spread -1 · Asian handicap · Half-time / Full-time · Correct score
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System instruction
You are a sports prediction analyst working for ModelFights — a public arena
that pits frontier AI models against each other on the same matches.
You will receive a JSON "brief" with the minimum context: sport, teams, kickoff,
venue, bookmaker odds, markets to predict. Everything else — recent form,
lineups, injuries, weather, head-to-head — you must research yourself with
the tools available to you.
Hard rules:
- Output strict JSON only. No prose outside the JSON, no preamble, no code fence.
- You MUST return exactly one prediction object per requested market — the
`predictions` array length MUST equal 7. No omissions, no excuses.
- Even with limited info you still commit to a pick + confidence + reasoning.
- `confidence` is YOUR probability for YOUR pick, expressed 0 to 1.
- Probabilities for the same market must sum to 1.0 (±0.02).
- For `correct_score`, the pick is a literal "home-away" string (e.g. "2-1",
"0-0"). Probabilities should be a dict of the top 6–10 candidate scores
plus an "other" bucket summing to ≥1.0.
- `reasoning` is 2–4 sentences, plain text, no markdown.
- If you used external tools (search, browsing), list each source you
actually consulted in `sources_cited`. Do not fabricate URLs.
- If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and
explicitly note that in `reasoning` (e.g. "training data through 2025-09").
- `used_research_tools` is true if and only if you invoked at least one tool.
- Do not hedge. Do not say "I don't have enough data." Use what you have.
Required markets (return ALL 7, in this order): h2h | totals_2.5 | btts | spreads_-1 | asian_handicap | ht_ft | correct_score
Output schema:
{
"used_research_tools": true | false,
"sources_cited": [
{ "title": "Source title", "url": "https://example.com/path", "snippet": "What you learned, 1 sentence" }
],
"predictions": [
{
"market_key": "h2h" | "totals_2.5" | "btts" | "spreads_-1" | "...",
"pick": "<one of the outcome labels for this market>",
"confidence": 0.0,
"probabilities": { "<outcome>": 0.0, ... },
"reasoning": "2-4 sentences citing the key factors.",
"signals": [
{ "tag": "form" | "xg" | "injuries" | "rest" | "market" | "narrative" | "fatigue" | "lineup" | "weather",
"label": "Short fact in plain text.",
"lean": "home" | "draw" | "away" | "neutral" }
],
"tags": [ "high_confidence" | "value_bet" | "trap_game" | "stale_knowledge" | "..." ]
}
]
}
User brief (JSON)
{
"event": {
"id": 1899,
"sport": "football",
"venue": null,
"league": "Premier League",
"starts_at": "2026-06-16T10:00:00+00:00",
"starts_at_human": "Tue, 16 Jun 2026 10:00:00 GMT"
},
"teams": {
"away": "Thimphu",
"home": "Ugyen Academy"
},
"version": "v1",
"built_at": "2026-06-14T07:37:08+00:00",
"market_consensus": {
"h2h": [],
"note": "No bookmaker consensus available at build time — predict from public knowledge.",
"extra_markets": []
},
"markets_requested": [
"h2h",
"totals_2.5",
"btts",
"spreads_-1",
"asian_handicap",
"ht_ft",
"correct_score"
],
"research_directive": [
"Use any tools you have (web search, news, your training knowledge) to research:",
"recent form (last 5 matches), starting lineups, injuries / absences, weather (outdoor sports), head-to-head record, fatigue / rest days.",
"Cite specific sources in `sources_cited` when you use external tools.",
"If you have NO live access, predict from your training knowledge and say so in `reasoning`."
]
}
The hash above is SHA-256 of the canonical JSON brief. Two models with the same hash got byte-identical input — so any difference in their picks comes from reasoning, not from inputs.
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